| Literature DB >> 30286694 |
Clare Kreiter1, Marie O'Shea2, Catherine Bruen3, Paul Murphy4, Teresa Pawlikowska5.
Abstract
While medical educators appear to believe that admission to the medical school should be governed, at least in part, by human judgement, there has been no systematic presentation of evidence suggesting it improves selection. From a fair testing perspective, legal, ethical, and psychometric considerations, all dictate that the scientific evidence regarding human judgement in selection should be given consideration. To investigate the validity of using human judgements in admissions, multi-disciplinary meta-analytic research evidence from the wider literature is combined with studies from within medical education to provide evidence regarding the fairness and validity of using interviews and holistic review in medical school admissions. Fourteen studies, 6 of which are meta-analytic studies that summarized 292 individual studies, were included in the final review. Within these studies, a total of 33 studies evaluated the reliability of the traditional interview. These studies reveal that the interview has low to moderate reliability (~.42) which significantly limits its validity. This is confirmed by over 100 studies examining interview validity which collectively show interview scores to be moderately correlated with important outcome variables (corrected value ~.29). Meta-analyses of over 150 studies demonstrate that mechanical/formula-based selection decisions produce better results than decisions made with holistic/clinical methods (human judgement). Three conclusions regarding the use of interviews and holistic review are provided by these meta-analyses. First, it is clear that the traditional interview has low reliability and that this significantly limits its validity. Second, the reliable variance from interview scores appears moderately predictive of outcomes that are relevant to consider in medical school admission. And third, the use of holistic review as a method of incorporating human judgement is not a valid alternative to mechanical/statistical approaches as the evidence clearly indicates that mechanistic methods are more predictive, reliable, cost efficient, and transparent.Entities:
Keywords: Admissions; admission interviews; holistic review; medical education; meta-analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30286694 PMCID: PMC6179055 DOI: 10.1080/10872981.2018.1522225
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Med Educ Online ISSN: 1087-2981
Figure 1.Data search methods.
Estimates of traditional (unstructured/semi-structured) selection interview reliability.
| Study [reference no.] | Application | Type of study ( | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huffcutt [ | Personnel selection/employment | Meta-analysis | |
| Kreiter et al. [ | Medical school admissions | G study | |
| Axelson et al. [ | Medical school admissions | G study | |
| Shaw et al. [ | Medical school admissions | Repeat Interviews – alpha coeff. | |
| Hanson et al [ | Medical school spec program admission | G study | |
| Weighted average | (33) {2325} | ||
| Upper limit on validity |
The validity of traditional (unstructured/semi-structured) selection interviews for predicting academic, clinical, and employment outcomes.
| Study [reference no.] | Application | Type of study (no. of coefficients) {no. of applicants} | Observed correlation | Corrected validity coefficients |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goho et al. [ | Academic health care – post-secondary admission | Meta-analysis – academic perform. | ||
| Goho et al. [ | Academic health care – post-secondary admission | Meta-analysis – clinical perform. | ||
| McDaniel et al. [ | Employment | Meta-analysis – job performance. | ||
| Le & Schmidt year [ | Employment | Meta-analysis – job performance | ||
| Kulatunga, et al. [ | Medical school admissions | LMCC I & II communication/clinical-academic | ||
| Al-Nasir et al. [ | Medical school admissions | First-year grade | ||
| Murden et al. [ | Medical school admission | Clerkship perform. | ||
| Meredith et al. [ | Medical school admission | Clerkship perform/licensure (1) {85} | ||
| Average (a) | (106) {24,771} |
Summary of meta-analytic studies of the mean effect size difference between mechanical (algorithmic/formulistic/statistical) vs. clinical (holistic/subjective) decisions.
| Study | Application | Sample sizes (No. of Studies) {No. of subjects} | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grove et al. [ | Health-related, diagnosis, prognosis/psychological, behavioural | (136) | (.52 – .43) = + .09 |
| Kuncel [ | Job performance | (9) | (.44 – .28) = + .16 |
| Kuncel [ | Academic selection – GPA | (6) | (.58 – .48) = + .10 |
| Kuncel [ | Work attainment, work training, non-grade acad. | (10) | (.40 – .33) = + .07 |
| Across applications | (161) | ESD = + .11 |