| Literature DB >> 31174497 |
Jeffrey S Hoch1, Annette Hay2, Wanrudee Isaranuwatchai2, Kednapa Thavorn2, Natasha B Leighl2, Dongsheng Tu2, Logan Trenaman2, Carolyn S Dewa2, Chris O'Callaghan2, Joseph Pater2, Derek Jonker2, Bingshu E Chen2, Nicole Mittmann2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Economic evaluations commonly accompany trials of new treatments or interventions; however, regression methods and their corresponding advantages for the analysis of cost-effectiveness data are not widely appreciated.Entities:
Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; Economic evaluation; Net benefit regression
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31174497 PMCID: PMC6555934 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-019-5779-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Simple linear regression estimates producing estimates of incremental values (i.e., Δ’s)
| Regression | Simple Linear Regression Estimates of Incremental Net Benefit ( | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effect | Cost | NB($0) | NB($50 k) | NB($100 k) | NB($200 k) | NB($300 k) | NB($400 k) | NB($500 k) | |
KRAS-MUT ( | −0.0172 (0.4158) | 13,787 (< 0.001) | − 13,787 (< 0.0001) | − 14,650 (< 0.0001) | −15,514 (0.0007) | −17,240 (0.0573) | −18,966 (0.1664) | −20,692 (0.2601) | −22,418 (0.3308) |
KRAS-WT ( | 0.1769 (< 0.001) | 30,843 (< 0.001) | −30,843 (< 0.0001) | −21,999 (< 0.0001) | − 13,154 (0.0013) | 4536 (0.5734) | 22,226 (0.0715) | 39,916 (0.0167) | 57,606 (0.0062) |
ALL ( | 0.0771 (0.0011) | 22,210 (< 0.001) | −22,210 (< 0.0001) | −18,358 (< 0.0001) | −14,507 (< 0.0001) | −6805 (0.1789) | 898 (0.9080) | 8600 (0.4129) | 16,303 (0.2186) |
Note: The p-value is reported in parenthesis below the coefficient estimate. This two-sided p-value is converted to a 1-sided p-value [20] to make the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC) in Figure 2
Fig. 2Probability that new treatment is cost-effective for KRAS-WT (upper solid line), all patients (middle dashed line) and KRAS-MUT (lower hashed line) by Willingness to Pay threshold values
Multiple linear regression with Willingness to Pay (WTP) ranging from $0 to $500,000
| Regression | Multiple Linear Regression Estimates of Incremental Net Benefit [SE] (p-value) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NB($0) | NB($50 k) | NB($100 k) | NB($200 k) | NB($300 k) | NB($400 k) | NB($500 k) | |
| cetuximab TX indicator | −14,185 [2409] (< 0.0001) | −14,042 [2667] (< 0.0001) | − 13,899 [4403] (0.0017) | − 13,612 [8766] (0.1214) | − 13,326 [13,348] (0.3188) | − 13,040 [17,982] (0.4688) | −12,754 [22,637] (0.5735) |
| KRAS-WT | 1210 [2289] (0.5975) | 2458 [2534] (0.3327) | 3707 [4184] (0.3763) | 6204 [8329] (0.4569) | 8701 [12,683] (0.4932) | 11,198 [17,086] (0.5127) | 13,695 [21,509] (0.5248) |
| cetuximab TX × KRAS-WT | − 16,238 [3165] (< 0.0001) | − 8488 [3505] (0.0160) | −738 [5787] (0.8986) | 14,762 [11,520] (0.2009) | 30,262 [17,541] (0.0854) | 45,762 [23,631] (0.0536) | 61,262 [29,747] (0.0402) |
| Overall INB estimate of cetuximab for KRAS-WT patients, $ | −30,422 | −22,530 | − 14,637 | 1149 | 16,935 | 32,721 | 48,507 |
Note: The reported regression coefficients were estimated while adjusting for Age, Sex, ECOG performance status, Site of primary cancer (e.g., colon only, rectum only or colon and rectum), Any previous radiotherapy, Previous chemotherapy variables (e.g., Adjuvant therapy, Number of regimens, Irinotecan, Oxaliplatin, Thymidylate synthase inhibitor), Site of disease, Number of sites of disease. The p-value is reported in parenthesis below the standard error in brackets
Fig. 1Incremental net benefit estimate for all patients (upper graph, dashed line), KRAS-WT (middle graph, solid line), and KRAS-MUT (lower graph, hashed line) and 95% confidence intervals (dashed lines)