| Literature DB >> 29761831 |
Joanna Rupa-Matysek1, Katarzyna Brzeźniakiewicz-Janus2, Lidia Gil1, Zbigniew Krasiński3, Mieczysław Komarnicki1.
Abstract
The utility in clinical practice of a recently developed and validated predictive model for venous thromboembolism (VTE) events in lymphoma patients, known as the thrombosis lymphoma (ThroLy) score, is unknown. We evaluated the association of ThroLy with VTE in patients treated for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) or Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) undergoing ambulatory first-line chemotherapy. Retrospective analyses were performed on 428 patients (median age 50), 241 were newly diagnosed DLBCL, and 187 had HL. During initial chemotherapy, 64 (15%) patients developed VTE. According to the ThroLy, 322 (75.2%) patients were considered low risk, 88 (20.6%) patients had intermediate risk and 18 (4.2%) patients high risk for VTE development. Patients with DLBCL were more often in the high-risk ThroLy group and had more VTE events than HL. VTE occurred in; 38.9% (n = 7) high-risk patients, 29.5% (n = 26) intermediate risk, and 9.6% (n = 31) low risk according to the ThroLy score. However, in multivariate analysis, high ThroLy (OR 5.13; 95% CI: 1.83-14.36, P = .002), intermediate ThroLy (OR 3.96; 95% CI: 2.19-7.17, P < .001), and aggressive lymphoma-DLBCL (OR 1.91; 95% CI: 1.05-3.47, P = .034) were all significantly associated with development of VTE, 48% of the VTE events occurred in the low-risk ThroLy score group (the ROC AUC (95% CI) 0.40-0.70 and C statistic-0.55). In our study, the ThroLy score was not a suitably accurate model for predicting VTE events in patients at higher risk of VTE. Further research should be conducted to identify new biomarkers that will predict these events and to establish a new VTE risk assessment model.Entities:
Keywords: Hodgkin lymphoma; ThroLy risk score; diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; venous thromboembolism; venous thromboembolism risk assessment model
Year: 2018 PMID: 29761831 PMCID: PMC6051175 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.1540
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Predictive model for thromboembolism according to the ThroLy model developed by Antic et al19
| Patient characteristics | Assigned score |
|---|---|
| Previous VTE/acute myocardial infarction/stroke | 2 |
| Reduced mobility (ECOG 2‐4), | 1 |
| Obesity (BMI > 30 kg/m2) | 2 |
| Extranodal localization | 1 |
| Mediastinal involvement | 2 |
| Neutrophils <1 × 109/L | 1 |
| Hemoglobin level <100 g/L | 1 |
ThroLy score points: 0‐1, low risk; 2‐3, intermediate risk and score >3, high risk.
Patients’ characteristics
| Characteristic | Overall populationn = 428 | DLBCL | HL |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median age, range years | 50 (18‐98) | 60 (18‐98) | 36 (18‐84) | <.0001 |
| Sex, male n (%) | 209 | 123 (51%) | 86 (46%) | .3000 |
| Advanced disease | 218 | 158 (66%) | 60 (32%) | <.0001 |
| Extranodal localization | 199 | 140 (58%) | 59 (32%) | <.0001 |
| Systemic symptoms | 258 | 146 (61%) | 112 (60%) | .8853 |
| Mediastinal involvement | 45 | 17 (7%) | 28 (15%) | .0081 |
| High‐risk disease | 178 | 105 (44%) | 73 (39%) | .3455 |
| Previous VTE/AMI/stroke | 34 | 32 (13%) | 2 (1%) | <.0001 |
| Hemoglobin level <100 g/L | 44 | 23 (10%) | 21 (11%) | .4688 |
| Neutrophils <1 × 109/L | 14 | 10 (4%) | 4 (2%) | .2462 |
| High ThroLy scoree | 18 | 15 (6%) | 3 (2%) | .0576 |
| Intermediate ThroLy score | 88 | 50 (21%) | 38 (20%) | |
| Presence of VTE | 64 | 45 (19%) | 19 (10%) | .0143 |
The percentages are related to the numbers given in the first column of the same line.
Advanced disease: stage according to Lugano IV.
International Prognostic Index ≥3; International Prognostic Score ≥3.
According to the ThroLy score; high risk (Score > 3).
According to the ThroLy score; intermediate risk (Score 2 – 3).
P < .05‐statistically significant.
