| Literature DB >> 29659591 |
Toshie Mashiba1, Kouji Joko1, Masayuki Kurosaki2, Hironori Ochi1, Yukio Osaki3, Yuji Kojima4, Ryo Nakata5, Tohru Goto6, Akahane Takehiro7, Hiroyuki Kimura8, Akeri Mitsuda9, Chiharu Kawanami10, Yasushi Uchida11, Chikara Ogawa12, Atsunori Kusakabe13, Ryuichi Narita14, Yasushi Ide15, Takehiko Abe16, Keiji Tsuji17, Tadashi Kitamura18, Kazuhiko Okada19, Tetsuro Sohda20, Masaya Shigeno21, Takashi Satou22, Namiki Izumi2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: This study aimed to elucidate whether interferon (IFN)-free direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for hepatitis C after curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) promotes HCC recurrence in a real-world large-scale cohort.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29659591 PMCID: PMC5901785 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194704
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Baseline patient characteristics.
| IFN group | IFN-free group | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) [median (IQR)] | 66 (43–80) | 73 (48–88) | <0.0001 |
| Male:Female | 106:42 | 208:160 | 0.0013 |
| Number of days from previous HCC treatment to starting antiviral therapy [median (range)] | 187 (4–3348) | 333 (15–5038) | <0.0001 |
| HCC Stage (I:II:III) | 52:45:19 | 153:102:30 | 0.1585 |
| Leukocyte count (/μL) [median (IQR)] | 4420 (3635–5180) | 3925(3100–5100) | 0.0018 |
| Hemoglobin (g/mL) [median (IQR)] | 13.8 (12.6–14.7) | 12.8 (11.6–14.0) | <0.0001 |
| Platelet count (x104/μL) [median (IQR)] | 12.5 (9.9–15.9) | 10.2 (7.2–13.4) | <0.0001 |
| ALT (IU/L) [median (IQR)] | 53 (33–74) | 44 (28–66) | 0.0061 |
| Bilirubin (mg/dL) [median (IQR)] | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.9447 |
| Protrombin time (%) [median (IQR)] | 84 (72–96) | 83 (73–92) | 0.7745 |
| Albumin (g/dL) [median (IQR)] | 4.0 (3.7–4.3) | 3.8 (3.5–4.1) | 0.0076 |
| Fibrosis-4 index [median (IQR)] | 3.8 (2.6–5.6) | 5.6 (3.8–8.7) | <0.0001 |
| α-fetoprotein (ng/mL) [median (IQR)] | 10 (6–20) | 10 (5–23) | 0.7550 |
IFN: interferon, IQR: interquartile range, HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, ALT: alanine aminotransferase.
Fig 1Flow sheet summarizing study selection.
Factors associated with early recurrence of HCC within six months of completing antiviral therapy.
| Factor | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds ratio (95%CI) | p value | Odds ratio (95%CI) | p value | |
| Age (years) | 0.993 (0.969–1.018) | 0.5826 | ||
| Sex [Male] | 1.010 (0.662–1.551) | 0.9639 | ||
| IFN therapy [Yes] | 1.544 (0.999–2.374) | 0.0487 | ||
| Previous treatment [Yes] | 1.190 (0.746–1.906) | 0.4672 | ||
| Leukocyte count (/μL) | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 0.1014 | ||
| Hemoglobin (g/mL) | 0.988 (0.884–1.106) | 0.8348 | ||
| Platelet count (x104/μL) | 0.959 (0.917–1.000) | 0.0589 | ||
| Albumin (g/dL) | 0.565 (0.338–0.935) | 0.0274 | ||
| Prothrombin time (%) | 0.981 (0.964–0.998) | 0.0282 | ||
| AST (IU/L) | 1.008 (1.002–1.015) | 0.0121 | ||
| ALT (IU/L) | 1.005 (0.999–1.012) | 0.0854 | ||
| AFP; α-fetoprotein (ng/mL) | 1.003 (1.000–1.006) | 0.0634 | ||
| DCP; des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (mAU/mL) | 1.003 (0.999–1.007) | 0.1533 | ||
| Fibrosis-4 index | 1.038 (0.995–1.085) | 0.0878 | ||
| HCV-RNA (LogIU/mL) | 0.982 (0.745–1.312) | 0.9014 | ||
| ALT (end of treatment) | 0.999 (0.990–1.004) | 0.6839 | ||
| AFP (end of treatment) | 1.024 (1.012–1.040) | 0.0003 | 1.021 (1.005–1.043) | 0.0321 |
| Number of days from HCC treatment to starting antiviral therapy | 0.999 (0.999–1.000) | 0.0062 | ||
| Number of treatments [≥2] | 2.186 (1.399–3.440) | 0.0006 | ||
| Number of tumors [>3] | 1.742 (0.669–4.285) | 0.2346 | ||
| Tumor size [>3 cm] | 1.386 (0.643–2.854) | 0.3867 | ||
| Stage [III] | 2.458 (1.303–4.591) | 0.0049 | 2.526 (1.047–6.096) | 0.0392 |
| SVR [No] | 0.411 (0.254–0.668) | 0.0003 | 3.943 (1.534–10.135) | 0.0044 |
HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, IFN: interferon, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, ALT: alanine aminotransferase, AFP: α-fetoprotein, DCP: des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, SVR: sustained virological response.
