Literature DB >> 27965394

Perspectives on the role of mobility, behavior, and time scales in the spread of diseases.

Carlos Castillo-Chavez1,2,3, Derdei Bichara4,5, Benjamin R Morin6,7,8.   

Abstract

The dynamics, control, and evolution of communicable and vector-borne diseases are intimately connected to the joint dynamics of epidemiological, behavioral, and mobility processes that operate across multiple spatial, temporal, and organizational scales. The identification of a theoretical explanatory framework that accounts for the pattern regularity exhibited by a large number of host-parasite systems, including those sustained by host-vector epidemiological dynamics, is but one of the challenges facing the coevolving fields of computational, evolutionary, and theoretical epidemiology. Host-parasite epidemiological patterns, including epidemic outbreaks and endemic recurrent dynamics, are characteristic to well-identified regions of the world; the result of processes and constraints such as strain competition, host and vector mobility, and population structure operating over multiple scales in response to recurrent disturbances (like El Niño) and climatological and environmental perturbations over thousands of years. It is therefore important to identify and quantify the processes responsible for observed epidemiological macroscopic patterns: the result of individual interactions in changing social and ecological landscapes. In this perspective, we touch on some of the issues calling for the identification of an encompassing theoretical explanatory framework by identifying some of the limitations of existing theory, in the context of particular epidemiological systems. Fostering the reenergizing of research that aims at disentangling the role of epidemiological and socioeconomic forces on disease dynamics, better understood as complex adaptive systems, is a key aim of this perspective.

Keywords:  behavior; complex adaptive systems; infectious disease; mobility; risk

Mesh:

Year:  2016        PMID: 27965394      PMCID: PMC5187743          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1604994113

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  60 in total

1.  Simulating dynamical features of escape panic.

Authors:  D Helbing; I Farkas; T Vicsek
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2000-09-28       Impact factor: 49.962

2.  Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications.

Authors:  Carlos Castillo-Chavez; Baojun Song
Journal:  Math Biosci Eng       Date:  2004-09       Impact factor: 2.080

Review 3.  Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review.

Authors:  Sebastian Funk; Marcel Salathé; Vincent A A Jansen
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2010-05-26       Impact factor: 4.118

4.  Rational behavioral response and the transmission of STDs.

Authors:  Frederick H Chen
Journal:  Theor Popul Biol       Date:  2004-12       Impact factor: 1.570

5.  Capturing human behaviour.

Authors:  Neil Ferguson
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2007-04-12       Impact factor: 49.962

6.  Multiple outbreaks for the same pandemic: Local transportation and social distancing explain the different "waves" of A-H1N1pdm cases observed in México during 2009.

Authors:  Marco Arieli Herrera-Valdez; Maytee Cruz-Aponte; Carlos Castillo-Chavez
Journal:  Math Biosci Eng       Date:  2011-01       Impact factor: 2.080

7.  Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenza: Mexico as a case study.

Authors:  Gerardo Chowell; Cécile Viboud; Xiaohong Wang; Stefano M Bertozzi; Mark A Miller
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2009-12-03       Impact factor: 3.240

8.  Game theory of social distancing in response to an epidemic.

Authors:  Timothy C Reluga
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2010-05-27       Impact factor: 4.475

9.  Wildlife trade and global disease emergence.

Authors:  William B Karesh; Robert A Cook; Elizabeth L Bennett; James Newcomb
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  2005-07       Impact factor: 6.883

10.  SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism.

Authors:  G Chowell; P W Fenimore; M A Castillo-Garsow; C Castillo-Chavez
Journal:  J Theor Biol       Date:  2003-09-07       Impact factor: 2.691

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  13 in total

1.  Ebola vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Authors:  Chad R Wells; Abhishek Pandey; Alyssa S Parpia; Meagan C Fitzpatrick; Lauren A Meyers; Burton H Singer; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2019-04-29       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Human-environment interactions in population and ecosystem health.

Authors:  Alison P Galvani; Chris T Bauch; Madhur Anand; Burton H Singer; Simon A Levin
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2016-12-12       Impact factor: 11.205

3.  Multi-patch and multi-group epidemic models: a new framework.

Authors:  Derdei Bichara; Abderrahman Iggidr
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2017-11-17       Impact factor: 2.259

4.  The Role of Movement Patterns in Epidemic Models on Complex Networks.

Authors:  Alfonso Ruiz-Herrera; Pedro J Torres
Journal:  Bull Math Biol       Date:  2021-08-19       Impact factor: 1.758

5.  Effect of Human Mobility on the Spatial Spread of Airborne Diseases: An Epidemic Model with Indirect Transmission.

Authors:  Jummy F David; Sarafa A Iyaniwura
Journal:  Bull Math Biol       Date:  2022-05-04       Impact factor: 3.871

6.  Disease-economy trade-offs under alternative epidemic control strategies.

Authors:  Thomas Ash; Antonio M Bento; Daniel Kaffine; Akhil Rao; Ana I Bento
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2022-06-09       Impact factor: 17.694

Review 7.  Mathematical modeling of climate change and malaria transmission dynamics: a historical review.

Authors:  Steffen E Eikenberry; Abba B Gumel
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2018-04-24       Impact factor: 2.259

8.  Mobility restrictions are more than transient reduction of travel activities.

Authors:  Ruiyun Li
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2021-01-07       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  The trade-off between mobility and vaccination for COVID-19 control: a metapopulation modelling approach.

Authors:  Fernando Saldaña; Jorge X Velasco-Hernández
Journal:  R Soc Open Sci       Date:  2021-06-02       Impact factor: 2.963

10.  Vector-borne disease risk indexes in spatially structured populations.

Authors:  Jorge Velázquez-Castro; Andrés Anzo-Hernández; Beatriz Bonilla-Capilla; Moisés Soto-Bajo; Andrés Fraguela-Collar
Journal:  PLoS Negl Trop Dis       Date:  2018-02-12
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