| Literature DB >> 30211329 |
Kerri Pedersen1, Brandon S Schmit1, Thomas J DeLiberto1, Jason R Suckow2, Amy J Davis1, Dennis Slate3, Richard B Chipman3, Robert L Hale4, Amy T Gilbert1.
Abstract
Distribution of oral rabies vaccine baits has been used as a strategy for managing rabies in the United States since the 1990s. Since that time, efforts have been made to improve baiting strategies with a focus on bait density to maximize both efficiency and cost effectiveness. An optimal rabies management strategy includes a vaccine bait preferred by the target species that is distributed at the minimal density needed to achieve population immunity to prevent rabies spread. The purpose of our pilot study was to examine the effect of 75, 150, and 300 baits/km2 vaccine bait densities on rabies virus neutralizing antibody (RVNA) seroprevalence in raccoons (Procyon lotor). Raboral V-RG® fishmeal polymer baits (Merial Inc. (now a part of Boehringer Ingelheim), Athens, Georgia) contain a tetracycline biomarker that was used to estimate bait consumption as another measure of intervention impact. Our results suggest that raccoon RVNA response increases as bait density increases, but the effect may not be sufficient to justify the cost except in the case of contingency actions or an epizootic. Non-target species, especially opossums (Didelphis virginianus) in certain areas, should be considered when determining an appropriate bait density to ensure sufficient baits are available for consumption by the target species.Entities:
Keywords: Ecology; Environmental science; Virology; Zoology
Year: 2018 PMID: 30211329 PMCID: PMC6129686 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00754
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Heliyon ISSN: 2405-8440
Fig. 1Location of three study zones in Pennsylvania where oral rabies vaccine (ORV) bait densities of 75, 150, and 300 baits/km2 were distributed in 2002. The three zones are located within a larger area that was treated with ORV at 75 baits/km2.
Beta estimates, standard errors (Std error) and test statistics for the covariates that relate to the probability (Pr) of a raccoon (Procyon lotor) being an adult based on 1,584 raccoons sampled in Virginia from 2014–2016.
| Co-variates | Estimate | Std error | Z value | Pr(>|Z|) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −1.6593 | 0.3808 | −4.36 | 0.0000 |
| Weight | 1.2581 | 0.0788 | 15.97 | 0.0000 |
| Sex | 1.2587 | 0.1392 | 9.04 | 0.0000 |
| Day of year | −0.0193 | 0.0015 | −13.14 | 0.0000 |
Fig. 2Histograms of raccoons (Procyon lotor) sampled in Pennsylvania and assigned a probability of being an adult based on sex, weight, and time of year captured. Raccoons classified in the field as adults (blue bars; n = 191) are shown, along with raccoons classified in the field as juvenile or unknown (yellow bars; n = 73). The light green is where the two histograms overlap. In the analysis, raccoons with a less than 25% probability of being an adult were classified as juveniles, raccoons with a greater than 75% probability of being an adult were classified as adults, and raccoons with a 25–75% probability of being adult were categorized as unknown.
The number of raccoons (Procyon lotor) collected in Mercer and Crawford counties, Pennsylvania in 2002 at three study areas of varying oral rabies vaccination bait density prior to and after baiting. The rabies virus neutralizing antibodies based on the rapid fluorescent foci inhibition test with 95% confidence intervals (CI), are included as well as the percentage tetracycline biomarker detected.
