Prognostic significance of peripheral blood absolute lymphocyte count and derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in patients with newly diagnosed extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma.

Background: Accumulating evidence suggested that tumor microenvironment and host immune system played important roles in determining the clinical course and outcome of human malignancies. The derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) were demonstrated to act as a prognostic factor in several malignancies. Nevertheless, the prognostic significance of them in extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTL) patients has never been explored. Patients and methods: A total of 33 newly diagnosed patients with ENKTL were included in this study. Clinicopathological characteristics were collected and prognostic significance of dNLR and ALC were evaluated.
Results: Elevated dNLR and low ALC were both associated with poor survival rates. Patients with dNLR ≥3.6 revealed significantly shorter overall survival (OS) (P=0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (P=0.008) than those with dNLR <3.6. Patients with ALC <0.8×109/L had worse OS (P=0.008) and PFS (P<0.001) than those with ALC ≥0.8×109/L. An independent significant association between low ALC and poor clinical outcome in multivariate analysis for OS (HR, 36.023; 95% CI, 2.438-532.243; P=0.009) as well as PFS (HR, 7.698; 95%CI, 1.573-37.679; P=0.012) was identified.
Conclusion: In this study, we validated for the first time the prognostic value of dNLR and ALC in ENKTL patients. Elevated dNLR and low ALC were both associated with aggressive tumor process and poor survival.ALC value at diagnosis represented an independent favorable prognostic factor for the clinical outcome of ENKTL patients.

Introduction

Extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTL) is a rare and highly aggressive lymphoma derived from mature NK- and T-cells, which accounts for less than 1% of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in the Western world and up to 10% of NHL in Asia and South America.1 This disease is characterized by Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) infection and extranodal involvement, with 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of less than 50%.2–4 ENKTL can be pathologically divided into two types, nasal and non-nasal ENKTL.4 About 80% of ENKTL cases occur in the nose, nasopharynx, oropharynx, and parts of the upper aerodigestive tract, and about 20% of them occur in non-nasal sites, including skin, testis, and salivary glands. Patients with nasal or paranasal involvement are defined as nasal type. Non-nasal cases presented more adverse clinical features and poor survival outcome.5 At present, no standard treatment has been established due to the rarity of this disease. Although L-asparaginase-based chemotherapy regimens and radiotherapy have brought improvement in the treatment strategy of ENKTL, the prognosis of these patients is still unsatisfactory.1,6,7

The International Prognostic Index (IPI), including age, Ann Arbor stage, serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), performance status (PS), and number of extranodal sites, is a useful scoring model for predicting the prognosis of NHL.8 With the abandonment of anthracycline-based regimens and appearance of L-asparaginase-containing regimens, a new prognostic model, prognostic index for NK/T cell lymphoma (PINK), was established.9 The PINK score consists of four factors, including age, stage, distant lymph-node involvement, and non-nasal type. The prognostic significance of IPI and PINK in ENKTL patients have been verified in many studies.

In recent years, several studies have suggested that tumor microenvironment and host immune system played important roles in the pathogenesis and clinical outcome of human malignancies. Accumulating evidence suggested that the pre-treatment derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) was demonstrated to act as a significant prognostic factor in a variety of solid tumors, including non-small cell lung cancer, esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, breast cancer, and melanoma.10–14 Nevertheless, the role of dNLR in hematological malignancies was rarely reported.15

Lymphocytes play a crucial role in the tumor-related immune response. Elevated levels of absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) were demonstrated to be associated with favorable prognosis in several types of solid tumors, such as gastric cancer, bladder cancer and ovarian cancer.16–19 As a surrogate of host immunity impairment, ALC was reported to be a prognostic indicator in hematological malignancies, including multiple myeloma (MM), primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL), and anaplastic large cell lymphoma (ALCL).20–22 In addition, ALC was also incorporated into the International Prognostic Score (IPS) of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL).23,24

However, the significance of dNLR and ALC in the tumor progression and treatment response in patients with ENKTL is still unclear. In the present study, we evaluated the prognostic value of dNLR and ALC in newly diagnosed ENKTL patients.

