| Literature DB >> 30524477 |
Monica Pantea1, Anca Negovan1, Claudia Banescu2, Simona Bataga1, Radu Neagoe3, Simona Mocan4, Mihaela Iancu5.
Abstract
AIM: We aimed to establish the independent predictive factors (from Helicobacter pylori infection, biliary reflux, histologic features of the gastric mucosa, drugs, comorbidities, and social habits) for gastric stump ulcer occurrence more than 15 years after surgery.Entities:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30524477 PMCID: PMC6247467 DOI: 10.1155/2018/8319481
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Gastroenterol Res Pract ISSN: 1687-6121 Impact factor: 2.260
Figure 1Flowchart of patient selection.
The distribution of independent variables of interest in the studied groups.
| Variables | Nonulcer group ( | Ulcer group ( |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| No. of cases (%) | No. of cases (%) | ||
|
| |||
| Female | 18 (32.7) | 6 (28.6) | 0.789 |
| Male | 37 (67.3) | 15 (71.4) | |
|
| |||
| <60 years | 15 (27.3) | 7 (33.3) | 0.778 |
| ≥60 years | 40 (72.7) | 14 (66.7) | |
|
| |||
| No | 46 (83.6) | 13 (61.9) | 0.064 |
| Yesb | 9 (16.4) | 8 (38.1) | |
|
| |||
| No | 34 (61.8) | 8 (38.1) | 0.063 |
| Yes | 21 (38.2) | 13 (61.9) | |
|
| |||
| No | 47 (85.5) | 16 (76.2) | 0.338 |
| Yes | 8 (14.5) | 5 (23.8) | |
|
| |||
| No | 51 (92.7) | 17 (81.0) | 0.135 |
| Yes | 4 (7.3) | 4 (19.0) | |
|
| |||
| No | 49 (89.1) | 17 (81.0) | 0.449 |
| Yes | 6 (10.9) | 4 (19.0) | |
|
| |||
| Negative | 47 (85.5) | 20 (95.2) | 0.430 |
| Positive | 8 (14.5) | 1 (4.8) | |
|
| |||
| No | 46 (83.6) | 11 (52.4) | 0.008 |
| Yes | 9 (16.4) | 10 (47.6) | |
|
| |||
| No | 23 (41.8) | 4 (19.0) | 0.106 |
| Yes | 32 (58.2) | 17 (81.0) | |
|
| |||
| No | 42 (76.4) | 15 (71.4) | 0.657 |
| Yes | 13 (23.6) | 6 (28.6) | |
|
| |||
| No | 42 (76.4) | 12 (57.1) | 0.156 |
| Yes | 13 (23.6) | 9 (42.9) | |
|
| |||
| No | 33 (60.0) | 10 (47.6) | 0.439 |
| Yes | 22 (40.0) | 11 (52.4) | |
|
| |||
| No | 44 (80.0) | 13 (61.9) | 0.139 |
| Yes | 11 (20.0) | 8 (38.1) | |
|
| |||
| No | 42 (76.4) | 13 (61.9) | 0.255 |
| Yes | 13 (23.6) | 8 (38.1) | |
|
| |||
| No | 21 (38.2) | 9 (42.9) | 0.795 |
| Yes | 34 (61.8) | 12 (57.1) | |
aObtained from chi-square or Fisher's exact test; bover 5 cigarettes/day including quitters during the past 5 years; cLDA = low-dose aspirin (75–125 mg/day); dNSAIDs: nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, regular daily doses; emore than 10 units/week, 1 unit = 10 ml pure alcohol; fsymptoms = at least one symptom from upper abdominal pain, heartburn, and nausea/vomiting.
Univariable odds ratio for considered independent variables of gastric ulcer.
| Variables |
| ORcrude | 95% CI [lower limit, upper limit] |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| Smokinga | 0.048∗ | 3.15 | [1.01, 9.93] |
| LDAb (no) | 0.067∗∗ | 2.63 | [0.95, 7.68] |
| Clopidrogrelum (no) | 0.341 | 1.84 | [0.49, 6.35] |
| NSAIDsc (no) | 0.149∗∗∗ | 3.00 | [0.65, 13.99] |
| Anticoagulants (no) | 0.353 | 1.92 | [0.45, 7.57] |
|
| 0.262 | 0.29 | [0.02, 1.76] |
| Alcohol consumptiond | 0.007∗ | 4.65 | [1.54, 14.60] |
| Biliary reflux (absent) | 0.071∗∗ | 3.05 | [0.98, 11.69] |
| Diabetes mellitus (absent) | 0.657 | 1.29 | [0.40, 3.93] |
| Chronic kidney disease (absent) | 0.103∗∗∗ | 2.42 | [0.83, 7.09] |
| Chronic liver disease (absent) | 0.332 | 1.65 | [0.60, 4.61] |
| Respiratory disease (absent) | 0.109∗∗∗ | 2.46 | [0.81, 7.45] |
| Osteoarthritis (absent) | 0.211∗∗∗ | 1.99 | [0.66, 5.85] |
| Symptomse | 0.709 | 0.82 | [0.30, 2.33] |
|
| |||
| Gender (female) | 0.728 | 1.22 | [0.42, 3.88] |
| Age (<60 years) | 0.603 | 0.75 | [0.26, 2.30] |
Note: the reference category for each variable was written in parenthesis. ‡Estimated significance level obtained from Wald's test; ∗p < 0.05, ∗∗p < 0.10, ∗∗∗p < 0.25. a<5 cigarettes/day, including quitters during the past 5 years; bLDA = low-dose aspirin (75–125 mg/day); cNSAIDs: nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, regular daily doses; dless than 10 units/week, 1 unit = 10 ml pure alcohol; esymptoms = the absence of any symptom from upper abdominal pain, heartburn, and nausea/vomiting; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval.
Multivariable odds ratio from the final logistic model of gastric ulcer.
| Variables | ORadj | 95% CI [lower limit, upper limit] |
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| NSAIDs (no) | 4.76 | [0.55, 43.65] | 0.132 |
|
| 0.35 | [0.02, 3.18] | 0.387 |
| Alcohol consumption (<10 U/week) | 6.68 | [1.29, 41.14] | 0.013 |
| Biliary reflux (absent) | 6.12 | [1.36, 38.26] | 0.026 |
| Chronic kidney disease (absent) | 3.45 | [0.84, 15.13] | 0.081 |
| Respiratory disease (absent) | 1.79 | [0.33, 9.43] | 0.405 |
| Osteoarthritis (absent) | 2.69 | [0.51, 14.73] | 0.242 |
|
| |||
| Gender (female) | 1.08 | [0.22, 5.48] | 0.911 |
| Age (<60 years) | 0.59 | [0.14, 2.58] | 0.425 |
Note: the reference category for each variable was written in parenthesis; ORadj = adjusted OR; ‡estimated significance level obtained from Wald's test; NSAIDs: nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; CI = confidence interval.
Figure 2Discrimination ability of the logistic model (ROC curve). Note: the area under the curve demonstrated a good discrimination ability of the logistic model (good capacity of the logistic model to predict ulcer gastric presence correctly). The graph also showed sensitivity values versus 1 − specificity values for different cut-off classification probability values.