| Literature DB >> 31011036 |
James P Curtain1, Man Yu2, Allan B Clark3, Nicholas D Gollop4, Joao H Bettencourt-Silva5,6,7, Anthony Kneale Metcalf8, Kristian M Bowles9,10, Marcus D Flather11, John F Potter12, Phyo Kyaw Myint13,14,15.
Abstract
Identification of factors that determine length of stay (LOS) in total anterior circulatory stroke (TACS) has potential for targeted intervention to reduce the associated health care burden. This study aimed to determine which factors predict LOS following either ischaemic or haemorrhagic TACS. The study sample population was drawn from the Norfolk and Norwich Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA) Register (1996⁻2012), a prospective registry. 2965 patients admitted with TACS verified by a stroke specialist team were included. Primary analysis identified predictors of length of stay (LOS) in either haemorrhagic or ischaemic TACS. Secondary analyses identified predictors of LOS in patients who were discharged alive or who died during admission separately. Moderate (p = 0.014) to severe disability (p = 0.015) and history of congestive heart failure (p = 0.027) in the primary analysis and pre-stroke residence in a care facility among patients who survived to discharge (p = 0.013) were associated with a shorter length of stay. Factors associated with increased length of stay included presence of neurological lateralisation in the primary analysis (p = 0.004) and amongst patients who died (p = 0.003 and p = 0.014 for ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, respectively). Patients with advanced age (≥85 years) with haemorrhagic stroke had longer LOS regardless of mortality outcome. Patients with low pre-morbid disability (modified Rankin score ≤2 who died following haemorrhagic TACS also had longer LOS. Our study found predictors of LOS following TACS include neurological lateralisation, pre-stroke disability status, congestive heart failure, pre-morbid residence and age. The identification of such factors would assist in resource allocation and discharge planning.Entities:
Keywords: haemorrhagic stroke; ischaemic stroke; length of stay; mortality; total anterior circulatory stroke
Year: 2017 PMID: 31011036 PMCID: PMC6371159 DOI: 10.3390/geriatrics2030026
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Geriatrics (Basel) ISSN: 2308-3417
Total anterior circulation stroke patient cohort characteristics.
| Total | % | Ischemic | % | Hemorrhagic | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ischaemic | 2439 | 82.3 | - | - | ||
| Haemorrhage | 526 | 17.7 | - | - | ||
| Survived | 1258 | 42.4 | 1060 | 43.5 | 198 | 37.6 |
| Died | 1707 | 57.6 | 1379 | 56.5 | 328 | 62.4 |
| <65 years | 232 | 7.8 | 167 | 6.9 | 65 | 12.3 |
| 65–85 years | 1717 | 57.9 | 1381 | 56.6 | 336 | 63.9 |
| ≥85 years | 1016 | 34.3 | 891 | 36.5 | 125 | 23.8 |
| Female | 1719 | 58.0 | 1452 | 59.5 | 267 | 50.8 |
| Male | 1246 | 42.0 | 987 | 40.5 | 259 | 49.2 |
| Yes | 2693 | 90.8 | 2256 | 92.5 | 437 | 83.1 |
| No | 272 | 9.2 | 183 | 7.5 | 89 | 16.9 |
| Care Home | 456 | 15.4 | 399 | 16.3 | 57 | 10.8 |
| Home Alone | 988 | 33.3 | 829 | 34.0 | 159 | 30.2 |
| Home Family | 1521 | 51.3 | 1211 | 49.7 | 310 | 59.0 |
| mRs 1 0 | 1477 | 58.7 | 1175 | 56.8 | 302 | 67.46 |
| mRs 1 | 206 | 8.2 | 175 | 8.4 | 31 | 6.9 |
| mRs 2 | 235 | 9.3 | 193 | 9.3 | 42 | 9.4 |
| mRs 3 | 312 | 12.4 | 264 | 12.8 | 48 | 10.7 |
| mRs 4 or 5 | 287 | 11.4 | 262 | 12.7 | 25 | 5.6 |
| AF 2 No | 2479 | 83.6 | 1965 | 80.6 | 514 | 97.7 |
| AF Yes | 486 | 16.4 | 474 | 19.4 | 12 | 2.3 |
| CHF 3 No | 2675 | 90.2 | 2155 | 88.4 | 520 | 98.9 |
| CHF Yes | 290 | 9.8 | 284 | 11.6 | 6 | 1.1 |
| CKD 4 No | 2911 | 98.2 | 2385 | 97.8 | 526 | 100 |
| CKD Yes | 54 | 1.8 | 54 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| MI 5 No | 2815 | 94.9 | 2312 | 94.8 | 503 | 95.6 |
| MI Yes | 150 | 5.1 | 127 | 5.2 | 23 | 4.4 |
| DM 6 No | 2877 | 97.0 | 2352 | 96.4 | 525 | 99.8 |
| DM Yes | 88 | 3.0 | 87 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
1 mRs = modified Rankin scale; 2 AF = atrial fibrillation; 3 CHF = congestive heart failure; 4 CKD = chronic kidney disease; 5 MI = myocardial infarction; 6 DM = diabetes mellitus.