Patients and methods

Study population

We conducted a retrospective study of a cohort of 33 patients with newly diagnosed ENKTL from February 2010 to June 2018 at Shandong Provincial Hospital affiliated to Shandong University. All diagnoses were based on the criteria of the WHO 2016 Classifications of the Tumors and Hematopoietic and Lymphoid Tissues.25 Inclusion criteria were histopathologically confirmed of ENKTL, and pre-treatment values of white blood cell (WBC) count, ALC, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), and other clinical data. This study was approved by the Medical Ethical Committee of Shandong Provincial Hospital affiliated to Shandong University. All data of the recruited patients were obtained with written informed consent in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

Data gathering

The pretreatment clinical-pathological data, such as age, gender, Ann-Arbor stage, B symptoms, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) score, serum LDH levels, bone marrow involvement, β2-microglobulin (β2-MG), blood EBV-DNA level, WBC, ANC, ALC, PINK score, and IPI score were collected.

Calculation of derived neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (dNLR)

The WBC and ANC were obtained at patient enrollment. The dNLR was calculated by a formula as [dNLR=ANC/(WBC-ANC)], which was previously verified to have predictive power in cancer patients.26

Treatment

The therapeutic strategies of the included patients consist of chemotherapy alone, radiotherapy alone and combined chemoradiotherapy. The chemotherapy regimens included P-CHOP (pegaspargase, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone), P-CHOPE (pegaspargase, CHOP, and etoposide), L-EPOCH (L-asparaginase, etoposide, prednisone, vincristine, cyclophosphamide, and doxorubicin), SMILE (dexamethasone, methotrexate, ifosfamide, pegaspargase, and etoposide), GELOX (gemcitabine, pegaspargase, and oxaliplatin) and P-GemOX (pegaspargase, gemcitabine, and oxaliplatin). Radiotherapy used was no more than 56 Gy (range, 42 to 56 Gy). Response to the treatment includes complete remission (CR) or partial remission (PR), no response to treatment includes stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD).

Statistic analysis

OS was defined as interval from the date of diagnosis to the date of last follow-up or death. Progression-free survival (PFS) was calculated as interval from the date of diagnosis to date of disease progression. The differences of the quantitative variables were compared by Mann–Whitney U test or Student's t-test. Fisher exact test was used for categorical variables. The optimal cutoff points of dNLR and ALC were determined by receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) and area under curve (AUC). Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test was used to calculate for significant differences. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Statistical analyses were performed by SPSS software for Windows ver. 20.0 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, USA). P-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Clinical characteristics of patients

A total of 33 patients with pathological diagnosis of ENKTL were included in this study, including 26 (78.8%) male patients and 7 (21.1%) female patients. The median age at diagnosis was 50 years (range, 13–75 years), and 6 (18.2%) of them were more than 60 years old. About 60.6% (n=20) of them presented B symptoms. The number of patients with stage I/II and III/IV were 13 (39.4%) and 20 (60.6%), respectively. The majority of them (78.8%, n=26) had good performance status (ECOG PS score 0/1). Nineteen (58%) of the included patients revealed elevated β2-MG level and 16 (48.5%) patients presented high IPI score (IPI ≥2). patients were treated with chemotherapy alone (51.5%, n=17), radiotherapy alone (33.3%, n=11) or combined chemoradiotherapy (15.2%, n=5). One patient received salvage allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Among them, 15 (45.5%) exhibited a response to the first-line therapy. The baseline clinical characteristics are described in Table 1.

