| Literature DB >> 31249884 |
Chaman Verma1, Veronika Stoffová2, Zoltán Illés1.
Abstract
An experimental study was conducted to predict the student's awareness of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and Mobile Technology (MT) in Indian and Hungarian university's students. A primary dataset was gathered from two popular universities located in India and Hungary in the academic year 2017-2018. This paper focuses on the prediction of two major parameters from dataset such as usability and educational benefits using four machine learning classifiers multilayer perceptron (ANN), Support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN) and Discriminant (DISC). The multi-classification problem was solved with test, train and validated datasets using machine learning classifiers. One hand, feature aggregation with the train-test-validation technique improved the ANN's prediction accuracy of educational benefits for both countries. Another hand, ANN's accuracy decreases significantly in the prediction of usability. Further, SVM and ANN outperformed the KNN and the DISC in the prediction of awareness level towards ICT and MT in India and Hungary. Also, this paper reveals that the future awareness level for the educational benefits will be Very High or Moderate in both countries. Also, the awareness level is predicted as High and Moderate for usability parameter in both countries. Further, ANN and SVM accuracy and prediction time is compared with T-test at 0.05 significance level which distinguished CPU training time is taken by ANN and SVM using K-fold and Hold out method. Also, K-fold enhanced the significant prediction accuracy of SVM and ANN. the authors also used a STAC web platform to compare the accuracy datasets using T-test and ANOVA test at 0.05 significant level and we found ANN and SVM classifier has no significant difference in prediction accuracy in each dataset. Also, the authors recommend presented predictive models to be deployed as a real-time module of the institute's website for the real-time prediction of ICT & MT awareness level.Entities:
Keywords: Computer science; Education
Year: 2019 PMID: 31249884 PMCID: PMC6584769 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e01806
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Heliyon ISSN: 2405-8440
Datasets description.
| Datasets | Indian Usability | Hungarian Usability | Overall Usability | Indian Edu. Benf. | Hungarian Edu. Benf. | Overall Edu. Benf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instances | 162 | 169 | 331 | 162 | 169 | 331 |
| Attributes | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Missing values | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Influential attributes.
| Usability | Rank | Educational Benefits | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Software Use | 0.523 | Higher Quality Lesson | 0.732 |
| Prepare Exercises and Class Assignment | 0.445 | Sharing of Resources, Expertise, and Advice | 0.719 |
| online professional development | 0.35 | Learning Outside Campus | 0.714 |
| Online communication with teachers | 0.318 | Enriches Learning | 0.711 |
| Download/Browse Material | 0.302 | Up-to-date Learning Materials | 0.709 |
| Internet Use | 0.261 | Improve Analytical Skills | 0.642 |
| — | Learning by Doing Approach | 0.633 | |
| — | Reliable and Un-interrupted Downloading | 0.602 | |
| — | Online Tutorial | 0.60 |
Fig. 1Usability Prediction Modeling using Test-Train and Test-Train and Validate method.
Fig. 2Usability prediction using ANN with boosting (a) of Indian students at 50-20-30 (b) of Hungarian students at 60-20-20.
Fig. 3Overall Indo-Hungarian Usability Prediction using the ANN with a boosting at 50-20-30.
Coincidence matrices for Individual usability prediction by ANN with a boosting.
| Models | Indian Usability | Hungarian Usability | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confusion Matrices | Prediction | Prediction | ||||||||
| A. Level | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | Very Low | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | |
| Actual | High | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Low | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | |
| Moderate | 3 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 0 | |
| Very High | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Very Low | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | - | - | |
Coincidence matrices for Joint usability prediction by ANN with a boosting.
| Model | Indo-Hungarian Usability | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confusion Matrices | Prediction | |||||
| A. Level | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | Very Low | |
| Actual | High | 117 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Low | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Moderate | 4 | 0 | 153 | 0 | 0 | |
| Very High | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | |
| Very Low | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Fig. 4Educational benefits prediction modeling using test-train and test-train-validate method.
Coincidence matrices for Individual Educational benefits by DISC and SVM.
| Models | Indian Educational benefits using the DISC | Hungarian Educational benefits using the SVM | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confusion Matrices | Prediction | Prediction | ||||||||
| A. Level | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | Very Low | |
| Actualaa | High | 67 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Moderate | 1 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | |
| Very High | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | |
| Very Low | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Coincidence matrices for Joint Educational benefits by ANN.
| Model | Indo-Hungarian Edu. benefits | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confusion Matrices | Prediction | |||||
| A. Level | High | Low | Moderate | Very High | Very Low | |
| Actual | High | 155 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Low | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Moderate | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0 | 0 | |
| Very High | 1 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0 | |
| Very Low | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Fig. 5Educational Benefits prediction (a) using the DISC of Indian students at 60-20-20 (b) using the SVM of Hungarian students at 50-20-30.
Fig. 6Overall Indo-Hungarian Educational Benefits Prediction using the ANN with a boosting at 70-30.
Fig. 7Real-Time Vs Prediction Accuracy using Hold out with T-test at 0.5 significant level.
Fig. 8Real-Time Vs Prediction Accuracy using K-Fold with T-test at 0.5 significant level.
Shapiro-Wilk test at 0.05 significance level.
| Classifier with Test Method | p-value | nH0 |
|---|---|---|
| ANN (60:40) | 0.960 | accept |
| SVM (60:40) | 0.257 | accept |
| ANN (k = 10) | 0.960 | accept |
| SVM (k = 10) | 0.433 | accept |
Levene test at 0.05 significance level.
| Test Method | Statistic | p-value | hH0 |
|---|---|---|---|
| K-Fold (k = 10) | 2.284 | 0.136 | accept |
| Hold Out (60:40) | 1.270 | 0.316 | accept |
T-test at 0.05 significance level.
| Test Method | Statistic | p-value | aH0 |
|---|---|---|---|
| K-Fold (k = 10) | 0.870 | 0.424 | accept |
| Hold Out (60:40) | 1.763 | 0.138 | accept |
ANOVA test at 0.05 significance level.
| Test Method | Statistic | p-value | gH0 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Within Classifiers | 3.413 | 0.028 | accept |
| Between Classifiers | 4.249 | 0.009 | accept |
Evaluation metrics.
| Metric | Indian Usability ANN | Hungarian Usability ANN | Indo-Hungarian Usability ANN | Indian Edu. benefits DISC | Hungarian Edu. benefits SVM | Indo-Hungarian Edu. benefits ANN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (%) | 98.2 | 96.5 | 97.3 | 95.7 | 98.2 | 98.5 |
| Error (%) | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Correct | 159 | 163 | 322 | 155 | 166 | 326 |
| Wrong | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Performance evaluation index.
| Metric | Indian Usability ANN | Hungarian Usability ANN | Indo-Hungarian Usability ANN | Indian Edu. benefits DISC | Hungarian Edu. benefits SVM | Indo-Hungarian Edu. benefits ANN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Low | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Moderate | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Very High | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Very Low | 4.4 | - | - | - | 5.1 | 5.1 |