Comparison of patients’ characteristics with/or without VTE
| Overall population n = 428 | VTE group during follow‐up | Non‐VTE group during follow‐up |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median age, range years | 50 (18‐98) | 49 (22‐81) | 50 (18‐98) | .9698 |
| Sex, male n (%) | 209 (49%) | 34 (53%) | 175 (48%) | .4562 |
| Aggressive lymphoma: DLBCL | 241 (56%) | 45 (70%) | 196 (54%) | .0143 |
| Advanced disease | 218 (51%) | 38 (59%) | 180 (49%) | .1430 |
| Extranodal localization | 199 (46%) | 37 (58%) | 162 (44%) | .0490 |
| Systemic symptoms | 258 (60%) | 23 (36%) | 41 (64%) | .5025 |
| Mediastinal involvement | 45 (11%) | 17 (26%) | 28 (8%) | <.0001 |
| High‐risk disease | 178 (42%) | 34 (53%) | 144 (40%) | .0423 |
| Previous VTE/AMI/stroke | 34 (8%) | 11 (17%) | 23 (6%) | .0030 |
| Reduced mobility (ECOG 2‐4) | 13 (3%) | 5 (8%) | 8 (2%) | .0158 |
| Hemoglobin level <100 g/L | 44 (10%) | 11 (17%) | 33 (9%) | .0485 |
| Neutrophils <1 × 109/L | 14 (3%) | 2 (3%) | 12 (3%) | .9432 |
| High ThroLy score | 18 (4%) | 7 (11%) | 11 (3%) | <.0001 |
| Intermediate ThroLy score | 88 (21%) | 26 (41%) | 62 (17%) |
The percentages are related to the numbers given in the first column of the same line.
Advanced disease: stage according to Lugano IV.
IPI, International Prognostic Index ≥3; IPS, International Prognostic Score ≥3.
According to the ThroLy score; high risk (Score > 3).
According to the ThroLy score; intermediate risk (Score 2 – 3).
P < .05‐statistically significant.
Figure 1Kaplan‐Meier analysis of VTE‐free survival rates according to the ThroLy category (high, intermediate, and low risk)
VTE rates and negative and positive predictive value of development of VTE from the ThroLy Score in the studied lymphoma patients
| Risk group | Patients n | VTE n | AUC (95% CI) | C statistic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HL | ||||
| Low/intermediate | 38 | 9 | 0.20‐0.90 | 0.55 |
| High | 3 | 1 | ||
| DLBCL | ||||
| Low/intermediate | 50 | 17 | 0.36‐0.70 | 0.53 |
| High | 15 | 6 | ||
| Overall population | ||||
| Low/intermediate | 88 | 26 | 0.40‐0.70 | 0.55 |
| High | 18 | 7 | ||
AUC indicates area under the curve; CI indicates confidence interval.
Univariate analyses of determining factors that affect VTE development in patients with lymphoid malignancies
| Factor | Univariate analysis | |
|---|---|---|
| Odds Ratio (95% CI) |
| |
| Sex (male) | 0.65 (0.38‐1.12) | .1208 |
| Age | 1.00 (0.98‐1.11) | .9610 |
| Aggressive lymphoma: DLBCL | 2.03 (1.14‐3.61) | .0157 |
| Advanced disease | 1.61 (0.94‐2.77) | .0844 |
| Extranodal localization | 1.71 (0.99‐2.92) | .0507 |
| Systemic symptoms | 0.90 (0.52‐1.55) | .6940 |
| Mediastinal involvement | 4.34 (2.21‐8.53) | .0001 |
| High‐risk disease | 0.90 (0.52‐1.55) | .6940 |
| Previous VTE/AMI/stroke | 3.08 (1.42‐6.68) | .0045 |
| Reduced mobility (ECOG 2‐4) | 3.77 (1.19‐11.92) | .0238 |
| Neutrophils <1 × 109/L | 0.95 (0.21‐4.33) | .9432 |
| Prechemotherapy platelet count >350 × 109/L | 1.15 (0.63‐2.12) | .6495 |
| Prechemotherapy leukocyte count >11 × 109/L | 1.81 (1.01‐3.26) | .0474 |
| Prechemotherapy hemoglobin <100 g/L | 0.48 (0.23‐1.01) | .0526 |
| High ThroLy score | 5.97 (2.16‐16.52) | .0006 |
| Intermediate ThroLy score | 3.94 (2.18‐7.09) | .0001 |
Advanced disease: stage according to Lugano IV.
IPI, International Prognostic Index ≥3; IPS, International Prognostic Score ≥3.
According to the ThroLy score; high risk (Score > 3).
According to the ThroLy score; intermediate risk (Score 2 – 3).
P < .05‐statistically significant.
CI, confidence interval.
Multivariate analyses determining factors that affected VTE development in patients with lymphoid malignancies
| Variable | β | OR | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −2.634 | |||
| High ThroLy Score | 1.635 | 5.13 | 1.83‐14.36 | .002 |
| Intermediate ThroLy Score | 1.376 | 3.96 | 2.19‐7.17 | <.001 |
| Aggressive lymphoma: DLBCL | 0.647 | 1.91 | 1.05‐3.47 | .034 |
CI, confidence interval; OR, Odds ratio.