AUROC for items for which cutoff values were set in Table 2.
| Factor [Cutoff] | AUROC |
|---|---|
| Albumin (g/dL) [3.5] | 0.57547 |
| Prothrombin time (%) [70] | 0.56937 |
| AST (IU/L) [63] | 0.56816 |
| AFP (end of treatment) (ng/mL) [9] | 0.65736 |
Factors associated with early recurrence of HCC within six months of completing antiviral therapy in patients who achieved SVR.
| Factor | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds ratio (95%CI) | p value | Odds ratio (95%CI) | p value | |
| Age (years) | 1.004 (0.975–1.034) | 0.8055 | ||
| Sex [Male] | 1.030 (0.629–1.706) | 0.9064 | ||
| IFN therapy [Yes] | 1.023 (0.553–1.824) | 0.9409 | ||
| Previous treatment [Yes] | 1.036 (0.614–1.747) | 0.8941 | ||
| Leukocyte count (/μL) | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 0.2433 | ||
| Hemoglobin (g/mL) | 0.967 (0.850–1.103) | 0.6150 | ||
| Platelet count (x104/μL) | 0.970 (0.921–1.017) | 0.2240 | ||
| Albumin (g/dL) | 0.542 (0.300–0.968) | 0.0398 | ||
| Prothrombin time (%) | 0.971 (0.951–0.990) | 0.0042 | ||
| AST (IU/L) | 1.010 (1.002–1.018) | 0.0176 | ||
| ALT (IU/L) | 1.003 (0.996–1.011) | 0.3156 | ||
| AFP (ng/mL) | 1.002 (0.999–1.005) | 0.1370 | ||
| DCP (mAU/mL) | 1.006 (1.001–1.014) | 0.0733 | ||
| Fibrosis-4 index | 1.031 (0.983–1.080) | 0.1899 | ||
| HCV-RNA (LogIU/mL) | 0.927 (0.686–1.270) | 0.6260 | ||
| ALT (end of treatment) | 0.996 (0.979–1.004) | 0.4914 | ||
| AFP (end of treatment) | 1.018 (1.006–1.034) | 0.0114 | ||
| <9 vs. ≥9 [≥9] | 2.667 (1.559–4.560) | 0.0004 | 2.340 (1.169–4.888) | 0.0170 |
| Number of days from HCC treatment to starting antiviral therapy | 0.999 (0.999–1.000) | 0.0061 | ||
| Number of treatments [≥2] | 2.026 (1.202–3.451) | 0.0085 | ||
| Number of tumors [>3] | 2.010 (0.667–5.537) | 0.1879 | ||
| Tumor size [>3 cm] | 1.555 (0.642–3.511) | 0.3033 | ||
| Stage [III] | 2.289 (1.086–4.686) | 0.0254 | 3.089 (1.241–7.692) | 0.0154 |
HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, SVR: sustained virological response, IFN: interferon, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, ALT: alanine aminotransferase, AFP: α-fetoprotein, DCP: des-γ-carboxy prothrombin.
