| Literature DB >> 29706130 |
Julia Moreira Pescarini1,2, Vera Simonsen3, Lucilaine Ferrazoli3, Laura C Rodrigues4, Rosangela S Oliveira3, Eliseu Alves Waldman5, Rein Houben4,6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Little is known about the impact of growing migration on the pattern of tuberculosis (TB) transmission in middle-income countries. We estimated TB recent transmission and its associated factors and investigated the presence of cross-transmission between South American migrants and Brazilians.Entities:
Keywords: Middle-income; disease control; Migration; Molecular epidemiology; Transmission; Tuberculosis
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29706130 PMCID: PMC5925834 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-018-1055-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med ISSN: 1741-7015 Impact factor: 8.775
Fig. 1a Yearly mean incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) among residents in the city of São Paulo for 2013/2014 and percentage of South American migrants in the study area according to the four Administrative Regions studied. b Near poor individuals living in the study area
Fig. 2Sample selection description among notified cases in the studied area from São Paulo during 2013 and 2014
Characteristics of PTB cases identified in the study area and in the sample, stratified by Brazilian or other South American nationalities
| Brazilians ( | South American migrants ( | Total ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean age in years (SD) | 38.0 (13.6) | 27.0 (8.9) | 35.4 (13.5) | < 0.001 |
| Sex | 0.130 | |||
| Male | 197 (74.1) | 53 (65.4) | 250 (72.1) | |
| Female | 69 (25.9) | 28 (34.6) | 97 (27.9) | |
| School attendance | 0.191 | |||
| 0–3 | 17 (7.62) | 3 (4.9) | 20 (7.0) | |
| 4–7 | 74 (33.2) | 14 (22.9) | 88 (31.0) | |
| 8–11 | 101 (45.3) | 30 (49.2) | 131 (46.1) | |
| 12+ | 31 (13.9) | 14 (23.0) | 284 (15.9) | |
| Case | < 0.001 | |||
| New | 187 (72.2) | 75 (93.8) | 262 (77.3) | |
| Retreatment/relapse | 72 (27.8) | 5 (6.2) | 77 (22.7) | |
| Treatment outcome | 0.318 | |||
| Cure | 178 (70.1) | 56 (77.8) | 234 (71.8) | |
| Loss of follow-up | 60 (23.6) | 11 (15.3) | 71 (21.8) | |
| Death/failure | 16 (6.3) | 5 (2.8) | 21 (6.4) | |
| Sputum smear | 0.160 | |||
| Negative | 50 (19.2) | 21 (26.6) | 71 (20.9) | |
| Positive | 210 (80.8) | 58 (73.4) | 268 (79.1) | |
| Drug resistancea | 0.596 | |||
| No | 210 (87.5) | 70 (89.7) | 280 (88.1) | |
| Yes | 30 (12.5) | 8 (10.3) | 38 (11.9) | |
| HIV test | < 0.001 | |||
| Negative | 162 (67.5) | 70 (97.2) | 232 (74.4) | |
| Positive | 78 (32.5) | 2 (2.8) | 80 (25.6) | |
| Diabetes |
| |||
| No | 251 (94.4) | 81 (100) | 332 (95.7) | |
| Yes | 15 (5.6) | 0 (0) | 15 (4.3) | |
| Alcohol abuse | 0.002 | |||
| No | 219 (82.3) | 78 (96.3) | 297 (85.6) | |
| Yes | 47 (17.7) | 3 (3.7) | 50 (14.4) | |
| Drug user | < 0.001 | |||
| No | 210 (78.9) | 79 (97.5) | 289 (83.3) | |
| Yes | 56 (21.1) | 2 (2.5) | 58 (16.7) |
The percentage in brackets is calculated based on non-missing data. The difference between the total number of Brazilians, South American migrants or Total and each variable category corresponds to missing data
*Two tailed t test used for mean age comparison and Pearson chi-square for categorical variables
aResistant to at least one drug
Fig. 3Number of individuals involved in mixed clusters. For each mixed cluster on the x axis, brown represents the number of Brazilians and beige the number of South American migrants
Distribution of cases clustered and non-clustered in our sample according to potential associated factors
| Characteristics ( | Clusters ( | Unique profiles ( | Univariate logistic regression | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude OR (95% CI) | ||||
