| Literature DB >> 30845747 |
Fu-Cheng Chen1, Chia-Te Kung2, Hsien-Hung Cheng3, Chi-Yung Cheng4, Tsung-Cheng Tsai5, Sheng-Yuan Hsiao6, Chien-Hung Wu7, Chih-Min Su8,9.
Abstract
This study determined if the use of metformin affected the prognostic value of hyperlactatemia in predicting 28-day mortality among patients with sepsis and bacteremia. We enrolled adult diabetic patients with sepsis and bacteremia. Of 590 patients, 162 and 162 metformin users and nonusers, respectively, were selected in propensity matching. The mean serum lactate levels in metformin users were higher than those in nonusers (4.7 vs. 3.9 mmol/L, p = 0.044). We divided the patients into four groups based on quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores. No significant difference was found among nonusers with qSOFA score <2, nonusers with qSOFA score ≥2, and metformin users with qSOFA score <2. The lactate levels in metformin users with qSOFA score ≥2 were higher than those in other groups, and significant differences were found in both nonsurvivors (8.9 vs. 4.6 mmol/L, p = 0.027) and survivors (6.4 vs. 3.8 mmol/L, p = 0.049) compared with metformin users with qSOFA score <2. The best cut-off point to predict 28-day mortality in metformin users (5.9 mmol/L; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), 0.66; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.55⁻0.77) was higher than that in nonusers (3.6 mmol/L; AUROC 0.63; 95% CI, 0.56⁻0.70). Metformin users had higher lactate levels than nonusers in increasing sepsis severity. Serum lactate levels could be useful in predicting mortality in patients using metformin, but higher levels are required to obtain more precise results.Entities:
Keywords: lactate; metformin; mortality; sepsis
Year: 2019 PMID: 30845747 PMCID: PMC6463016 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8030318
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.241
Figure 1Flow diagram of the study design and analyses. ED: emergency department.
Demographics and clinical characteristics of all patients and propensity–matched patients.
| Variable | All Patients ( | Propensity-Matched Patients ( | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metformin Users ( | Nonusers ( | Metformin Users ( | Nonusers ( | |||
| Age, years | 70 ± 12 | 69 ± 13 | 0.363 | 69 ± 12 | 69 ± 13 | 0.935 |
| Male sex, | 87 (44%) | 188 (48%) | 0.451 | 65 (40%) | 75 (46%) | 0.313 |
| Comorbidities | ||||||
| Liver cirrhosis | 7 (4%) | 44 (11%) | 0.002 a | 4 (3%) | 5 (3%) | 1.000 |
| Chronic renal insufficiency | 42 (21%) | 120 (31%) | 0.019 a | 37 (23%) | 40 (25%) | 0.794 |
| Congestive heart failure | 12 (6%) | 35 (9%) | 0.262 | 12 (7%) | 10 (6%) | 0.826 |
| Malignancy | 26 (13%) | 71 (18%) | 0.128 | 24 (15%) | 24 (15%) | 1.000 |
| Suspected infection focus | ||||||
| Respiratory tract | 64 (32%) | 131 (33%) | 0.853 | 50 (31%) | 48 (30%) | 0.904 |
| Urinary tract | 98 (50%) | 159 (41%) | 0.043 a | 75 (46%) | 77 (48%) | 0.911 |
| Skin and soft tissue | 14 (7%) | 36 (9%) | 0.436 | 11 (7%) | 12 (7%) | 1.000 |
| Intra–abdomen | 23 (12%) | 57 (15%) | 0.374 | 21 (13%) | 24 (15%) | 0.748 |
| Others | 35 (18%) | 88 (22%) | 0.198 | 34 (21%) | 27 (17%) | 0.394 |
| Septic shock | 46 (23%) | 95 (24%) | 0.838 | 31 (19%) | 33 (20%) | 0.889 |
| qSOFA score ≥2 | 54 (27%) | 105 (27%) | 0.922 | 40 (25%) | 37 (23%) | 0.794 |
| 28-day mortality | 35 (18%) | 84 (21%) | 0.328 | 29 (18%) | 27 (17%) | 0.883 |
| Serum lactate (mmol/L) | 4.7 ± 4.1 | 3.8 ± 3.4 | 0.009 a | 4.7 ± 4.3 | 3.9 ± 2.9 | 0.044 a |
| C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 154.2 ± 125.4 | 148.2 ± 113.3 | 0.579 | 155.1 ± 125.8 | 143.3 ± 112. | 0.397 |
| WBC (1000/mm3) | 13.6 ± 7.4 | 14.9 ± 12.8 | 0.214 | 13.6 ± 7.5 | 14.2 ± 8.0 | 0.491 |
| BUN (mg/dL) | 40.5 ± 33.1 | 41.5 ± 34.3 | 0.772 | 41.9 ± 35.1 | 38.4 ± 29.2 | 0.410 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.8 ± 1.4 | 2.4 ± 2.3 | 0.002 a | 1.8 ± 1.5 | 2.1 ± 1.9 | 0.291 |
qSOFA: quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment; WBC: white blood cell; BUN: blood urea nitrogen. a p < 0.05.
