Literature DB >> 29269379

Cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan in the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

John J V McMurray1, David Trueman2,3, Elizabeth Hancock2,3, Martin R Cowie4, Andrew Briggs5, Matthew Taylor6, Juliet Mumby-Croft2, Fionn Woodcock2, Michael Lacey7, Rola Haroun8, Celine Deschaseaux8.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HF-REF) represents a major public health issue and is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan (formerly LCZ696) compared with an ACE inhibitor (ACEI) (enalapril) in the treatment of HF-REF from the perspective of healthcare providers in the UK, Denmark and Colombia.
METHODS: A cost-utility analysis was performed based on data from a multinational, Phase III randomised controlled trial. A decision-analytic model was developed based on a series of regression models, which extrapolated health-related quality of life, hospitalisation rates and survival over a lifetime horizon. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).
RESULTS: In the UK, the cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for sacubitril/valsartan (using cardiovascular mortality) was £17 100 (€20 400) versus enalapril. In Denmark, the ICER for sacubitril/valsartan was Kr 174 000 (€22 600). In Colombia, the ICER was COP$39.5 million (€11 200) per QALY gained. Deterministic sensitivity analysis showed that results were most sensitive to the extrapolation of mortality, duration of treatment effect and time horizon, but were robust to other structural changes, with most scenarios associated with ICERs below the willingness-to-pay threshold for all three country settings. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested the probability that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds was 68%-94% in the UK, 84% in Denmark and 95% in Colombia.
CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis suggests that, in all three countries, sacubitril/valsartan is likely to be cost-effective compared with an ACEI (the current standard of care) in patients with HF-REF. © Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

Entities:  

Keywords:  health care economics; heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; quality and outcomes of care

Mesh:

Substances:

Year:  2017        PMID: 29269379      PMCID: PMC5992367          DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2016-310661

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Heart        ISSN: 1355-6037            Impact factor:   5.994


Introduction

Chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HF-REF) represents a major public health issue and is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Globally, heart failure (HF) affects an estimated 26 million people and is responsible for 1%–2% of hospitalisations in the USA and Europe.1 HF as a primary diagnosis accounts for approximately 2% of the UK National Health Service (NHS) annual budget,2 and up to 4% of healthcare expenditure if hospitalisations with HF as a secondary diagnosis and nursing home admissions are considered.2 The ACE inhibitor (ACEI) enalapril was the first treatment shown to reduce the risk of hospitalisation and death in patients with HF-REF; ACEIs remain the first-line therapeutic option in these patients.3–5 Despite this and several other therapeutic advances in the field, individuals with HF-REF remain at high risk of hospitalisation and death and experience poorer health-related quality of life (HRQL) than age-matched and gender-matched individuals in the general population.6–8 Sacubitril/valsartan (formerly LCZ696) is a first-in-class angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI). The Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure (PARADIGM-HF) trial was a multinational, Phase III, prospective, double-blind, randomised active-controlled trial, comparing the effects of sacubitril/valsartan and enalapril on mortality and morbidity, in addition to standard of care, in patients with chronic HF-REF.9 PARADIGM-HF demonstrated that, compared with enalapril, treatment with sacubitril/valsartan significantly reduced the composite primary outcome of cardiovascular (CV) death or HF hospitalisation, and both components of this composite, by approximately 20%.10 As the drug acquisition cost of sacubitril/valsartan is higher than that of an ACEI, reimbursement by national payers requires an estimation of expected costs and benefits in order to determine value for money. This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan versus enalapril from three perspectives: the UK, the Danish and the Colombian healthcare systems.

Methods

Consistent with UK and Danish guidance,1 11 the England and Wales National Heart Failure Audit (2013) found that 73% of patients discharged with HF-REF were treated with ACEI,11 while 18% were treated with an angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB). Therefore, enalapril was selected as the base case comparator in this economic analysis. A systematic review of economic evaluations of chronic HF treatments was performed to inform the design of the economic evaluation. The health states most frequently employed were ‘alive’ and ‘dead’, with outcomes such as hospitalisation or New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class distribution considered in the ‘alive’ state. Therefore, a decision-analytic model was developed with ‘alive’ and ‘dead’ health states to estimate costs and benefits over the population lifetime, with hospitalisation rates, HRQL (evaluated using the EuroQol-5 Dimension (EQ-5D) index score) and adverse event (AE) rates included in the ‘alive’ health states (figure 1).
Figure 1

Conceptual model. QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.

