| Literature DB >> 29401554 |
Hyun Suk Yang1, Mina Hur2, Ahram Yi3, Hanah Kim3, Jayoun Kim4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The prognostic utility of cardiac biomarkers, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2), in non-cardiac surgery is not well-defined. We evaluated hs-cTnI and sST2 as predictors of 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) following major non-cardiac surgery.Entities:
Keywords: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; Non-cardiac surgery; Prognosis; Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29401554 PMCID: PMC5820064 DOI: 10.3343/alm.2018.38.3.204
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Lab Med ISSN: 2234-3806 Impact factor: 3.464
Characteristics of the study population
| Characteristics | N=175 |
|---|---|
| Age (year) | 66±12 |
| Male/Female | 90/85 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 23.5±4.3 |
| ASA class | |
| I | 12 (6.9) |
| II | 97 (55.4) |
| III | 52 (29.7) |
| IV | 14 (8.0) |
| RCRI factors | |
| High-risk surgery* | 98 (56.0) |
| History of ischemic heart disease | 15 (8.6) |
| History of heart failure | 6 (3.4) |
| History of cerebrovascular disease | 18 (10.3) |
| Preoperative insulin use | 5 (2.9) |
| Preoperative serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dL | 12 (6.9) |
| RCRI score | |
| 0 | 58 (33.1) |
| 1 | 90 (51.4) |
| 2 | 20 (11.4) |
| 3–6 | 7 (4.0) |
| In-hospital mortality | 7 (4.0) |
| 30-day mortality | 6 (3.4) |
| 30-day MACE† | 16 (9.1) |
| Hypertension on medications | 109 (62.3) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 47 (26.9) |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 4 (2.3) |
| Atrial fibrillation | 12 (6.9) |
| Urgent/emergent surgery | 50 (28.6) |
| Operation duration, minutes | 185 [135–300] |
| Two concomitant surgeries | 11 (6.3) |
| Surgical specialty‡ | |
| General surgery | 92 (52.6) |
| Neurosurgery | 57 (32.6) |
| Orthopedic surgery | 17 (9.7) |
| Gynecologic surgery | 3 (1.7) |
| Vascular surgery | 2 (1.1) |
| Thoracic surgery | 2 (1.1) |
| Others (urosurgery and plastic surgery) | 2 (1.1) |
Data are presented as mean±standard deviation, median [interquartile range], or number (%).
*Examples include vascular surgery and any open intraperitoneal or intrathoracic procedures; †A total of 22 MACE events were observed in 16 patients: death (N=6), non-fatal cardiac arrest (N=2), MI (N=5), and acute decompensated HF (N=9). Five patients had two or three MACE: MI and acute decompensated HF in one patient; MI, acute decompensated HF, and cardiac death in one patient; and acute decompensated HF and death in three patients; ‡In cases with multi-department surgeries, the major surgery was considered.
Abbreviations: ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification; RCRI, revised Goldman cardiac risk index; MACE, major adverse cardiac events; MI, myocardial infarction; HF, heart failure.
Distribution of biomarkers between the two groups with or without 30-day major adverse cardiac events
| Total (N = 175) | 30-day MACE (+) (N = 16) | 30-day MACE (−) (N = 159) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| hs-cTnI, ng/L | ||||
| POD 0 | 7.8 [3.0–20.6] | 20.0 [6.0–151.7] | 7.3 [3.0–19.9] | 0.009 |
| POD 1 | 10.4 [4.8–25.8] | 52.4 [16.2–292.0] | 9.9 [4.7–22.4] | 0.001 |
| POD 2 | 11.2 [5.0–30.3] | 92.1 [17.8–310.9] | 10.0 [4.8–28.6] | < 0.001 |
| POD 3 | 9.8 [4.5–29.5] | 81.0 [19.3–286.5] | 8.4 [4.0–20.0] | < 0.001 |
| POD1–POD0 | 1.60 [−0.40–6.50] | 11.9 [0.75–141.4] | 1.30 [−0.60–5.30] | 0.003 |
| POD2–POD0 | 1.80 [−0.90–10.30] | 30.8 [0.50–244.4] | 1.60 [−1.20–9.10] | 0.005 |
| POD3–POD0 | 0.90 [−1.40–7.20] | 44.0 [1.18–276.4] | 0.60 [−1.40–5.40] | 0.005 |
| sST2, ng/mL | ||||
| POD 0 | 45.9 [29.0–107.0] | 72.5 [42.2–210.8] | 43.0 [29.0–102.0] | 0.046 |
| POD 1 | 155.0 [84.0–219.0] | 188.8 [158.2–225.8] | 144.0 [79.0–217.0] | 0.058 |
| POD 2 | 79.0 [50.0–158.0] | 178.7 [107.3–229.3] | 73.0 [46.0–140.0] | < 0.001 |
| POD 3 | 59.5 [33.8–99.3] | 118.0 [85.0–252.0] | 52.0 [32.8–88.0] | < 0.001 |
| POD1–POD0 | 68.0 [21.0–139.0] | 102.4 [−7.8–145.5] | 65.0 [21.0–137.0] | 0.548 |
| POD2–POD0 | 21.0 [0.0–65.0] | 65.5 [−8.75–135.5] | 20.7 [0.0–54.0] | 0.165 |
| POD3–POD0 | 1.0 [−18.0–17.8] | 27.0 [−14.0–153.1] | 0.0 [−20.0–15.0] | 0.029 |
All data are presented as median and interquartile range.
