| Literature DB >> 30301172 |
Ari Whiteman1,2, Eric Delmelle3, Tyler Rapp4, Shi Chen5, Gang Chen6, Michael Dulin7,8,9.
Abstract
Climate change, urbanization, and globalization have facilitated the spread of Aedes mosquitoes into regions that were previously unsuitable, causing an increased threat of arbovirus transmission on a global scale. While numerous studies have addressed the urban ecology of Ae. albopictus, few have accounted for socioeconomic factors that affect their range in urban regions. Here we introduce an original sampling design for Ae. albopictus, that uses a spatial optimization process to identify urban collection sites based on both geographic parameters as well as the gradient of socioeconomic variables present in Mecklenburg County, North Carolina, encompassing the city of Charlotte, a rapidly growing urban environment. We collected 3,645 specimens of Ae. albopictus (87% of total samples) across 12 weeks at the 90 optimized site locations and modelled the relationships between the abundance of gravid Ae. albopictus and a variety of neighborhood socioeconomic attributes as well as land cover characteristics. Our results demonstrate that the abundance of gravid Ae. albopictus is inversely related to the socioeconomic status of the neighborhood and directly related to both landscape heterogeneity as well as proportions of particular resident races/ethnicities. We present our results alongside a description of our novel sampling scheme and its usefulness as an approach to urban vector epidemiology. Additionally, we supply recommendations for future investigations into the socioeconomic determinants of vector-borne disease risk.Entities:
Keywords: health disparities; optimization; social determinants of health; vector-borne disease
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30301172 PMCID: PMC6210768 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15102179
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Location of Mecklenburg County and Charlotte city limits in North Carolina (NPA = Neighborhood Planning Area).
Figure 2These nine variables, broken into quintiles, were used in the optimization process to identify NPAs suitable for surveying.
Figure 3Histogram for each of nine variables used in the optimization process, using all NPAs. The red lines indicate the limits of each quintile.
Figure 4Histogram for each of nine variables using the 90 sites selected in the optimization process (x-axis: standardized variable value; y-axis: count).
Quintile ranges for each of the nine variables used in the optimization process and number of sample points within each range.
| Variable | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socioeconomic Status | [0–0.305) | [0.305–0.401) | [0.401–0.491) | [0.491–0.603) | [0.603–1) |
| 19 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 17 | |
| Population density | [0–0.0645) | [0.0645–0.129) | [0.129–0.161) | [0.161–0.225) | [0.225–1) |
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 34 | |
| Employment rate | [0–0.708) | [0.708–0.810) | [0.810–0.856) | [0.856–0.916) | [0.916–1) |
| 20 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 14 | |
| Tree canopy cover | [0–0.388) | [0.388–0.508) | [0.508–0.579) | [0.579–0.674) | [0.674–1) |
| 23 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 15 | |
| Foreclosure rate | [0–0.016) | [0.016–0.032) | [0.032–0.072) | [0.072–1) | |
| 43 | 15 | 18 | 14 | ||
| Violent crime rate | [0–0.005) | [0.005–0.017) | [0.017–0.043) | [0.043–0.103) | [0.103–1) |
| 15 | 15 | 19 | 24 | 17 | |
| African Americans (%) | [0–0.062) | [0.062–0.172) | [0.172–0.349) | [0.349–0.519) | [0.519–1) |
| 11 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 13 | |
| Hispanic (%) | [0–0.047) | [0.047–0.083) | [0.083–0.127) | [0.127–0.239) | [0.239–1) |
| 18 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 31 | |
| Proximity to park | [0–0.08) | [0.08–0.36) | [0.36–0.68) | [0.68–0.97) | [0.97–1) |
| 17 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 20 | |
Results from the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test comparing the distribution of the nine variables with exhaustive and optimized sample, respectively. The p-value indicates the significance level.
| Variable | (at 1%) | |
|---|---|---|
|
|
| |
| Socioeconomic Status | 0 | 0.4493 |
| Population Density | 1 | 0.0001 |
| Employment Rate | 0 | 0.9074 |
| Tree Canopy | 0 | 0.2081 |
| Foreclosure Rate | 0 | 0.9950 |
| Violent Crime Rate | 0 | 0.4321 |
| Percent African American | 0 | 0.4374 |
| Percent Latino | 0 | 0.0488 |
| Proximity to Park | 0 | 0.9652 |
Figure 5Illustration of Phase 2 mechanism in the optimization procedure. If a sampling unit at i = 12 is selected, it will “cover” neighborhoods j = 7, 8, 9, 12 and 13.
Figure 6Location of selected NPAs.
Figure 7Average number of gravid Ae. albopictus caught each week from 26 May 2017 to 21 August 2017.
Results of the first GLM predicting the abundance of gravid Ae. Albopictus.
| Independent Variable | Source | Coefficient |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing Density | CQOLS | −0.021 | <0.01 |
| Socioeconomic percentile | CQOLS | −0.731 | <0.01 |
| Foreclosure rate | CQOLS | 0.050 | <0.01 |
| Violent crime rate | CQOLS | 0.005 | <0.01 |
| Percent of residents Hispanic | CQOLS | 0.007 | <0.01 |
Results of the second GLM predicting the abundance of gravid Ae. Albopictus.
| Independent Variable | Source | Coefficient |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing Density | CQOLS | −0.107 | <0.01 |
| Socioeconomic percentile | CQOLS | −2.274 | <0.01 |
| Foreclosure rate | CQOLS | 0.241 | <0.01 |
| Violent crime rate | CQOLS | 0.039 | <0.01 |
| Percent of residents Hispanic | CQOLS | 0.033 | <0.01 |
| Percent of land covered by buildings | Mecklenburg County GIS | −4.938 | <0.01 |
| Percent of land covered by roads/railroads | Mecklenburg County GIS | −11.98 | <0.01 |
| Percent of land covered by grass/shrubs | Mecklenburg County GIS | −5.681 | <0.01 |
| Percent of land covered by tree canopy | Mecklenburg County GIS | −2.698 | <0.01 |
| Shannon diversity index: land cover types | Mecklenburg County GIS | 1.718 | <0.01 |
Figure 8Sum of gravid A. albopictus caught over 12 weeks in each selected NPA (small circle: fewer total samples; large circle: more total samples).
RMSE as calculated by Crossfold model validation.
| Model Run | RMSE | Psuedo-R2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.354 | 0.075 |
| 2 | 4.744 | 0.048 |
| 3 | 4.142 | 0.053 |
| 4 | 5.112 | 0.062 |
| 5 | 4.891 | 0.044 |