A 1-month cycle length with half-cycle correction was employed. Costs and benefits beyond 1 year were discounted at rates of 3.5%, 3% and 5% for the UK, Danish and Colombian settings, respectively, according to local guidelines.11–13 Conceptual model. QALY, quality-adjusted life-year. The risks of events were estimated, dependent on patients’ baseline characteristics (reported previously)10 14 and treatment (sacubitril/valsartan or ACEI), through multivariable regression models. Outcomes were estimated for each patient in PARADIGM-HF and results presented as the expected costs and benefits across the patient cohort. Cost-effectiveness was estimated for all a priori defined subgroups in PARADIGM-HF by averaging across the members of the relevant subgroup. The primary model outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), expressed as the cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, reported to the nearest 100 currency units. The ICERs for each setting were compared with country-specific cost-effectiveness thresholds, as listed in table 1.
Table 1

ICER and cost-effectiveness thresholds in the settings considered in the cost-effectiveness model

ICER comparison per settingCost-effectiveness threshold/QALY gainedSource
UK£20 000 (EUR 23 862)*NICE†
£30 000 (EUR 35 793)*
DenmarkKr250 000 (EUR 33 624)‡National drug reimbursement committee
ColombiaCOP$52.4 million (EUR 15 975)§Colombian HTA guidance12

*Exchange rate used: 1 GBP=1.19 EUR.

†National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Guide to the methods of technology appraisal, 2013.

‡Exchange rate used: 1 DKK=0.13 EUR.

§Exchange rate used: COP$1=0.0003 EUR, equivalent to three times Colombian GDP.12

COP, Colombian peso; DKK, Danish kroner; EUR, Euro; GBP, British pound sterling; GDP, gross domestic product; HTA, health technology assessment; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; Kr, Danish kroner; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.

ICER and cost-effectiveness thresholds in the settings considered in the cost-effectiveness model *Exchange rate used: 1 GBP=1.19 EUR. †National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Guide to the methods of technology appraisal, 2013. ‡Exchange rate used: 1 DKK=0.13 EUR. §Exchange rate used: COP$1=0.0003 EUR, equivalent to three times Colombian GDP.12 COP, Colombian peso; DKK, Danish kroner; EUR, Euro; GBP, British pound sterling; GDP, gross domestic product; HTA, health technology assessment; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; Kr, Danish kroner; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test parameter uncertainty in the model; the methods are provided in the online Supplementary file 1. All statistical analyses were performed using Stata V.13.15 The cost-effectiveness model was built in MS Excel.

Statistical analysis

Mortality

Multivariable parametric survival analysis (using the full analysis set of PARADIGM-HF) was used to model CV mortality over time using baseline characteristics and treatment allocation (sacubitril/valsartan or ACEI). The model was applied both during and beyond the duration of PARADIGM-HF. The baseline risk of CV mortality was assumed to follow a Gompertz distribution, selected from potential distributions by clinical experts following review of projected life expectancies. Details of model selection and the effects of using the Weibull and exponential distributions are provided in the  online Supplementary file 1. The base case analysis was based on CV mortality from PARADIGM-HF, with non-CV mortality estimated using national life tables adjusted to remove the risk of CV mortality.16–18

Hospitalisation and AEs

The monthly risk of all-cause hospitalisation was estimated using a multivariable negative binomial regression model, allowing analysis of count data (in this case, the total number of hospitalisations during the double-blind phase of PARADIGM-HF for a patient). Additional details on candidate covariates and their selection procedure were the same as employed for the model of CV mortality and are provided in the online Supplementary file 1. AEs used were those reported in the primary analysis of PARADIGM-HF. A constant rate of AEs was assumed over the model time horizon.

