José Morales-Roselló1,2, Silvia Buongiorno3, Gabriela Loscalzo3, Cristina Abad García3, Antonio José Cañada Martínez4, Alfredo Perales Marín3,5. 1. Servicio de Obstetricia, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe, Valencia, Spain, jose.morales@uv.es. 2. Department of Pediatrics, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain, jose.morales@uv.es. 3. Servicio de Obstetricia, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe, Valencia, Spain. 4. Unidad de Bioestadística, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria La Fe, Valencia, Spain. 5. Department of Pediatrics, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the addition of the mean uterine arteries pulsatility index (mUtA PI) to the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) improves its ability to predict adverse perinatal outcome (APO) at the end of pregnancy. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 891 fetuses that underwent an ultrasound examination at 34-41 weeks. The CPR and the mUtA PI were converted into multiples of the median (MoM) and the estimated fetal weight (EFW) into centiles according to local references. APO was defined as a composite of abnormal cardiotocogram, intrapartum pH requiring cesarean section, 5' Apgar score <7, neonatal pH <7.10 and admission to pediatric care units. The accuracies of the different parameters were evaluated alone and in combination with gestational characteristics using univariate and multivariate analyses by means of the Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, a comparison was similarly performed between the CPR and the cerebro-placental-uterine ratio (CPUR; CPR/mUtA PI) for the prediction of APO. RESULTS: The univariate analysis showed that CPR MoM was the best parameter predicting APO (AIC 615.71, AUC 0.675). The multivariate analysis including clinical data showed that the best prediction was also achieved with the CPR MoM (AIC 599.39, AUC 0.718). Moreover, when EFW centiles were considered, the addition of UtA PI MoM did not improve the prediction already obtained with CPR MoM (AIC 591.36, AUC 0.729 vs. AIC 589.86, AUC 0.731). Finally, the prediction by means of CPUR did not improve that of CPR alone (AIC 623.38, AUC 0.674 vs. AIC 623.27, AUC 0.66). CONCLUSION: The best prediction of APO at the end of pregnancy is obtained with CPR whatever is the combination of parameters. The addition of uterine Doppler to the information yielded by CPR does not result in any prediction improvement.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the addition of the mean uterine arteries pulsatility index (mUtA PI) to the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) improves its ability to predict adverse perinatal outcome (APO) at the end of pregnancy. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 891 fetuses that underwent an ultrasound examination at 34-41 weeks. The CPR and the mUtA PI were converted into multiples of the median (MoM) and the estimated fetal weight (EFW) into centiles according to local references. APO was defined as a composite of abnormal cardiotocogram, intrapartum pH requiring cesarean section, 5' Apgar score <7, neonatal pH <7.10 and admission to pediatric care units. The accuracies of the different parameters were evaluated alone and in combination with gestational characteristics using univariate and multivariate analyses by means of the Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, a comparison was similarly performed between the CPR and the cerebro-placental-uterine ratio (CPUR; CPR/mUtA PI) for the prediction of APO. RESULTS: The univariate analysis showed that CPR MoM was the best parameter predicting APO (AIC 615.71, AUC 0.675). The multivariate analysis including clinical data showed that the best prediction was also achieved with the CPR MoM (AIC 599.39, AUC 0.718). Moreover, when EFW centiles were considered, the addition of UtA PI MoM did not improve the prediction already obtained with CPR MoM (AIC 591.36, AUC 0.729 vs. AIC 589.86, AUC 0.731). Finally, the prediction by means of CPUR did not improve that of CPR alone (AIC 623.38, AUC 0.674 vs. AIC 623.27, AUC 0.66). CONCLUSION: The best prediction of APO at the end of pregnancy is obtained with CPR whatever is the combination of parameters. The addition of uterine Doppler to the information yielded by CPR does not result in any prediction improvement.