| Literature DB >> 29104733 |
Timothy Glotfelty1, Jian He1, Yang Zhang1.
Abstract
New treatments for organic aerosol (OA) formation have been added to a modified version of the CESM/CAM5 model (CESM-NCSU). These treatments include a volatility basis set treatment for the simulation of primary and secondary organic aerosols (SOAs), a simplified treatment for organic aerosol (OA) formation from glyoxal, and a parameterization representing the impact of new particle formation (NPF) of organic gases and sulfuric acid. With the inclusion of these new treatments, the concentration of oxygenated organic aerosol increases by 0.33 µg m-3 and that of primary organic aerosol (POA) decreases by 0.22 µg m-3 on global average. The decrease in POA leads to a reduction in the OA direct effect, while the increased OOA increases the OA indirect effects. Simulations with the new OA treatments show considerable improvement in simulated SOA, oxygenated organic aerosol (OOA), organic carbon (OC), total carbon (TC), and total organic aerosol (TOA), but degradation in the performance of HOA. In simulations of the current climate period, despite some deviations from observations, CESM-NCSU with the new OA treatments significantly improves the magnitude, spatial pattern, seasonal pattern of OC and TC, as well as, the speciation of TOA between POA and OOA. Sensitivity analysis reveals that the inclusion of the organic NPF treatment impacts the OA indirect effects by enhancing cloud properties. The simulated OA level and its impact on the climate system are most sensitive to choices in the enthalpy of vaporization and wet deposition of SVOCs, indicating that accurate representations of these parameters are critical for accurate OA-climate simulations.Entities:
Keywords: CESM/CAM5; aerosol indirect effects; earth system modeling; organic new particle formation; secondary organic aerosol; volatility basis set
Year: 2017 PMID: 29104733 PMCID: PMC5656320 DOI: 10.1002/2016MS000874
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Adv Model Earth Syst ISSN: 1942-2466 Impact factor: 6.660
Comparison of VBS Treatments in the Literaturea
| Study | Model | Scale | Location | Period | GPM | AM | POV | PES | OAV | Func. | Frag. | BA | SDD | SWD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A12 | WRF/Chem | R | CONUS | Aug‐Sep 2006 | RACM | MADE | NT | N/A | SV | 1 | NT | T | 25% HNO3 | NT |
| B12 | EMEP MSC‐W | R | Europe | 2002–2007 | EmChem09 | EmChem09 | T | U | SV | 1 | NT | T | Higher aldehydes | NT |
| F10 | UGISS GCM II | G | Globe | Climatology | M99, W00 | A99, N99 | NT | N/A | SV | 0 | NT | NT | Organic diacids | T |
| J11 | UGISS GCM II | G | Globe | Climatology | L03 | A99, CS02, L04, F10 | T | U | SV | 0 | NT | NT | Organic diacids | T |
| J13 | GEOS‐Chem | G | Globe | 2009 | UCx | UCx | T | U | SV | 1 | NT | NT | IN | IN |
| L08 | PMCAMX | R | Eastern U.S. | Jul 2001 | SAPRC99 | G07 | NT | N/A | SV | 0 | NT | T | IN | IN |
| MP09 | PMCAMX | R | Eastern U.S. | Jul 2001 | SAPRC99 | G07 | T | U | SV | 1 | NT | NT | HL 2700 | IN |
| S08 | PMCAMX | R | Eastern U.S. | Jul 2001 to Jan 2002 | CB4 | G07 | T | U | N/A | 1 | NT | NT | G07 | T |
| S11 | WRF/Chem | L | Mexico | Mar 2006 | SAPRC99 | MOSAIC | T | S | SV | 2P | NT | T | HL 2700 | NT |