Health-related quality of life

The EQ-5D tariff published by Dolan19 was applied to EQ-5D responses collected in PARADIGM-HF to generate utility values for each patient for the UK setting. The tariff published by Wittrup-Jensen et al 20 was applied to the Danish setting. As there is no Colombian EQ-5D tariff, the Dolan tariff was applied in the Colombian setting. A multilevel model of EQ-5D was developed to allow the prediction of EQ-5D dependent on baseline characteristics, hospitalisation, AEs and time since randomisation. A constant decline in EQ-5D common to all patients was assumed as a simplifying assumption, and sacubitril/valsartan was assumed to confer a constant effect at all time points on HRQL. The effect of hospitalisation on HRQL was captured through the effect on EQ-5D at visits falling 0–30 days and 30–90 days post-hospitalisation to capture both acute and medium-term effects.

Cost-effectiveness model

Model structure

All patients started in the ‘alive’ health state and transitions to the ‘dead’ health state were governed by the mortality model. During each cycle, the probability of death was calculated based on the cohort’s baseline characteristics and the time since randomisation. In the ‘alive’ health state, patients were at risk of hospitalisations and AEs. The model structure was constant across the UK, Denmark and Colombia, but the data used to inform the model differed by country. These differences are summarised in table 2. The UK and Colombian models used the PARADIGM-HF patients as the base case population in the model, whereas the Danish model reweighted the characteristics of the PARADIGM-HF patients to more closely match the Danish patient population in terms of age, gender, ejection fraction and NYHA class. A scenario analysis in which the characteristics of the PARADIGM-HF patients were reweighted to match the UK HF-REF population was also performed (see online Supplementary file 1).
Table 2

Summary of differences between models

ComponentUKDenmarkColombia
PopulationPARADIGM-HFReweighted PARADIGM-HFPARADIGM-HF
Analysis typePatient-level analysisPatient-level analysisPatient-level analysis
MortalityCV mortality from PARADIGM-HF+life tablesCV mortality from PARADIGM-HF+life tablesCV mortality from PARADIGM-HF+life tables
EQ-5D tariffDolanWittrup-JensenDolan
Discontinuation considered in the base case?NoNoNo

CV, cardiovascular; PARADIGM-HF, Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure.

Summary of differences between models CV, cardiovascular; PARADIGM-HF, Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure.

Resource use

Costs included pharmacological therapies, hospitalisations, AEs and background medical management, including general practitioner visits and other outpatient contacts (see online Supplementary file 1). The costs of the ACEI (enalapril) and sacubitril/valsartan were based on the average doses taken in PARADIGM-HF (enalapril, 18.9 mg/day and sacubitril/valsartan, 375 mg/day).10 Costs of background therapies were based on recommended doses and utilisation reported in PARADIGM-HF at baseline.10 The base year for costs was 2015. The cost data used in the model are summarised in the online Supplementary file 1. The resource use for hospitalisations and AEs was assumed to be constant between model arms.

Results

Full details of statistical models included in the economic model are provided in the online Supplementary file 1. The model of CV mortality estimated a HR for sacubitril/valsartan of 0.81 (P<0.001), which was consistent with the primary statistical analysis in PARADIGM-HF.10 Baseline EQ-5D was a highly significant predictor of CV mortality (P<0.001). Similarly, the model of all-cause hospitalisation estimated a rate ratio for sacubitril/valsartan of 0.84 (P<0.001). Baseline EQ-5D was again observed to be a highly significant predictor (P<0.001). The predicted average annual rates of all-cause hospitalisation were 0.42 and 0.50 for sacubitril/valsartan and enalapril, respectively, congruent with the results of PARADIGM-HF. The results varied slightly between Denmark and the UK. This was due to the differing EQ-5D tariffs applied, as baseline EQ-5D was included as an independent variable in all models. However, the treatment effects for sacubitril/valsartan were almost identical in all three countries (see the online Supplementary file 1). In the UK, the model predicted a mean life expectancy of 9.27 and 8.36 years for sacubitril/valsartan and ACEI, respectively, indicating an additional 0.91 years of life with sacubitril/valsartan treatment. All-cause mortality at year 5 was estimated to be 33% and 38% for sacubitril/valsartan and ACEI, respectively (table 3).
Table 3