Table 1

Correlation between dNLR and clinical characteristics of ENKTL patients

	Total (%)	dNLR		ALC
Mean ± SD	P-value	Mean ± SD	P-value
	33
Gender			0.129		0.602
Male	26 (78.8%)	2.658±1.804		1.264±0.616
Female	7 (21.2%)	1.570±0.584		1.109±0.690
Age (year)			0.588		0.664
<60	27 (81.8%)	2.503±1.787		1.208±0.602
≥60	6 (18.2%)	2.084±1.095		1.333±0.774
Ann Arbor Stage			0.047		0.188
I/II	13 (39.4%)	1.801±0.832		1.410±0.539
III/IV	20 (60.6%)	2.834±1.962		1.115±0.661
B symptoms			0.194		0.941
Absence	13 (39.4%)	2.018±0.807		1.221±0.523
Presence	20 (60.6%)	2.693±2.033		1.238±0.693
ECOG PS score			0.050		0.002
0 or 1	26 (78.8%)	1.942±0.925		1.381±0.550
≥2	7 (21.2%)	4.612±2.556		0.555±0.501
Serum LDH			0.026		0.01
Normal	18 (54.5%)	2.235±1.272		1.478±0.476
Increased<3×NL	9 (27.3%)	1.763±1.243		1.130±0.461
Increased≥3×NL	6 (18.3%)	3.999±2.474		0.642±0.854
Extranodal site			0.458		0.231
0 or 1	21 (63.6%)	2.233±1.285		1.331±0.584
≥2	12 (36.4%)	2.768±2.230		1.057±0.679
Distant lympho node			0.013		0.026
Not involved	13 (39.4%)	1.651±0.745		1.525±0.460
Involved	20 (60.6%)	2.932±1.919		1.040±0.652
BM involvement			0.715		0.085
Absence	31 (93.9%)	2.348±1.551		1.278±0.612
Presence	2 (6.1%)	3.648±3.824		0.495±0.318
β2-microglobulin			0.035		0.029
<2.8 mg/L	19 (58%)	1.825±0.775		1.451±0.429
≥2.8 mg/L	14 (42%)	3.245±2.198		0.933±0.734
Blood EBV DNA			0.126		0.011
<5,000 copies/mL	19 (57.6%)	1.991±0.942		1.462±0.527
≥5,000 copies/mL	14 (42.4%)	3.019±2.243		0.917±0.625
Treatment			0.879		0.504
RT alone	11 (33.3%)	2.418±1.877		1.394±0.522
CT alone	17 (51.5%)	2.533±1.786		1.109±0.678
Combined RT and CT	5 (15.2%)	2.087±0.849		1.286±0.678
Response			0.123		0.349
No response (SD, PD)	18 (54.5%)	2.819±2.075		1.141±0.752
Response (CR, PR)	15 (45.5%)	1.957±0.871		1.339±0.425
PINK score			0.236		0.125
0 or 1	17 (51.5%)	2.088±1.338		1.394±0.524
≥2	16 (48.5%)	2.788±1.953		1.058±0.690
IPI Score			0.044		0.024
0 or 1	17 (51.5%)	1.837±0.787		1.465±0.571
≥2	16 (48.5%)	3.055±2.126		0.923±0.597

Note: Bold signifies P<0.05.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; BM, bone marrow; EBV, Epstein–Barr virus; RT, radiotherapy; CT, chemotherapy; CR, complete remission; PR, partial remission; SD, stable disease; PD, progressive disease; PINK, prognostic index for NK/T cell lymphoma; IPI, international prognostic index; ULN, upper limit of normal.

The association between clinicopathologic variables and dNLR, ALC

We next assessed the association between clinicopathologic variables and dNLR as well as ALC in the included ENKTL patients. Among them, the median value of dNLR was 1.79 (range, 0.427–7.6). 39.4% (n=13) patients were diagnosed at stage I/II with the mean dNLR of 1.801±0.832, versus 60.6% (n=20) at stage III/IV with the mean dNLR of 2.834±1.962 (P=0.047). In addition, the dNLR levels were significantly higher in ENKTL patients with elevated serum LDH (P=0.026), distant lymph-node involvement (P=0.013), high β2-MG (P=0.035), and high IPI score (P=0.044, Table 1). Low ALC levels were significantly associated with high ECOG PS score (P=0.002), elevated serum LDH (P=0.01), distant lymph-node involvement (P=0.026), elevated β2-MG (P=0.029), high IPI score (P=0.024), and increased blood EBV DNA levels (P=0.011, Table 1).

Correlation between dNLR, ALC, and clinical outcomes

The ROC analysis was performed to determine the specificity and sensitivity of dNLR and ALC, respectively. The most discriminative cutoff value of dNLR was 3.6, with an AUC value of 0.714 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.524–0.904, P=0.043, Figure 1A). The most discriminative cutoff value of ALC was 0.8×109/L, with an AUC value of 0.738 (95% CI, 0.523–0.953, P=0.025, Figure 1B). Based on the above results, we selected dNLR of 3.6 and ALC of 0.8×109/L as the optimal cutoff points for survival analysis in the entire cohort.

Figure 1

ROC curves for dNLR (A) and ALC (B) at diagnosis.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; AUC, area under the curve; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.

