| Literature DB >> 30646100 |
John Welsh1, Yuan Lu1,2, Sanket S Dhruva3,4, Behnood Bikdeli1,5,6, Nihar R Desai1,2, Liliya Benchetrit7, Chloe O Zimmerman7, Lin Mu7, Joseph S Ross1,3,8,9, Harlan M Krumholz1,2,9.
Abstract
Importance: As medical knowledge and clinical practice rapidly evolve over time, there is an imperative to publish results of clinical trials in a timely way and reduce unnecessary delays.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30646100 PMCID: PMC6324269 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2018.1065
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JAMA Netw Open ISSN: 2574-3805
Figure 1. A Mock Trial With Different Time Periods Labeled
Progression of a mock trial defining data age, data collection period, and publication time. The black lines indicate an individual patient’s own timeline throughout the study.
Characteristics for Randomized Trials Published in 2015 in 6 Journals With High Impact Factors
| Characteristic | Trials, No. (%) (N = 341) |
|---|---|
| Included trial articles by journal | |
| 17 (5.0) | |
| 24 (7.0) | |
| 58 (17.0) | |
| 17 (5.0) | |
| 124 (36.4) | |
| 101 (29.6) | |
| Enrolled patients, median (IQR), No. | 467 (212-1260) |
| Trial type | |
| Drug | 206 (60.4) |
| Device | 21 (6.2) |
| Other | 114 (33.4) |
| No. of trial centers, median (IQR) | 23 (6-62) |
| Trial location | |
| United States only | 70 (20.5) |
| United States and outside United States | 104 (30.5) |
| Outside United States only | 167 (49.0) |
| No. of authors, median (IQR) | 16 (11-22) |
| Manuscripts with ≥1 author primarily employed by private industry, No./total No. (%) | |
| ≥1 | 124/340 (36.5) |
| 0 | 216/340 (63.5) |
| Early stoppage of trial | |
| Yes | 21 (6.2) |
| No | 320 (93.8) |
| Trial registration and results reporting on ClinicalTrials.gov | |
| Yes | 100 (29.3) |
| No | 179 (52.5) |
| Registered on a site other than ClinicalTrials.gov | 60 (17.6) |
| Unregistered | 2 (0.6) |
| Favorability of findings for the treatment population relative to the control population | |
| Favorable | 231 (67.7) |
| Unfavorable | 12 (3.5) |
| Inconclusive | 96 (28.2) |
| NA | 2 (0.6) |
| Funding source | |
| Government | 112 (32.8) |
| Nonprofit | 35 (10.3) |
| Private industry | 108 (31.7) |
| Government, nonprofit | 36 (10.6) |
| Government, private industry | 17 (5.0) |
| Nonprofit, private industry | 10 (2.9) |
| Government, nonprofit, private industry | 20 (5.9) |
| Not disclosed | 2 (0.6) |
| None | 1 (0.3) |
Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; NA, not applicable.
Two trials had more than 1 primary outcome and had mixed findings.
Figure 2. Distributions of Data Age, Enrollment Time, and Publication Time
The ends of the boxes indicate the upper and lower quartiles, so the box spans the interquartile range. The middle line indicates the median, the whiskers are the 2 lines outside the box that extend to the highest and lowest observations, and the circles indicate the extreme values of the observations.
Factors Associated With Data Age (in Days) in Bivariate and Multivariable Analyses
| Factor | Coefficient (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Bivariate Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |
| Trial type | ||
| Drug | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Device | −22 (−238 to 282) | NA |
| Other | 91 (−42 to 223) | NA |
| No. of enrolled patients (per 1000) | 0.1 (−1.3 to 1.5) | NA |
| No. of trial centers | 0.1 (−0.5 to 0.6) | NA |
| No. of authors | −3.1 (−9.3 to 3.1) | NA |
| Trial location | ||
| United States only | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Outside of United States only | 86 (−75 to 246) | NA |
| United States and outside of United States | −116 (−290 to 58) | NA |
| Manuscripts with ≥1 author primarily employed by private industry | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | −276 (−401 to −151) | −182 (−376 to 13) |
| Early stoppage of trial | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | −47 (−303 to 210) | NA |
| Trial registration and results reported at ClinicalTrials.gov | ||
| Yes | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| No or unregistered on any site | −30 (−173 to 112) | NA |
| Registered on a site other than ClinicalTrials.gov | 15 (−171 to 200) | NA |
| Favorability of findings for the treatment population relative to the control population | ||
| Favorable | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Unfavorable or inconclusive | 307 (179 to 436) | 235 (108 to 362) |
| Funding source | ||
| Government | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Nonprofit | 15 (−199 to 229) | 76 (−119 to 271) |
| Private industry | −266 (−415 to −117) | −74 (−297 to 149) |
| Government and nonprofit | −0.9 (−213 to 211) | 46 (−155 to 246) |
| Private industry and others (government or nonprofit) | 267 (30 to 504) | 191 (−43 to 425) |
| Government, nonprofit, and private industry | −17 (−251 to 286) | 219 (−49 to 487) |
| Follow-up duration (per day) | 0.6 (0.4 to 0.7) | 0.6 (0.5 to 0.8) |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
We selected variables that were significant in the bivariate analysis and included them in the multivariable analysis. We also adjusted for follow-up time in the multivariable analysis to account for the different follow-up time in these studies.