| Mean Age in years (SD) | 35.3 (13.5) | 35.6 (13.5) | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.868 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 140 (71.8) | 110 (72.4) | 1.00 | |
| Female | 55 (28.2) | 42 (27.6) | 1.03 (0.64–1.65) | 0.906 |
| Nationality | ||||
| Brazilian | 160 (82.1) | 106 (69.7) | 1.00 | |
| South American migrant | 35 (17.9) | 46 (30.3) | 0.50 (0.30–0.83) | 0.008 |
| Education in years | ||||
| 0–3 | 8 (4.9) | 12 (10.0) | 1.00 | |
| 4–7 | 52 (31.7) | 36 (30.0) | 2.17 (0.80–5.83) | 0.126 |
| 8–11 | 81 (49.4) | 50 (41.7) | 2.43 (0.93–6.36) | 0.070 |
| 12+ | 23 (14.0) | 22 (18.3) | 1.57 (0.54–4.56) | 0.409 |
| Worker | ||||
| Yes | 140 (77.3) | 109 (77.3) | 1.00 | |
| Retired/housewife | 12 (6.6) | 11 (7.8) | 0.85 (0.36–2.00) | 0.708 |
| Unemployed | 24 (13.3) | 19 (13.5) | 0.98 (0.51–1.89) | 0.960 |
| Prisoners | 5 (2.8) | 2 (1.4) | 1.95 (0.37–10.22) | 0.431 |
| PTB incidencea in district of residence | ||||
| < 40 | 64 (32.8) | 47 (30.9) | 1.00 | |
| 40–80 | 74 (38.0) | 55 (36.2) | 0.99 (0.59–1.65) | 0.963 |
| > 80 | 57 (29.2) | 50 (32) | 0.84 (0.49–1.43) | 0.515 |
| Case type | ||||
| New | 145 (75.1) | 117 (80.1) | 1.00 | |
| Retreatment/relapse | 48 (24.9) | 29 (19.9) | 1.33 (0.73–2.25) | 0.277 |
| Sputum smear | ||||
| Negative | 46 (24.3) | 25 (16.7) | 1.00 | |
| Positive | 143 (75.7) | 125 (82.3) | 0.62 (0.36–1.07) | 0.086 |
| Diagnosis | 184 (94.4) | 140 (92.7) | 1.00 | |
| Passive | 11 (5.6) | 11 (7.3) | 0.76 (0.32–1.81) | 0.535 |
| Active case finding | ||||
| Drug resistance | ||||
| No | 158 (89.8) | 122 (85.9) | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 18 (10.2) | 20 (14.1) | 0.69 (0.35–1.37) | 0.294 |
| Treatment outcome | ||||
| Cure | 128 (70.7) | 106 (73.1) | 1.00 | |
| Loss of follow-up | 41 (22.7) | 30 (20.7) | 1.13 (0.66–1.94) | 0.651 |
| Death/failure | 12 (6.6) | 9 (6.2) | 1.10 (0.45–2.72) | 0.829 |
| Household contacts | ||||
| 0 | 16 (14.7) | 11 (11.5) | 1.00 | |
| 1–2 | 41 (37.6) | 33 (34.4) | 0.85 (0.35–2.09) | 0.730 |
| 3–4 | 19 (17.4) | 24 (25.0) | 0.54 (0.20–1.44) | 0.222 |
| 5+ | 33 (30.3) | 28 (29.2) | 0.81 (0.32–2.03) | 0.653 |
| Treatment delay in weeks | ||||
| 0–2 | 12 (16.0) | 14 (23.7) | 1.00 | |
| 3–4 | 24 (32.0) | 11 (18.6) | 2.55 (0.89–7.27) | 0.081 |
| 5–11 | 15 (20.0) | 17 (28.8) | 1.03 (0.36–2.91) | 0.956 |
| 12 or more | 24 (32.0) | 17 (28.8) | 1.65 (0.62–4.43) | 0.323 |
| Alcohol abuse | ||||
| No | 166 (85.1) | 131 (86.2) | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 30 (14.9) | 21 (13.8) | 1.09 (0.59–2.00) | 0.781 |
| Drug use | ||||
| No | 154 (79.0) | 135 (88.8) | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 41 (21.0) | 17 (11.2) | 2.11 (1.15–3.89) | 0.016 |
| TB/HIV co-infection | ||||
| No | 126 (70.8) | 106 (79.1) | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 52 (29.2) | 28 (20.9) | 1.56 (0.92–2.65) | 0.097 |
| Diabetes | ||||
| No | 189 (96.9) | 143 (94,1) | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 6 (3.1) | 9 (5.9) | 0.50 (0.18–1.45) | 0.204 |
The percentage in brackets is calculated based on non-missing data. The difference between the total number of Brazilians, South American migrants or Total and each variable category corresponds to missing data
aIncidence per 100,000 person years
Distribution of individuals by origin in clusters: sensitivity analysis with clusters restricted to those with identical patterns and excluding TB high-risk groups
| Cluster proportion | South American migrants | Brazilians | Overall | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | ||||||
| Identical patterns | Clusters | 26 (32.1) | 122 (45.9) | 148 (42.7) | 0.56 (0.33–0.94) | 0.029 |
| Unique profiles | 55 (67.9) | 144 (54.1) | 199 (57.3) | |||
| Similar patterns, excluding HIV, drug users and alcohol abusers | Clusters | 23 (33.18) | 51 (42.9) | 74 (39.6) | 0.68 (0.37–1.27) | 0.225 |
| Unique profiles | 45 (66.18) | 68 (57.1) | 113 (60.4) |