OBJECTIVE: Objective: To analyze the mortality trends for Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs) in the period 2000-2013 and its probability of death until 2025. METHOD: time series analysis of mortality from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease, with correction for ill-defined causes and underreporting of deaths and calculation of probability of death. RESULTS: There was an average decline of 2.5% per year in all four major NCDs in Brazil. There was a decline in all regions and federal units. The reduced likelihood of death by 30% in 2000 to 26.1% in 2013 and expected decline to 20.5% in 2025. CONCLUSION: From the trend of reduction is expected to reach Brazil reducing overall goal 25% by 2025.
OBJECTIVE: Objective: To analyze the mortality trends for Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs) in the period 2000-2013 and its probability of death until 2025. METHOD: time series analysis of mortality from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease, with correction for ill-defined causes and underreporting of deaths and calculation of probability of death. RESULTS: There was an average decline of 2.5% per year in all four major NCDs in Brazil. There was a decline in all regions and federal units. The reduced likelihood of death by 30% in 2000 to 26.1% in 2013 and expected decline to 20.5% in 2025. CONCLUSION: From the trend of reduction is expected to reach Brazil reducing overall goal 25% by 2025.
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Authors: Aline Silva-Costa; Lucia Rotenberg; Aline A Nobre; Dora Chor; Estela M Aquino; Enirtes C Melo; Sandhi M Barreto; Maria Inês Schmidt; Rosane H Griep Journal: Arch Public Health Date: 2020-05-29
Authors: Pedro Toteff Dulgheroff; Luciana Saraiva da Silva; Ana Elisa Madalena Rinaldi; Leandro F M Rezende; Emanuele Souza Marques; Catarina Machado Azeredo Journal: BMJ Open Date: 2021-07-19 Impact factor: 2.692
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