Literature DB >> 29225496

Age distribution dynamics with stochastic jumps in mortality.

Salvatore Calabrese1, Amilcare Porporato1,2, Francesco Laio3, Paolo D'Odorico4, Luca Ridolfi3.   

Abstract

While deterministic age distribution models have been extensively studied and applied in various disciplines, little work has been devoted to understanding the role of stochasticity in birth and mortality terms. In this paper, we analyse a stochastic M'Kendrick-von Foerster equation in which jumps in mortality represent intense losses of population due to external events. We present explicit solutions for the probability density functions of the age distribution and the total population and for the temporal dynamics of their moments. We also derive the dynamics of the mean age of the population and its harmonic mean. The framework is then used to calculate the age distribution of salt in the soil root zone, where the accumulation of salt by atmospheric deposition is counteracted by plant uptake and by jump losses due to percolation events.

Entities:  

Keywords:  M’Kendrick–von Foerster equation; Poisson jumps; age distribution dynamics; stochastic mortality; stochastic soil salinity

Year:  2017        PMID: 29225496      PMCID: PMC5719627          DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2017.0451

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Math Phys Eng Sci        ISSN: 1364-5021            Impact factor:   2.704


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