| Literature DB >> 29896409 |
Erica Pires da Rocha1, Lais Gabriela Yokota1, Beatriz Motta Sampaio1, Karina Zanchetta Cardoso Eid1, Dayana Bitencourt Dias1, Fernanda Moreira de Freitas1, Andre Luis Balbi1, Daniela Ponce1.
Abstract
Elderly is the main age group affected by acute kidney injury (AKI). There are no studies that investigated the predictive properties of urinary (u) NGAL as an AKI marker in septic elderly population. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of uNGAL as predictor of AKI diagnosis and prognosis in elderly septic patients admitted to ICUs. We prospectively studied elderly patients with sepsis admitted to ICUs from October 2014 to November 2015. Assessment of renal function was performed daily by serum creatinine and urine output. The level of uNGAL was performed within the first 48 hours of the diagnosis of sepsis (NGAL1) and between 48 and 96 hours (NGAL2). The results were presented using descriptive statistics and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and p value was 5%. Seventy-five patients were included, 47 (62.7%) developed AKI. At logistic regression, chronic kidney disease and low mean blood pressure at admission were identified as factors associated with AKI (OR=0.05, CI=0.01-0.60, p=0.045 and OR=0.81, CI=0,13-0.47; p=0.047). The uNGAL was excellent predictor of AKI diagnosis (AUC-ROC >0.95, and sensitivity and specificity>0.89), anticipating the AKI diagnosis in 2.1±0.3 days. Factors associated with mortality in the logistic regression were presence of AKI (OR=2.14, CI=1.42-3.98, p=0.04), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 9.37, CI =1.79-49.1, p=0.008) and vasoactive drugs (OR=2.06, CI=0.98-1.02, p=0.04). The accuracy of NGALu 1 and 2 as predictors of death was intermediate, with AUC-ROC of 0.61 and 0.62; sensitivity between 0.65 and 0.77 and specificity lower than 0.6. The uNGAL was excellent predictor of AKI in septic elderly patients in ICUs and can anticipate the diagnosis of AKI in 2.1 days.Entities:
Keywords: NGAL; acute kidney injury; biomarker; elderly
Year: 2018 PMID: 29896409 PMCID: PMC5963341 DOI: 10.14336/AD.2017.0307
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Aging Dis ISSN: 2152-5250 Impact factor: 6.745
Figure 1.Screening and enrollment.
Patients demographics and clinical characteristics (n=75).
| Characteristics | Septic elderly patients | Non-AKI patients | AKI patients | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 71.4±7.5 | 71.7 ±7.6 | 71.3±7.6 | 0.82 |
| Male sex n (%) | 39 (52) | 12 (42,9) | 27 (57,4) | 0.22 |
| Baseline creatinine | 1.16±0.52 | 0.8±0.3 | 1.3±0.3 | 0.0009 |
| Comorbidities n (%) | ||||
| Hypertension | 45 (60) | 15 (53,5) | 30 (63.8) | 0.38 |
| Diabetes | 25 (33.3) | 7 (25) | 18 (38.3) | 0.23 |
| CVC disease | 35 (46.7) | 11 (39.3) | 24 (51.1) | 0.32 |
| CKD | 34 (49.3) | 4 (17.4) | 30 (63.8) | 0.0002 |
| COPD | 17 (22.7) | 8 (28.6) | 9 (19.1) | 0.34 |
| Mechanical ventilation n (%) | 49 (65.3) | 16 (57.1) | 33 (70.2) | 0.25 |
| Noradrenaline use n (%) | 59 (78.7) | 19 (67.9) | 40 (85.1) | 0.07 |
| Infection Focus n (%): | 0.36 | |||
| Lung | 39 (52) | 12(42.8) | 27 (57.4) | |
| Urine | 18 (24) | 10 (35.7) | 8 (17.0) | |
| abdominal | 7 (9,3) | 2 (7.1) | 5 (10.6) | |
| Urine output in 24h (ml) | 874.2±729.7 | 797.8±535.6 | 919.2±826.4 | 0.52 |
| APACHE II | 17.7±6.8 | 14±4.8 | 19.4±7.0 | 0.0045 |
| Temperature | 36.8±1.1 | 36.4±0.9 | 37.1±1.1 | 0.007 |
| Outcome n (%): | 0.03 | |||
| discharge | 35 (46.7) | 18 (64.2) | 17 (36.2) | |
| death | 40 (53.3) | 10 (35.7) | 30 (63.8) |
Values expressed as mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range AKI- acute kidney injury, MBP- Mean Blood Pressure, CVC- cardiovascular disease, CKD- chronic kidney disease, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Patients demographics and clinical characteristics (n=75) according to outcome.
