Bertrand Barres1,2, Antony Kelly1, Fabrice Kwiatkowski3, Marie Batisse-Lignier4,5, Geneviève Fouilhoux6, Bernadette Aubert1, Frédéric Dutheil7,8,9, Igor Tauveron4,5,7, Florent Cachin1,2,7, Salwan Maqdasy4,5,7. 1. Service de Médecine Nucléaire, CLCC Jean Perrin, F-63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France. 2. UMR INSERM 1240, "Molecular Imaging and Theranostic Strategy," Clermont Auvergne University, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 3. Département de Recherche Clinique, CLCC Jean Perrin, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 4. CHU Clermont-Ferrand, Service d'Endocrinologie, Diabétologie et Maladies Métaboliques, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 5. Laboratoire GReD: UMR Université Clermont Auvergne-CNRS 6293, INSERM U1103, Aubiere, France. 6. Service d'Anatomopathologie, CLCC Jean Perrin, F-63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France. 7. Université Clermont Auvergne, Faculté de Médecine, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 8. Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, LaPSCo, Physiological and Psychosocial Stress, University Hospital of Clermont-Ferrand, CHU Clermont-Ferrand, Preventive and Occupational Medicine, WittyFit, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 9. Australian Catholic University, Faculty of Health, School of Exercise Science, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Abstract
CONTEXT: Despite its good prognosis, differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is characterized by high rates of disease persistence and recurrence. Estimation of long-term remission (excellent response) thanks to specific parameters could help to individualize the active surveillance schedule. OBJECTIVE: Evaluation of the ability of stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) and Tg reduction index (TRI) to predict long-term remission in patients with DTC managed by thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: Observational retrospective study of 1093 patients treated for DTC between 1995 and 2010. Preablation stimulated thyroglobulin (presTg) was measured under thyroid hormone withdrawal just before RAI. Recombinant human TSH-stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) was measured at first evaluation of the initial management 6 to 12 months after RAI. TRI was calculated based on pre-Tg and sTg. RESULTS: After univariate and multivariate analyses, lymph node invasion (N1, OR = 2.08; 95% CI, 1.19 to 3.64), presTg (OR = 4.04; 95% CI, 2.56 to 6.38), sTg (OR = 2.62; 95% CI, 2.05 to 3.34), and TRI (OR = 0.43; 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.88) were identified as independent prognostic factors influencing the rate of disease persistence or recurrence after the initial management. Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified presTg cutoff (<10 µg/L) to predict excellent response, with a negative predictive value of 94%, and validated for higher stages (T3/T4, N1). Furthermore, sTg <1 µg/L predicts excellent response. TRI >60% for the entire cohort and 62.5% for locally advanced disease (T3/T4, N1) was sensitive predictor for excellent response. CONCLUSION: This study identifies presTg, sTg, and TRI as highly sensitive predictors of excellent response in patients with DTC and subsequently disease-free status. The cutoff of such parameters is also adapted for patients with higher tumor stages (T3/T4, N1).
CONTEXT: Despite its good prognosis, differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is characterized by high rates of disease persistence and recurrence. Estimation of long-term remission (excellent response) thanks to specific parameters could help to individualize the active surveillance schedule. OBJECTIVE: Evaluation of the ability of stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) and Tg reduction index (TRI) to predict long-term remission in patients with DTC managed by thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: Observational retrospective study of 1093 patients treated for DTC between 1995 and 2010. Preablation stimulated thyroglobulin (presTg) was measured under thyroid hormone withdrawal just before RAI. Recombinant humanTSH-stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) was measured at first evaluation of the initial management 6 to 12 months after RAI. TRI was calculated based on pre-Tg and sTg. RESULTS: After univariate and multivariate analyses, lymph node invasion (N1, OR = 2.08; 95% CI, 1.19 to 3.64), presTg (OR = 4.04; 95% CI, 2.56 to 6.38), sTg (OR = 2.62; 95% CI, 2.05 to 3.34), and TRI (OR = 0.43; 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.88) were identified as independent prognostic factors influencing the rate of disease persistence or recurrence after the initial management. Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified presTg cutoff (<10 µg/L) to predict excellent response, with a negative predictive value of 94%, and validated for higher stages (T3/T4, N1). Furthermore, sTg <1 µg/L predicts excellent response. TRI >60% for the entire cohort and 62.5% for locally advanced disease (T3/T4, N1) was sensitive predictor for excellent response. CONCLUSION: This study identifies presTg, sTg, and TRI as highly sensitive predictors of excellent response in patients with DTC and subsequently disease-free status. The cutoff of such parameters is also adapted for patients with higher tumor stages (T3/T4, N1).