Literature DB >> 29632004

Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Brian D Nicholson1, William Hamilton2, Jack O'Sullivan1, Paul Aveyard1, Fd Richard Hobbs1.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Weight loss is a non-specific cancer symptom for which there are no clinical guidelines about investigation in primary care. AIM: To summarise the available evidence on weight loss as a clinical feature of cancer in patients presenting to primary care. DESIGN AND
SETTING: A diagnostic test accuracy review and meta-analysis.
METHOD: Studies reporting 2 × 2 diagnostic accuracy data for weight loss (index test) in adults presenting to primary care and a subsequent diagnosis of cancer (reference standard) were included. QUADAS-2 was used to assess study quality. Sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratios, and positive predictive values were calculated, and a bivariate meta-analysis performed.
RESULTS: A total of 25 studies were included, with 23 (92%) using primary care records. Of these, 20 (80%) defined weight loss as a physician's coding of the symptom; the remainder collected data directly. One defined unexplained weight loss using objective measurements. Positive associations between weight loss and cancer were found for 10 cancer sites: prostate, colorectal, lung, gastro-oesophageal, pancreatic, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, ovarian, myeloma, renal tract, and biliary tree. Sensitivity ranged from 2% to 47%, and specificity from 92% to 99%, across cancer sites. The positive predictive value for cancer in male and female patients with weight loss for all age groups ≥60 years exceeded the 3% risk threshold that current UK guidance proposes for further investigation.
CONCLUSION: A primary care clinician's decision to code for weight loss is highly predictive of cancer. For such patients, urgent referral pathways are justified to investigate for cancer across multiple sites. © British Journal of General Practice 2018.

Entities:  

Keywords:  cancer; diagnosis; primary care; systematic review; weight loss

Mesh:

Year:  2018        PMID: 29632004      PMCID: PMC5916078          DOI: 10.3399/bjgp18X695801

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Br J Gen Pract        ISSN: 0960-1643            Impact factor:   5.386


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