| Literature DB >> 30901138 |
Edouard Timsit1,2, Nicolas Tison3, Calvin W Booker2, Sébastien Buczinski3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Severity of lung lesions quantified by thoracic ultrasonography (TUS) at time of bronchopneumonia (BP) diagnosis predicted death among steers not treated for this condition. Further research is needed to confirm that lung lesions detected by TUS can be associated with negative outcomes in cattle with BP that subsequently were treated.Entities:
Keywords: average daily gain; bovine respiratory disease; lung consolidation; prognosis; shipping fever
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30901138 PMCID: PMC6524390 DOI: 10.1111/jvim.15483
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Vet Intern Med ISSN: 0891-6640 Impact factor: 3.333
Descriptive statistics of lung lesions diagnosed by thoracic ultrasonography at the time of first diagnosis of bronchopneumonia in feedlot cattle (n = 144)
| Maxima | Minimum | Maximum | Median (Q1‐Q3) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Depth (cm) | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 (2.0‐5.0) |
| Area (cm2) | 0.0 | 43.0 | 10.0 (3.5‐18.0) |
| No. comet tails | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 (0.0‐1.0) |
| Depth of pleural effusion (cm) | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 (0.0‐1.0) |
Effects of maximal depth and maximal area of lung consolidation at first BP diagnosis on risk of BP relapse
| Independent variable and level | Odds ratio | 95% confidence interval |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximal depth (per cm) | 1.34 | 1.04‐1.71 | .02 |
| Maximal area (per cm2) | 1.05 | 1.01‐1.10 | .02 |
Results from 2 multivariable models (1 for maximal depth and 1 for maximal area) including feedlot as a random effect. All cattle were included (n = 144).
Figure 1Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves (solid curves) and their 95% confidence intervals (dotted curves) to predict the relapse rate of (A) maximal depth and (B) maximal area of lung consolidation. Optimum cutoff values of maximal depth (>5 cm) and maximal area (>8 cm2) are indicated by white circles. Areas under the ROC curves (AUC), indicating how well the maximal depth and maximal area of lung consolidation separate cattle with BP that relapsed from those that did not relapse are also indicated
Sensitivity, specificity, and positive (LR+) and negative (LR−) likelihood ratios of different thresholds of maximal depth of lung consolidation (in cm) to predict risk of relapse in feedlot cattle with clinical BP
| Criterion | Sensitivity | 95% CI | Specificity | 95% CI | LR+ | 95% CI | LR− | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥0 | 100.0 | 86.3‐100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0‐3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.0 | ||
| >0 | 96.0 | 79.6‐99.9 | 18.5 | 12.0‐26.6 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.3 | 0.2 | 0.03‐1.5 |
| >0.5 | 92.0 | 74.0‐99.0 | 21.0 | 14.1‐29.4 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.4 | 0.4 | 0.10‐1.5 |
| >1 | 88.0 | 68.8‐97.5 | 26.9 | 19.2‐35.8 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1‐1.3 |
| >2 | 84.0 | 63.9‐95.5 | 35.3 | 26.8‐44.6 | 1.3 | 1.0‐1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.1 |
| >2.5 | 84.0 | 63.9‐95.5 | 37.8 | 29.1‐47.2 | 1.4 | 1.1‐1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2‐1.1 |
| >3 | 64.0 | 42.5‐82.0 | 58.0 | 48.6‐67.0 | 1.5 | 1.1‐2.2 | 0.6 | 0.4‐1.1 |
| >4 | 44.0 | 24.4‐65.1 | 76.5 | 67.8‐83.8 | 1.9 | 1.1‐3.2 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >4.5 | 40.0 | 21.1‐61.3 | 76.5 | 67.8‐83.8 | 1.7 | 1.0‐3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.1 |
| >5 | 40.0 | 21.1‐61.3 | 85.7 | 78.1‐91.5 | 2.8 | 1.5‐5.4 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.0 |
| >6 | 12.0 | 2.5‐31.2 | 98.3 | 94.1‐99.8 | 7.1 | 1.3‐40.5 | 0.9 | 0.8‐1.0 |
| >7 | 0.0 | 0.0‐13.7 | 100.0 | 96.9‐100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.0 |
Optimum cutoff point based on Youden index J (ie, max sensitivity + specificity).