Estimates were statistically significant at P < .05.
Factors Associated With Enrollment Time (in Days) in Bivariate and Multivariable Analyses
| Factor | Coefficient (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Bivariate Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |
| Trial type | ||
| Drug | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Device | 170 (−155 to 496) | NA |
| Other | 63 (−108 to 235) | NA |
| No. of enrolled patients (per 1000) | −1.1 (−1.1 to 0.9) | NA |
| No. of trial centers | 0.4 (−0.3 to 1.0) | NA |
| No. of authors | 2.1 (−5.9 to 10) | NA |
| Trial location | ||
| United States only | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Outside of United States only | 148 (−62 to 358) | NA |
| United States and outside of United States | −91 (−320 to 138) | NA |
| Manuscripts with ≥1 author primarily employed by private industry | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | −457 (−618 to −297) | −566 (−827 to −306) |
| Early stoppage of trial | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | 35 (−285 to 355) | NA |
| Trial registration and results reported at ClinicalTrials.gov | ||
| Yes | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| No or unregistered on any site | 71 (−113 to 255) | NA |
| Registered on a site other than ClinicalTrials.gov | 3.1 (−236 to 242) | NA |
| Funding source | ||
| Government | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Nonprofit | 36 (−99 to 171) | −23 (−283 to 236) |
| Private industry | −157 (−251 to −63) | 156 (−136 to 448) |
| Government and nonprofit | −67 (−200 to 67) | 129 (−138 to 395) |
| Private industry and others (government or nonprofit) | −17 (−166 to 132) | 460 (152 to 768) |
| Government, nonprofit, and private industry | −175 (−344 to −6) | 676 (322 to 1031) |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
Only variables significant in the bivariate analysis were included in the multivariable analysis.
Estimates were statistically significant at P < .05.
Factors Associated With Publication Time (in Days) in Bivariate and Multivariable Analyses
| Factor | Coefficient (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Bivariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | |
| Trial type | ||
| Drug | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Device | −22 (−183 to 139) | NA |
| Other | 76 (−5.9 to 158) | NA |
| No. of enrolled patients (per 1000) | 0.6 (−0.3 to 1.4) | NA |
| No. of trial centers | −0.5 (−0.8 to −0.2) | −0.4 (−0.7 to −0.1) |
| No. of authors | −6.6 (−10.4 to −2.8) | −5.9 (−9.9 to −2.0) |
| Trial location | ||
| United States only | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Outside of United States only | 11 (−88 to 111) | 62.3 (−42 to 167) |
| United States and outside of United States | −123 (−231 to −16) | 30 (−104 to 164) |
| Manuscripts with ≥1 author primarily employed by private industry | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | −88 (−167 to −9) | 98 (−35 to 231) |
| Early stoppage of trial | ||
| No | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Yes | −115 (−274 to 44) | NA |
| Trial registration and results reported at ClinicalTrials.gov | ||
| Yes | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| No or unregistered on any site | −19 (−107 to 69) | NA |
| Registered on a site other than ClinicalTrials.gov | 70 (−45 to 185) | NA |
| Favorability of findings for the treatment population relative to the control population | ||
| Favorable | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Unfavorable or inconclusive | 93 (11 to 175) | 38 (−51 to 128) |
| Funding source | ||
| Government | 1 [Reference] | NA |
| Nonprofit | 36 (−98 to 171) | −4.5 (−145 to 136) |
| Private industry | −157 (−251 to −63) | −180 (−343 to −18) |
| Government and nonprofit | −67 (−200 to 67) | −63 (−201 to 75) |
| Private industry and others (government or nonprofit) | −17 (−166 to 133) | −27 (−184 to 131) |
| Government, nonprofit, and private industry | −175 (−344 to −6.3) | −167 (−351 to 17) |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
Only variables significant in the bivariate analysis were included in the multivariable analysis.
Estimates were statistically significant at P < .05.