Model predicted clinical outcomes over lifetime unless otherwise stated

ComponentACEISacubitril/valsartanIncremental
UKDenmarkColombiaUKDenmarkColombiaUKDenmarkColombia
Life expectancy, years8.367.347.959.278.078.780.910.730.83
Number of HF hospitalisations per patient0.890.820.850.840.760.79−0.05−0.05−0.05
Number of CV hospitalisations per patient2.182.012.082.061.881.95−0.13−0.13−0.13
All-cause hospitalisations3.503.223.343.303.013.13−0.20−0.21−0.21
All-cause mortality (%) at year 216%20%17%14%17%15%−0.02−0.02−0.02
All-cause mortality (%) at year 538%44%40%33%40%36%−0.05−0.04−0.04
All-cause mortality (%) at year 1066%72%68%60%67%63%−0.05−0.04−0.05

ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; CV, cardiovascular; HF, heart failure.

Model predicted clinical outcomes over lifetime unless otherwise stated ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; CV, cardiovascular; HF, heart failure. In Denmark, the predicted mean life expectancy was 7.34 for the ACEI arm and 8.07 for the sacubitril/valsartan arm, a gain of 0.73 years of life. All-cause mortality at year 5 was estimated to be 40% and 44% in the sacubitril/valsartan and ACEI arms, respectively (table 3). In Colombia, predicted mean life expectancy in the ACEI arm was 7.95 years and in the sacubitril/valsartan arm was 8.78, a gain of 0.83 years. All-cause mortality at year 5 was estimated to be 36% and 40% in the sacubitril/valsartan and ACEI arms, respectively (table 3). A longitudinal analysis estimated that the EQ-5D scores declined at a rate of 0.008 per year across both arms when using the Dolan tariff and 0.006 per year when using the Wittrup-Jensen tariff. Sacubitril/valsartan was associated with a small but statistically significant positive effect on EQ-5D, compared with enalapril, after adjusting for baseline characteristics (including baseline EQ-5D), hospitalisation, AEs and time. The absolute mean difference in EQ-5D score between treatments, after randomisation, was 0.011 (P<0.001) using the Dolan tariff and 0.009 (P<0.001) using the Wittrup-Jensen tariff. Hospitalisation for any reason within the previous 30 days was associated with a reduction in EQ-5D of 0.105 (P<0.001), compared with those who were not hospitalised, and hospitalisation 30–90 days previously was associated with a reduction of 0.054 (P<0.001).

Cost-effectiveness and model outcomes

UK setting

Sacubitril/valsartan treatment led to an additional (discounted) lifetime cost of £8906 per patient. Incremental acquisition costs of sacubitril/valsartan (£8665 per patient) were partly offset by savings attributable to reduced hospitalisation costs (£598 per patient). Sacubitril/valsartan treatment was associated with a QALY gain of 0.52, with a cost per QALY gained of £17 100 (€20 393) (table 4).
Table 4

Base case cost-effectiveness results (per patient) estimated over lifetime

ComponentACEISacubitril/valsartanIncremental
UK (GBP)Denmark (DKK)Colombia (COP)UK (GBP)Denmark (DKK)Colombia (COP)UK (GBP)Denmark (DKK)Colombia (COP)
Primary therapy costs17012813 575 530883689 82121 000 189866588 54017 424 660
Background therapy costs60757294 138 22966262264 478 34455497340 116
Hospitalisation costs8296132 36817 679 7007697122 26716 273 369−598−10 102−1 406 331
HF management costs563956053 792 947615360914 104 685514486311 737
Adverse events10236498 318110393100 0448291725
Titration000262153451 600262153451 600
Total costs14 814145 34629 284 72423 720226 33046 008 231890680 98416 723 507
QALYs5.064.814.525.585.274.950.520.470.42
ICER17 134173 99439 522 754

ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; COP, Colombian peso; DKK, Danish kroner; GBP, British pound sterling; HF, heart failure; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-years.

