| Literature DB >> 30443587 |
Supun Perera1, Michael G H Bell1, Michiel C J Bliemer1.
Abstract
Due to the increasingly complex and interconnected nature of global supply chain networks (SCNs), a recent strand of research has applied network science methods to model SCN growth and subsequently analyse various topological features, such as robustness. This paper provides: (1) a comprehensive review of the methodologies adopted in literature for modelling the topology and robustness of SCNs; (2) a summary of topological features of the real world SCNs, as reported in various data driven studies; and (3) a discussion on the limitations of existing network growth models to realistically represent the observed topological characteristics of SCNs. Finally, a novel perspective is proposed to mimic the SCN topologies reported in empirical studies, through fitness based generative network models.Entities:
Keywords: Fitness based attachment; Network science; Supply chain network modelling; Supply network topology and robustness
Year: 2017 PMID: 30443587 PMCID: PMC6214257 DOI: 10.1007/s41109-017-0053-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Appl Netw Sci ISSN: 2364-8228
Fig. 1Comparison of random, small-world and scale free networks. Topological structure of benchmark network models. Random and Small-world network topologies do not include hub nodes. In contrast, scale-free topologies are characterised by the presence of small number of highly connected hub nodes and a high number of feebly connected nodes. Presence of distinct hubs in scale-free networks make them more vulnerable to targeted attacks, compared to random and small-world networks
Fig. 2Modelling Perspectives obtained from Generative and Evolving Network Models
Fig. 3General methodological framework of research on topology and robustness of SCNs
Limitations of BA Model in Modelling SCNs
| Limitation | SCN modelling implication |
|---|---|
| Does not account for internal link formations (Barabasi, | In a SCN, new links may not only arrive with new firms but can be created between the pre-existing firms. |
| Cannot account for node deletion (Barabasi, | Firms may exit a given SCN over time. |
| An isolated node is unable to acquire any links since according to preferential attachment, the probability of a new node connecting to an isolated node is strictly zero (since the connection probability is governed by the existing number of connections). | In reality, any firm has a certain level of initial attractiveness. |
| Assumes that all firms within the supply network are homogeneous in nature with no differentiation other than the topological aspects (Hearnshaw and Wilson, | Real SCNs include firms with high levels of heterogeneity beyond the number of dealings or connections with other firms. |
| The key requirement of the preferential attachment rule is that every new node joining the network must possess complete and up-to-date information about the degrees of every existing node in the network. | Such information is unlikely to be readily available in a real world setting – for example, when considering a manufacturer for a new partnership, full information about the number of their current suppliers and clients is unlikely to be available (Smolyarenko, |
| Network growth by preferential attachment produces a decaying clustering coefficient as the network expands. | May not be a realistic representation of exchange relationships and concentration of power in firms within the real SCNs (Hearnshaw and Wilson, |
Key features of customised attachment rules used in literature
| Customised attachment Rule | Key features |
|---|---|
| Ad hoc attachment rules based on the military supply chain example, used by Thadakamalla et al. ( | Three types of nodes can enter the system in a pre-specified ratio. Each type of node has a specific number of links. Attachment rule depends on the type of node entering the system. The first link of a new node entering the system attaches to an existing node preferentially, based on the degree. The subsequent links, entering the system with each new node, attach randomly to a node at a pre-specified topological distance (also referred to as the ‘hop count’, which denotes the least number of links required to be traversed in order to reach a given node from another). |
| Degree and Locality based Attachment (DLA), used by Zhao et al. ( | A node entering the system considers both the degree and the distance of an existing node, when establishing connections. In particular, attachment preference for the first link arriving with each new node is calculated preferentially based on the degree of the existing nodes. If the node is allowed to initiate more than one link, the subsequent links will attach preferentially to existing nodes based on topological distance. Tunable parameters are used to control the responsiveness of attachment preference to both the degree and the topological distance. |
| Randomised Local Rewiring (RLR), used by Zhao et al. ( | This model is applied to an existing network, by iterating through all links and considering the nodes at either end of each link. With a predetermined rewiring probability, to control the extent of rewiring, each link will disconnect from the highest degree node it is currently connected with and reconnect with a randomly chosen node within a pre-specified maximum radius (which can either be geographical or topological). |
| Evolving model used by Zhang et al. ( | Start with a random network that consists of a pre-specified number of supply nodes with randomly assigned (x, y) coordinates. Supply and demand nodes are sequentially added to the system, according to a pre-specified supply-demand ratio. If the new node is a supply node, the first link will connect to an existing supply node in the system while other links are connected randomly to existing nodes. If the new node is a demand node, all links will connect with existing supply nodes in the system, with connection probability based on the product of degree and the geographical distance. Similar to DLA discussed above, tunable parameters are used to control the responsiveness of attachment preference to both the degree and the geographical distance. |
Summary of empirical studies of SCN topologies
| Study | Data source and SCNs considered | Key findings |
|---|---|---|
| Parhi ( | Customer-supplier linkage network in the Indian auto component industry has been considered (618 firms), using the data from the Auto Component Manufacturers Association of India. | The Indian auto component industry SCN was found to be scale free in topology, with a power-law exponent, γ = 2.52a. |
| Keqiang et al. ( | Guangzhou automotive industry supply chain network has been investigated. Data has been collected from 94 manufacturers, between November 2007 and January 2008. | Guangzhou automotive industry SCN was found to be scale-free in topology. Based on the data presented by the authors, we have calculated the power-law exponent of the degree distribution, γ to be 2.02. |
| Kim et al. ( | Three case studies of automotive supply networks (namely, Honda Accord, Acura CL/TL, and Daimler Chrysler Grand Cherokee) presented by Choi and Hong ( | This study has developed SCN constructs based on a number of key network and node level analysis metrics. In particular, the roles played by central firms, as identified by various network centrality measures, have been outlined in the context of SCNs. |
| Büttner et al. ( | Present network analysis results for a pork supply chain of a producer community in Northern Germany. Data has been obtained by the producer community for a period of 3 years. | Reports that the degree distribution of the SCN follows power law (in and out degree distributions follow power-law with power-law exponents, γ = 1.50 and γ = 1.00, respectively). Disassortative mixingb has been observed in terms of node degree. |
| Kito et al. ( | A SCN for Toyota has been constructed using the data available within an online database operated by Marklines Automotive Information Platform. | The authors have identified the tier structure of Toyota to be barrel-shaped, in contrast to the previously hypothesized pyramidal structure. Another fundamental observation reported in this study is that Toyota SCN topology was found to be not scale free. |
| Brintrup et al. ( | Airbus SCN data obtained from Bloomberg database. | Reports that the Airbus SCN illustrates power-law degree distribution, i.e. scale free topology, with a power-law exponent, γ = 2.25a. Assortative mixing was observed based on node degree and community structures were found based on geographic locations of the firms. |
| Gang et al. ( | Authors have investigated the urban SCN of agricultural products in mainland China. Data collection is based on author observations over 2 years. | The SCN of agricultural products was found to be scale free in topology, with a power-law exponent, γ = 2.75. High levels of disassortative mixingb has been observed in terms of node degree. |
| Orenstein ( | SCN data for food (General Mills, Kellogg’s and Mondelez) and retail (Nike, Lowes and Home Depot) industries have been obtained from Bloomberg database. | The SCNs considered in this study were found to have scale free topologies with γ < 2. In particular, for the food industry SCNs for General Mills, Kellogg’s and Mondelez were found to have γ = 1.25, 1.47 and 1.56, respectively. For the retail industry, the SCNs for Nike, Lowes and Home Depot were found to have γ = 1.83, 1.73 and 1.67, respectively. |
| Perera et al. ( | Analysis has been undertaken for 26 SCNs (which include more than 100 firms) out of 38 multi echelon SCNs presented in Willems ( | 22 out of the 26 SCNs analysed display 80% or higher correlation with a power-law fit, with power-law exponent γ = 2.4 (on average). Furthermore, these SCNs were found to be highly modularb and robust against random failures. Also, disassortative mixingb was observed on these SCNs. |
| Sun et al. ( | A GIS based SCN structure has been simulated for the automobile industry using the data of top twelve car brands of Chinese market in recent five years as basic parameters. | The Chinese automobile SCN simulated using real world data as basic parameters, indicates that the degree distribution conforms to the power-law, with a power-law exponent, γ = 3.32. |
aNote that in some research papers, the power-law exponent is presented for the cumulative degree distribution. In such cases, the power-law exponent of the degree distribution has been established by adding 1 to the power-law exponent of the cumulative degree distribution since the power-law exponent of the cumulative degree distribution is 1 less than the power-law exponent of the degree distribution (Newman, 2005). These instances have been identified with an asterisk in Table 2
bRefer to Appendix 1 for detailed definitions (including mathematical formulations) of these metrics
Fig. 4Transitions from random to winner-take-all graphs observed as σ parameter is increased
Network level metrics and their SCN implications
| Mathematical representation | SCN implication |
|---|---|
| Average degree (< | |
|
| Indicates, on average, how many connections a given firm has. Higher average degree implies good inter-connectivity among the firms in the SCN, which is favourable in terms of efficient exchange of information and material. |
| Network diameter | |
|
| The diameter of a SCN is the largest distance between any two firms in the network, in terms of number of intervening links on the shortest path. More complex manufacturing processes can include large network diameters (i.e. many stages of production) indicating difficulty in governing the overall SCN under a centralised authority. |
| Network density (D) | |
|
| Density of a SCN indicates the level of interconnectivity between the firms involved. SCNs with high density indicate good levels of connectivity between firms which can be favourable in terms of efficient information exchange and improved robustness due to redundancy and flexibility (Sheffi and Rice, |
| Network centralisation (C) | |
|
| Network centralisation provides a value for a given SCN between 0 (if all firms in the SCN have the same connectivity) and 1 (if the SCN has a star topology). This indicates how the operational authority is concentrated in a few central firms within the SCN. Highly centralised SCNs can have convenience in terms of centralised decision implementation and high level of controllability in production planning. However, highly centralised SCNs lack local responsiveness since relationships between firms in various tiers are decoupled (Kim et al., |
| Network heterogeneity (H) | |
|
| Heterogeneity is the coefficient of variation of the connectivity. Highly heterogeneous SCNs exhibit hub firms (i.e. firms with high number of contractual connections). In extreme cases, there may be many super large hubs (winner take all scenario, indicating centralised control of the overall SCN through a single firm or a very few firms). |
| Average clustering coefficient (<C>) | |
|
| Clustering coefficient indicates the degree to which firms in a SCN tend to cluster together around a given firm. For example, it can indicate how various suppliers behave with respect to the final assembler at the global level (Kim et al., |
| Power-law exponent ( | |
| The degree distribution | SCNs with |
| Assortativity ( | |
| Assortativity is defined as a correlation function of excess degree distributions and link distribution of a network. | Positive assortativity means that the firms with similar connectivity would have a higher tendency to connect with each other (for example, highly connected firms could be managing sub-communities in certain areas of production and then connect to other high-degree firms undertaking the same function). This structure can lead to cascading disruptions – where a disruption at one leaf node can spread quickly within the network through the connected hubs (Brintrup et al., |
| Modularity (Q) (Newman and Girvan, | |
|
| SCNs with high modularity contain pronounced communities – i.e. partially segregated subsystems or modules embedded within the overall SCN system (Ravasz et al., |
| Percolation threshold for random node removal ( | |
| The percolation threshold for random node removal is given as; | The percolation threshold of a SCN indicates the percentage of firms needed to be randomly removed prior to the overall SCN breaks into many disconnected components (when the giant component ceases to include all the nodes). In summary, this indicates the number of random firm failures that would drive the SCN from a connected state to a fragmented state (loss of overall interconnectivity). |
Node level metrics and their SCN implications
| Mathematical representation | SCN Implication |
|---|---|
| Degree ( | |
| The degree | Represents the number of direct neighbours (connections) a given firm has. For instance, in a given SCN, the firm with the highest degree (such as the integrators that assemble components) is deemed to have the largest impact on operational decisions and strategic behaviours of other firms in that particular SCN. Such a firm has the power to reconcile the differences between various other firms in the SCN and align their efforts with greater SCN goals (Kim et al., |
| Betweenness centrality (normalised) (Freeman, | |
| The betweenness centrality of a node | Betweenness centrality of a firm is the number of shortest path relationships going through it, considering the shortest path relationships that connect any two given firms in the SCN. Therefore, it indicates the extent to which a firm can intervene over interactions among other firms in the SCN by being a gatekeeper for relationships. Those firms with high levels of betweenness generally play a vital role in SCNs – mainly owing to their ability to increase the overall efficiency of the SCN by smoothing various exchange processes between firms. |
| Closeness centrality (Sabidussi, | |
| The closeness centrality of a node n is defined as; | Closeness centrality is a measure of the time that it takes to spread the information from a particular firm to the other firms in the network. While it is closely related to betweenness centrality, closeness more relevant in situations where a firm acts as a generator of information (i.e. a navigator) rather than a mere mediator/gatekeeper. |
| Eigenvector centrality (Ruhnau, | |
| If the centrality scores of nodes are given by the matrix X and the adjacency matrix of the network is A, then each row of matrix X, namely x, can be defined as; | Eigenvector centrality measures a firm’s influence in the SCN by taking into account the influence of its neighbours. The centrality scores are given by the eigenvector associated with the largest eigenvalue. It assumes that the centrality score of a firm is proportional to the sum of the centrality scores of the neighbours. A firm with a high eigenvector centrality is assumed to derive its influential power through its highly connected neighbours. |