| Literature DB >> 29330618 |
Enrique de-Madaria1, Xavier Molero2, Laia Bonjoch3, Josefina Casas4, Karina Cárdenas-Jaén1, Andrea Montenegro2, Daniel Closa5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The early prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis still represents a challenge for clinicians. Experimental studies have revealed the generation of specific halogenated lipids, in particular oleic acid chlorohydrin, in the early stages of acute pancreatitis. We hypothesized that the levels of circulating oleic acid chlorohydrin might be a useful early prognostic biomarker in acute pancreatitis in humans.Entities:
Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; Chlorohydrins; Fatty acids; Inflammation; SIRS
Year: 2018 PMID: 29330618 PMCID: PMC5768584 DOI: 10.1186/s13613-017-0346-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Intensive Care ISSN: 2110-5820 Impact factor: 6.925
Fig. 1Generation of oleic acid chlorohydrin in acute pancreatitis. TAG triacylglycerol; MPO myeloperoxidase
Demographic characteristics and outcomes of the study patients according to severity
| Global sample ( | Mild ( | Moderately severe ( | Severe ( |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 64 (50.5–77) | 62.5 (49.5, 72.3) | 66.5 (53.5, 77.8) | 77 (42, 81.5) | 0.5 |
| Female sex | 33 (55.9%) | 19 (63.3%) | 9 (56.3%) | 5 (38.5%) | 0.3 |
| Etiology | 0.065 | ||||
| Biliary | 24 (40.7%) | 13 (43.3%) | 7 (43.8%) | 4 (30.8%) | |
| Alcohol | 8 (13.6%) | 1 (3.3%) | 4 (25%) | 3 (23.1%) | |
| Post-ERCP | 7 (11.9%) | 3 (10%) | 2 (12.5%) | 2 (15.4%) | |
| BMI > 30 kg/m2 | 14 (23.7%) | 7 (23.3%) | 3 (18.8%) | 4 (30.8%) | 0.749 |
| BISAP score | 1 (1, 2) | 1 (0, 1.3) | 2 (1, 3) | 2 (1, 3) | 0.005 |
| Charlson index | 0 (0, 1) | 0 (0, 1) | 1 (0, 2) | 1 (2.5) | 0.035 |
| CRP at 48 h (mg/dL) | 10.9 (3–24.2) | 4.3 (1.8, 12.7) | 19.8 (9.6, 28.4) | 30.4 (23.2, 39.3) | <0.001 |
| OAC (nM) | 7 (2.3–22.6) | 2.6 (1.3, 5) | 14.7 (9.1, 22.6) | 65.2 (42, 71.4) | <0.001 |
| SIRS at ER | 29 (49.2%) | 9 (30%) | 11 (68.8%) | 9 (75%) | 0.007 |
| SIRS > 48 h | 14 (23.7%) | 0 | 3 (18.8%) | 11 (84.6%) | <0.001 |
| Pancreatic necrosis | 9 (15.3%) | 0 | 3 (18.8%) | 6 (46.2%) | 0.001 |
| Peripancreatic necrosis | 15 (25.4%) | 0 | 9 (56.3%) | 6 (46.2%) | <0.001 |
| Infected necrosis | 5 (8.5%) | 0 | 0 | 5 (38.5%) | <0.001 |
| Persistent organ failure | 13 (22%) | 0 | 0 | 13 (100%) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay (days) | 12 (7–18.5) | 8.5 (6, 12.3) | 14 (11, 20) | 32.5 (3.8, 52.3) | 0.014 |
| Mortality | 0 | 0 | 8 (61.5%) | <0.001 |
Results in median (p25, p75) or n (%)
BISAP Bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome, OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin, CRP C-reactive protein, ERCP endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, ER emergency room. Please note that persistent organ failure defines the severe category on the revised Atlanta classification
P statistical significance for the comparison between the mild, moderately severe and severe categories
Fig. 2Oleic acid chlorohydrin levels (nM) measured on admission in plasma of patients with acute pancreatitis that finally evolved into different disease severities. OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin; *P < 0.05; ***P < 0.001. Level of significance according to Bonferroni correction: 0.0125
Fig. 3ROC curves of oleic acid chlorohydrin (OAC), C-reactive protein (CRP) and BISAP score for the prediction of acute pancreatitis severity. a ROC curve for the prediction of moderately severe-to-severe disease. b ROC curve for the prediction of severe disease. OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin. CRP at 48 h C-reactive protein at 48 h from admission. BISAP bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis
Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for the prediction of moderately severe-to-severe disease, severe disease (persistent organ failure) and mortality for oleic acid chlorohydrin, BISAP score and C-reactive protein
| Outcome to predict | Predictor | AUC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Moderately severe-to-severe disease | OAC | 0.954 (0.886–1) |
| BISAP score | 0.732 (0.601–0.863) | |
| CRP 48 h | 0.837 (0.734–0.941) | |
| Severe disease (persistent organ failure) | OAC | 1 |
| BISAP score | 0.709 (0.547–0.871) | |
| CRP 48 h | 0.860 (0.720–1) | |
| Mortality | OAC | 0.931 (0.866–0.997) |
| BISAP score | 0.808 (0.668–0.948) | |
| CRP 48 h | 0.772 (0.529–1) |
AUC Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, CI confidence intervals, OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin, BISAP Bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, CRP 48 h C-reactive protein at 48 h from admission
Prognostic accuracy of OAC for moderately severe-to-severe disease compared to other widely used predictors
| Variable | Se | Sp | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAC ≥ 7.49 nM | 96.6 | 90 | 90.3 | 96.4 |
| SIRS at ER | 71.4 | 70 | 69 | 72.4 |
| Persistent SIRS | 48.3 | 100 | 100 | 65.9 |
| HTC at ER > 44% | 44.8 | 66.7 | 56.5 | 55.6 |
| BISAP ≥ 3 | 34.5 | 100 | 100 | 61.2 |
| CRP ≥ 15 mg/dL at 48 h | 68 | 80 | 73.9 | 75 |
Se Sensitivity, SP specificity, PPV/NPV positive/negative predictive values, POF persistent organ failure, OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome, HTC hematocrit, BISAP bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, CRP C-reactive protein
Prognostic accuracy of OAC for severe disease (persistent organ failure) and mortality compared to other widely used predictors
| Variable | Outcome to predict | Se | Sp | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAC ≥ 32.4 nM | Severe disease | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Mortality | 100 | 90.2 | 61.5 | 100 | |
| SIRS at ER | Severe disease | 75 | 56.5 | 31 | 89.7 |
| Mortality | 85.7 | 54.9 | 20.7 | 96.6 | |
| Persistent SIRS | Severe disease | 84.6 | 93.3 | 78.6 | 95.5 |
| Mortality | 75 | 84 | 42.9 | 95.5 | |
| HTC at ER > 44% | Severe disease | 38.5 | 60.9 | 21.7 | 77.8 |
| Mortality | 25 | 58.8 | 8.7 | 83.3 | |
| BISAP ≥ 3 | Severe disease | 38.5 | 89.1 | 50 | 83.7 |
| Mortality | 50 | 88.2 | 40 | 91.8 | |
| CRP ≥ 15 mg/dL at 48 h | Severe disease | 90 | 68.9 | 39.1 | 96.9 |
| Mortality | 80 | 62 | 17.4 | 96.9 |
Se Sensitivity, SP specificity, PPV/NPV positive/negative predictive values, POF persistent organ failure, OAC oleic acid chlorohydrin, SIRS systemic inflammatory response syndrome, HTC hematocrit, BISAP bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis, CRP C-reactive protein