Base case cost-effectiveness results (per patient) estimated over lifetime ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; COP, Colombian peso; DKK, Danish kroner; GBP, British pound sterling; HF, heart failure; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life-years.

Danish setting

Treatment with sacubitril/valsartan led to a lifetime incremental cost of Kr80 984 and an incremental QALY gain of 0.47, resulting in an ICER of Kr174 000 (€22 620, table 4).i The incremental acquisition costs of sacubitril/valsartan (Kr88 540 per patient) were partially offset by a reduction in hospitalisation costs (Kr10 102 per patient).

Colombian setting

Sacubitril/valsartan was associated with an incremental lifetime cost of COP$16 723 507 and an incremental QALY gain of 0.42, giving an ICER of COP$39.5 million (€11 200) per QALY gained (table 4). The incremental acquisition costs of sacubitril/valsartan (COP$17 424 660 per patient) were partially offset by a reduction in hospitalisation costs (COP$1 406 331 per patient). Estimates of cost-effectiveness were consistent across subgroups (detail provided in the online Supplementary file 1).

Deterministic sensitivity analysis

In all the three settings, the three most influential parameters were the coefficient for sacubitril/valsartan, the age-squared coefficient and the constant coefficient in the Gompertz model of CV mortality (figure 2).
Figure 2

Tornado diagrams. ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.

Tornado diagrams. ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. In the UK setting, the most influential variable was the constant coefficient, which increased the ICER to £26 500 at the upper limit of the 95% CI and decreased it to £12 700 at the lower limit. The coefficient for sacubitril/valsartan, the age-squared coefficient and the constant coefficient in the Gompertz model of CV mortality were the only parameters to produce an ICER over £20 000 (figure 2). In the Danish setting, the coefficient for sacubitril/valsartan, the age-squared coefficient and the constant coefficient in the Gompertz model of CV mortality were the only three parameters to generate an ICER over Kr250 000. The most influential parameter was the age-squared term in the regression model for CV mortality, which increased the ICER to Kr285 700 at the upper limit and reduced it to Kr116 100 at the lower limit (figure 2). In the Colombian setting, the constant coefficient for CV mortality was the most influential parameter, which produced an ICER of COP$24.1 million at the lower limit of the 95% CI and an ICER of COP$55.0 million at the upper limit. No parameter produced an ICER above the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of COP$52.4 million (figure 2).

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA)

In the UK, the expected ICER from the PSA was £18 000 (95% CI £8900 to £34 700). At cost-effectiveness thresholds of £20 000 and £30 000 per QALY gained, the probabilities that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective were 68% and 94%, respectively (figure 3).
Figure 3

Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves.

Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. In Denmark, the expected ICER from PSA was Kr176 700 (95% CI Kr76 200 to Kr367 300). The probability that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at Kr250 000 was 84% (figure 3). In Colombia, the expected ICER from the PSA was COP$33.8 million. The probability of being cost-effective at a WTP threshold of COP$52.4 million (three times the average per capita income) was 95% (figure 3).