*30-day MACE (+) vs 30-day MACE (−).
Abbreviations: MACE, major adverse cardiac events; hs-cTnI, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; sST2, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2; POD, postoperative day.
Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses for 30-day major adverse cardiac events
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Age | 1.037 (0.991–1.086) | 0.116 | ||
| Female | 1.065 (0.381–2.977) | 0.905 | ||
| High-risk surgery | 3.100 (1.029–9.343) | 0.044 | 7.152 (0.807–63.420) | 0.077 |
| History of ischemic heart disease | 6.773 (1.968–23.308) | 0.002 | 11.735 (0.741–185.822) | 0.081 |
| History of heart failure | 26.127 (4.343–157.670) | < 0.001 | 14.609 (0.885–241.139) | 0.061 |
| History of cerebrovascular disease | 5.105 (1.538–16.944) | 0.008 | 5.006 (0.356–70.422) | 0.232 |
| Diabetes on insulin | 2.583 (0.271–24.620) | 0.409 | ||
| Serum creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL | 3.846 (0.926–15.976) | 0.064 | ||
| RCRI score | 2.052 (1.212–3.476) | 0.008 | 0.658 (0.127–3.395) | 0.617 |
| hs-cTnI, maximum (ng/L) | 1.001 (1.001–1.001) | 0.032 | 1.001 (1.001–1.001) | 0.029 |
| sST2, maximum (ng/mL) | 1.011 (1.003–1.018) | 0.004 | 1.016 (1.004–1.028) | 0.008 |
Abbreviations: RCRI, revised Goldman cardiac risk index; hs-cTnI, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; sST2, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Fig. 1Receiver operator characteristic curve analyses for the prediction of 30-day MACE in patients following major non-cardiac surgeries. The optimal cut-off value of hs-cTnI (max) for prediction of 30-day MACE was 53.0 ng/L (sensitivity, 68.8% [95% CI, 41.3–89.0%]; specificity, 78.6% [95% CI, 71.4–84.7%]) and that of sST2 (max) was 182.5 ng/mL (sensitivity, 87.5% [95% CI, 61.7–98.5%]; specificity, 56.6% [95% CI, 48.5–64.4%]). hs-cTnI (max) and sST2 (max) demonstrated fair predictive ability for 30-day MACE compared with the poor ability of RCRI score, although there was no statistical difference between the AUCs.
Abbreviations: MACE, major adverse cardiac events; CI, confidence interval; RCRI, revised Goldman cardiac risk index; hs-cTnI, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; sST2, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2; AUC, area under the curve.
Fig. 2Thirty-day MACE according to the number of hs-cTnI and sST2 above cut-off values (53.0 ng/L and 182.5 ng/mL, respectively). (A) Overall, 30-day MACE was observed more frequently as the number of above cut-off values increased (P<0.001). (B) This finding was also observed in 148 patients with an RCRI score of 0 or 1 (P<0.001).
Abbreviations: MACE, major adverse cardiac events; CI, confidence interval; RCRI, revised Goldman cardiac risk index; hs-cTnI, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; sST2, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2; AUC, area under the curve.
Reclassification analyses using integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement
| AUC (95% CI) | IDI | NRI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated value (95% CI) | Estimated value (95% CI) | |||||
| RCRI | 0.693 (0.539–0.846) | 0.011 | - | - | - | - |
| RCRI + hs-cTnI, max | 0.792 (0.669–0.915) | < 0.001 | 0.041 (−0.004–0.118) | 0.080 | 0.381 (−0.088–0.623) | 0.173 |
| RCRI + sST2 | 0.782 (0.665–0.899) | < 0.001 | 0.04 (0.006–0.128) | 0.007 | 0.285 (0.021–0.495) | 0.020 |
| RCRI + sST2 + hs-cTnI, max | 0.843 (0.756–0.930) | < 0.001 | 0.061 (0.017–0.134) | < 0.001 | 0.366 (0.020–0.555) | 0.033 |
Abbreviations: RCRI, revised Goldman cardiac risk index; hs-cTnI, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; sST2, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement; NRI, net reclassification improvement; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.