| Bait density | Study area | Pre-bait | Post-bait | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n, % seropositive (95% CI) | n, % biomarker positive | n, % seropositive (95% CI) | n, % biomarker positive | ||
| 75 | 3–1 | 15, 20.0 (7.1–45.2) | 4, 0 | 12, 16.7 (4.7–44.8) | 12, |
| 3–2 | 14, 7.1 (1.3–31.5) | 7, 0 | 13, 15.4 (4.3–42.2) | 12, 41.7 | |
| 3–3 | 17, 11.8 (3.3–34.3) | 4, 0 | 20, 0 (0–19.2) | 19, 21.1 | |
| Sub-total | 46, 13.0 (6.2–25.7) | 15, 0 | 45, 8.9 (3.5–20.7) | 43, 25.6 | |
| 150 | 2–1 | 34, 5.9 (1.6–19.1) | 17, 5.9 | 37, 8.1 (2.8–21.3) | 36, 33.3 |
| 2–2 | 9, 11.1 (2.0–43.5) | 5, 0 | 12, 16.7 (4.7–44.8) | 12, 50.0 | |
| 2–3 | 19, 5.3 (0.9–24.6) | 4, 0 | 12, 33.3 (13.8–60.9) | 12, 58.3 | |
| Sub-total | 62, 6.5 (2.5–15.5) | 27, 3.7 | 61, 14.8 (8.0–25.7) | 61, 41.0 | |
| 300 | 1–1 | 8, 0 (0–32.4) | 5, 20.0 | 15, 20.0 (7.1–45.2) | 15, 40.0 |
| 1–2 | 7, 0 (0–35.4) | 2, 0 | 21, 9.5 (2.7–28.9) | 20, 40.0 | |
| 1–3 | 16, 0 (0–19.4) | 8, 0 | 13, 30.8 (12.7–57.6) | 13, 46.2 | |
| Sub-total | 31, 0 (0–11.0) | 15, 6.7 | 49, 18.4 (10.0–31.4) | 48, 41.7 | |
Not the same two post-bait seropositive raccoons.
Model selection results for the difference in rabies virus neutralizing antibody prevalence of raccoons (Procyon lotor) captured in Pennsylvania prior to and after oral rabies vaccine baiting in 2002. Models are compared using the second-order Akaike's Information Criteria (AICc) with more support for smaller values.
| Model | K | AICc | ΔAICc | ω | -2LL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Density | 3 | −5.49 | 0 | 0.30 | 8.14 |
| Den75 | 3 | −4.88 | 0.60 | 0.22 | 7.84 |
| Null | 2 | −4.77 | 0.72 | 0.21 | 5.38 |
| Den300 | 3 | −3.08 | 2.40 | 0.09 | 6.94 |
| Age | 3 | −1.03 | 4.46 | 0.03 | 5.91 |
| Sex | 3 | −0.70 | 4.79 | 0.03 | 5.75 |
| Sex + Density | 4 | −0.61 | 4.88 | 0.03 | 9.31 |
| Weight | 3 | −0.01 | 5.48 | 0.02 | 5.40 |
| Sex + Den75 | 4 | 0.09 | 5.58 | 0.02 | 8.95 |
| Denfac | 4 | 1.29 | 6.77 | 0.01 | 8.36 |
Number of parameters.
Difference in AICc from the top model.
AICc model weight.
Log-likelihood.
Linear relationship of density.
Indicator of 1 if density was 75, otherwise it was 0.
Indicator of 1 if density was 300, otherwise it was 0.
Density as a categorical effect.
Fig. 3The difference observed between pre-bait and post-bait rabies virus neutralizing antibody (RVNA) seroprevalence in raccoons captured in each of three study zones where oral rabies vaccine bait densities of 75, 150 and 300 baits/km2 in Pennsylvania in 2002. Each dot represents one replicate site, with three sites per treatment zone. The model averaged estimate of change in RVNA seroprevalence as a function of bait density is shown (solid line) with 95% confidence intervals (shaded region).
Model selection results for the difference in tetracycline rate of raccoons (Procyon lotor) captured in Pennsylvania prior to and after oral rabies vaccine baiting in 2002. Models are compared using the second order Akaike's Information Criteria (AICc) with more support for smaller values.
| Model | K | AICc | ΔAICc | ω | -2LL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Null | 2 | −3.81 | 0 | 0.47 | 4.91 |
| Sex | 3 | −1.54 | 2.27 | 0.15 | 6.17 |
| Den75 | 3 | −1.21 | 2.60 | 0.13 | 6.01 |
| Weight | 3 | 0.09 | 3.90 | 0.07 | 5.35 |
| Density | 3 | 0.74 | 4.55 | 0.05 | 5.03 |
| Age | 3 | 0.97 | 4.78 | 0.04 | 4.91 |
| Den300 | 3 | 0.99 | 4.80 | 0.04 | 4.91 |
| Sex + Den75 | 4 | 3.39 | 7.21 | 0.01 | 7.30 |
| Denfac | 4 | 4.99 | 8.80 | 0.01 | 6.51 |
Number of parameters in the model.
Difference in AICc from the top model.
AICc model weight.
Log-likelihood.
Indicator of 1 if density was 75, otherwise it was 0.
Linear relationship of density.
Indicator of 1 if density was 300, otherwise it was 0.
Density as a categorical effect.