| S13 | WRF/Chem | L | Mexico | Mar 2006 | SAPRC99 | MOSAIC | T | S | RO | 2 | T | T | HL 2700 | NT |
| S15 | CESM‐CAM5 | G | Globe | 2007–2011 | MOZART‐4 | MAM3 | NT* | S | RO | 2 | T | T | Methyl hydroperoxide | IN |
| T10 | PMCAMX | L | Mexico | Apr 2003 | SAPRAC99 | G07, K03 | T | U | SV | 1 | NT | T | HL 2700 | IN |
| W15 | WRF/Chem | R | CONUS | Jul 2006 | CB05 | MADE | NT | N/A | SV | 1 | NT | T | 25% HNO3 | NT |
| This work | CESM‐NCSU | G | Globe | Climatology | CB05_GE | MAM7 | T | S | SV | 2 | T | T | 25% HNO3 | T |
GPM, gas‐phase mechanism; AM, aerosol module; POV, primary organic volatility; PES, POA emissions spectrum; OAV, organic aerosol volatility; Func., functionalization; Frag., fragmentation; BA, biogenic aging; SDD, SVOC dry deposition; SWD, SVOC wet deposition; R, regional; G, global; L, local; CONUS, conterminous U.S.; RACM, Regional Atmospheric Chemistry Mechanism; CB4, Carbon Bond Mechanism version 4; CB05, 2005 Carbon Bond Mechanism; CB05_GE, 2005 Carbon Bond Mechanism with Global Extension, MOZART‐4, Model of Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 4; UCx, Universal Tropospheric‐Stratospheric Chemistry Extension Mechanism; MADE, Aerosol Dynamic Model for Europe; MOSAIC, Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and Chemistry; MAM3, 3 Mode Modal Aerosol Model; MAM7, 7 Mode Modal Aerosol Model; T, treated in study; NT, not treated in study; NT*, POA is not volatile but primary IVOCs are treated; IN, insufficient information in text and supplement; N/A, not available; U, uniform emissions spectrum for POA; S, separated emission spectrum of POA between anthropogenic and biomass burning sources; SV, semivolatile; RO, considers rapid oligomerization of SOA making it effectively nonvolatile; 0, no functionalization; 1, addition of one oxygen atom; 2, addition of two oxygen atoms; 2P, addition of two oxygen atoms for only POA; HL 2700, Wesely [1989] deposition assuming a Henry's Law constant of 2700 M atm−1; A99, Adams et al. [1999]; A12, Ahmadov et al. [2012]; B12, Bergstrom et al. [2012]; CS02, Chung and Seinfeld [2002]; F10, Farina et al. [2010]; G07, Gaydos et al. [2007]; J11, Jathar et al. [2011]; J13, Jo et al. [2013]; K03, Koo et al. [2003]; L08, Lane et al. [2008]; L03, Liao et al. [2003]; L04, Liao et al. [2004]; M99, Mickley et al. [1999]; MP09, Murphy and Pandis [2009]; N99, Nenes et al. [1999]; S08, Shrivastava et al. [2008]; S11, Shrivastava et al. [2011]; S13, Shrivastava et al. [2013]; S15, Shrivastava et al. [2015]; T10, Tsimpidi et al. [2010]; W15, Wang et al. [2015]; and W00, Wild et al. [2000].
Figure 1Flow chart that summarizes the differences between the CESM‐NCSU Base organic aerosol treatment and the CESM‐NCSU new organic aerosol treatments. Tier 1 illustrates the differences between the base OA treatments and the new OA treatments, Tier 2 (green box) provides greater details on how the gas‐aerosol partitioning is handles in the new OA treatments, and Tier 3 (dashed boxes) provides greater details on the partitioning calculations. Light blue boxes indicate VSOA specific calculations, red boxes indicate POA specific calculations, orange boxes indicate glyoxal specific calculations, and brown boxes indicate SVOA specific calculations.