Clinical indicators according to the dNLR and ALC at diagnosis are shown in Table 2. Patients with dNLR of ≥3.6 presented adverse pre-treatment factors, including higher ECOG PS score (P=0.004), elevated serum LDH level (P<0.001), increased β2-MG (P=0.008), and high IPI score (P=0.018, Table 2). In addition, patients with dNLR ≥3.6 showed worse response to treatment compared to those with dNLR <3.6 (P=0.049, Table 2). Patients with ALC of <0.8×109/L presented high ECOG PS score (P=0.009), elevated serum LDH level (P=0.001), increased β2-MG level (P=0.02), elevated blood EBV DNA level (P=0.019), and distant lymph-node involvement (P=0.047, Table 2). ENKTL patients with ALC <0.8×109/L revealed more inferior treatment response compared to those with ALC ≥0.8×109/L (P=0.021, Table 2).

Table 2

Association between clinical variables and dNLR, ALC

Variables	Total (n=33)	dNLR≥3.6(n=5)	dNLR<3.6(n=28)	P-value	ALC≥0.8×109/L(n=24)	ALC<0.8×109/Ln=9	P-value
Gender				0.559			0.358
Male	26	5 (100.0%)	21 (75.0%)		20 (83.3%)	6 (66.7%)
Female	7	0 (0.0%)	7 (25.0%)		4 (16.7%)	3 (33.3%)
Age (year)				1			1
<60	27	4 (80.0%)	23 (82.1%)		20 (83.3%)	7 (77.8%)
≥60	6	1 (20.0%)	5 (17.9%)		4 (16.7%)	2 (22.2%)
Ann Arbor Stage				0.131			0.263
I/II	13	0 (0.0%)	13 (46.4%)		11 (45.8%)	2 (22.2%)
III/IV	20	5 (100.0%)	15 (53.6%)		13 (54.2%)	7 (77.8%)
B symptoms				0.131			1
Absence	13	0 (0.0%)	13 (46.4%)		10 (41.7%)	3 (33.3%)
Presence	20	5 (100.0%)	15 (53.6%)		14 (58.3%)	6 (66.7%)
ECOG PS score				0.004			0.009
0 or 1	26	1 (20.0%)	25 (89.3%)		22 (91.7%)	4 (44.4%)
≥2	7	4 (80.0%)	3 (10.7%)		2 (8.3%)	5 (55.6%)
Serum LDH				<0.001			0.001
Normal	18	1 (20.0%)	17 (60.7%)		17 (70.8%)	1 (11.1%)
Increased<3×ULN	9	0 (0.0%)	9 (32.1%)		6 (25.0%)	3 (33.3%)
Increased≥3×ULN	6	4 (80.0%)	2 (7.2%)		1 (4.2%)	5 (55.6%)
Distant lympho node				0.131			0.047
Not involved	13	0 (0.0%)	13 (46.4%)		13 (54.2%)	1 (11.1%)
Involved	20	5 (100.0%)	15 (53.6%)		11 (45.8%)	8 (88.9%)
BM involvement				0.284			0.068
Absence	31	4 (80.0%)	27 (96.4%)		24 (100.0%)	7 (77.8%)
Presence	2	1 (20.0%)	1 (3.6%)		0 (0.0%)	2 (22.2%)
β2-microglobulin				0.008			0.02
<2.8 mg/L	19	0 (0.0%)	19 (67.9%)		18 (75.0%)	1 (11.1%)
≥2.8 mg/L	14	5 (100.0%)	9 (32.1%)		6 (25.0%)	8 (88.9%)
Blood EBV DNA				0.628			0.019
<5,000 copies/mL	19	2 (40.0%)	17 (60.7%)		17 (70.8%)	2 (22.2%)
≥5,000 copies/mL	14	3 (60.0%)	11 (39.3%)		7 (29.2%)	7 (77.8%)
Treatment				0.344			0.163
RT alone	11	1 (20.0%)	10 (35.7%)		10 (41.7%)	1 (11.1%)
CT alone	17	4 (80.0%)	13 (46.4%)		10 (41.7%)	7 (77.8%)
Combined RT and CT	5	0 (0.00%)	5 (17.9%)		4 (16.7)	1 (11.1%)
Response				0.049			0.021
No response (SD, PD)	18	5 (100.0%)	13 (46.4%)		10 (41.7%)	8 (88.9%)
Response (CR, PR)	15	0 (0.0%)	15 (53.6%)		14 (58.3%)	1 (11.1%)
PINK				0.175			0.269
0 or 1	17	1 (20.0%)	16 (57.1%)		14 (58.3%)	3 (33.3%)
≥2	16	4 (80.0%)	12 (42.9%)		10 (41.7%)	6 (66.7%)
IPI Score				0.018			0.057
0 or 1	17	0 (0.0%)	17 (60.7%)		15 (62.5%)	2 (22.2%)
≥2	16	5 (100.0%)	11 (39.3%)		9 (37.5%)	7 (77.8%)

Note: Bold signifies P<0.05.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; BM, bone marrow; EBV, epstein-barr virus; RT, radiotherapy; CT, chemotherapy; CR, complete remission; PR, partial remission; SD, stable disease; PD, progressive disease; PINK, prognostic index for NK/T cell lymphoma; IPI, international prognostic index; ULN, upper limit of normal.

