Jonathan Rice1, Jennifer L Dodge2, Kiran M Bambha3, Jasmohan S Bajaj4, K Rajender Reddy5, Jane Gralla1, Dinesh Ganapathy4, Robert Mitrani5, Bradley Reuter4, Julia Palecki5, Chathur Acharya4, Jawaid Shaw4, James R Burton1, Scott W Biggins6. 1. Division of Gastroenterology, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado. 2. Center for Liver Investigation Fostering Discovery (C-LIFE), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California. 3. Center for Liver Investigation Fostering Discovery (C-LIFE), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; Division of Gastroenterology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. 4. Division of Gastroenterology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia; Division of Gastroenterology, McGuire VA Medical Center, Richmond, Virginia. 5. Division of Gastroenterology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 6. Center for Liver Investigation Fostering Discovery (C-LIFE), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; Division of Gastroenterology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. Electronic address: bigginss@medicine.washtington.edu.
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker of immune dysregulation in patients with cirrhosis and is inexpensive to measure. We investigated the association between NLR and mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis at 4 liver transplant centers, controlling for severity of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: We performed a retrospective study using data from the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease on patients with index hospitalizations for cirrhosis from December 2011 through December 2016. We collected data on patient demographics, NLR, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, serum levels of Na, cirrhosis stages, infections, hepatocellular carcinomas, and ACLF severity (based on number of organ failures). Competing risk regression analysis evaluated mortality within 1 year after hospital discharge, accounting for competing events (liver transplant). RESULTS: At admission, the patients' mean age was 57 years, mean MELD score was 21, and mean serum level of Na was 134 mmol/L. Sixty-eight patients had no organ failure, 21 patients had 1 organ failures, 7 patients had 2 organ failures, 4 patients had 3 organ failures, and 1 patient had 4 organ failures; 36% of the patients had confirmed or suspected infections. In univariate models, risk of death associated with increasing NLR, up to a value of 8 (hazard ratio [HR]= 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.20; P < .001), and NLR quartile (for NLR range of 3-5, HR = 2.17; for NLR range of >5-9, HR=2.46; for NLR quartile >9, HR=2.84 vs the lowest quartile [NLR<3]) (P ≤ .001). The NLR remained statistically significant in multivariable models, adjusting for age, MELD score, hepatocellular carcinoma, and ACLF severity. Additionally, NLR was a statistically significant independent predictor of length of index hospital stay and mortality within 90 days after discharge. CONCLUSION: In a retrospective analysis of patients with cirrhosis, we found NLR to associate with death within 1 year after non-elective hospitalization. In these patients, the risk of death associated with acute immune dysregulation persists long after their initial hospitalization.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker of immune dysregulation in patients with cirrhosis and is inexpensive to measure. We investigated the association between NLR and mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis at 4 liver transplant centers, controlling for severity of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: We performed a retrospective study using data from the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease on patients with index hospitalizations for cirrhosis from December 2011 through December 2016. We collected data on patient demographics, NLR, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, serum levels of Na, cirrhosis stages, infections, hepatocellular carcinomas, and ACLF severity (based on number of organ failures). Competing risk regression analysis evaluated mortality within 1 year after hospital discharge, accounting for competing events (liver transplant). RESULTS: At admission, the patients' mean age was 57 years, mean MELD score was 21, and mean serum level of Na was 134 mmol/L. Sixty-eight patients had no organ failure, 21 patients had 1 organ failures, 7 patients had 2 organ failures, 4 patients had 3 organ failures, and 1 patient had 4 organ failures; 36% of the patients had confirmed or suspected infections. In univariate models, risk of death associated with increasing NLR, up to a value of 8 (hazard ratio [HR]= 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.20; P < .001), and NLR quartile (for NLR range of 3-5, HR = 2.17; for NLR range of >5-9, HR=2.46; for NLR quartile >9, HR=2.84 vs the lowest quartile [NLR<3]) (P ≤ .001). The NLR remained statistically significant in multivariable models, adjusting for age, MELD score, hepatocellular carcinoma, and ACLF severity. Additionally, NLR was a statistically significant independent predictor of length of index hospital stay and mortality within 90 days after discharge. CONCLUSION: In a retrospective analysis of patients with cirrhosis, we found NLR to associate with death within 1 year after non-elective hospitalization. In these patients, the risk of death associated with acute immune dysregulation persists long after their initial hospitalization.
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