Discussion

The base-case analysis for the UK indicates that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at a WTP threshold of £20 000 per QALY, compared with an ACEI, with an ICER of £17 100. This result was not only mainly driven by reductions in mortality but also by improvements in HRQL and reductions in hospitalisation. The findings of the analysis were robust to changes in most structural assumptions, and a PSA suggested that the probability that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at a WTP threshold of £20 000 was 68%. Three analyses from the perspective of third-party healthcare payers in the USA have also suggested that sacubitril/valsartan is cost-effective at commonly accepted WTP thresholds.21–23 Our findings were consistent across all three countries. The base-case analysis for Denmark, another high-income country, found that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at a WTP threshold of Kr250 000 per QALY, compared with an ACEI, with an ICER of Kr174 000. The base-case analysis for Colombia, a middle-income country, found that sacubitril/valsartan was cost-effective at a WTP threshold of COP$52.4 million per QALY, with an ICER of COP$39.5 million. These results are in line with National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance, which recommends sacubitril/valsartan as a cost-effective option for the treatment of HF-REF in patients with NYHA class II–IV, a left ventricular ejection fraction of ≤35% and who are already taking a stable dose of ACEI or ARB.24 The UK analysis predicted (discounted) gains in life years and QALYs with sacubitril/valsartan of 0.62 (9%) and 0.52 (10%), respectively. These are comparatively large benefits in terms of absolute and relative gains compared with the benefits of other treatments for HF-REF, especially as PARADIGM-HF was an active-controlled rather than placebo-controlled trial. The statistical models of mortality presented here were developed to align with the methods outlined by the NICE Decision Support Unit.25 This approach provides shorter estimates of survival in both arms of the model than have been estimated using non-parametric methods from PARADIGM-HF and correspondingly lower gains in life expectancy.26 Given the importance of mortality as a determinant of cost-effectiveness in the present analysis, such estimates may provide a conservative estimate of cost-effectiveness for sacubitril/valsartan. The observation that cost-effectiveness in this analysis was mainly driven by improvements in mortality is consistent with the results of some, but not all, prior analyses.27 However, other model-based studies concluded that reductions in hospitalisation are the key determinant of cost-effectiveness.28 This difference may be a consequence of the different analytical approaches. This model considered independent statistical models of mortality, hospitalisation and long-term HRQL changes, and the relationships between these outcomes were contained implicitly in the analysis. In contrast, the model of Lee et al 28 considered mortality and long-term HRQL to be direct functions of the number of hospitalisations experienced by an individual, and therefore model outcomes were conditional on the rate of hospitalisation itself. Nevertheless, both this model and that of Lee et al predicted that the proportions of QALY gains attributable to life extension were of similar magnitude for their respective interventions (88% and 80% in this model and in Lee et al, respectively). The cost savings attributable to reduced hospitalisation were also of a similar magnitude (8% and 12% in this model and in Lee et al, respectively). These differences in the conclusions therefore appear to reflect decisions made in the conceptual design of the respective analyses. The present evaluation used methods consistent with a recently published economic evaluation in HF,27 but incorporated a novel approach to the prediction of HRQL, in which EQ-5D was extrapolated based on time trends observed in PARADIGM-HF. A key strength of this analysis was that PARADIGM-HF collected EQ-5D at multiple time points, permitting this longitudinal analysis. This allowed the direct modelling of EQ-5D over time, rather than predicting HRQL based on intermediate clinical measures such as NYHA class. The key limitation of this analysis was the extrapolation beyond the follow-up of PARADIGM-HF (with median follow-up of 27 months). This is a cause of uncertainty which cannot readily be characterised in sensitivity analysis, but is common to all modelling exercises, particularly in HRQL estimates. However, the assumption of an annual decline in EQ-5D of 0.008 appears consistent with data from other studies; 1-year longitudinal data presented by Berg et al in patients with chronic HF suggests an annual decrease in EQ-5D of 0.006.29 PARADIGM-HF was a geographically diverse study, and the patient population may not be generalisable to individual countries. Although there is no evidence that the treatment effect differed across subgroups in PARADIGM-HF,10 cost-effectiveness is driven by absolute benefit, which is dependent on patients’ absolute risk of events, reflecting their baseline clinical characteristics. If patient characteristics differ between PARADIGM-HF and the HF-REF population in the UK, Denmark or Colombia, then absolute benefit, and therefore cost-effectiveness, would be expected to differ too. However, the results of the subgroup and scenario analyses suggest that the conclusions of the base-case analysis would not change to any meaningful extent. In conclusion, this analysis suggests that sacubitril/valsartan likely represents a cost-effective option in the treatment of HF-REF for the NHS in the UK, the Danish healthcare system and for the Colombian healthcare system.

What is already known on this subject?

Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in  Heart Failure trial showed that sacubitril/valsartan, an angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor, was superior to the ACE inhibitor enalapril in reducing the risks of death and heart failure hospitalisation in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. Published analyses from the perspective of third-party healthcare payers in the USA have suggested that sacubitril/valsartan is cost-effective at commonly accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds.