Survival analysis of dNLR and ALC

Survival analysis revealed that ENKTL patients with high dNLR (≥3.6) revealed significantly shorter OS (P=0.001) and PFS (P=0.008) than those with low dNLR (<3.6, Figures 2A and 3A). Patients with an ALC of <0.8×109/L had worse OS (P<0.001) and PFS (P<0.001) than those with an ALC of ≥0.8×109/L (Figures 2B and 3B).

Figure 2

Kaplan–Meier curve of overall survival according to dNLR (A) and ALC (B) at diagnosis in patients with ENKTL.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; AUC, area under the curve; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma.

Figure 3

Kaplan–Meier curve of progression-free survival according to dNLR (A) and ALC (B) at diagnosis in patients with ENKTL.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; AUC, area under the curve; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma.

The prognostic value of dNLR was further evaluated in accordance with stage. In advanced stage (stage III/IV) ENKTL patients, dNLR ≥3.6 signified shorter survival for both OS (P=0.048) and PFS (P=0.026, Figure 4A and B), while in early stage (stage I/II) patients, dNLR ≥3.6 presented no significant difference in the OS and PFS of patients. We further analyzed the effect of ALC on the survival of ENKTL patients according to stage. Advanced stage (stage III/IV) patients with ALC <0.8×109/L exhibited significantly shorter OS (P=0.002) and PFS (P=0.001, Figure 4C and D). Nevertheless, no significant difference of survival time (OS, PFS) was found between low ALC group (ALC <0.8×109/L) and high ALC group (ALC ≥0.8×109/L) in ENKTL patients with early stage (stage I/II).

Figure 4

Kaplan–Meier curve of overall survival and progression-free survival according to dNLR (A and B) and ALC (C and D) at diagnosis in ENKTL patients with stage III/IV disease.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; AUC, area under the curve; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma.

Analysis of prognostic indicators

We next explored the correlation between clinical characteristics and survival of ENKTL patients using univariate and multivariate analyses. Univariate Cox proportional analysis revealed that high ECOG PS score (≥2; HR, 4.865; 95%CI, 1.477–16.030; P=0.009), elevated β2-MG (≥2.8 mg/L; HR, 4.795; 95%CI, 1.223–18.809; P=0.025), high IPI score (≥2; HR, 6.332; 95%CI, 1.379–29.074; P=0.018), low ALC (<0.8×109/L; HR, 11.251; 95%CI, 2.946–42.968; P=0.0004) and elevated dNLR (>3.6; HR, 5.938; 95%CI, 1.790–19.704; P=0.004) were correlated with worse OS of ENKTL patients (Table 3). Next, we put the stage, ECOG PS score, serum LDH, distant lymph-node involvement, β2-MG, IPI score, ALC, and dNLR into the multivariate Cox model. In multivariate analysis, we identified that ALC <0.8×109/L (HR, 36.023; 95%CI, 2.438–532.243; P=0.009) at diagnosis was an independent prognostic factor for the OS of ENKTL patients (Table 3). However, the dNLR value at diagnosis was not of significance in multivariate analysis.

Table 3

Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis of overall survival in patients with ENKTL