Adjusted combined length of stay analysis with 95% confidence intervals of ischaemic and haemorrhagic TACS.
| Ischaemic TACS | Haemorrhagic TACS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | |||
| <65 years | 167 | 19.7 | 23.5 | 65 | 13.8 | 17.9 | ||||
| 65–84 years | 1381 | 17.8 | 17.7 | −5.87–2.08 | 0.350 | 336 | 15.1 | 17.4 | −5.98–4.17 | 0.727 |
| ≥85 years | 891 | 16.9 | 18.1 | −6.64–1.92 | 0.280 | 125 | 16.2 | 18.9 | −5.42–6.88 | 0.816 |
| Female | 1452 | 17.7 | 18.3 | 267 | 15.2 | 17.6 | ||||
| Male | 987 | 17.6 | 18.3 | −2.34–1.15 | 0.506 | 259 | 15.1 | 18.1 | −2.07–4.81 | 0.436 |
| No | 183 | 15.2 | 21.1 | 89 | 9.7 | 18.3 | ||||
| Yes | 2256 | 17.8 | 18 | −2.07–5.01 | 0.415 | 437 | 16.3 | 17.5 | 2.32–11.9 | 0.004 |
| Home Alone | 829 | 18.5 | 20 | 159 | 16.2 | 19.2 | ||||
| Home Family | 1211 | 17.9 | 18.1 | −3.05–0.88 | 0.280 | 310 | 15 | 17.2 | −5.67–2.81 | 0.509 |
| Care home | 399 | 15.1 | 14.5 | −4.77–0.74 | 0.152 | 57 | 13.4 | 17.3 | −9.74–4.03 | 0.416 |
| mRs 0 | 1175 | 19.1 | 19.4 | 302 | 15 | 18.6 | ||||
| mRs 1 | 175 | 18.8 | 20.3 | −3.63–3.01 | 0.856 | 31 | 20 | 19.4 | −1.72–13.7 | 0.128 |
| mRs 2 | 193 | 18.4 | 20.4 | −3.63–2.65 | 0.760 | 42 | 16.7 | 17.4 | −3.74–7.69 | 0.498 |
| mRs 3 | 264 | 16 | 15.3 | −5.12–−0.5 | 0.014 | 48 | 16.8 | 17.5 | −3.90–6.86 | 0.590 |
| mRs 4 or 5 | 262 | 14.9 | 15.3 | −6.15–−0.6 | 0.015 | 25 | 12.4 | 13.3 | −7.37–5.41 | 0.763 |
| AF No | 1965 | 17.5 | 18 | 514 | 15.3 | 17.9 | ||||
| AF Yes | 474 | 18.2 | 19.4 | −1.55–3.14 | 0.506 | 12 | 10.2 | 12.9 | −9.62–9.56 | 0.996 |
| CHF No | 2155 | 17.5 | 17.7 | 520 | 15.3 | 17.9 | ||||
| CHF Yes | 284 | 18.7 | 22.5 | −1.53–4.39 | 0.345 | 6 | 5.8 | 5.6 | −18.4–−1.09 | 0.027 |
| CKD No | 2385 | 17.6 | 18.3 | 526 | 15.2 | 17.8 | ||||
| CKD Yes | 54 | 17 | 17.1 | −4.73–5.56 | 0.875 | 0 | - | - | ||
| MI No | 2312 | 17.5 | 17.9 | 503 | 15 | 17.4 | ||||
| MI Yes | 127 | 19.2 | 24.3 | −3.78–6.08 | 0.647 | 23 | 18 | 25.4 | −7.29–14.5 | 0.518 |
| DM No | 2352 | 17.7 | 18.4 | 525 | 15.2 | 17.8 | ||||
| DM Yes | 87 | 16.4 | 15.4 | −2.49–5.17 | 0.492 | 1 | 1 | - | ||
Adjusted length of stay analysis with 95% confidence intervals of ischaemic and haemorrhagic TACS in patients who were alive at discharge.