Sensitivity Simulation Design and Purpose
| No. | Run I.D. | Process or Parameter Adjusted | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OA_HGLY | Simulation using artificially high glyoxal emissions. This includes the addition of biofuel emissions generated from the POET project [ | Illustrates the uncertainty in simulating OA and glyoxal due to uncertain glyoxal sources |
| 2 | OA_POA_SH08 | Simulation where the POA emissions are distributed based on the emissions spectrum of | Illustrates the uncertainty in OA predictions due to uncertainty in the volatility of POA |
| 3 | OA_NO_FT‐FG_BIOAGE | Simulation without the functionalization and fragmentation treatments and biogenic aging. This follows the conservative assumptions of | Illustrates the differences between the traditional VBS aging approach and the functionalization and fragmentation approach on OA |
| 4 | OA_HI_Fragmentation | Simulation assuming that 75% of the organic vapors undergo fragmentation once they reach the third generation of oxidation, 17.25% is functionalized to the lower volatility bin, and the remainder is lost to volatilities higher than the VBS structure. This is the high fragmentation case of | Illustrates the uncertainty in OA formation based on assumptions about carbon bond fragmentation |
| 5 | OA_LOW_Fragmentation | Simulation assuming that 17.5% of the organic vapors undergo fragmentation once they reach the third generation of oxidation, 90% is functionalized to the lower volatility bin, and the remainder is lost to volatilities higher than the VBS structure. This is the low fragmentation case of | Illustrates the uncertainty in OA formation based on assumptions about carbon bond fragmentation |
| 6 | OA_NO_Fragmentation | Simulation without fragmentation of semivolatile vapors | Illustrates the impact of the fragmentation treatment |
| 7 | OA_HVAP | Simulation using the volatility bin dependent enthalpy of vaporizations from | Illustrates the uncertainty in OA predictions and temperature dependence due to uncertainty in the enthalpy of vaporization parameter |
| 8 | OA_NO_WDEP | Simulation with no wet deposition of the OA forming semivolatile organic vapors | Provides some insights into the impact of organic vapor wet deposition on OA, especially in the tropics |
| 9 | OA_LOW_WDEP | Simulation with 25% of the original wet deposition of the OA forming semivolatile vapors | Provides some insights into the impact of organic vapor wet deposition on OA, especially in the tropics |
| 10 | OA_Final_Mix | Simulation combining the configurations of OA_HVAP, OA_LOW_Fragmentation, and OA_LOW_WDEP | Provides best possible configuration to simulate OA |
| 11 | OA_HI_κ | Simulates OA using a kappa value of 0.21 for BSOA and SVOA hygroscopicity based on [ | Examines the sensitivity of simulated aerosol activation of OA to OA hygroscopicity by using the upper limit of OA hygroscopicity |
| 12 | OA_LOW_κ | Simulates OA with kappa values of 0.06 for BSOA, ASOA, and SVOA hygroscopicity and 0.0 for POA hygroscopicity [ | Examines sensitivity of simulated aerosol activation of OA to OA hygroscopicity by using the lower limit of OA hygroscopicity |
| 13 | OA_NO_ONPF | Simulation without the NPF treatment | Illustrates the impact of the organic NPF treatment on particle number concentrations and CCN |
| 14 | OA_SOA_ONPF | Simulation where only semivolatile vapors from the oxidation of AVOCs and BVOCs participate in organic NPF | Illustrates the impact of the organic NPF treatment in a manner that is more comparable to is the method of implementation in |
Figure 2The absolute difference in the concentration of POA between the new OA simulation and sensitivity simulations 1–14 from Table 2.
Figure 3The absolute difference in the concentration of OOA between the new OA simulation and sensitivity simulations 1–14 from Table 2.
Performance Statistics in Terms of NMBs for Baseline (New_OA) and OA Sensitivity Simulations
