| Literature DB >> 30426812 |
Sho Takagi1, Yuichiro Machida1, Takashi Kobata1, Daisuke Sakamoto2, Shigeru Sakamoto2, Tsugiyasu Kanda3.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to explore the association between circulating B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and other mortality-related factors in patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery.Entities:
Keywords: Log-transformed B-type natriuretic peptide; biomarker; cardiovascular surgery; linear regression analysis; mortality; prognosis; survival analysis
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30426812 PMCID: PMC6300974 DOI: 10.1177/0300060518809238
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Int Med Res ISSN: 0300-0605 Impact factor: 1.671
Baseline characteristics of patients undergoing the two interventions in the present study
| Cardiac surgery | Vascular surgery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Patients (n) | Mean or % | SD | Patients (n) | Mean or % | SD | P-value*1 | |
| Findings on admission | ||||||||
| Baseline age | Years | 127 | 71.0 | 10.7 | 70 | 77.8 | 9.1 | <0.001 |
| Sex | Male, n, % | 78 | 61.4 | 53 | 75.7 | 0.042 | ||
| Smoking | Yes, n, % | 58 | 45.7 | 49 | 70.0 | 0.001 | ||
| Emergency operation | Yes, n, % | 23 | 18.1 | 6 | 8.6 | 0.07 | ||
| Physiological findings | ||||||||
| Baseline body mass index | kg/m2 | 126 | 22.8 | 3.5 | 68 | 22.4 | 3.8 | 0.43 |
| Systolic blood pressure | mmHg | 127 | 126.0 | 21.1 | 70 | 124.1 | 17.4 | 0.515 |
| Diastolic blood pressure | mmHg | 127 | 71.6 | 14.3 | 70 | 68.9 | 12.7 | 0.193 |
| Pulse rate | bpm | 127 | 77.6 | 14.5 | 70 | 71.4 | 11.3 | 0.002 |
| Cardiothoracic ratio | % | 127 | 57.9 | 8.0 | 69 | 52.8 | 5.5 | <0.001 |
| Medical history | ||||||||
| Hypertension | Yes, n, % | 86 | 67.7 | 63 | 90.0 | 0.002 | ||
| Dyslipidemia | Yes, n, % | 43 | 34.1 | 29 | 41.4 | 0.31 | ||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes, n, % | 37 | 29.1 | 15 | 21.4 | 0.24 | ||
| Cardiac disorder | Yes, n, % | 57 | 44.9 | 26 | 37.1 | 0.29 | ||
| Respiratory dysfunction | Yes, n, % | 7 | 5.5 | 18 | 25.7 | <0.001 | ||
| Digestive disorder | Yes, n, % | 18 | 14.3 | 8 | 11.4 | 0.57 | ||
| Kidney disorder | Yes, n, % | 35 | 27.6 | 21 | 30.0 | 0.72 | ||
| Cerebrovascular disease | n, % | 30 | 23.8 | 23 | 32.9 | 0.17 | ||
| Nutritional status | ||||||||
| Prognostic nutritional index | 121 | 45.9 | 6.8 | 66 | 44.8 | 7.4 | 0.34 | |
| Blood biochemistry | ||||||||
| Estimated glomerular filtration rate | mL/min/1.73m2 | 126 | 61.1 | 26.1 | 70 | 59.8 | 24.4 | 0.73 |
| Aspartate aminotransferase | IU/L | 127 | 27.8 | 25.9 | 70 | 20.9 | 8.3 | 0.032 |
| Alanine aminotransferase | IU/L | 127 | 23.6 | 29.3 | 70 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 0.12 |
| Alkaline phosphatase | IU/L | 117 | 256.1 | 88.8 | 67 | 262.9 | 91.6 | 0.62 |
| γ-Guanosine triphosphate | IU/L | 127 | 42.3 | 39.9 | 69 | 32.1 | 27.1 | 0.06 |
| Total bilirubin | mg/dL | 124 | 0.71 | 0.48 | 69 | 0.60 | 0.38 | 0.09 |
| Total protein | g/dL | 126 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 69 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 0.39 |
| Median BNP (IQR) | pg/mL | 127 | 124.3 | 45.8–379.4† | 70 | 71.5 | 39.3–189.4† | <0.001*2 |
| Log-transformed BNP | 1 | 127 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 70 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.025 |
| Inverse-transformed BNP as above | pg/mL | 127 | 128.0 | 99.5–164.7‡ | 70 | 79.0 | 60.6–103.1‡ | |
SD, standard deviation; BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; IQR, interquartile range.
