| Literature DB >> 29568409 |
Xue-Wei Chang1,2, Shou-Yan Zhang2, Hao Wang2, Ming-Ming Zhang2, Wei-Feng Zheng2, Hui-Fang Ma2, Yun-Fei Gu2, Jing-Han Wei1, Chun-Guang Qiu1.
Abstract
The combined value of RDW and GRACE risk score for cardiovascular prognosis in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not been fully investigated. This study was designed to explore the combined value of RDW and GRACE risk score on predicting long-term major adverse cardiac event (Mace) in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI. This study included 390 STEMI patients. The primary endpoint at the (33.5 ± 7.1) months follow-up was composed of cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction. The relationship between clinical parameters and clinical outcomes was evaluated using Cox regression model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Mace occurred in 126 (32.3%) patients including 54 (13.8%) cardiac deaths and 72 (18.5%) nonfatal myocardial infarctions. Patients in Mace group had significantly higher RDW and GRACE score than the patients in non-Mace group. According to the Cox model, RDW and GRACE score were the most important independent predictors of Mace and cardiac death. The best cut-off value for RDW to predict the occurrence of primary events was 13.25% (AUC = 0.694, 95% CI:0.639-0.750, P < 0.001) and that for GRACE score was 119.5 (AUC = 0.721, 95% CI:0.666-0.777, P < 0.001). The combination of RDW and GRACE score were more valuable (AUC = 0.775, 95% CI: 0.727-0.824, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis provided significant prognostic information with the highest risk for cardiac death (Log-Rank χ2 = 24.684, P < 0.001) in group with both high RDW (> 13.25%) and high GRACE score (> 119.5). The combination of RDW level and GRACE score may be valuable and simple independent predictors of Mace and cardiac death in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI. They may be useful tools for risk stratification and may indicate long-term clinical outcomes.Entities:
Keywords: coronary artery; myocardial infarction; percutaneous coronary intervention; red cell distribution width
Year: 2018 PMID: 29568409 PMCID: PMC5862630 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.24128
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Demographic variables and baseline clinical characteristics
| Characteristics | MACE group | Non-MACE group | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 62.5 ± 11.5 | 61.5 ± 11.2 | 0.424 |
| Gender, male | 100 (79.4) | 195 (73.9) | 0.237 |
| BMI, Kg/m2 | 23.7 ± 2.98 | 23.8 ± 3.58 | 0.844 |
| Initial heart rate, beats/min | 74.5 ± 15.0 | 74.2 ± 11.2 | 0.844 |
| Current smoker | 65 (51.6) | 115 (43.6) | 0.137 |
| Hypertension | 61 (48.4) | 147 (55.7) | 0.178 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 25 (19.8) | 66 (25.0) | 0.260 |
| Family history | 32 (25.4) | 54 (20.5) | 0.271 |
| Medication at discharge | |||
| Aspirin | 125 (99.2) | 262 (99.2) | 1.000 |
| Clopidogrel | 125 (99.2) | 263 (99.6) | 0.542 |
| Statins | 124 (98.4) | 261 (98.9) | 0.660 |
| Beta-blocker | 102 (81.0) | 212 (80.3) | 0.880 |
| ACEI/ARB | 87 (69.0) | 189 (71.6) | 0.606 |
| Diuretic | 42 (33.3) | 84 (31.8) | 0.765 |
| Angina history | 25 (19.8) | 67 (25.4) | 0.228 |
| Anterior infarction | 65 (51.6) | 112 (42.4) | 0.089 |
| Killip class ≥ 2 | 42 (33.3) | 47 (17.8) | 0.001 |
| Number of diseased vessels | 0.136 | ||
| 1-vessel disease | 86 | 161 | |
| 2-vessel disease | 33 | 94 | |
| 3-vessel disease | 7 | 9 | |
| Number of stents per patient | 1.24 ± 0.58 | 1.28 ± 0.63 | 0.490 |
| Gensini score | 49.1 ± 26.9 | 46.5 ± 26.2 | 0.374 |
| LVEDD, mm | 48.5 ± 4.8 | 47.5 ± 6.5 | 0.145 |