| Ischaemic TACS | Haemorrhagic TACS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | |||
| <65 years | 119 | 25.1 | 25.5 | 40 | 19.6 | 20.4 | ||||
| 65–84 years | 669 | 24.4 | 19.7 | −6.71–3.64 | 0.561 | 129 | 24.1 | 21.7 | −5.37–9.76 | 0.569 |
| ≥85 years | 272 | 25.2 | 20.7 | −6.75–5.37 | 0.823 | 29 | 33.3 | 25.1 | 5.15–30.5 | 0.006 |
| Female | 612 | 24.9 | 21 | 102 | 25.4 | 22.7 | ||||
| Male | 448 | 24.3 | 20.2 | −3.41–2.36 | 0.720 | 96 | 23.6 | 21.8 | −5.21–8.87 | 0.611 |
| No | 59 | 29.3 | 29.1 | 23 | 19.9 | 30.8 | ||||
| Yes | 1001 | 24.4 | 20.1 | −16.2–0.84 | 0.077 | 175 | 25.2 | 20.9 | −7.79–22.2 | 0.346 |
| Home Alone | 346 | 26.6 | 23.3 | 66 | 26.6 | 24.8 | ||||
| Home Family | 591 | 24.4 | 19.8 | −6.08–0.82 | 0.135 | 114 | 23.4 | 20.1 | −11.6–4.50 | 0.387 |
| Care home | 123 | 20.4 | 15.8 | −12.2–−1.43 | 0.013 | 18 | 24.5 | 25.6 | −20.4–10.1 | 0.506 |
| mRs 0 | 625 | 25 | 21.7 | 125 | 24.4 | 23.3 | ||||
| mRs 1 | 73 | 25.3 | 24.5 | −5.70–5.99 | 0.962 | 10 | 30.1 | 22.2 | −7.54–22.2 | 0.334 |
| mRs 2 | 79 | 24.1 | 16.1 | −5.10–3.30 | 0.674 | 17 | 17 | 14.8 | −18.8–2.88 | 0.150 |
| mRs 3 | 90 | 24.6 | 18.2 | −4.59–4.43 | 0.973 | 14 | 30.6 | 24.7 | −10.4–17.6 | 0.612 |
| mRs 4 or 5 | 79 | 21.4 | 17.8 | −7.13–4.89 | 0.715 | 6 | 22.3 | 21.8 | −18.5–9.01 | 0.499 |
| AF No | 902 | 24.3 | 20.5 | 196 | 24.6 | 22.3 | ||||
| AF Yes | 158 | 27 | 21.5 | −3.52–4.88 | 0.750 | 2 | 17.5 | 17.7 | ||
| CHF No | 979 | 24.1 | 20.2 | 197 | 24.6 | 22.3 | ||||
| CHF Yes | 81 | 31.8 | 25 | −0.11–11.1 | 0.055 | 1 | 16 | - | ||
| CKD No | 1043 | 24.6 | 20.7 | 198 | 24.6 | 22.2 | ||||
| CKD Yes | 17 | 32.1 | 21.5 | −1.85–17.2 | 0.114 | 0 | NA | NA | ||
| MI No | 1017 | 24.3 | 20.5 | 193 | 24 | 21.4 | ||||
| MI Yes | 43 | 32.4 | 22.6 | −0.88–14.3 | 0.083 | 5 | 45.2 | 43.3 | ||
| DM No | 1033 | 24.8 | 20.7 | 198 | 24.6 | 22.2 | ||||
| DM Yes | 27 | 21 | 19.1 | −10.6–7.29 | 0.720 | 0 | NA | NA | ||
Adjusted length of stay analysis with 95% confidence intervals of ischaemic and haemorrhagic TACS in patients who died during admission.