What might this study add?

We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of sacubitril/valsartan compared with enalapril in the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction from the perspectives of the UK National Health Service, the Danish healthcare system (high-income countries) and the Colombian healthcare system (middle-income country). We found sacubitril/valsartan to be cost-effective at conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds in all three country settings.

How might this impact on clinical practice?

This analysis, which shows sacubitril/valsartan to be a cost-effective use of resources, should aid decision-makers and may enhance availability of this efficacious treatment for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.
  16 in total

1.  Generation of a Danish TTO value set for EQ-5D health states.

Authors:  Kim U Wittrup-Jensen; Jørgen Lauridsen; Claire Gudex; Kjeld M Pedersen
Journal:  Scand J Public Health       Date:  2009-05-01       Impact factor: 3.021

2.  The current cost of heart failure to the National Health Service in the UK.

Authors:  Simon Stewart; Andrew Jenkins; Scot Buchan; Alistair McGuire; Simon Capewell; John J J V McMurray
Journal:  Eur J Heart Fail       Date:  2002-06       Impact factor: 15.534

3.  Modeling valuations for EuroQol health states.

Authors:  P Dolan
Journal:  Med Care       Date:  1997-11       Impact factor: 2.983

4.  Determinants of Utility Based on the EuroQol Five-Dimensional Questionnaire in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure and Their Change Over Time: Results from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry.

Authors:  Jenny Berg; Peter Lindgren; Märit Mejhert; Magnus Edner; Ulf Dahlström; Thomas Kahan
Journal:  Value Health       Date:  2015-05-16       Impact factor: 5.725

5.  Improved outcome after coronary bypass surgery in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy and residual myocardial viability.

Authors:  P R Pagley; G A Beller; D D Watson; L W Gimple; M Ragosta
Journal:  Circulation       Date:  1997-08-05       Impact factor: 29.690

6.  Endomyocardial biopsy plays a role in diagnosing patients with unexplained cardiomyopathy.

Authors:  Hossein Ardehali; Atif Qasim; Thomas Cappola; David Howard; Ralph Hruban; Joshua M Hare; Kenneth L Baughman; Edward K Kasper
Journal:  Am Heart J       Date:  2004-05       Impact factor: 4.749

7.  Utility estimates for decision-analytic modeling in chronic heart failure--health states based on New York Heart Association classes and number of rehospitalizations.

Authors:  Alexander Göhler; Benjamin P Geisler; Jennifer M Manne; Mikhail Kosiborod; Zefeng Zhang; William S Weintraub; John A Spertus; G Scott Gazelle; Uwe Siebert; David J Cohen
Journal:  Value Health       Date:  2008-07-18       Impact factor: 5.725

8.  The cost effectiveness of ivabradine in the treatment of chronic heart failure from the U.K. National Health Service perspective.

Authors:  A Griffiths; N Paracha; A Davies; N Branscombe; M R Cowie; M Sculpher
Journal:  Heart       Date:  2014-03-14       Impact factor: 5.994

9.  Dual angiotensin receptor and neprilysin inhibition as an alternative to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition in patients with chronic systolic heart failure: rationale for and design of the Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure trial (PARADIGM-HF).

Authors:  John J V McMurray; Milton Packer; Akshay S Desai; Jim Gong; Martin P Lefkowitz; Adel R Rizkala; Jean Rouleau; Victor C Shi; Scott D Solomon; Karl Swedberg; Michael R Zile
Journal:  Eur J Heart Fail       Date:  2013-04-05       Impact factor: 15.534

10.  Cost-effectiveness of eplerenone in patients with systolic heart failure and mild symptoms.

Authors:  Dawn Lee; Koo Wilson; Ron Akehurst; Martin R Cowie; Faiez Zannad; Henry Krum; Dirk J van Veldhuisen; John Vincent; Bertram Pitt; John J V McMurray
Journal:  Heart       Date:  2014-07-03       Impact factor: 5.994

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  18 in total

Review 1.  Sacubitril/Valsartan: Updates and Clinical Evidence for a Disease-Modifying Approach.