| LVEF, % | 58.8 ± 8.3 | 59.9 ± 9.3 | 0.264 |
| Creatinine, umol/L | 71.8 ± 20.2 | 72.1 ± 20.4 | 0.915 |
| Uric acid, mmol/L | 312.0 ± 101.0 | 305.8 ± 96.0 | 0.556 |
| Potassium, mmol/L | 4.12 ± 0.52 | 4.19 ± 0.44 | 0.232 |
| Total cholesterol, mmol/L | 4.42 ± 1.03 | 4.33 ± 1.07 | 0.438 |
| Triglyceride, mmol/L | 1.64 ± 0.94 | 1.78 ± 1.14 | 0.249 |
| HDL-C, mmol/L | 1.09 ± 0.24 | 1.12 ± 0.28 | 0.429 |
| LDL-C, mmol/L | 2.57 ± 0.76 | 2.42 ± 0.76 | 0.076 |
| HsCRP, g/L | 9.61 ± 5.05 | 6.96 ± 4.89 | < 0.001 |
| White blood cell count | 9.90 ± 3.79 | 9.57 ± 2.49 | 0.302 |
| Hemoglobin, g/L | 137.0 ± 17.3 | 137.6 ± 18.9 | 0.794 |
| Platelet count | 223.5 ± 62.0 | 212.4 ± 60.1 | 0.092 |
| RDW, % | 13.5 ± 0.99 | 12.9 ± 0.87 | < 0.001 |
| GRACE score | 133.0 ± 31.3 | 112.3 ± 23.0 | < 0.001 |
Values are presented as mean ± SD or n (%). Abbreviations: ACEI: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, ARB: Angiotensin receptor blocker, LVEDD: Left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, LVEF: Left ventricular ejection fraction, HDL-C: High-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, LDL-C: Low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, hsCRP: Hypersensitive C reactive protein, RDW: Red blood cell distribution width, GRACE score: The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Event risk score.
Figure 1A scatter plot showing the relationship between RDW and hsCRP
RDW: Red blood cell distribution width, hsCRP: Hypersensitive C reactive protein.
Cox regression analysis for MACE and cardiac death
| Variable | Univariate HR (95% CI) | Multivariate HR (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDW | 1.697 (1.449–1.988) | < 0.001 | 1.735 (1.439–2.091) | < 0.001 |
| GRACE score | 1.020 (1.015–1.025) | < 0.001 | 1.022 (1.017–1.028) | < 0.001 |
| hsCRP | 1.076 (1.045–1.108) | < 0.001 | 1.056 (1.025–1.088) | < 0.001 |
| Current smoker | 1.302 (0.918–1.846) | 0.139 | 1.668 (1.166–2.387) | 0.005 |
| Anterior infarction | 1.366 (0.963–1.937) | 0.080 | 1.673 (1.163–2.407) | 0.006 |
| Killip class | 1.610 (1.327–1.953) | < 0.001 | - | - |
| Angina history | 0.756 (0.488–1.171) | 0.210 | 0.522 (0.329–0.829) | 0.006 |
| LDL-C | 1.215 (0.970–1.522) | 0.090 | - | - |
| RDW | 1.534 (1.208–1.948) | < 0.001 | 1.562 (1.174–2.078) | 0.002 |
| GRACE score | 1.016 (1.008–1.024) | < 0.001 | 1.015 (1.007–1.023) | < 0.001 |
| hsCRP | 1.072 (1.025–1.120) | 0.002 | 1.054 (1.007–1.103) | 0.024 |
| Killip class | 1.326 (0.981–1.791) | 0.066 | - | - |
| Anterior infarction | 2.184 (1.257–3.794) | 0.006 | 2.221 (1.268–3.892) | 0.005 |
| LDL-C | 1.563 (1.126–2.169) | 0.008 | 1.499 (1.092–2.059) | 0.012 |
Abbreviations: HR: hazard ratio, CI: confidence interval, RDW: Red blood cell distribution width, GRACE score: The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Event risk score, hsCRP: Hypersensitive C reactive protein, LDL-C: Low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, LVEDD: Left ventricular end-diastolic dimension.
Figure 2The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve for red cell distribution width (RDW), GRACE score, and the combined value for predicting major adverse cardiac events (Mace) (Figure 2)
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier survival analysis for cardiac death (A) and Mace (B). All patients were stratified into 4 groups based on cut-off values of RDW (13.25%) and GRACE score (119.5). The group with high RDW (> 13.25%) and high GRACE score (> 119.5) had the worse prognosis than other groups (Log-Rank χ2 = 24.684, 92.252, P < 0.001). RDW: Red blood cell distribution width, GRACE score: The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Event risk score, Mace: major adverse cardiac events.