| Literature DB >> 31054417 |
Mathieu Pruvot1, Kongsy Khammavong2, Phonesavanh Milavong2, Chanfong Philavong3, Daniel Reinharz4, Mayfong Mayxay5, Sayapeth Rattanavong6, Paul Horwood7, Philippe Dussart8, Bounlom Douangngeun9, Watthana Theppangna9, Amanda E Fine10, Sarah H Olson10, Matthew Robinson5, Paul Newton5.
Abstract
Trade of bushmeat and other wildlife for human consumption presents a unique set of challenges to policy-makers who are confronted with multiple trade-offs between conservation, food security, food safety, culture and tradition. In the face of these complex issues, risk assessments supported by quantitative information would facilitate evidence-based decision making. We propose a conceptual model for disease transmission risk analysis, inclusive of these multiple other facets. To quantify several processes included in this conceptual model we conducted questionnaire surveys with wildlife consumers and vendors in semi-urban centers in Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR, Laos) and direct observations of consumer behaviors. Direct observation of market stalls indicated an estimated average of 10 kg bushmeat biomass per stall per hour. The socio-demographic data suggested that consumption of bushmeat in urban areas was not for subsistence but rather driven by dietary preference and tradition. Consumer behavioral observations indicated that each animal receives an average of 7 contacts per hour. We provide other key parameters to estimate the risk of disease transmission from bushmeat consumption and illustrate their use in assessing the total public health and socio-economic impact of bushmeat consumption. Pursuing integrative approaches to the study of bushmeat consumption is essential to develop effective and balanced policies that support conservation, public health, and rural development goals.Entities:
Keywords: Bushmeat consumption; Food security; One Health; Risk analysis; Wildlife conservation; Zoonotic diseases
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31054417 PMCID: PMC7112076 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.266
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Total Environ ISSN: 0048-9697 Impact factor: 7.963
Fig. 1Conceptual model for a multi-disciplinary quantitative risk analysis of zoonotic disease transmission from the bushmeat trade in Laos. The model shows the processes related to four components: wildlife (blue), humans (orange), behaviors (green), and pathogens (red). These components interact to produce key processes such as the distribution chain driving the flow of wildlife in and out of the market, the interactions of wildlife vendors and consumers with bushmeat driving their potential exposure to zoonotic pathogens, and the pathogen characteristics driving the prevalence, persistence and eventually the dose-response leading to infection.
Examples of processes and factors influencing the risk of multiple hazards related to bushmeat trade and consumption, and corresponding variables documented in this study.
| Hazard | Influencing processes/factors | Variables documented in this study (model component |
|---|---|---|
| Wildlife depletion and species extinction | Level of wildlife offtake | |
| Abundance of wildlife | ||
| Population dynamic | ||
| Law enforcement | Attitude of vendors toward law enforcement (B) | |
| Bushmeat species composition | Species preference (B) | |
| Demand for bushmeat products | Frequency and quantity of consumption per consumer (B) | |
| Food insecurity | Nutritional needs | Frequency and quantity of consumption per consumer (B) |
| Availability and acceptability of alternative sources of nutrients | Demographic characteristics of consumers (H) | |
| Loss of livelihood | Profitability | Frequency and quantity of bushmeat purchases (B) |
| Dependency on activity for livelihood | Demographic characteristics of vendors (H) | |
| Availability and acceptability of alternative sources of livelihood | Demographic characteristics of vendors (H) | |
| Loss of cultural identity | Demographic characteristics | Demographic characteristics of vendors and consumers (H) |
| Perception | Perception of conservation, legal, and disease risks (H) | |
| Motivations for wildlife hunting/trade/consumption | Motivations for wildlife consumption (B) | |
| Pathogen transmission | Pathogen characteristics (host species, prevalence, persistence, infectivity, virulence) | Bushmeat species preference (B) |
| Decay of pathogen along distribution chain and food preparation | Distribution chain steps and time between steps (W) | |
| Types and intensity of contacts between humans and wildlife | Contact rate (B) | |
| Wildlife disease risk perception | Knowledge and Risk perception for wildlife diseases (B) |
Model component: W = Wildlife; H = Human; B = Behavior; P = Pathogen.
Demographic characteristics of wildlife consumers interviewed in urban centers in Laos.
| Sex (Female) | Nationality (Lao) | Ethnicity (Lao Loum among Lao nationality) | Age (Year) | Distance from market to main residence (km) | Education (years) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sample size (n=) | 182 | 182 | 149 | 182 | 182 | 182 |
| Mean/proportion | 40% | 81% | 89% | 43.6 | 86 | 9.3 |
| Median | – | – | – | 42 | 19 | 9 |
| Minimum | – | – | – | 19 | 0.05 | 0 |
| Maximum | – | – | – | 91 | 800 | 19 |
| Standard deviation | – | – | – | 14.5 | 146 | 5.0 |
| 95% confidence interval | 33–48% | 75–87% | 82–93% | 41.5–45.7 | 64–108 | 8.5–10.1 |
Parameters estimates for key components of a quantitative risk analysis integrating public health, conservation, and nutrition considerations for the Lao bushmeat trade.
