Literature DB >> 29149377

Multi-patch and multi-group epidemic models: a new framework.

Derdei Bichara1, Abderrahman Iggidr2.   

Abstract

We develop a multi-patch and multi-group model that captures the dynamics of an infectious disease when the host is structured into an arbitrary number of groups and interacts into an arbitrary number of patches where the infection takes place. In this framework, we model host mobility that depends on its epidemiological status, by a Lagrangian approach. This framework is applied to a general SEIRS model and the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is derived. The effects of heterogeneity in groups, patches and mobility patterns on [Formula: see text] and disease prevalence are explored. Our results show that for a fixed number of groups, the basic reproduction number increases with respect to the number of patches and the host mobility patterns. Moreover, when the mobility matrix of susceptible individuals is of rank one, the basic reproduction number is explicitly determined and was found to be independent of the latter if the matrix is also stochastic. The cases where mobility matrices are of rank one capture important modeling scenarios. Additionally, we study the global analysis of equilibria for some special cases. Numerical simulations are carried out to showcase the ramifications of mobility pattern matrices on disease prevalence and basic reproduction number.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Global stability; Heterogeneity; Mobility; Multi-group; Multi-patch; Residence times

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 29149377     DOI: 10.1007/s00285-017-1191-9

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Math Biol        ISSN: 0303-6812            Impact factor:   2.259


  22 in total

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Authors:  Julien Arino; Stéphanie Portet
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2015-01-14       Impact factor: 2.259

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Authors:  Derdei Bichara; Carlos Castillo-Chavez
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8.  Perspectives on the role of mobility, behavior, and time scales in the spread of diseases.

Authors:  Carlos Castillo-Chavez; Derdei Bichara; Benjamin R Morin
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2016-12-13       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  Day-to-Day Population Movement and the Management of Dengue Epidemics.

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Journal:  Bull Math Biol       Date:  2016-10-04       Impact factor: 1.758

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Journal:  Math Biosci       Date:  1995 Jul-Aug       Impact factor: 2.144

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  5 in total

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Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2019-06-29       Impact factor: 2.259

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5.  Estimating the effective reproduction number for heterogeneous models using incidence data.

Authors:  D C P Jorge; J F Oliveira; J G V Miranda; R F S Andrade; S T R Pinho
Journal:  R Soc Open Sci       Date:  2022-09-07       Impact factor: 3.653

  5 in total

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