| Literature DB >> 29472264 |
Yuesong Pan1,2,3,4,5, Xueli Cai6, Xiaochuan Huo1,2,3,4, Xingquan Zhao1,2,3,4, Liping Liu1,2,3,4, Yongjun Wang1,2,3,4, Zhongrong Miao1,2,3,4, Yilong Wang1,2,3,4.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Endovascular mechanical thrombectomy is an effective but expensive therapy for acute ischaemic stroke with proximal anterior circulation occlusion. This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of mechanical thrombectomy in China, which is the largest developing country.Entities:
Keywords: cost-effectiveness; costs; quality-adjusted life-year; stroke; thrombectomy
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29472264 PMCID: PMC5855394 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018951
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Figure 1Decision tree and Markov state transition model. A patient with an acute ischaemic stroke with anterior circulation occlusion entered the model at 63 years old receiving either intravenous tissue-type plasminogen activator (tPA) with or without mechanical thrombectomy and transited between health states until death or 30 years. Patients may remain in the same health state, move to a state of equal or greater disability after recurrent stroke or die. Only transition from dependent state (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3–5) was illustrated in the figure. IV, intravenous; M, Markov node; sICH, symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage.
Base case and plausible ranges of model inputs
| Model input | Base case | Range | Reference |
| Efficacy and safety outcome inputs |
| ||
| Proportion of outcomes at 90 days in intravenous tPA group | |||
| mRS 0–2 | 0.325 | 0.258–0.392 | |
| Death (mRS 6) | 0.168 | 0.131–0.205 | |
| sICH | 0.058 | 0.035–0.095 | |
| OR at 90 days | |||
| mRS 0–2 | 2.046 | 1.692–2.474 | |
| Death (mRS 6) | 0.871 | 0.684–1.109 | |
| sICH | 0.965 | 0.665–1.399 | |
| Probabilities inputs | |||
| Proportion of patients received mechanical thrombectomy | 0.861 | 0.839–0.883 |
|
| Proportion of patients arrived within 4.5 hours | 0.854 | 0.839–0.869 | CNSR |
| Recurrent rate of stroke (per patient year) | CNSR | ||
| mRS 0–2 | 0.1026 | 0.0961–0.1093 | |
| mRS 3–5 | 0.1418 | 0.1303–0.1534 | |
| Relative risk of stroke recurrence per life year | 1.03 | 1.02–1.04 |
|
| Death with recurrent stroke | 0.2101 | 0.1887–0.2316 | CNSR |
| Age specific non-stroke death rate* | 0.0089–0.1653 |
| |
| HR of non-stroke death for mRS 3–5 | 1.78 | 1.43–2.14 |
|
| Cost inputs (2013 Chinese yuan renminbi) | |||
| Additional costs of mechanical thrombectomy | 60 821 | 52 314–70311 | EAST |
| Additional costs of intravenous tPA treatment | 11 179 | 10 555–11829 | CNSR, TIMS-CHINA |
| Additional costs of sICH | 2374 | 2249–2504 | TIMS-CHINA |
| One-time hospitalisation costs | CNSR | ||
| mRS 0–2 | 10 055 | 9907–10205 | |
| mRS 3–5 | 13 729 | 13 428–14035 | |
| mRS 6 | 11 121 | 10 219–12081 | |
| Annual posthospitalisation costs | CNSR | ||
| mRS 0–2 | 7385 | 7156–7619 | |
| mRS 3–5 | 11 350 | 10 730–11996 | |
| Utility inputs | |||
| mRS 0–2 | 0.76 | 0.69–0.82 |
|
| mRS 3–5 | 0.21 | 0.17–0.26 |
|
| Death (mRS 6) | 0 | 0.00–0.00 |
|
| Recurrent stroke | 0.34 | 0.32–0.36 |
|
| sICH | 0.84 | 0.72–1.0 |
|
| Discount rate inputs | |||
| Costs | 0.03 | 0.03–0.08 |
|
| Outcomes | 0.03 | ±20% |
|
All costs were converted to 2013 Chinese yuan renminbi by using the medical care component of consumer price index; to convert CNY to US$, divide by 6.5.
*Age-specific non-stroke death rate: only the number of 63 years old (0.0089) and 93 years old (0.1653) are presented.
CNSR, China National Stroke Registry; EAST, Endovascular therapy for Acute ischaemic Stroke Trial; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; sICH, symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage; TIMS-CHINA, Thrombolysis Implementation and Monitor of acute ischaemic Stroke in China; tPA, tissue plasminogen activator.
Costs and outcomes in base case analysis
| Time horizon | Treat strategy | QALYs | Cost (CNY) | ICER (CNY/QALY) |
| 1 year | Intravenous tPA alone | 0.326 | 27 220 | – |
| Mechanical thrombectomy+intravenous tPA | 0.405 | 77 700 | 638 987 | |
| 5 years | Intravenous tPA alone | 1.392 | 58 590 | – |
| Mechanical thrombectomy+intravenous tPA | 1.765 | 1 07 710 | 131 689 | |
| 6 years | Intravenous tPA alone | 1.599 | 65 230 | – |
| Mechanical thrombectomy+intravenous tPA | 2.029 | 114 170 | 113 814 | |
| 30 years | Intravenous tPA alone | 2.979 | 117 940 | – |
| Mechanical thrombectomy+intravenous tPA | 3.773 | 167 970 | 63 010 |
ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; tPA, tissue plasminogen activator.
Figure 2One-way sensitivity analysis on incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) gained in the long term (30 years) by mechanical thrombectomy. All model input parameters were analysed, and only 10 parameters with the highest relative effects on ICER are displayed. Base case scenario of ICER is CNY 63 010 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. CNY, Chinese yuan renminbi; IV, intravenous; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; tPA, tissue plasminogen activator.
Figure 3Scatter plot of the result of probabilistic sensitivity analysis in the long term (30 years). Each point represents a simulation. The dark square represents the base case (0.794 QALYs gained at an incremental cost of CNY 50 000). The solid line represents the willingness-to-pay threshold of CNY 125 700 per QALY. The dashed line represents CNY 41 900 per QALY. Points to the right of the solid line are considered cost-effective. CNY, Chinese yuan renminbi; QALYs, quality-adjusted life-years.