| Parameter | Description | Data source | Distribution type | Distribution parameters [95% confidence interval] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proportion of traded animals sold alive | Vendor survey | Beta | alpha = 2.66 [1.85–4.57] | |
| Yearly frequency of consumption | Consumer survey | Negative binomial | size = 0.47 [0.39–0.59] | |
| Proportion consumers only purchasing dead animals (vs. a combination of dead and live animals) | Consumer survey | Binomial | ||
| Number of consumers per stall in 20 min period | Direct observations | Negative binomial | mu = 2.04 [1.67–2.43] | |
| Number of animals per purchase for small-sized rodents | Direct observations | Poisson | lambda = 2.28 [1.97–2.59] | |
| Amount of meat per purchase for all species (in kg) | Direct observations | Log Normal | mean = 0.75 [0.63–0.90] | |
| Capture-to-market time for live animals (in days) | Vendor survey | Gamma | shape = 5.00 [4.78–5.23] | |
| Time-on-market for live animals (in days) | Vendor survey | Weibull | shape = 1.77 [1.76–1.79] | |
| Proportion of vendors keeping live animals at home if unsold the first day | Vendor survey | Binomial | ||
| Fate of live animals if unsold on first day: fed and returned to market (p1), killed and consumed (p2), or processed and sold at reduced price (p3) | Vendor survey | Multinomial | p1 = 54.3% [40–72.6] | |
| Hunting-to-market time for dead animals (in days) | Vendor survey | Gamma | shape = 15.1 [14.4–15.8] | |
| Time-on-market for dead animals (in days) | Vendor survey | Gamma | shape = 3.03 [2.92–3.18] | |
| Fate of unsold dead animals: eaten by vendor (p1), smoked (p2), sold discounted (p3) | Vendor survey | Multinomial | p1 = 54.3% [40.0–72.5] | |
| Proportion of consumers reporting eating bushmeat raw | Consumer survey | Binomial | ||
| Meat cooking preferences: raw (p1), medium (p2), well done (p3). | Consumer survey | Multinomial | p1 = 4.1% [1.2–8.2] | |
| Count of contacts per animal of different species groups in 20 min periods | Direct observations | Negative binomial | See Supplementary document 2, Table S2 | |
| Proportion of wildlife vendor interrupting wildlife sales after being controlled by enforcement authorities | Vendor survey | Binomial | ||
| Duration of trade activity interruption after control by enforcement authorities (in days) | Vendor survey | Weibull | shape = 0.73 [0.50–0.97] |
Exact 95% confidence were estimated for binomial and multinomial distributions; bootstrap 95% confidence intervals were used for all other distributions.
Fig. 2Patterns of bushmeat purchase in Laos by A) reported preference of wildlife consumers for a species (proportion of respondents citing each species as preferred), B) direct market observation of the number of consumers per species, C) direct market observation of the total number of individuals purchased, and D) direct market observation of total weight of biomass purchased. Clarification on species designation provided in supplementary document 3.
Total mass and quantity of wildlife sold during direct observations (51.5 stall hours), and estimated yearly trade by species for a typical market in Laos (clarification on species designation provided in supplementary document 3).
| Species | Total mass (kg) | Total quantity (equivalent individuals) | Yearly estimate for an average market (kg) | Yearly estimate for an average market (individuals) | Total yearly retail value for an average market (in USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamboo rat | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1276 | 638 | 8998 |
| Brush-tailed porcupine | 16.6 | 4.5 | 2353 | 636 | 21,064 |
| Bulbul | 5.0 | 171.0 | 714 | 24,239 | 40,902 |
| Chinese water dragon | 7.0 | 7.0 | 992 | 992 | n.a. |
| Common palm civet | 24.5 | 7.0 | 3473 | 992 | 18,412 |
| Indian giant flying squirrel | 3.6 | 2.0 | 510 | 283 | 7663 |
| Indochinese ground squirrel | 4.5 | 20.0 | 638 | 2835 | 8760 |
| Leopard cat | 4.0 | 1.0 | 567 | 142 | 1150 |
| Malayan porcupine | 6.0 | 4.0 | 850 | 567 | 7726 |
| Martin | 0.3 | 6.0 | 35 | 850 | 254 |
| Monitor lizard | 160.0 | 32.0 | 22,680 | 4536 | 166,290 |
| Muntjac | 94.7 | 4.0 | 13,423 | 559 | 6681 |
| Pallas's squirrel | 5.8 | 15.0 | 819 | 2126 | 6920 |
| Reticulated python | 2.0 | 0.5 | 283 | 71 | 1321 |
| Small flying squirrel | 25.1 | 114.0 | 3564 | 16,159 | 54,010 |
| Unspecified civet | 10.0 | 3.3 | 1417 | 472 | 6899 |
| Unspecified insectivorous bat | 0.4 | 82.0 | 58 | 11,623 | 8875 |
| Unspecified monkey | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 142 | 2726 |
| Unspecified rat | 6.0 | 30.0 | 850 | 4252 | 6571 |
| Unspecified squirrel | 26.2 | 90.0 | 3707 | 12,757 | 30,474 |
| Unspecified wild bird | 8.8 | 272.0 | 1246 | 38,555 | 128,168 |
| Wild boar | 67.0 | 0.6 | 9497 | 87 | 1371 |
| Yellow-headed temple turtle | 15.4 | 2.0 | 2183 | 283 | 13,075 |
| TOTAL | 502 | 71,137 | 548,310 |
Clarification on species designation provided in supplementary document 3.
Fig. 3Average contact rate of people with bushmeat estimated from direct observations in Lao markets A) by species, and B) by species and consumer sex. Species with less than five observation periods are indicated with grey or transparent shades. The sex-disaggregated panel indicates the number of contacts made by male subjects (blue) and by female subjects (red). Clarification on species designation provided in supplementary document 3.
Fig. 4Disease ranked by frequency of citation by bushmeat consumers in Laos when asked A) generally about disease transmitted from wildlife to humans, and B) specifically about disease transmitted from wildlife in the market they were visiting.