| Literature DB >> 34150679 |
Fatih Karbeyaz1, Seraphina Kissling2, Paul Julius Jaklin1, Jaqueline Bachofner1, Barbara Brunner1, Beat Müllhaupt1, Thomas Winder3, Joachim C Mertens1, Benjamin Misselwitz1,4, Stefanie von Felten5, Alexander R Siebenhüner6,7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Direct-acting antivirals (DAA) have revolutionized the therapy of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and have replaced previous PEG-interferon/ribavirin (PEG-IFN/RBV) treatment. Patients with CHC and advanced liver disease are at increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the effects of DAA-based CHC treatment on subsequent HCC incidence remain poorly understood. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective single-institution cohort study included 243 consecutive patients after PEG-IFN/RBV and 263 patients after DAA treatment. Multivariable cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare time to HCC between treatment types, censoring patients who died or had an orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) at the time of the competing event. Age, gender, BMI, viral load, cirrhosis, fibrosis stage, diabetes, virus genotype and previous PEG-IFN/RBV (before DAA) were used as covariates. In addition, we performed a propensity score-matched analysis.Entities:
Keywords: PEG-interferon and ribavirin; chronic hepatitis C; direct-acting antivirals; hepatocellular carcinoma; liver transplantation; sustained virological response; viral load
Year: 2021 PMID: 34150679 PMCID: PMC8205644 DOI: 10.2147/JHC.S289955
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Hepatocell Carcinoma ISSN: 2253-5969
Figure 1Flowchart of patient recruitment.
Overview of the Baseline Characteristics for Both Treatment Groups for Eligible Patients
| PEG-IFN/RBV | DAA | p-value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | 243 | 263 | ||
| Sex | m | 152 (62.6) | 161 (61.2) | 0.828 |
| f | 91 (37.4) | 102 (38.8) | ||
| Diabetes | No | 212 (89.1) | 233 (88.6) | 0.977 |
| Yes | 26 (10.9) | 30 (11.4) | ||
| Cirrhosis | No | 184 (75.7) | 170 (64.6) | 0.009 |
| Yes | 59 (24.3) | 93 (35.4) | ||
| Genotype | 1 | 129 (53.1) | 175 (66.5) | 0.002 |
| 2 | 29 (11.9) | 18 (6.8) | ||
| 3 | 63 (25.9) | 41 (15.6) | ||
| 4 | 22 (9.1) | 29 (11.0) | ||
| Previous PEG-IFN/RBV | No | 243 (100) | 187 (70.7) | < 0.001 |
| Yes | 0 (0) | 76 (29.3) | ||
| Fibrosis Grade | 1 | 33 (17.6) | 31 (15.3) | 0.220 |
| 2 | 48 (25.7) | 52 (25.6) | ||
| 3 | 67 (35.8) | 60 (29.6) | ||
| 4 | 39 (20.9) | 60 (29.6) | ||
| Child-Pugh-Score | A | 55 (22.6) | 83 (31.6) | 0.018 |
| B | 4 (1.6) | 10 (3.8) | ||
| MELD | 6 | 177 (74.7) | 190 (72.2) | 0.729 |
Abbreviations: DAA, direct-acting antivirals; PEG-IFN/RBV, pegylated interferon/ribavirin; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.
Hazard Ratio Estimates (with 95% Confidence Intervals) for Treatment (DAA vs PEG-IFN/RBV) and Important Covariates from Cause-Specific Cox Proportional Hazards Models on Time to HCC. The Hazard Ratio for Treatment is Once Estimated without Adjustment for Other Known or Potential Risk Factors for HCC (A), and with Adjustment for Different Sets of Other Risk Factors (B and C)
| Treatment DAA | 6.40 | 2.20–18.61 | 0.0006 |
| Age (years) | 1.05 | 1.02–1.09 | 0.001 |
| Female sex | 0.65 | 0.32–1.31 | 0.23 |
| Previous PEG-IFN/RBV | 1.15 | 0.45–2.94 | 0.77 |
| Treatment DAA vs PEG-IFN/RBV | 7.34 | 2.34–23.03 | 0.0006 |
| Age (years) | 1.04 | 1.01–1.08 | 0.021 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 3.82 | 1.25–11.67 | 0.019 |
| Fibrosis Grade 3–4 vs 0–2 | 1.04 | 0.31–3.47 | 0.95 |
| Treatment DAA | 7.23 | 2.14–24.38 | 0.003 |
Notes: Reading example: Overall in our cohort, patients treated with DAA developed HCC with an approximately 6-fold hazard compared to patients treated with PEG-IFN/RBV control (HR 6.40, A). Adjusted for the most important other risk factors age, liver cirrhosis and fibrosis degree, the HR changes to 7.23 (C). Moreover, patients with cirrhosis had an almost four-fold hazard to develop HCC than those without cirrhosis. Fibrosis degree 3–4 did not increase the hazard much compared to fibrosis degree 0–2, but it must be noted that this estimate is itself adjusted for cirrhosis. This means, we estimate the HR for Fibrosis degree 3–4 vs 0–2, given a patient either has cirrhosis, or not. Model (A) and (B) included the total number of 506 patients with 37 HCC events. Due to missing data on fibrosis grade, model (C) included only 390 patients with 33 HCC events. Age in years.
Abbreviations: DAA, direct-acting antivirals; PEG-IFN/RBV, pegylated interferon/ribavirin; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2Treatment specific cumulative incidence curves for (A) HCC, (B) death and (C) OLT. Numbers at risk are given at the bottom.
Hazard Ratio Estimates from a Cause-Specific Cox Proportional Hazards Model on Time to Death (A) and Orthotopic Liver Transplantation (OLT) (B)
| Age (years) | 1.00 | 0.96–1.04 | 0.93 |
| Treatment DAA | 1.98 | 0.61–6.48 | 0.26 |
| Age (years) | 1.04 | 0.99–1.09 | 0.15 |
| Treatment DAA | 0.13 | 0.02–1.00 | 0.05 |
Notes: The total of 506 patients was included in both models. Model (A) included 18 deaths, model (B) 12 OLT. Age in years.
Abbreviations: DAA, direct-acting antivirals; CI, confidence interval.