Authors:  Enrico Fabris; Marco Merlo; Claudio Rapezzi; Roberto Ferrari; Marco Metra; Maria Frigerio; Gianfranco Sinagra
Journal:  Drugs       Date:  2019-09       Impact factor: 9.546

2.  Sacubitril/valsartan in everyday clinical practice: an observational study based on the experience of a heart failure clinic.

Authors:  Joana Cabral; Henrique Vasconcelos; Paulo Maia-Araújo; Emília Moreira; Manuel Campelo; Sandra Amorim; Alexandra Sousa; Brenda Moura; Roberto Pinto; Camila Dias; José Silva-Cardoso
Journal:  Cardiovasc Diagn Ther       Date:  2021-12

Review 3.  SGLT-2 Inhibitors on Top of Current Pharmacological Treatments for Heart Failure: A Comparative Review on Outcomes and Cost Effectiveness.

Authors:  Ilaria Cavallari; Ernesto Maddaloni; Annunziata Nusca; Dario Tuccinardi; Raffaella Buzzetti; Paolo Pozzilli; Francesco Grigioni
Journal:  Am J Cardiovasc Drugs       Date:  2021-11-17       Impact factor: 3.571

4.  A Proposal of a Cost-Effectiveness Modeling Approach for Heart Failure Treatment Assessment: Considering the Short- and Long-Term Impact of Hospitalization on Event Rates.

Authors:  Gian Luca Di Tanna; Blake Angell; Michael Urbich; Peter Lindgren; Thomas A Gaziano; Gary Globe; Björn Stollenwerk
Journal:  Pharmacoeconomics       Date:  2022-08-12       Impact factor: 4.558

Review 5.  Optimizing Foundational Therapies in Patients With HFrEF: How Do We Translate These Findings Into Clinical Care?

Authors:  Abhinav Sharma; Subodh Verma; Deepak L Bhatt; Kim A Connelly; Elizabeth Swiggum; Muthiah Vaduganathan; Shelley Zieroth; Javed Butler
Journal:  JACC Basic Transl Sci       Date:  2022-03-02

6.  Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Sacubitril/Valsartan Compared to Enalapril for Heart Failure Patients in Indonesia.

Authors:  Neily Zakiyah; Rano K Sinuraya; Arif S W Kusuma; Auliya A Suwantika; Keri Lestari
Journal:  Clinicoecon Outcomes Res       Date:  2021-10-05

7.  Sacubitril-Valsartan Compared With Enalapril for the Treatment of Heart Failure: A Decision-Analytic Markov Model Simulation in China.

Authors:  Yue Wu; Shuo Tian; Peipei Rong; Fan Zhang; Ying Chen; Xianxi Guo; Benhong Zhou
Journal:  Front Pharmacol       Date:  2020-07-23       Impact factor: 5.810

8.  Hospitalization cost reduction with sacubitril-valsartan implementation in a cohort of patients from the Daunia Heart Failure Registry.

Authors:  Michele Correale; Ilenia Monaco; Armando Ferraretti; Lucia Tricarico; Giuseppina Padovano; Ennio Sascia Formica; Valeria Tozzi; Davide Grazioli; Matteo Di Biase; Natale Daniele Brunetti
Journal:  Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc       Date:  2019-01-11

9.  Health State Utilities of Patients with Heart Failure: A Systematic Literature Review.

Authors:  Gian Luca Di Tanna; Michael Urbich; Heidi S Wirtz; Barbara Potrata; Marieke Heisen; Craig Bennison; John Brazier; Gary Globe
Journal:  Pharmacoeconomics       Date:  2020-11-30       Impact factor: 4.981

10.  Is It Time for a New Standard Therapy for Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction?

Authors:  Eduardo Thadeu de Oliveira Correia; Letícia Mara Dos Santos Barbetta; Evandro Tinoco Mesquita
Journal:  Arq Bras Cardiol       Date:  2021-07       Impact factor: 2.000

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