| Literature DB >> 29889895 |
Sayoko Yonemoto1,2, Takayuki Hamano3, Naohiko Fujii2, Karin Shimada1, Satoshi Yamaguchi1, Ayumi Matsumoto1, Keiichi Kubota1, Nobuhiro Hashimoto1, Tatsufumi Oka1, Masamitsu Senda1, Yusuke Sakaguchi3, Isao Matsui1, Yoshitaka Isaka1.
Abstract
Higher red cell distribution width (RDW) has been reported to predict mortality among patients with various diseases, including chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, whether RDW is associated with renal outcome remains unclear. We investigated the relationship between RDW and renal outcome in patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD (NDD-CKD). This prospective, observational study of patients with CKD was conducted at a single nephrology department. First, we performed regression analyses for the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) during the first 3 months of observation to determine its short-term association with RDW. Next, we categorized baseline RDW into two groups by its median (13.5%) and performed Cox regression analyses to investigate whether higher RDW was an independent predictor of renal outcomes defined as a composite of the initiation of dialysis and doubling of the serum creatinine concentration. Furthermore, we repeated the analyses to confirm whether the transition of the RDW category during the first 3 months would also predict renal outcomes. We enrolled 703 patients. Baseline RDW showed a non-linear association with the eGFR decline during the first 3 months, with a greater negative correlation at the lower end of the RDW distribution. Over a median follow-up of 1.8 years, 178 patients (25.3%) reached the renal endpoint. Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that patients with higher RDW had a higher risk of developing renal outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-2.07) than did those with lower RDW. Furthermore, patients with sustained, higher RDW demonstrated a significantly higher risk than did those with consistently lower RDW (adjusted HR: 1.65, 95% CI: 1.02-2.67). In conclusion, higher RDW was independently associated with worse renal outcome in patients with NDD-CKD. RDW could be an additional prognostic marker of the progression of CKD.Entities:
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29889895 PMCID: PMC5995355 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198825
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Baseline characteristics categorized by the median of RDW.
| Variables | All patients | Low RDW (<13.5) | High RDW (≥13.5) | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDW (%) | 13.9±1.41 | 12.8±0.42 | 14.9±1.29 | <0.001 |
| Age (years) | 70.4±13.6 | 68.7±13.7 | 71.9±13.2 | 0.002 |
| Gender (female) | 268 (38.1%) | 132 (39.1%) | 136 (36.2%) | 0.279 |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 236 (33.6%) | 102 (31.1%) | 134 (35.7%) | 0.194 |
| ESA therapy | 102 (14.5%) | 25 (7.6%) | 77 (20.5%) | <0.001 |
| Oral iron therapy | 58 (8.3%) | 17 (5.2%) | 41 (10.9%) | 0.006 |
| ACE-I | 53 (7.5%) | 27 (8.2%) | 26 (6.9%) | 0.515 |
| ARB | 388 (54.9%) | 180 (54.9%) | 206 (54.9%) | 0.988 |
| Prior CVD | 111 (15.8%) | 39 (11.9%) | 72 (19.2%) | 0.008 |
| sBP (mmHg) | 140±22.0 | 138±20.1 | 141±23.4 | 0.032 |
| dBP (mmHg) | 76.2±13.4 | 77.2±12.5 | 75.3±14.1 | 0.051 |
| eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) | 29.9±19.5 | 33.7±19.8 | 26.7±18.7 | <0.001 |
| CKD stage | ||||
| CKD stage 1&2 (eGFR ≥60) | 60 (8.6%) | 37 (11.3%) | 23 (6.1%) | <0.001 |
| CKD stage 3 (eGFR 30–59) | 227 (32.3%) | 124 (37.8%) | 103 (27.5%) | |
| CKD stage 4 (eGFR 15–29) | 247 (35.1%) | 117 (35.7%) | 130 (34.7%) | |
| CKD stage 5 (eGFR <15) | 169 (24.0%) | 50 (15.2%) | 119 (31.7%) | |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 11.6±2.04 | 12.2±1.87 | 11.0±2.00 | <0.001 |
| MCV (fL) | 93.6±6.12 | 93.7±4.57 | 93.5±7.21 | 0.691 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 3.73±0.63 | 3.88±0.59 | 3.60±0.64 | <0.001 |
| CRP (mg/dL) | 0.09 (0.04, 0.29) | 0.07 (0.03, 0.19) | 0.12 (0.05, 0.39) | <0.001 |
| TSAT (%) | 28.1±11.9 | 29.6±11.1 | 26.8±12.5 | 0.002 |
| Ferritin (ng/mL) | 87 (44, 158) | 91 (51, 155) | 83 (37, 159) | 0.014 |
| Proteinuria (≥(2+)) | 278 (39.6%) | 101 (30.7%) | 177 (47.3%) | <0.001 |
Values are n (%), means±SDs, and medians (1st quartiles, 3rd quartiles), RDW: red cell distribution width, ESA: erythropoiesis stimulating agents, ACE-I: angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, ARB: angiotensin II receptor blocker, CVD: cardiovascular disease, sBP: systolic blood pressure, dBP: diastolic blood pressure, eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate, CKD: chronic kidney disease, MCV: mean corpuscular volume, CRP: C-reactive protein, TSAT: transferrin saturation, Proteinuria: measured by the dip stick tests
Fig 1Histogram of baseline RDW.
Histogram of baseline RDW of all patients (N = 703); the corresponding normal distribution is shown in the bar chart and density plot. The median RDW was 13.5%.
Fig 2Box plots of RDW according to the eGFR categories.
The box plot shows that the median RDW increased as CKD progressed. Outliers were omitted in this figure. Abbreviations: RDW, red cell distribution width; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; CKD, chronic kidney disease.