Multiple logistic regression analyses for variables associated with 28-day mortality.
| Variable | All Patients ( | Propensity-Matched Patients ( | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COR (95% CI) | AOR (95% CI) | COR (95% CI) | AOR (95% CI) | |||||
| Age (+1 year) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 0.037 a | 1.02 (0.99–1.04) | 0.063 | 1.00 (0.97–1.03) | 0.990 | - | - |
| Male sex | 1.14 (0.70–1.86) | 0.595 | - | - | 0.93 (0.44–1.98) | 0.859 | - | - |
| Liver cirrhosis | 1.13 (0.52–2.46) | 0.754 | - | - | 3.64 (0.63–21.02) | 0.149 | - | - |
| Chronic renal insufficiency | 1.92 (1.16–3.19) | 0.011 a | 1.98 (1.21–3.23) | 0.007 a | 1.84 (0.84–4.06) | 0.129 | - | - |
| Congestive heart failure | 0.67 (0.29–1.56) | 0.353 | - | - | 0.44 (0.10–1.90) | 0.274 | - | - |
| Malignancy | 2.59 (1.49–4.54) | 0.001 a | 2.67 (1.54–4.62) | <0.001 a | 4.51 (1.96–10.41) | <0.001 a | 4.64 (2.13–10.08) | <0.001 a |
| Respiratory tract infection | 2.31 (1.16–4.59) | 0.018 a | 2.18 (1.37–3.46) | 0.001 a | 4.56 (1.54–13.50) | 0.006 a | 3.55 (1.82–6.90) | <0.001 a |
| Urinary tract infection | 0.42 (0.22–0.79) | 0.008 a | 0.39 (0.24–0.65) | <0.001 a | 0.50 (0.18–1.35) | 0.169 | 0.44 (0.21–0.93) | 0.032 a |
| Skin and soft tissue infection | 1.28 (0.51–3.25) | 0.603 | - | - | 0.79 (0.15–4.15) | 0.781 | - | - |
| Intra-abdomen infection | 0.76 (0.31–1.87) | 0.546 | - | - | 0.80 (0.19–3.41) | 0.759 | - | - |
| Other infection | 1.12 (0.46–2.73) | 0.800 | - | - | 1.74 (0.45–6.70) | 0.422 | - | - |
| Septic shock | 3.22 (1.96–5.29) | <0.001 a | 3.21 (1.97–5.24) | <0.001 a | 3.48 (1.58–7.64) | 0.002 a | 3.70 (1.80–7.61) | <0.001 a |
| qSOFA score ≥2 | 1.62 (0.98–2.67) | 0.058 | 1.69 (1.04–2.78) | 0.035 a | 1.56 (0.70–3.44) | 0.275 | - | - |
| Metformin use | 0.79 (0.47–1.32) | 0.371 | - | - | 1.01 (0.50–2.02) | 0.987 | - | - |
| Serum lactate (+1 mmol/L) | 1.09 (1.03–1.16) | 0.003 a | 1.09 (1.03–1.15) | 0.003 a | 1.07 (0.99–1.16) | 0.093 | 1.09 (1.01–1.18) | 0.023 a |
AOR: adjusted odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; COR: crude odds ratio; qSOFA: quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment. a p < 0.05.
Figure 2Subgroup analysis by qSOFA score. (a) The mean serum lactate level in metformin users with qSOFA score ≥2 was significantly higher than that in other groups. Significant difference at p < 0.001 compared with nonusers with qSOFA score ≥2 and nonusers with qSOFA score <2; Significant difference at p = 0.001 compared with metformin users with qSOFA score <2. (b) The mean serum lactate level was significantly higher in metformin users with qSOFA score ≥2 than in metformin users with qSOFA score <2 in both nonsurvivors (p = 0.027) and survivors (p = 0.049). No significant difference was found in nonusers with qSOFA score ≥2 compared with nonusers with qSOFA score <2 in both nonsurvivors (p = 0.584) and survivors (p = 0.756).
Figure 3Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of serum lactate levels for predicting 28-day mortality: (a) all patients, (b) nonusers, and (c) metformin users.
Receiver operating characteristic analysis of serum lactate levels to predict 28-day mortality.
| Outcome | Group | AUC | 95% CI |
| Cut–Off Point | Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28-day mortality | All patients | 0.63 | 0.57–0.69 | <0.001 a | 2.0 | 0.81 | 0.31 | 0.12 |
| 3.6 b | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.22 | |||||
| 4.0 | 0.51 | 0.69 | 0.21 | |||||
| Nonusers | 0.63 | 0.56–0.70 | <0.001 a | 2.0 | 0.79 | 0.34 | 0.14 | |
| 3.6 b | 0.54 | 0.69 | 0.22 | |||||
| 4.0 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 0.21 | |||||
| Metformin users | 0.66 | 0.55–0.77 | 0.003 a | 2.0 | 0.83 | 0.26 | 0.09 | |
| 4.0 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.23 | |||||
| 5.9 b | 0.49 | 0.85 | 0.33 |
ROC: receiver operating characteristic; AUC: area under the curve; CI: confidence interval. a p < 0.05. b Optimal cut-off point.