| Literature DB >> 30717340 |
Elham A Hassan1, Abeer S Abdel Rehim2, Asmaa O Ahmed3, Hanan Abdullahtif4, Alaa Attia5.
Abstract
Sepsis carries a poor prognosis for critically ill patients, even withintensive management. We aimed to determined early predictors of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality and to monitor levels of presepsin and high sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP) during admission relative to the applied treatment and the development of complications.An observational study was conducted on 68 intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis. Blood samples from each patient were collected at admission (day 0) for measuring presepsin, hsCRP, biochemical examination, complete blood picture and microbiological culture and at the third day (day 3) for measuring presepsin and hsCRP. Predictors of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality were assessed using regression analysis. Predictive abilities of presepsin and hsCRP were compared using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve. The Kaplan⁻Meier method was used to estimate the overall survival rate.Results showed that the sepsis-related in-hospital mortality was 64.6%. The day 0 presepsin and SOFA scores were associated with this mortality. Presepsin levels were significantly higher at days 0 and 3 in non-survivors vs. survivors (p = 0.03 and p < 0.001 respectively) and it decreased over the three days in survivors. Presepsin had a higher prognostic accuracy than hsCRP at all the evaluated times. Overall, in comparison with hsCRP, presepsin was an early predictor of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality in ICU patients. Changes in presepsin concentrations over time may be useful for sepsis monitoring, which in turn could be useful for stratifying high-risk patients on ICU admission that benefit from intensive treatment.Entities:
Keywords: hsCRP; in-hospital mortality; presepsin; sepsis
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30717340 PMCID: PMC6409617 DOI: 10.3390/medicina55020036
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicina (Kaunas) ISSN: 1010-660X Impact factor: 2.430
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the studied critically ill patients with sepsis (survivors and non-survivors).
| Total ( | Survivors ( | Non-Survivor ( |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years; Mean ± SD) | 35.7 ± 15.1 | 34.7 ± 15.3 | 36.3 ± 15.2 | 0.771 |
| Sex (M/F) | 48/20 (70.6/29.4%) | 20/4 (83.3/16.7%) | 28/16 (63.6/36.4%) | 0.228 |
| SOFA score | 7.6 ± 3.1 | 6.3 ± 3.2 | 8.9 ± 2.9 | 0.015 |
| Type of organisms (Gram+/−ve) | 22/46 (32.4/67.6%) | 0/24 (0/100%) | 22/22 (50/50%) | 0.05 |
| Glucose (mmol/L; mean ± SD) | 6.9 ± 2 | 7.2 ± 2.2 | 6.8 ± 1.9 | 0.581 |
| Urea (mmol/L; median, range) | 6.1 (1.3–30.4) | 8.2 (4.2–16.1) | 5.8 (1.3–30.4) | 0.118 |
| Creatinine (µmol/L; median, range) | 84.5 (35.9–663.8) | 103.5 (35.9–296) | 378.8 (37–663.8) | 0.03 |
| Albumin (g/dL; mean ± SD) | 2.6 ± 0.7 | 2.7 ± 0.7 | 2.6 ± 0.7 | 0.556 |
| Total bilirubin (µmol/L; median, range) | 10.7 (3–85) | 9.4 (3–33.5) | 21.4 (8.5–85) | 0.04 |
| AST (U/L; median, range) | 102 (19–989) | 122.5 (31–597) | 84.5 (19–989) | 0.261 |
| ALT (U/L; median, range) | 58.5 (14–298) | 111.5 (16–298) | 49.5 (14–194) | 0.094 |
| INR | 1.6 ± 0.2 | 1.2 ± 0.2 | 1.8 ± 0.2 | 0.400 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL; mean ± SD) | 10 ± 2.3 | 10.2 ± 1.6 | 9.9 ± 2.5 | 0.736 |
| Platelets (×109/L; median, range) | 193 (20–625) | 196.5 (53–625) | 187 (20–275) | 0.548 |
| WBC (×109/L; mean ± SD) | 12.9 ± 5.6 | 10.8 ± 4.7 | 15 ± 6.4 | 0.03 |
| WBC at follow-up (×109/L; mean ± SD) | 11 ± 4.9 | 10.2 ± 3.9 | 11.5 ± 5.4 | 0.462 |
| hsCRP (mg/L; median, range) | 101.5 (9.8–384) | 64.1 (9.8–384) | 128 (22.8–380) | 0.488 |
| hsCRP at follow-up (mg/L; median, range) | 66 (4–279) | 38.5 (4–210) | 97.4 (22–279) | 0.015 |
| Presepsin (pg/mL; median, range) | 690 (294–4965) | 588 (294–4965) | 810.5 (453–4879) | 0.03 |
| Presepsin at follow-up (pg/mL; median, range) | 721 (210–6540) | 269 (210–323) | 1969.5 (232–6540) | <0.001 |
p < 0.05 = significant; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; hsCRP: high sensitivity C-reactive protein; INR: international normalized ratio; SOFA: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; WBC: white blood cell
Figure 1Changes of presepsin and hsCRP levels at days 0 and 3 of admission among survivor and non-survivor septic patients; hsCRP: high sensitivity C-reactive protein.
Multiple regression analysis of risk factors predicting sepsis-related in-hospital mortality in the study critically ill patients at admission (day 0).
| Odds Ratio (95% CI) |
| |
|---|---|---|
| Type of organisms (Gram+/−ve) | 0.9 (0.8–1.03) | 0.342 |
| SOFA score | 1.3 (0.8–2) | 0.03 |
| Serum creatinine | 1 (0.8–1.4) | 0.499 |
| Serum total bilirubin | 1.1 (0.9–1.9) | 0.549 |
| WBCs | 0.7 (0.4–1.1) | 0.683 |
| hsCRP | 1.03 (1–1.1) | 0.092 |
| Presepsin | 1 (0.9–1.02) | 0.04 |
p < 0.05 = significant; hsCRP: high sensitivity C-reactive protein; SOFA: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; WBCs: white blood cells.
Figure 2Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of presepsin and hsCRP (on days 0 and 3) where presepsin has higher AUCs in predicting sepsis-related in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients. hsCRP: high sensitivity C-reactive protein.
Diagnostic accuracy of prognostic parameters to predict sepsis-related in-hospital mortality with the best predictive cut-offs.
| AUC 95% CI | SEN (%) | SPE (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | +LR | −LR | Accuracy (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 0 Presepsin (>607 pg/mL) | 0.824 (0.775–0.955) | 86.4 | 89.6 | 93.8 | 78.2 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 87.5 |
| Day 3 Presepsin (>1323 pg/mL) | 0.943 (0.806–0.992) | 90.1 | 100 | 100 | 89.8 | 0.1 | 93.6 | |
| Day 0 hsCRP (>58 mg/L) | 0.576 (0.395–0.743) | 72.7 | 50 | 72.7 | 50 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 64.7 |
| Day 3 hsCRP (>67 mg/L) | 0.737 (0.558–0.872) | 54.6 | 75 | 80 | 47.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 61.8 |
AUC: area under the curve; hsCRP: high sensitivity C-reactive protein; SEN: sensitivity; SPE: specificity; PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; +LR: positive likelihood ratio; −LR: negative likelihood ratio.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier survival curves for day 0 presepsin predicting increased sepsis-related in-hospital mortality with higher values (p < 0.05).