Sensitivity, specificity, and positive (LR+) and negative (LR−) likelihood ratios of different thresholds of maximal area of lung consolidation (in cm2) to predict risk of relapse in feedlot cattle with clinical BP
| Criterion | Sensitivity | 95% CI | Specificity | 95% CI | LR+ | 95% CI | LR− | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥0 | 100.0 | 86.3‐100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0‐3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.0 | ||
| >0 | 96.0 | 79.6‐99.9 | 18.5 | 12.0‐26.6 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1‐1.5 |
| >0.5 | 92.0 | 74.0‐99.0 | 20.2 | 13.4‐28.5 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1‐1.6 |
| >1 | 88.0 | 68.8‐97.5 | 22.7 | 15.5‐31.3 | 1.1 | 1.0‐1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.6 |
| >2 | 88.0 | 68.8‐97.5 | 25.2 | 17.7‐34.0 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.4 |
| >3 | 84.0 | 63.9‐95.5 | 26.9 | 19.2‐35.8 | 1.2 | 0.9‐1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2‐1.5 |
| >4 | 84.0 | 63.9‐95.5 | 30.3 | 22.2‐39.3 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.4 |
| >5 | 80.0 | 59.3‐93.2 | 33.6 | 25.2‐42.8 | 1.2 | 1.0‐1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3‐1.4 |
| >6 | 80.0 | 59.3‐93.2 | 37.8 | 29.1‐47.2 | 1.3 | 1.0‐1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.2 |
| >8 | 80.0 | 59.3‐93.2 | 47.9 | 38.7‐57.2 | 1.5 | 1.2‐2.0 | 0.4 | 0.2‐0.9 |
| >9 | 76.0 | 54.9‐90.6 | 51.3 | 41.9‐60.5 | 1.6 | 1.2‐2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2‐1.0 |
| >10 | 64.0 | 42.5‐82.0 | 56.3 | 46.9‐65.4 | 1.5 | 1.0‐2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4‐1.1 |
| >11 | 56.0 | 34.9‐75.6 | 58.8 | 49.4‐67.8 | 1.4 | 0.9‐2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5‐1.2 |
| >12 | 52.0 | 31.3‐72.2 | 64.7 | 55.4‐73.2 | 1.5 | 0.9‐2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >13 | 52.0 | 31.3‐72.2 | 65.6 | 56.3‐74.0 | 1.5 | 1.0‐2.4 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >14 | 48.0 | 27.8‐68.7 | 68.9 | 59.8‐77.1 | 1.5 | 0.9‐2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >15 | 44.0 | 24.4‐65.1 | 72.3 | 63.3‐80.1 | 1.6 | 0.9‐2.7 | 0.8 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >16 | 44.0 | 24.4‐65.1 | 74.8 | 66.0‐82.3 | 1.8 | 1.0‐3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5‐1.1 |
| >17 | 44.0 | 24.4‐65.1 | 78.2 | 69.6‐85.2 | 2.0 | 1.2‐3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.0 |
| >18 | 40.0 | 21.1‐61.3 | 84.9 | 77.2‐90.8 | 2.6 | 1.4‐5.0 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.0 |
| >19 | 36.0 | 18.0‐57.5 | 84.9 | 77.2‐90.8 | 2.4 | 1.2‐4.7 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.0 |
| >20 | 36.0 | 18.0‐57.5 | 86.6 | 79.1‐92.1 | 2.7 | 1.3‐5.4 | 0.7 | 0.5‐1.0 |
| >21 | 28.0 | 12.1‐49.4 | 87.4 | 80.1‐92.8 | 2.2 | 1.0‐4.9 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.1 |
| >22 | 28.0 | 12.1‐49.4 | 88.2 | 81.0‐93.4 | 2.4 | 1.1‐5.3 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.1 |
| >23 | 28.0 | 12.1‐49.4 | 89.1 | 82.0‐94.1 | 2.6 | 1.1‐5.8 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.0 |
| >24 | 28.0 | 12.1‐49.4 | 90.8 | 84.1‐95.3 | 3.0 | 1.3‐7.0 | 0.8 | 0.6‐1.0 |
| >25 | 24.0 | 9.4‐45.1 | 90.8 | 84.1‐95.3 | 2.6 | 1.1‐6.4 | 0.8 | 0.7‐1.1 |
| >27 | 24.0 | 9.4‐45.1 | 92.4 | 86.1‐96.5 | 3.2 | 1.2‐8.1 | 0.8 | 0.7‐1.0 |
| >28 | 24.0 | 9.4‐45.1 | 93.3 | 87.2‐97.1 | 3.6 | 1.4‐9.4 | 0.8 | 0.7‐1.0 |
| >30 | 16.0 | 4.5‐36.1 | 93.3 | 87.2‐97.1 | 2.4 | 0.8‐7.3 | 0.9 | 0.8‐1.1 |
| >32 | 16.0 | 4.5‐36.1 | 94.1 | 88.3‐97.6 | 2.7 | 0.9‐8.6 | 0.9 | 0.7‐1.1 |
| >33 | 16.0 | 4.5‐36.1 | 95.8 | 90.5‐98.6 | 3.8 | 1.1‐13.2 | 0.9 | 0.7‐1.0 |
| >35 | 12.0 | 2.5‐31.2 | 95.8 | 90.5‐98.6 | 2.9 | 0.7‐11.2 | 0.9 | 0.8‐1.1 |
| >36 | 8.0 | 1.0‐26.0 | 100.0 | 96.9‐100.0 | 0.9 | 0.8‐1.0 | ||
| >42 | 4.0 | 0.1‐20.4 | 100.0 | 96.9‐100.0 | 1.0 | 0.9‐1.0 | ||
| >43 | 0.0 | 0.0‐13.7 | 100.0 | 96.9‐100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.0 |
Optimum cutoff point based on Youden index J (ie, max sensitivity + specificity).