| Ischaemic TACS | Haemorrhagic TACS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | N | Mean | SD | 95% CI | |||
| <65 years | 48 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 25 | 4.5 | 6.2 | ||||
| 65–84 years | 712 | 11.7 | 12.8 | 2.82–8.59 | 0.000 | 207 | 9.4 | 10.8 | −0.27–7.60 | 0.068 |
| ≥85 years | 619 | 13.3 | 15.4 | 3.79–10.6 | 0.000 | 96 | 11 | 12.8 | 0.23–10.3 | 0.040 |
| Female | 840 | 12.4 | 13.8 | 165 | 8.9 | 8.9 | ||||
| Male | 539 | 12 | 14.3 | −1.56–2.11 | 0.768 | 163 | 10.1 | 13.2 | −0.32–5.20 | 0.084 |
| No | 124 | 8.5 | 10.8 | 66 | 6.2 | 9.2 | ||||
| Yes | 1255 | 12.6 | 14.2 | 1.28–6.18 | 0.003 | 262 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 0.80–6.93 | 0.014 |
| Home Alone | 483 | 12.7 | 14.6 | 93 | 8.8 | 8.2 | ||||
| Home Family | 620 | 11.6 | 13.8 | −2.69–1.26 | 0.477 | 196 | 10 | 12.9 | −1.60–4.67 | 0.337 |
| Care home | 254 | 13 | 12.8 | −2.26–3.16 | 0.744 | 39 | 8.3 | 8 | −7.65–2.36 | 0.300 |
| mRs 0 | 550 | 12.3 | 13.5 | 177 | 8.4 | 10.1 | ||||
| mRs 1 | 102 | 14.2 | 15.2 | −2.02–4.60 | 0.445 | 21 | 15.1 | 16.4 | 0.28–14.5 | 0.042 |
| mRs 2 | 114 | 14.5 | 22.1 | −2.66–5.34 | 0.512 | 25 | 16.5 | 19.3 | 1.05–15.7 | 0.025 |
| mRs 3 | 174 | 11.5 | 11.3 | −4.01–0.48 | 0.123 | 34 | 11 | 8.9 | −0.55–6.83 | 0.095 |
| mRs 4 or 5 | 183 | 12.1 | 13.2 | −4.39–1.07 | 0.233 | 19 | 9.3 | 7.9 | −1.68–7.65 | 0.209 |
| AF No | 1063 | 11.7 | 13.1 | 318 | 9.5 | 11.2 | ||||
| AF Yes | 316 | 13.7 | 16.7 | −1.19–3.87 | 0.298 | 10 | 8.7 | 12.5 | −8.71–13.1 | 0.693 |
| CHF No | 1176 | 12 | 12.9 | 323 | 9.6 | 11.3 | ||||
| CHF Yes | 203 | 13.5 | 19.1 | −1.61–4.60 | 0.344 | 5 | 3.8 | 2.8 | ||
| CKD No | 1342 | 12.3 | 14.1 | 328 | 9.5 | 11.2 | ||||
| CKD Yes | 37 | 10.1 | 8.3 | −7.08–0.12 | 0.058 | 0 | NA | NA | ||
| MI No | 1295 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 310 | 9.4 | 11.3 | ||||
| MI Yes | 84 | 12.4 | 22.4 | −6.24–5.32 | 0.877 | 18 | 10.4 | 10.7 | −4.80–5.78 | 0.855 |
| DM No | 1319 | 12.1 | 14 | 327 | 9.5 | 11.2 | ||||
| DM Yes | 60 | 14.3 | 13.1 | −1.55–6.27 | 0.237 | 1 | 1 | NA | ||