Comparison of patients treated with cardiac surgery with those treated with vascular surgery was performed by *1the paired t-test or Fisher’s exact two-tailed test or *2the Wilcoxon rank sum test. †25% to 75% percentile, ‡95% confidence intervals
Estimated log-transformed BNP from multilevel linear regression
| Model 0 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | ||
| Fixed-effect parameters (2a) | |||||||||||||
| Time point | Admission | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | |||||||
| Discharge | −0.27 | 0.09 | −0.26 | 0.09 | −0.34 | 0.10 | −0.43 | 0.11 | −0.39 | 0.11 | |||
| 1 month after discharge | −0.29 | 0.10 | −0.26 | 0.10 | −0.24 | 0.11 | −0.24 | 0.11 | −0.22 | 0.11 | |||
| >1 month after discharge | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.12 | |||
| Intervention groups | Vascular surgery | −0.39 | 0.18 | −0.34 | 0.17* | −0.26 | 0.16 | −0.23 | 0.17 | −0.21 | 0.17 | ||
| Interaction | Admission × vascular surgery | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | |||||||
| Discharge × vascular surgery | −0.02 | 0.15 | −0.03 | 0.15 | −0.13 | 0.16 | −0.17 | 0.16 | −0.24 | 0.17 | |||
| 1 month × vascular surgery | 0.42 | 0.17 | 0.40 | 0.17* | 0.28 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.18 | |||
| >1 month × vascular surgery | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.004 | 0.19 | −0.01 | 0.19 | −0.06 | 0.19 | −0.10 | 0.19 | |||
| Findings on admission | |||||||||||||
| Baseline age | 1 year | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.03 | ||
| Sex | Female | 0.30 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 0.19* | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 0.18 | ||
| Smoking | Yes | 0.14 | 0.20 | −0.06 | 0.18 | −0.08 | 0.17 | −0.09 | 0.16 | −0.11 | 0.16 | ||
| Emergency operation | Yes | 0.87 | 0.22 | 0.78 | 0.20 | 0.55 | 0.20 | 0.51 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.19 | ||
| Medical history | |||||||||||||
| Hypertension | Yes | −0.13 | 0.17 | −0.07 | 0.16 | −0.08 | 0.15 | −0.08 | 0.15 | ||||
| Dyslipidemia | Yes | −0.19 | 0.15 | −0.10 | 0.14 | −0.09 | 0.14 | −0.07 | 0.14 | ||||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.15 | ||||
| Cardiac disorder | Yes | 0.44 | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.14 | 0.35 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 0.13 | ||||
| Respiratory dysfunction | Yes | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.20 | 0.42 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 0.19 | ||||
| Digestive disorder | Yes | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.18 | ||||
| Kidney disorder | Yes | 0.59 | 0.16 | 0.60 | 0.15 | 0.55 | 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.16 | ||||
| Cerebrovascular disease | Yes | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.14 | ||||
| Physiological findings | |||||||||||||
| Body mass index | 1 kg/m2 | −0.06 | 0.02 | −0.05 | 0.02 | −0.05 | 0.02 | ||||||
| Systolic blood pressure | 5 mmHg | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.02 | ||||||
| Pulse rate | 10 bpm | −0.001 | 0.006 | −0.001 | 0.006 | −0.003 | 0.006 | ||||||
| Cardiothoracic ratio | 5% | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.28 | 0.04 | 0.28 | 0.04 | ||||||
| Nutritional status | |||||||||||||
| Prognostic nutritional index | −0.08 | 0.03 | −0.07 | 0.03 | |||||||||
| Blood biochemistry | |||||||||||||
| Estimated glomerular filtration rate | 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 | −0.039 | 0.020 | ||||||||||
| Aspartate aminotransferase | 10 IU/L | 0.004 | 0.005 | ||||||||||
| Alkaline phosphatase | 10 IU/L | 0.0001 | 0.0033 | ||||||||||
| γ-Guanosine triphosphate | 10 IU/L | 0.008 | 0.008 | ||||||||||
| Total bilirubin | 1 mg/dl | −0.012 | 0.063 | ||||||||||
| Intercept | 4.57 | 0.08 | 4.21 | 0.36 | 3.87 | 0.36 | 4.23 | 0.33 | 4.28 | 0.33 | 4.38 | 0.34 | |
| Random-effect parameters (2b) | |||||||||||||
| Individual-level variance | Slope variance | 0.034 | 0.013 | 0.041 | 0.012 | 0.036 | 0.011 | 0.020 | 0.009 | 0.015 | 0.009 | 0.008 | 0.009 |
| Intercept variance | 1.031 | 0.137 | 0.784 | 0.113 | 0.566 | 0.090 | 0.443 | 0.074 | 0.426 | 0.073 | 0.435 | 0.073 | |
| Residual variance | 0.548 | 0.042 | 0.495 | 0.038 | 0.507 | 0.039 | 0.487 | 0.037 | 0.501 | 0.039 | 0.505 | 0.040 | |