| Characteristics | Non-Survivors | Survivors | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| Male sex n (%) | 22 (55) | 17 (48.6) | 0.57 |
| Age (years) | 70.9±7.26 | 72±7.9 | 0.53 |
| MBP | 78.4±22.3 | 89.3±21.8 | 0.03 |
| Comorbidities n (%) | |||
| Hypertension | 24 (60) | 21 (60) | 1.0 |
| Diabetes | 13 (32.5) | 12 (34.3) | 0.87 |
| Dyslipidemia | 6 (15) | 10 (28.6) | 0.15 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 19 (47.5) | 16 (45.7) | 0.87 |
| Liver disease | 4(10) | 0 | 0.05 |
| CKD | 19 (47.5) | 15 (42.8) | 0.71 |
| COPD | 12 (34.3) | 10 (28.7) | 0.02 |
| Baseline creatinine | 1.2±0.5 | 1.0±0.4 | 0.13 |
| Noradrenaline use n (%) | 36 (90) | 23 (65.7) | 0.01 |
| Mechanical ventilation n (%) | 29 (72.5) | 20 (57.1) | 0.16 |
| Urine output in 24h (ml) | 842.6±414.2 | 912.5±624.3 | 0.70 |
| Focus n (%): | 0.81 | ||
| lung | 20 (50) | 19(54.3) | |
| urine | 11(27.5) | 7(20) | |
| APACHE II | 19.7±6.6 | 15.1±6.5 | 0.009 |
| AKI | 28 (70) | 15 (42.9) | 0.03 |
| KDIGO n (%): | |||
| I | 6 (20.7) | 8 (53.3) | 0.02 |
| II | 7 (25) | 4 (26.6) | |
| III | 15 (53.6) | 3 (20) | |
| Need for dialysis n (%) | 3 (7.5) | 2 (5.7) | 0.63 |
Values expressed as mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range. AKI- acute kidney injury, MBP- Mean Blood Pressure, CKD- chronic kidney disease, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Multivariable analysis for AKI and death risk (n=75).
| AKI | OR | CI (95%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CKD | 0.05 | (0.01 -0.60) | 0.04 |
| Temperature | 1.84 | (0.34 - 9.81) | 0.71 |
| MBP | 0.81 | (0.13 - 090) | 0.04 |
| Noradrenaline use | 2.06 | (1.14 - 1.63) | 0.04 |
| Mechanical ventilation | 0.38 | (0.07- 1.94) | 0.24 |
| COPD | 9.37 | (1.79 - 49.10) | 0.008 |
| CKD | 0.39 | (0.08 - 1.73) | 0.21 |
| AKI | 2.14 | (1.42 - 3.98) | 0.04 |
AKI: acute kidney injury, MBP: mean blood pressure, CKD: chronic kidney disease, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Urinary NGAL values according to patient outcome.
| Non-survivors | Survivors | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| at moment 1 (<48h | 15.9±7.3 | 12.9±7.2 | 0.08 |
| at moment 2 (48-96h) | 15.9±8 | 13.0± 8.3 | 0.13 |
| at moment 1 (<48h) | 113.9 ±47.2 | 86.9±27.7 | <0.001 |
| at moment 2 (48-96h) | 122.3±50.8 | 93± 51.7 | 0.19 |
Values expressed as median and interquartile range. u-urinary; AKI- acute kidney injury;
after admission to intensive care unit
Figure 2.ROC analysis of uNGAL in septic elderly patients with AKI vs non-AKI. A) ROC analysis of uNGAL measured on first 48 hours of admission to ICU in septic elderly patients with AKI vs non-AKI. B) ROC analysis of uNGAL measured between 48-96 hours of admission to ICU in septic elderly patients with AKI vs non-AKI. C) ROC analysis of uNGAL/uCr measured on first 48 hours of admission to ICU in septic elderly patients with AKI vs non-AKI. D) ROC analysis of uNGAL/uCr measured between 48-96 hours of admission to ICU in septic elderly patients with AKI vs non-AKI.
Urinary NGAL sensitivity and specificity in septic elderly AKI patients (n=47).
| AUC-ROC | Sensitivity | Specificity | CI (95%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | (0.64-0.81) | |||||
| 0.01 | (0.55-0.82) | |||||
| 0.04 | (0.68-0.83) | |||||
| 0.001 | (0.63-0.91) |
AUC-ROC - receiver operating characteristic curve; Cr - creatinine.
Figure 3.ROC analysis of uNGAL in survivors versus non-survivor’s septic elderly patients. A) ROC analysis of uNGAL measured on first 48 hours of admission to ICU in survivors versus non-survivor’s septic elderly patients. B) ROC analysis of uNGAL measured between 48-96 hours of admission to ICU in survivors versus non-survivor’s septic elderly patients. C) ROC analysis of uNGAL/uCr measured on first 48 hours of admission to ICU in survivors versus non-survivor’s septic elderly patients. D) ROC analysis of uNGAL/uCr measured between 48-96 hours of admission to ICU in survivors versus non-survivor’s septic elderly patients
Urinary NGAL sensitivity and specificity in non-survival septic patients (n=35).
| AUC-ROC | Sensitivity | Specificity | CI (95%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | (0.48-0.73) | |||||
| 0.01 | (0.47-0.72) | |||||
| 0.04 | (0.54-0.79) | |||||
| 0.001 | (0.58-0.78) |
Urinary NGAL values according to presence of acute kidney injury.
| Non-AKI | AKI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| at moment 1 (<48h) | 6.8±3.7 | 19.1±4.6 | <0.0001 |
| at moment 2 (48-96h) | 6.1±4.0 | 19.6±5.6 | <0.0001 |
| at moment 1 (<48h) | 56.6±39.9 | 127.9±30.6 | <0.0001 |
| at moment 2 (48-96h) | 58.8±43.4 | 138.3±31.5 | <0.0001 |
Values expressed as median and interquartile range. u-urinary; AKI- acute kidney injury;
after admission to intensive care unit.