| Literature DB >> 30242969 |
Yongmei Yang1, Ailin Qu1, Rui Zhao1, Mengmeng Hua2, Xin Zhang1, Zhaogang Dong1, Guixi Zheng1, Hongwei Pan1, Hongchun Wang1, Xiaoyun Yang3, Yi Zhang1.
Abstract
The current tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging system is inadequate for identifying high-risk gastric cancer (GC) patients. Using a systematic and comprehensive-biomarker discovery and validation approach, we attempted to build a microRNA (miRNA)-recurrence classifier (MRC) to improve the prognostic prediction of GC. We identified 312 differentially expressed miRNAs in 446 GC tissues compared to 45 normal controls by analyzing high-throughput data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Using a Cox regression model, we developed an 11-miRNA signature that could successfully discriminate high-risk patients in the training set (n = 372; P < 0.0001). Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction-based validation in an independent clinical cohort (n = 88) of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded clinical GC samples showed that MRC-derived high-risk patients succumb to significantly poor recurrence-free survival in GC patients (P < 0.0001). Cox and stratification analysis indicated that the prognostic value of this signature was independent of clinicopathological risk factors. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed that the area under the curve of this signature was significantly larger than that of TNM stage in the TCGA (0.733 vs. 0.589 at 3 years, P = 0.004; 0.802 vs. 0.635 at 5 years, P = 0.005) and validation cohort (0.835 vs. 0.689 at 3 years, P = 0.003). A nomogram was constructed for clinical use, which integrated both MRC and clinical-related variables (depth of invasion, lymph node status and distance metastasis) and did well in the calibration plots. In conclusion, this novel miRNA-based signature is superior to currently used clinicopathological features for identifying high-risk GC patients. It can be readily translated into clinical practice with formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded specimens for specific decision-making applications.Entities:
Keywords: gastric cancer; miRNA signature; prediction; prognosis; recurrence-free survival
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30242969 PMCID: PMC6275280 DOI: 10.1002/1878-0261.12385
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Mol Oncol ISSN: 1574-7891 Impact factor: 6.603
Figure 1Risk score by the 11‐miRNA classifier, time‐dependent ROC curves and Kaplan–Meier survival in the training set (A–C) and validation set (D–F).
Variables associated with RFS according to the Cox proportional hazards regression model
| Variable | Univariable analysis | Multivariable analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio | 95% CI |
| Hazard ratio | 95% CI |
| |
| Age | 1.01 | 0.997–1.024 | 0.148 | |||
| Sex | ||||||
| Male vs. female | 1.272 | 0.935–1.731 | 0.126 | |||
|
| ||||||
| Yes vs. no | 0.435 | 0.175–1.079 | 0.072 | |||
| Histologic grade | ||||||
| G1 | Ref | – | – | |||
| G2 | 0.5742 | 0.180–1.838 | 0.350 | |||
| G3 | 0.8426 | 0.268–2.652 | 0.770 | |||
| Stage | ||||||
| Stage I | Ref | – | – | |||
| Stage II | 1.383 | 0.784–2.441 | 0.263 | |||
| Stage III | 2.005 | 1.180–3.408 | 0.010 | |||
| Stage IV | 3.447 | 1.839–6.462 | 0.000 | |||
| T | ||||||
| T1 | Ref | – | – | Ref | – | – |
| T2 | 4.014 | 1.240–13.00 | 0.020 | 2.869 | 0.880–9.349 | 0.080 |
| T3 | 4.173 | 1.322–13.18 | 0.015 | 2.378 | 0.740–7.648 | 0.146 |
| T4 | 4.055 | 1.265–13.00 | 0.018 | 2.107 | 0.643–6.900 | 0.218 |
| N | ||||||
| N0 | Ref | – | – | Ref | – | – |
| N1 | 1.86 | 1.237–2.797 | 0.003 | 1.593 | 1.049–2.421 | 0.029 |
| N2 | 1.739 | 1.115–2.711 | 0.015 | 1.586 | 1.009–2.494 | 0.046 |
| N3 | 2.676 | 1.769–4.047 | 0.000 | 2.114 | 1.371–3.261 | 0.001 |
| M | ||||||
| M1 vs. M0 | 1.968 | 1.158–3.344 | 0.012 | 2.048 | 1.174–3.573 | 0.012 |
| MRC | ||||||
| High vs. low | 2.492 | 1.867–3.326 | 0.000 | 2.327 | 1.731–3.129 | 0.000 |
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier survival analysis according to the 11‐miRNA classifier stratified by clinicopathological risk factors in the TCGA cohort. (A, B) TNM stage. (C, D) T stage. (E, F) lymph node status. (G, H) M stage. P values were calculated using the log‐rank test.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier survival analysis according to the 11‐miRNA classifier stratified by clinicopathological risk factors in the validation cohort. (A, B) TNM stage. (C, D) T stage. (E, F) lymph node status.
Figure 4Time‐dependent ROC curves to compare the prognostic accuracy of the 11‐miRNA classifier with tumor stage in the training cohort (A, B) and validation cohort (C).
Figure 5The nomogram to predict probability of RFS for CRC patients in the training set. (A) The nomogram for predicting the proportion of patients with RFS. (B) The calibration plot of the nomogram for the probability of RFS at 3 years. (C) Time‐dependent ROC based on the nomogram for recurrence probability. AUC = 0.754. Nomogram‐predicted probability of recurrence is plotted on the x‐axis and observed recurrence is plotted on the y‐axis. The red line represents our nomogram and the vertical bars represent the 95% CI.