Literature DB >> 31085635

The wisdom of partisan crowds.

Joshua Becker1,2,3, Ethan Porter4, Damon Centola5,6.   

Abstract

Theories in favor of deliberative democracy are based on the premise that social information processing can improve group beliefs. While research on the "wisdom of crowds" has found that information exchange can increase belief accuracy on noncontroversial factual matters, theories of political polarization imply that groups will become more extreme-and less accurate-when beliefs are motivated by partisan political bias. A primary concern is that partisan biases are associated not only with more extreme beliefs, but also with a diminished response to social information. While bipartisan networks containing both Democrats and Republicans are expected to promote accurate belief formation, politically homogeneous networks are expected to amplify partisan bias and reduce belief accuracy. To test whether the wisdom of crowds is robust to partisan bias, we conducted two web-based experiments in which individuals answered factual questions known to elicit partisan bias before and after observing the estimates of peers in a politically homogeneous social network. In contrast to polarization theories, we found that social information exchange in homogeneous networks not only increased accuracy but also reduced polarization. Our results help generalize collective intelligence research to political domains.

Entities:  

Keywords:  collective intelligence; deliberative democracy; networks; polarization; the wisdom of crowds

Year:  2019        PMID: 31085635      PMCID: PMC6561169          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1817195116

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  12 in total

Review 1.  The case for motivated reasoning.

Authors:  Z Kunda
Journal:  Psychol Bull       Date:  1990-11       Impact factor: 17.737

2.  How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect.

Authors:  Jan Lorenz; Heiko Rauhut; Frank Schweitzer; Dirk Helbing
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2011-05-16       Impact factor: 11.205

3.  The wisdom of partisan crowds.

Authors:  Joshua Becker; Ethan Porter; Damon Centola
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2019-05-13       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  Network dynamics of social influence in the wisdom of crowds.

Authors:  Joshua Becker; Devon Brackbill; Damon Centola
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-06-12       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  Generalizability of heterogeneous treatment effect estimates across samples.

Authors:  Alexander Coppock; Thomas J Leeper; Kevin J Mullinix
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-11-16       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Social learning and partisan bias in the interpretation of climate trends.

Authors:  Douglas Guilbeault; Joshua Becker; Damon Centola
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-09-04       Impact factor: 11.205

7.  Counteracting estimation bias and social influence to improve the wisdom of crowds.

Authors:  Albert B Kao; Andrew M Berdahl; Andrew T Hartnett; Matthew J Lutz; Joseph B Bak-Coleman; Christos C Ioannou; Xingli Giam; Iain D Couzin
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2018-04       Impact factor: 4.118

8.  The wisdom of polarized crowds.

Authors:  Feng Shi; Misha Teplitskiy; Eamon Duede; James A Evans
Journal:  Nat Hum Behav       Date:  2019-03-04

9.  Collective intelligence meets medical decision-making: the collective outperforms the best radiologist.

Authors:  Max Wolf; Jens Krause; Patricia A Carney; Andy Bogart; Ralf H J M Kurvers
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2015-08-12       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  How social information can improve estimation accuracy in human groups.

Authors:  Bertrand Jayles; Hye-Rin Kim; Ramón Escobedo; Stéphane Cezera; Adrien Blanchet; Tatsuya Kameda; Clément Sire; Guy Theraulaz
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-11-08       Impact factor: 11.205

View more
  10 in total

1.  The wisdom of partisan crowds.

Authors:  Joshua Becker; Ethan Porter; Damon Centola
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2019-05-13       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Mean-field theory of social laser.

Authors:  Alexander P Alodjants; A Yu Bazhenov; A Yu Khrennikov; A V Bukhanovsky
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2022-05-20       Impact factor: 4.996

3.  Online polarization and cross-fertilization in multi-cleavage societies: the case of Spain.

Authors:  Rubén Rodríguez Casañ; Enrique García-Vidal; Didier Grimaldi; Carlos Carrasco-Farré; Francisco Vaquer-Estalrich; Joan Vila-Francés
Journal:  Soc Netw Anal Min       Date:  2022-07-13

4.  The effects of recursive communication dynamics on belief updating.

Authors:  Niccolò Pescetelli; Nick Yeung
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2020-07-22       Impact factor: 5.349

5.  Web of lies: a tool for determining the limits of verification in preventing the spread of false information on networks.

Authors:  Kinga Makovi; Manuel Muñoz-Herrera
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2021-02-15       Impact factor: 4.379

6.  The potential for effective reasoning guides children's preference for small group discussion over crowdsourcing.

Authors:  Emory Richardson; Frank C Keil
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2022-01-24       Impact factor: 4.379

7.  Empirica: a virtual lab for high-throughput macro-level experiments.

Authors:  Abdullah Almaatouq; Joshua Becker; James P Houghton; Nicolas Paton; Duncan J Watts; Mark E Whiting
Journal:  Behav Res Methods       Date:  2021-03-29

8.  The reduction of race and gender bias in clinical treatment recommendations using clinician peer networks in an experimental setting.

Authors:  Damon Centola; Douglas Guilbeault; Urmimala Sarkar; Elaine Khoong; Jingwen Zhang
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2021-11-15       Impact factor: 14.919

9.  Scaling up fact-checking using the wisdom of crowds.

Authors:  Jennifer Allen; Antonio A Arechar; Gordon Pennycook; David G Rand
Journal:  Sci Adv       Date:  2021-09-01       Impact factor: 14.136

10.  The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd.

Authors:  Abdullah Almaatouq; M Amin Rahimian; Jason W Burton; Abdulla Alhajri
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2022-10-03       Impact factor: 4.996

  10 in total

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