Prognostic factors	Overall survival
	Univariate analysis		Multivariate analysis
HR (95% CI)	P-value	HR (95% CI)	P-value
Male sex	0.342 (0.095–1.227)	0.1	n.d.	n.d.
Age≥60 years	0.463 (0.059–3.659)	0.465	n.d.	n.d.
Stage III/IV	7.378 (0.949–57.353)	0.056	9.202 (0.567–149.365)	0.119
B symptoms	1.285 (0.381–4.328)	0.686	n.d.	n.d.
ECOG PS score ≥2	4.865 (1.477–16.030)	0.009	2.520 (0.183–34.801)	0.490
Serum LDH > normal	3.373 (0.979–11.614)	0.054	1.674 (0.329–8.510)	0.535
Distant lympho node involved	3.237 (0.705–14.857)	0.131	n.d.	n.d.
BM involvement	3.267 (0.691–15.454)	0.135	n.d.	n.d.
β2-MG ≥2.8mg/L	4.795 (1.223–18.809)	0.025	0.556 (0.030–10.246)	0.693
Blood EBV DNA ≥5,000 copies/mL	2.714 (0.814–9.054)	0.104	n.d.	n.d.
No response to treatment	61.243 (0.573–6,543.069)	0.084	n.d.	n.d.
PINK score ≥2	2.356 (0.704–7.891)	0.165	n.d.	n.d.
IPI Score ≥2	6.332 (1.379–29.074)	0.018	1.358 (0.142–12.955)	0.790
ALC<0.8×109/L	11.251 (2.946–42.968)	0.0004	36.023 (2.438–532.243)	0.009
dNLR ≥3.6	5.938 (1.790–19.704)	0.004	0.103 (0.05–2.098)	0.140

Note: Bold signifies P<0.05.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; BM, bone marrow; β2-MG, β2-microglobulin; EBV, Epstein–Barr virus; PINK, prognostic index for NK/T cell lymphoma; IPI, international Prognostic Index; ULN, upper limit of normal. n.d.: not done in multivariate analysis.

In terms of PFS, univariable analysis identified several potential prognostic factors affecting PFS, including elevated serum LDH level (HR, 3.733; 95%CI, 1.111–12.541; P=0.033), ALC <0.8×109/L (HR, 7.392; 95%CI, 2.213–24.693; P=0.001), and dNLR ≥3.6 (HR, 4.199; 95%CI, 1.326–13.297; P=0.015). In multivariate Cox analysis, it was also found that ALC <0.8×109/L at diagnosis cloud independently predicts worse PFS in patients with ENKTL (HR, 7.698; 95%CI, 1.573–37.679; P=0.012; Table 4).

Table 4

Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis of progression-free survival in patients with ENKTL

Prognostic Factors	Progression-free survival
	Univariate analysis		Multivariate analysis
HR (95% CI)	P-value	HR (95% CI)	P-value
Male sex	0.371 (0.107–1.281)	0.117	n.d.	n.d.
Age≥60 years	1.664 (0.439–6.312)	0.454	n.d.	n.d.
Stage III/IV	1.807 (0.486–6.727)	0.378	n.d.	n.d.
B symptoms	1.351 (0.402–4.539)	0.626	n.d.	n.d.
ECOG PS score ≥2	2.568 (0.809–8.147)	0.109	n.d.	n.d.
Serum LDH > normal	3.733 (1.111–12.541)	0.033	2.063 (0.534–7.968)	0.294
Distant lympho node Involved	4.412 (0.963–20.206)	0.056	n.d.	n.d.
BM involvement	2.799 (0.598–13.098)	0.191	n.d.	n.d.
β2-MG ≥2.8 mg/L	3.350 (0.972–11.541)	0.055	n.d.	n.d.
Blood EBV DNA≥5,000 copies/mL	3.588 (0.968–13.295)	0.056	n.d.	n.d.
No response to treatment	68.634 (0.655–7,191.306)	0.075	n.d.	n.d.
PINK score ≥2	1.405 (0.442–4.471)	0.564	n.d.	n.d.
IPI Score ≥2	3.426 (0.923–12.717)	0.066	n.d.	n.d.
ALC <0.8×109/L	7.392 (2.213–24.693)	0.001	7.698 (1.573–37.679)	0.012
dNLR ≥3.6	4.199 (1.326–13.297)	0.015	0.615 (0.131–2.894)	0.539

Note: Bold signifies P<0.05.

Abbreviations: ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; dNLR, derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; ENKTL, extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; BM, bone marrow; β2-MG, β2-microglobulin; EBV, epstein-barr virus; PINK, prognostic index for NK/T cell lymphoma; IPI, international prognostic index; ULN, upper limit of normal. n.d.: not done in multivariate analysis.