AUROC for items for which cutoff values were set in Table 4.
| Factor [Cutoff] | AUROC |
|---|---|
| Albumin (g/dL) [3.6] | 0.58211 |
| Prothrombin time (%) [70] | 0.60711 |
| AST (IU/L) [63] | 0.58842 |
| AFP (end of treatment) (ng/mL) [9] | 0.61189 |
Factors associated with recurrence of HCC after completing antiviral therapy in patients who achieved SVR.
| Factor | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard ratio (95%CI) | p value | Hazard ratio (95%CI) | p value | |
| Age (years) | 1.001 (0.981–1.022) | 0.9136 | ||
| Sex [Male] | 1.120 (0.791–1.605) | 0.5276 | ||
| IFN therapy [Yes] | 0.950 (0.605–1.445) | 0.8148 | ||
| Previous treatment [Yes] | 0.908 (0.629–1.308) | 0.6057 | ||
| Leukocyte count (/μL) | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 0.4530 | ||
| Hemoglobin (g/mL) | 0.977 (1.068–1.024) | 0.6048 | ||
| Platelet count (x104/μL) | 0.964 (0.931–0.997) | 0.0333 | ||
| Albumin (g/dL) | 0.558 (0.376–0.830) | 0.0041 | ||
| Prothrombin time (%) | 0.974 (0.961–0.988) | 0.0002 | ||
| AST (IU/L) | 1.010 (1.005–1.014) | 0.0002 | ||
| ALT (IU/L) | 1.007 (1.002–1.011) | 0.0059 | ||
| AFP (ng/mL) | 1.001 (1.000–1.003) | 0.1223 | ||
| DCP (mAU/mL) | 1.001 (0.999–1.002) | 0.4164 | ||
| Fibrosis-4 index | 1.036 (1.011–1.056) | 0.0068 | ||
| HCV-RNA (LogIU/mL) | 0.961 (0.793–1.183) | 0.6997 | ||
| ALT (end of treatment) | 1.000 (0.996–1.002) | 0.8877 | ||
| AFP (end of treatment) | 1.001 (1.000–1.001) | 0.0141 | ||
| <9 vs. ≥9 [≥9] | 3.428 (2.148–5.500) | <0.0001 | 2.165 (1.305–3.564) | 0.0030 |
| Number of days from HCC treatment to starting antiviral therapy | 0.999 (0.999–1.000) | 0.0097 | 0.999 (0.999–1.000) | 0.0270 |
| Number of treatments [≥2] | 1.757 (1.237–2.506) | 0.0138 | 1.622 (1.012–2.617) | 0.0444 |
| Number of tumors [>3] | 2.221 (1.119–3.981) | 0.0466 | ||
| Tumor size [>3 cm] | 1.076 (0.596–1.821) | 0.7983 | ||
| Stage [III] | 1.687 (0.996–2.710) | 0.0517 | ||
HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, SVR: sustained virological response, IFN: interferon, AST: aspartate aminotransferase, ALT: alanine aminotransferase, AFP: α-fetoprotein, DCP: des-γ-carboxy prothrombin
AUROC for items for which cutoff values were set in Table 6.
| Factor [Cutoff] | AUROC |
|---|---|
| Platelet count (x104/μL) [<10] | 0.56172 |
| Albumin (g/dL) [3.6] | 0.56000 |
| Prothrombin time (%) [70] | 0.61047 |
| AST (IU/L) [63] | 0.60616 |
| ALT (IU/L) [55] | 0.57519 |
| AFP (end of treatment) (ng/mL) [9] | 0.64714 |
Fig 2Cumulative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rate in patients who achieved sustained virological response.
Kaplan-Meier analysis does not show a significant difference between the IFN group (gray line) and IFN-free DAA group (black line).
Patient characteristics after propensity score matching.
| IFN group | IFN-free group | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 66.0±6.7 | 66.6±9.1 | 0.7158 |
| Male:Female | 42:14 | 41:15 | 0.8292 |
| Number of days from previous HCC treatment to starting antiviral therapy [median (range)] | 194 (41–2667) | 142 (22–1630) | 0.0750 |
| HCC Stage (I : II : III) | 21 : 26 : 9 | 22 : 27 : 7 | 0.8638 |
| Fibrosis-4 index [median ± IQR] | 3.77±1.86 | 3.79±1.34 | 0.4236 |
Fig 3HCC cumulative recurrence rate after propensity score matching.
Kaplan-Meier analysis performed after matching also revealed no significant difference between the IFN group (gray line) and the IFN-free DAA group (black line).