Univariate correlations between RDW and other laboratory parameters.
| Variables | Coefficient | 95% CI | P value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 0.142 | (0.068, 0.213) | <0.001 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | -0.367 | (-0.430, -0.302) | <0.001 |
| MCV (fL) | -0.092 | (-0.165, -0.018) | 0.015 |
| Platelet (104/μL) | 0.030 | (-0.044, 0.104) | 0.429 |
| eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) | -0.177 | (-0.248, -0.105) | <0.001 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | -0.215 | (-0.285, -0.144) | <0.001 |
| Log CRP (mg/dL) | 0.139 | (0.066, 0.211) | <0.001 |
| TSAT (%) | -0.197 | (-0.267, -0.125) | <0.001 |
| Fe (μg/dL) | -0.252 | (-0.320, -0.182) | <0.001 |
| TIBC (μg/dL) | -0.036 | (-0.110, 0.038) | 0.339 |
| Log Ferritin (ng/mL) | -0.149 | (-0.221, -0.076) | <0.001 |
| sBP (mmHg) | 0.067 | (-0.007, 0.140) | 0.077 |
| dBP (mmHg) | -0.081 | (-0.154, -0.007) | 0.032 |
RDW: red cell distribution width, MCV: mean corpuscular volume, eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate, CRP: C-reactive protein, TSAT: transferrin saturation, TIBC: total iron binding capacity, sBP: systolic blood pressure, dBP: diastolic blood pressure, CI: confidence interval
Fig 3Restricted cubic spline curves for eGFR decline during the first 3 months across baseline RDW.
A non-linear association between decline in the eGFR during the first 3 months and baseline RDW was observed in the multivariable regression analysis (adjusted for age, sex, diabetes mellitus, baseline eGFR, and hemoglobin, albumin, C-reactive protein, and proteinuria levels). The inflection point was located near the median of baseline RDW (13.5%). Abbreviations: RDW, red cell distribution width; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Fig 4Kaplan-Meier survival curves of renal outcomes, stratified by the median of baseline RDW.
RDW was categorized into two groups according to the median of baseline RDW (low RDW: < 13.5%, high RDW: ≥ 13.5%). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves of renal outcomes showed that the patients in the high RDW group had a significantly higher risk than did those in the low RDW group (p<0.001). Abbreviation: RDW, red cell distribution width.
Cox regression analyses for renal outcomes stratified by the median of RDW at baseline.
| (a) Unadjusted Model | (b) Adjusted Model | (c) Fully Adjusted Model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| High RDW | 2.28 (1.67, 3.12) | <0.001 | 1.97 (1.42, 2.75) | <0.001 | 1.47 (1.05, 2.07) | 0.026 |
| Age (years) | - | - | 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) | 0.173 | 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) | 0.191 |
| Gender (Female) | - | - | 0.74 (0.54, 1.03) | 0.072 | 0.93 (0.66, 1.31) | 0.671 |
| Diabetes mellitus | - | - | 2.52 (1.84, 3.44) | <0.001 | 1.61 (1.15, 2.27) | 0.006 |
| eGFR (ml/min/1.73m2) | - | - | - | - | 0.95 (0.94, 0.97) | <0.001 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | - | - | - | - | 0.87 (0.78, 0.96) | 0.009 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | - | - | - | - | 0.73 (0.55, 0.95) | 0.022 |
| Proteinuria (≥(2+)) | - | - | - | - | 3.32 (2.25, 4.90) | <0.001 |
(a) Unadjusted Model, (b) Adjusted Model: adjusted for age, gender, comorbid conditions, (c) Fully Adjusted Model: adjusted for age, gender, comorbid conditions, hemoglobin, eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate), albumin, C-reactive protein, transferrin saturation, ferritin, and Proteinuria, High RDW: RDW≥13.5, Proteinuria: measured by the dip stick tests, HR: hazard ratio, CI: confidence interval
Fig 5Kaplan-Meier survival curves of renal outcomes, categorized by the fluctuation patterns of RDW.
We divided patients into four groups according to the fluctuation patterns of RDW during the first 3 months of observation. Patients in the H-H group showed the highest risk of having renal outcomes among these four groups (p<0.001). Abbreviations: RDW, red cell distribution width; L-L, low RDW at baseline to low RDW at 3 months; H-L, high-to-low; L-H, low-to-high; H-H, high-to-high.
Cox regression analyses for renal outcomes stratified by the fluctuation patterns of RDW during the first three months of observation.
| (a) Unadjusted Model | (b) Adjusted Model | (c) Fully Adjusted Model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| L-L | Ref. | - | Ref. | - | Ref. | - |
| H-L | 1.97 (0.95, 4.08) | 0.068 | 1.83 (0.86, 3.90) | 0.116 | 1.26 (0.58, 2.77) | 0.557 |
| L-H | 2.19 (1.26, 3.80) | 0.006 | 2.10 (1.20, 3.67) | 0.009 | 1.50 (0.83, 2.72) | 0.177 |
| H-H | 3.21 (2.09, 4.92) | <0.001 | 2.86 (1.83, 4.46) | <0.001 | 1.65 (1.02, 2.67) | 0.040 |
(a) Unadjusted Model, (b) Adjusted Model: adjusted for age, gender, comorbid conditions, and medications, (c) Fully Adjusted Model: adjusted for age, gender, comorbid conditions, medications, hemoglobin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, albumin, C-reactive protein, transferrin saturation, ferritin, and proteinuria, RDW: red cell distribution width, L-L: low RDW at baseline to low RDW at 3 months, H-L: high-to-low, L-H: low-to-high, H-H: high-to-high, HR: hazard ratio, CI: confidence interval