Discussion

The host immune system, inflammation, and tumor microenvironment have been recognized to contribute to the development and progression of human malignancies.27 Lymphocyte count is a marker of host immune and lymphopenia is considered as a suggestion of immunocompetence.28 As a surrogate marker of host immunity, ALC has a potent effect in anti-tumor immunity, and is related to the treatment response of several hematological neoplasms. It was reported that ALC higher than 350 cells/μL measured on the 33rd day of induction therapy was associated with better OS and event-free survival (EFS) in acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL).29 Moreover, the day 100 ALC/AMC ratio could independently predict the outcomes in children, adolescents, and young adults with refractory/relapsed (R/R) HL who underwent autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT).24 Kim et al illustrated that an early recovery of ALC (>0.4×109/L at 15 days) after frontline ASCT can be regarded as a good prognostic marker in patients diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).30 In this study, we identified that ENKTL patients with low ALC (<0.8×109/L) revealed inferior response to treatment and shorter survival time compared to those with higher ALC (≥0.8×109/L).

Previous studies mainly focused on the involvement and prognostic value of non-immune factors in ENKTL, such as EBV DNA.31 More recently, several studies investigated the prognostic value of ALC in T-cell NHL. Peripheral T-cell lymphomas – not otherwise specified (PTCL-NOS) patients with lower ALC/AMC ratios showed shorter survival than patients with high ALC/AMC ratios.32 Our study retrospectively evaluated the prognostic significance of ALC in 33 newly diagnosed ENKTL patients. Through univariate analysis as well as multivariate analysis, we identified that low ALC is a poor independent prognostic factor for clinical outcome. Consistent with previous studies, the decreasing ALC, a circulating immune cell which was considered as an indicator of immune suppression, was considered as an unfavorable prognostic marker for ENKTL.33

The peripheral pro-inflammatory parameters, such as neutrophils, albumin, LDH, and C-reactive protein (CRP), have been reported to be associated with poor outcomes in patients with tumors.34 As an indicator of systemic inflammation, the dNLR was validated to act as an independent prognostic factor in cancer.26 The dNLR has been proposed as an alternative to NLR because of its convenience in cases with only WBC and ANC recorded.26 It was demonstrated that high dNLR was associated with poor survival outcome in a variety of tumor types, including melanoma, pancreatic cancer, bladder cancer, and renal cancer.35–39 As it is inexpensive and easy to calculate, dNLR could be routinely detected in the clinical practice. Recently, several studies focused on the prognostic value of dNLR in patients receiving immuno-modulating therapy. In melanoma, dNLR of ≥3 exhibited an independent negative effect on the OS of ipilimumab-treated melanoma patients (n=720).35 In addition, the pretreatment dNLR level in NSCLC was correlated with poor clinical outcome for checkpoint inhibitor therapy.10 In hematological malignancies, Troppan et al reported that dNLR ≥1.8 was a significant factor for 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) in DLBCL patients treated with standard rituximab and CHOP (R-CHOP) regimen.15 Elevated NLR (≥2.95) was related to inferior OS in MM patients receiving induction therapy with bortezomib-based regimens.40 Our present study demonstrated that ENKTL patients who received first-line therapy with high dNLR (≥3.6) presented lower response (CR or PR) rate when compared to patients with lower dNLR.

The prognostic effects of dNLR in hematological malignancies have been recently reported. Elevated dNLR level was an independent poor prognostic factor for transplantation-ineligible MM patients with MM.41 Independent significant association between dNLR and poor OS as well as DFS was identified in DLBCL.15 However, the prognostic significance of dNLR in ENKTL has not been reported. By multivariate analysis, we found that dNLR levels were associated with poor OS and PFS in ENKTL patients. Nevertheless, no significant effect was found in dNLR in multivariable analysis, which might be related to the small number of included cases and relatively short time of follow-up.

However, there are still several limitations to this study. This is a retrospective study in a single center. Prospective randomized studies are warranted to verify the significance of these indexes for patients after first-line therapy. Moreover, due to the rarity of ENKTL, the number of patients included in this study is limited. Further investigations with larger population cohorts and longer median follow-up are needed to validate the prognostic value of dNLR, ALC in ENKTL patients.

Conclusion

In conclusion, our finding demonstrated that elevated dNLR (≥3.6) was associated with short survival time and inferior therapeutic response in ENKTL, which may act as a potential prognostic factor in patients with ENKTL. Low ALC (<0.8×109/L) at diagnosis of ENKTL represented an independent poor prognostic factor for clinical outcome. The dNLR and ALC may serve as a novel, convenient, inexpensive and independent prognostic factors for patients with untreated ENKTL.