| Literature DB >> 29272281 |
Kurinchi Selvan Gurusamy1, Deniece Riviere2, C J H van Laarhoven2, Marc Besselink3, Mohammed Abu-Hilal4, Brian R Davidson1, Steve Morris5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A recent Cochrane review compared laparoscopic versus open distal pancreatectomy for people with for cancers of the body and tail of the pancreas and found that laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy may reduce the length of hospital stay. We compared the cost-effectiveness of laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy versus open distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29272281 PMCID: PMC5741214 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189631
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Decision tree.
Decision tree showing the decision tree pathways in the people with body and tail of pancreatic cancer who underwent distal pancreatectomy.
Parameters used in the model and their source.
| Parameter | Type of distribution | Mean (gamma or continuous), lower limit (uniform), number with event (dichotomous) | Standard deviation (gamma or continuous), upper limit (uniform), number without event (dichotomous) | Point estimate | Source / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1 | 328 | 0.3% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 33 | 76 | 30.3% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 70 | 278 | 20.1% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 21 | 83 | 20.2% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 44 | 60 | 42.3% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 64 | 40 | 61.5% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 74 | 19 | 79.6% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 76 | 17 | 81.7% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 11 | 1111 | 1.0% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 45 | 92 | 32.8% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 50 | 123 | 28.9% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 84 | 89 | 48.6% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 110 | 63 | 63.6% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 124 | 26 | 82.7% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 126 | 24 | 84.0% | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Gamma | £352.48 | £195.24 | £352.48 | National schedule of reference costs 2015 to 2016: the main schedule GA04D (Complex Open, Hepatobiliary or Pancreatic Procedures, with CC Score 0 to 2) (median and quartiles converted to mean and standard deviation) [ | |
| Uniform | £17.00 | £18.00 | £17.50. | Local estimate | |
| Uniform | £200.00 | £300.00 | £250.00 | Local estimate | |
| Beta | 90 | 10 | 90% | Local estimate | |
| Beta | 70 | 30 | 70% | Local estimate | |
| - | - | - | - | There is no estimate available for laparoscopic or open distal pancreatectomy. The costs of pancreatectomy were based on the hospital stay, operating time, and the number of staplers used. In addition, we used a 30% relative increase in the costs related to complicated procedures based on the relative increase in costs of GA04C (CC score 3+) versus GA04D (CC score 0 to 2) of ‘Complex Open, Hepatobiliary or Pancreatic Procedures’ of NHS reference costs. | |
| Beta | 0.2 | 0.8 | 20.0% | Hypothetical relative 20% decrease compared to uncomplicated distal pancreatectomy | |
| Beta | 0.1 | 0.9 | 10.0% | Hypothetical 10% relative increase because of laparoscopic surgery | |
| Beta | 0.2 | 0.8 | 20.0% | Hypothetical 20% relative decrease compared to uncomplicated distal pancreatectomy | |
| Gamma | 0.63 | 0.30 | 0.63 | Ljungman et al [ | |
| Gamma | 0.69 | 0.33 | 0.69 | Ljungman et al [ | |
| Gamma | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.14 | Tam et al [ | |
| Gamma | -2.43 | 11.67152474 | -2.43 | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Gamma | -18.46 | 292.733099 | -18.46 | Data from studies included in the Cochrane review [ | |
| Gamma | -2.43 | 11.67152474 | -2.43 | Data from Cochrane review [ | |
| Gamma | -18.46 | 292.733099 | -18.46 | Data from studies included in the Cochrane review [ | |
| Beta | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | Hypothetical | |
Results of deterministic analysis (per patient).
| Treatment | Costs | QALYs | Net monetary benefit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £20,000 | £30,000 | |||
| Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy | £7,676 | 1.6472 | £25,267.54 | £41,739.31 |
| Open distal pancreatectomy | £8,539 | 1.4974 | £21,409.10 | £36,383.12 |
* Calculated at willingness to pay thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY gained.
QALY = quality adjusted life year.
Results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis (per patient).
| Treatment | Costs | QALYs | Net monetary benefit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £20,000 | £30,000 | |||
| Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy | £7,675 | 1.6446 | £25,217.57 | £41,663.68 |
| Open distal pancreatectomy | £8,556 | 1.4954 | £21,352.50 | £36,306.83 |
* Calculated at willingness to pay thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY gained.
QALY = quality adjusted life year.
Fig 2Scatter plot of incremental cost per incremental quality-adjusted life year.
The scatter plot shows that the points lie almost symmetrical about the X-axis, i.e. the costs were similar between laparoscopic and open distal pancreatectomy, but most points lie to the right of the Y-axis, i.e. laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy was associated with increased quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).
Fig 3Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve.
The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve shows that the probability laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy was cost-effective compared to open distal pancreatectomy was 70% to 80% at the willingness-to-pay thresholds generally used in England (£20,000 to £30,000 per QALY gained).
Fig 4Univariate sensitivity analysis (Tornado diagram).
The tornado diagram shows that there is significant uncertainty in the results, especially with regards to mortality.
Results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis (per patient) (scenario analysis 1).
| Treatment | Costs | QALYs | Net monetary benefit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £20,000 | £30,000 | |||
| Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy | £7,680 | 1.6593 | £25,505.80 | £42,098.73 |
| Open distal pancreatectomy | £8,321 | 1.5059 | £21,797.22 | £36,856.49 |
* Calculated at willingness to pay thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY gained.
QALY = quality adjusted life year.
Results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis (per patient) (scenario analysis 2).
| Treatment | Costs | QALYs | Net monetary benefit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £20,000 | £30,000 | |||
| Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy | £7,719 | 1.6498 | £25277.36 | £41775.39 |
| Open distal pancreatectomy | £8,574 | 1.5116 | £21658.93 | £36775.18 |
* Calculated at willingness to pay thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY gained.
QALY = quality adjusted life year.