| Literature DB >> 30402113 |
John Tetteh1,2, Wisdom Kwami Takramah1, Martin Amogre Ayanore2,3, Augustine Adoliba Ayanore4, Elijah Bisung5, Josiah Alamu6.
Abstract
About 22% of childhood deaths in developing countries are attributable to diarrhea. In poor resource settings, diarrhea morbidities are correlated with poverty and socio-contextual factors. Diarrhea rates in Ghana are reported to be high, with cases estimated at 113,786 among children under-five years in 2011. This study analyzed the trends of diarrhea morbidity outcomes in the Jasikan District of Ghana. A retrospective analysis of records on diarrhea data for a five years' period (January 2012 to December 2016) was undertaken. There was a total of 17740 diarrhea case reports extracted from District Health Information Management System (DHIMS) II database in an Excel format which was then exported to Stata version 14 for data cleaning, verification, and analysis. Excel version 2016 was used to plot the actual observed cases by years to assess trends and seasonality. There was a period incidence rate of 272.02 per 1000 persons with a decreasing annual growth rate of 1.85%. Declines for diarrhea generally occurred from November to December and increased from January upwards, evidence that most cases of diarrhea in this study were reported in the harmattan season. High incidence of diarrhea was found to be common among under-five children and among females. Decreasing trend of diarrhea incidence which was identified in this research within the five years' period understudied shows that, by the year 2020, there will be a sharp decline in the incidence rate of diarrhea reported cases in Jasikan District, given improvements in the external environmental conditions in the district, all things being equal.Entities:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30402113 PMCID: PMC6198541 DOI: 10.1155/2018/4863607
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Trop Med ISSN: 1687-9686
Figure 8Map of Jasikan District. Source: GSS [24].
Demographic characteristics of diarrhea cases in Jasikan District from 2012-2016.
| Demographic variable | Year of diarrhea incidence | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | ||
| N=3750 | N=3200 | N=4268 | N=3107 | N=3415 | N=17740 | |
| N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 1738(46.3) | 1462(45.7) | 1825(42.8) | 1326(42.7) | 1613(47.2) | 7982(45.0) |
| Female | 2012(53.7) | 1738(54.3) | 2443(57.2) | 1781(57.3) | 1802(52.8) | 9758(55.0) |
| Age grouping | ||||||
| <5 | 2146(57.2) | 1772(55.4) | 2204(51.6) | 1679(54.0) | 1755(51.4) | 9556(53.9) |
| 5-14 | 362(9.7) | 381(11.9) | 550(12.9) | 342(11.0) | 458(13.4) | 2093(11.8) |
| 15-19 | 152(4.1) | 164(5.1) | 193(4.5) | 105(3.4) | 137(4.0) | 751(4.2) |
| 20-34 | 408(10.9) | 334(10.4) | 521(12.2) | 347(11.2) | 355(10.4) | 1965(11.1) |
| 35-59 | 385(10.3) | 356(11.1) | 485(11.4) | 414(13.3) | 383(11.2) | 2023(11.4) |
| 60+ | 297(7.9) | 193(6.0) | 315(7.4) | 220(7.1) | 327(9.6) | 1352(7.6) |
Diarrhea annual incidence rate in Jasikan District from 2012 to 2016.
| Year | Incidence | PR | IR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 3750 | 62176 | 60.31 |
| 2013 | 3200 | 63731 | 50.21 |
| 2014 | 4268 | 65326 | 65.33 |
| 2015 | 3107 | 66958 | 46.40 |
| 2016 | 3415 | 68632 | 49.76 |
| Total | 17740 | 326823 | 272.0179 |
Source: data extracted from the District DHIMS II and Jasikan District Health Directorate. Note: PR=population at risk, IR= incidence rate per 1000.
Figure 1Incidence rate of diarrhea cases in Jasikan District from 2012 to 2016.
Figure 2Yearly monthly patterns of diarrhea incidence in Jasikan District from 2012 to 2016.
Figure 3Percent incidence of diarrhea case in Jasikan District showing 95% confidence interval from 2012 to 2016 among age groups.
Children under-five population incidence rate of diarrhea cases by sex in the Jasikan District from 2012-2016.
| Year | Both sexes | Male | Female | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incidence | PR | IR | Incidence | PR | IR | Incidence | PR | IR | |
| 2012 | 2146 | 9099 | 235.85 | 1139 | 4525 | 251.71 | 1007 | 4574 | 220.16 |
| 2013 | 1772 | 9436 | 187.79 | 979 | 4693 | 208.61 | 793 | 4744 | 167.16 |
| 2014 | 2204 | 9773 | 225.52 | 1158 | 4860 | 238.27 | 1046 | 4912 | 212.95 |
| 2015 | 1679 | 10110 | 166.07 | 879 | 5028 | 174.82 | 800 | 5082 | 157.42 |
| 2016 | 1755 | 10447 | 167.99 | 977 | 5196 | 188.03 | 778 | 5252 | 148.13 |
|
| |||||||||
| Total | 9556 | 48865 | 195.56 | 5132 | 24302 | 211.18 | 4424 | 24563 | 180.11 |
Source: Data extracted from the District DHIMS II and Jasikan District Health Directorate. NOTE: PR=Population at Risk, IR= Incidence Rate per 1000
Figure 4Under-five percentage incidence of diarrhea in Jasikan District (2012-2016).
Figure 5Yearly monthly patterns of diarrhea incidence among children under-five in Jasikan District from 2012 to 2016.
Figure 6Yearly sex incidence rate of diarrhea cases in Jasikan District showing 95% confidence interval from 2012 to 2016.
Figure 7Yearly seasonal trend of diarrhea incidence in Jasikan District (2012-2016).
Forecasting trend of diarrhea incidence from 2017-2020.
| Year | Time | Incidence |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 6 | 3319.1 |
| 2018 | 7 | 3242.8 |
| 2019 | 8 | 3166.5 |
| 2020 | 9 | 3090.2 |