| Z-score | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 6.0 | |||||||
| Intraclass correlation coefficient | 65.3% | 61.3% | 52.7% | 47.6% | 46.0% | 46.3% | |||||||
| Proportional changes in variance (%) | – | 24.0% | 45.2% | 57.1% | 58.7% | 57.8% | |||||||
| Model fit statistics (2c) | |||||||||||||
| Log likelihood | −1021.9 | −982.0 | −946.5 | −828.9 | −813.2 | −784.3 | |||||||
| AIC | 2051.8 | 1994.1 | 1938.9 | 1711.8 | 1682.4 | 1634.6 | |||||||
| BIC | 2070.0 | 2062.5 | 2043.4 | 1832.1 | 1806.6 | 1780.0 | |||||||
BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; Coeff., coefficient; SE, standard error; AIC, Akaike’s information criterion; BIC, Bayesian information criterion
**P < 0.05, *P < 0.10
Multilevel analysis of two outcomes related to survival data
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis (n = 188) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-cause death | All-cause death | Vascular death | |||||||||
| Variable | Reference or per increased | Patients (n) | HR | SE | P-value | HR | SE | P-value | HR | SE | P-value |
| Strategy for therapeutic intervention | |||||||||||
| Vascular surgery | Cardiac surgery | 196 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 2.02 | 1.32 | 0.28 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 0.65 |
| Findings on admission | |||||||||||
| Sex | Male | 196 | 0.57 | 0.28 | 0.26 | ||||||
| Baseline age | 5 years | 196 | 1.28 | 0.15 | 0.028 | 1.27 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1.01 | 0.24 | 0.98 |
| Smoking | Yes | 196 | 2.48 | 1.14 | 0.047 | 4.87 | 2.98 | 0.009 | 5.77 | 5.20 | 0.052 |
| Emergency operation | Yes | 196 | 46.5 | 24.5 | <0.001 | 8.26 | 6.34 | 0.006 | 7.33 | 7.99 | 0.07 |
| Medical history | |||||||||||
| Hypertension | Yes | 196 | 2.75 | 1.55 | 0.07 | ||||||
| Dyslipidemia | Yes | 195 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.54 | ||||||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes | 196 | 1.51 | 0.74 | 0.40 | ||||||
| Cardiac disorder | Yes | 196 | 1.23 | 0.56 | 0.64 | ||||||
| Respiratory dysfunction | Yes | 196 | 1.10 | 0.81 | 0.90 | ||||||
| Digestive disorder | Yes | 195 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.39 | ||||||
| Kidney disorder | Yes | 196 | 7.13 | 3.32 | <0.001 | 1.50 | 0.93 | 0.52 | 1.96 | 1.79 | 0.46 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | Yes | 195 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 0.81 | ||||||
| Physiological findings | |||||||||||
| Body mass index | 1 kg/m2 | 193 | 0.85 | 0.04 | 0.001 | 1.01 | 0.07 | 0.87 | 1.02 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
| Systolic blood pressure | 10 mmHg | 193 | 0.98 | 0.12 | 0.84 | ||||||
| Diastolic blood pressure | 10 mmHg | 193 | 0.57 | 0.10 | 0.001 | 1.16 | 0.28 | 0.55 | 0.99 | 0.36 | 0.99 |
| Pulse rate | 5 bpm | 193 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.59 | ||||||
| Cardiothoracic ratio | 5% | 195 | 1.43 | 0.15 | 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.98 | 1.16 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
| Nutritional status | |||||||||||
| Prognostic nutritional index | 193 | 2.02 | 0.37 | <0.001 | 1.46 | 0.28 | 0.046 | 1.45 | 0.43 | 0.21 | |
| Blood biochemistry | |||||||||||
| Estimated glomerular filtration rate | 10 mL/min/1.73m2 | 194 | 0.66 | 0.06 | <0.001 | 1.03 | 0.13 | 0.83 | 1.14 | 0.18 | 0.41 |
| Aspartate aminotransferase | 10 IU/L | 195 | 1.02 | 0.00 | <0.001 | ||||||
| Alanine aminotransferase | 10 IU/L | 195 | 1.03 | 0.01 | 0.002 | 0.99 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 0.41 |
| Alkaline phosphatase | 10 IU/L | 193 | 1.02 | 0.00 | <0.001 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.53 | 1.02 | 0.02 | 0.33 |
| γ-Guanosine triphosphate | 10 IU/L | 195 | 1.04 | 0.01 | <0.001 | 1.02 | 0.04 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.98 |
| Total bilirubin | 1 mg/dl | 195 | 1.33 | 0.07 | <0.001 | 0.73 | 0.12 | 0.058 | 0.59 | 0.17 | 0.073 |
| Total protein | 1 g/dl | 195 | 0.21 | 0.04 | <0.001 | ||||||
| Log-transformed BNP | 1 | 196 | 1.98 | 0.21 | <0.001 | 2.07 | 0.52 | 0.004 | 3.10 | 1.20 | 0.004 |
HR, hazard ratio; SE, standard error; BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide