| Literature DB >> 29135955 |
Jie Zeng1, Xuehai Zhang2, Jun Yang3, Junzhe Bao4, Hao Xiang5, Keith Dear6, Qiyong Liu7, Shao Lin8, Wayne R Lawrence9, Aihua Lin10, Cunrui Huang11.
Abstract
Background: The evidence of increased mortality attributable to extreme temperatures is widely characterized in climate-health studies. However, few of these studies have examined the role of humidity on temperature-mortality association. We investigated the joint effect between temperature and humidity on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in Zhejiang Province, China.Entities:
Keywords: attributable fraction; cardiovascular mortality; joint effect; relative humidity; temperature
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29135955 PMCID: PMC5708022 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph14111383
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1The location of 11 cities in Zhejiang Province and the attributable fraction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths, which were divided into cold and hot temperatures based on distributed lag non-linear model. Cold and hot effects were defined by the minimum mortality temperature. This map was formed by ArcGIS software, Version 10.1, Esri, Redlands, CA, USA.
Summary statistics for CVD deaths, daily mean temperature, and relative humidity in Zhejiang Province, China between 2010 and 2013.
| City | Total CVD Deaths | Variable | Mean | Min | P25 | P50 | P75 | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou | 14,376 | Humidity | 69.7 | 17.0 | 59.0 | 71.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 |
| Temperature | 17.5 | −2.0 | 9.8 | 18.3 | 25.6 | 35.7 | ||
| Huzhou | 8765 | Humidity | 73.9 | 26.0 | 67.0 | 76.0 | 82.0 | 99.0 |
| Temperature | 16.9 | −1.5 | 9.6 | 18.0 | 24.3 | 32.3 | ||
| Jiaxing | 11,793 | Humidity | 73.7 | 31.0 | 66.0 | 74.0 | 82.0 | 98.0 |
| Temperature | 17.1 | −2.7 | 9.0 | 18.1 | 24.7 | 35.0 | ||
| Jinhua | 13,730 | Humidity | 66.5 | 22.0 | 57.0 | 66.0 | 77.0 | 96.0 |
| Temperature | 18.2 | −1.4 | 10.8 | 19.2 | 25.9 | 35.6 | ||
| Lishui | 6098 | Humidity | 69.6 | 26.0 | 61.0 | 70.0 | 79.0 | 96.0 |
| Temperature | 18.6 | −0.3 | 11.7 | 19.4 | 26.0 | 34.2 | ||
| Ningbo | 13,037 | Humidity | 72.0 | 19.0 | 64.0 | 73.0 | 81.0 | 95.0 |
| Temperature | 17.5 | −1.6 | 9.7 | 18.5 | 25.2 | 34.4 | ||
| Quzhou | 5026 | Humidity | 72.9 | 36.0 | 64.0 | 72.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 |
| Temperature | 17.7 | −1.5 | 10.4 | 18.5 | 25.4 | 34.7 | ||
| Shaoxing | 14,815 | Humidity | 72.5 | 21.0 | 63.0 | 73.0 | 83.0 | 97.0 |
| Temperature | 17.1 | −2.3 | 9.6 | 17.9 | 25.1 | 34.9 | ||
| Taizhou | 14,782 | Humidity | 73.9 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 75.0 | 82.0 | 100.0 |
| Temperature | 17.7 | 0 | 10.5 | 18.4 | 25.3 | 33.0 | ||
| Wenzhou | 15,875 | Humidity | 74.6 | 26.0 | 67.0 | 76.0 | 84.0 | 99.0 |
| Temperature | 18.6 | 0.7 | 11.7 | 19.2 | 25.9 | 32.2 | ||
| Zhoushan | 2247 | Humidity | 75.5 | 28.0 | 66.0 | 78.0 | 86.0 | 97.0 |
| Temperature | 16.3 | −1.8 | 9.2 | 17.4 | 23.2 | 31.8 | ||
| Overall | 120,544 | Humidity | 72.3 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 73.0 | 82.0 | 100.0 |
| Temperature | 17.6 | −2.7 | 10.2 | 18.4 | 25.1 | 35.7 |
Note: P25, P50, P75 are the 25th, 50th, 75th percentile of daily mean temperature and relative humidity, respectively; Min: minimum; Max: maximum.
Spearman’s correlation between daily CVD deaths and weather variables.
| CVD Deaths | Mean Temperature | Relative Humidity | Atmospheric Pressure | Wind Speed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVD deaths | 1.000 | ||||
| Mean temperature | −0.241 ** | 1.000 | |||
| Relative humidity | 0.035 * | 0.018 * | 1.000 | ||
| Air pressure | 0.323 ** | −0.801 ** | −0.176 ** | 1.000 | |
| Wind speed | −0.223 ** | −0.011 | −0.047 ** | −0.061 ** | 1.000 |
Note: ** p < 0.01, * p < 0.05.
The pooled attributable fractions of cold and hot effects on CVD mortality over multiple lag days at different levels of humidity.
| Lag Days | Humidity Level | Attributable Fraction (%, 95% Empirical CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Cold | Hot | ||
| 0–3 | Low-humidity | 9.30 (3.77, 12.94) | 4.32 (−0.14, 7.70) | 4.99 (2.27, 7.15) |
| High-humidity | 11.80 (5.40, 16.32) | 6.55 (2.57, 9.47) | 5.24 (0.46, 8.56) | |
| 0–7 | Low-humidity | 11.63 (5.08, 15.68) | 7.59 (1.45, 11.76) | 4.04 (1.07, 6.24) |
| High-humidity | 21.40 (12.03, 26.85) | 16.01 (8.52, 20.52) | 5.39, 0.51, 8.50) | |
| 0–14 | Low-humidity | 13.11 (6.58, 17.36) | 9.96 (3.69, 14.11) | 3.15 (0.56, 5.19) |
| High-humidity | 25.59 (11.41, 33.12) | 20.34 (9.54, 25.69) | 5.26 (−3.29, 10.36) | |
| 0–21 | Low-humidity | 19.18 (3.43, 25.64) | 16.74 (0.89, 24.44) | 2.44 (−0.62, 4.38) |
| High-humidity | 34.28 (12.93,41.56) | 31.36 (14.79,38.41) | 2.92 (−6.54, 7.70) | |
The pooled attributable fractions of cold and hot effects on CVD mortality over lag 0–21 days at different levels of humidity.
| Humidity Level | Attributable Fraction (%, 95% Empirical CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Cold | Hot | ||
| Male | Low-humidity | 25.98 (10.98, 32.68) | 24.65 (9.01, 31.13) | 1.34 (−1.04, 2.59) |
| High-humidity | 39.24 (24.66, 48.23) | 36.55 (21.62, 45.33) | 2.69 (−2.10, 4.73) | |
| Female | Low-humidity | 21.83 (−12.61, 28.76) | 14.81 (−6.57, 21.93) | 7.02(−10.12, 12.63) |
| High-humidity | 34.58 (−12.32, 40.23) | 18.70 (−16.99, 30.72) | 15.88 (−12.98, 22.63) | |
| Age 0–74 | Low-humidity | 32.86 (−16.88, 31.42) | 23.23 (5.95, 28.79) | 9.63 (−13.94, 25.42) |
| High-humidity | 37.83 (−12.75, 45.22) | 32.50 (2.87, 40.12) | 5.23 (−10.22, 15.32) | |
| Age 75+ | Low-humidity | 24.89 (−9.15, 32.85) | 20.74 (−10.13, 28.88) | 4.15 (−1.23, 7.05) |
| High-humidity | 33.42 (−4.10, 42.56) | 27.86 (−5.86, 37.48) | 5.56 (−8.71, 10.55) | |
| Low-Education | Low-humidity | 18.15 (−10.91, 27.95) | 15.84 (−16.58, 25.71) | 2.30 (−0.37, 4.02) |
| High-humidity | 33.06 (3.81, 41.37) | 31.39 (5.54, 40.14) | 1.67 (−2.64, 3.83) | |
| High-Education | Low-humidity | 32.01 (−18.23, 43.22) | 29.06 (−7.32, 45.33) | 2.94 (−5.27, 4.51) |
| High-humidity | 38.69 (−14.73, 47.33) | 33.82 (−10.22, 36.55) | 4.87 (−5.82, 13.35) | |
| Coastal | Low-humidity | 23.13 (2.91, 31.32) | 19.91 (1.43, 29.97) | 3.22 (−2.42, 6.31) |
| High-humidity | 33.85 (19.04, 42.29) | 27.25 (18.33, 35.14) | 6.59 (−6.78, 12.06) | |
| Inland | Low-humidity | 22.13 (−8.53 ,35.54) | 15.58 (−19.33, 27.86) | 6.55 (−0.76, 12.32) |
| High-humidity | 30.79 (−12.77, 40.67) | 29.25 (−12.87, 39.22) | 1.55 (−2.87, 3.16) | |