| Run Index | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Coverage | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| OC (µg m−3) | CONUS | −0.3 | 5.1 | −11.8 | −18.6 | −3.1 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 30.4 | 35.8 | 17.6 | 45.7 | 4.8 | 5.3 | −0.3 | −1.2 |
| Europe | −52.4 | −52.1 | −64.2 | −56.6 | −51.8 | −51.5 | −46.6 | −40.4 | −38.7 | −51.1 | −29.2 | −52.0 | −48.7 | −51.8 | −50.5 | |
| TC (µg m−3) | CONUS | −37.4 | −34.1 | −42.7 | −46.7 | −38.7 | −34.3 | −33.8 | −21.2 | −17.8 | −26.6 | −12.3 | −33.9 | −33.9 | −34.0 | −38.4 |
| HOA (µg m−3) | NH | −36.4 | −35.9 | −70.8 | −35.6 | −34.0 | −32.9 | −32.6 | −30.4 | −37.0 | −34.6 | −31.5 | −35.8 | −38.8 | −36.7 | −37.3 |
| OOA (µg m−3) | NH | −45.9 | −41.0 | −45.4 | −61.8 | −48.8 | −37.8 | −38.2 | −40.2 | −22.0 | −42.8 | −27.0 | −48.6 | −50.1 | −50.4 | −49.3 |
| TOA (µg m−3) | NH | −51.5 | −48.4 | −59.5 | −61.5 | −53.2 | −45.9 | −45.9 | −47.1 | −35.4 | −49.7 | −38.6 | −53.0 | −54.6 | −54.2 | −53.8 |
| SOA (µg m−3) | CONUS | −0.5 | 10.2 | −3.5 | −31.1 | −1.4 | 8.0 | 12.1 | 23.2 | 83.7 | 44.5 | 46.8 | 10.5 | 14.4 | 2.6 | −1.6 |
| AOD | Global | −24.7 | −24.6 | −23.0 | −25.4 | −26.1 | −22.7 | −22.8 | −21.8 | −18.0 | −22.9 | −18.9 | −23.3 | −25.1 | −26.6 | −24.2 |
| COT | Global | −40.3 | −41.1 | −40.4 | −41.2 | −40.2 | −40.3 | −41.1 | −40.9 | −38.5 | −39.6 | −39.7 | −41.5 | −41.1 | −43.0 | −41.5 |
| CCN (cm−2) | Ocean | −75.9 | −75.5 | −75.4 | −76.0 | −76.0 | −75.1 | −74.7 | −73.8 | −69.9 | −74.5 | −72.3 | −74.8 | −76.9 | −76.3 | −75.8 |
| CDNC (cm−3) | Global | 80.2 | 78.8 | 82.5 | 80.7 | 80.6 | 80.5 | 80.7 | 78.6 | 87.8 | 83.1 | 80.5 | 79.5 | 77.3 | 68.9 | 79.0 |
| LWP (g m−2) | Ocean | −34.1 | −34.3 | −34.5 | −34.5 | −34.6 | −34.2 | −35.0 | −33.9 | −29.9 | −33.2 | −33.4 | −33.6 | −33.5 | −36.4 | −34.9 |
| SWCF (W m−2) | Global | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| FSDS (W m−2) | Global | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | −0.7 | −0.3 | −0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0.6 |
Run Index: 0, baseline simulation (New_OA); 1–14, sensitivity simulations as described in Table 2.
Assumes an OM:OC ratio of 1.8.
Assumes an OM:OC ratio of 1.4.
Figure 4The zonally averaged cross‐sectional absolute differences in the concentration of OOA, CCN at a supersaturation of 0.5%, cloud droplet number, and particle number between the (left) OA_HVAP, (middle) OA_NO_WDEP, and (right) OA_Final_Mix simulations and the new OA simulation.
Figure 5The zonally averaged cross‐sectional absolute differences in CCN at a supersaturation of 0.5%, cloud droplet number concentration, and COT between the (left) OA_HI_κ and (right) OA_LOW_κ simulations and the new OA simulation.
Figure 7The absolute difference in the concentrations of POA, SOA, OOA, TOA, PM2.5, AOD, NUM, CCN, CDNC, COT, SWCF, and FSDS between the Base_OAC and Final_OAC simulations for the average current time period.
Figure 8Scatterplots of observations versus simulation results from the averaged current time period Base_OAC and Final_OAC simulations for OC, TC, SOA, HOA, OOA, TOA, PM2.5, and PM10.
Figure 9A comparison of the monthly time series of OC and its components from selected sites in the IMPROVE and EMEP networks and monthly time series of TC and its components from the select sites in the CSN network from the Base_OAC, New_OAC, and Final_OAC simulations.
Figure 10The relative contributions of HOA and OOA from selected sites in the Zhang et al. [2007] and Jimenez et al. [2009] data set and the relative contribution of the OA species from the CESM‐NCSU Base_OAC, New_OAC, and Final_OAC simulations.
Figure 6The zonally averaged cross‐sectional differences in particle number concentrations, CCN at a supersaturation of 0.5%, and cloud droplet number concentrations between new OA simulation and (left) the OA_NO_ONPF simulation and (right) the OA_SOA_ONPF simulation.
Statistical Performance Comparison of Base_OAC (Base), New OAC (New), and Final_OAC (Final) Simulations
| Variables | Region | Obs | Sim | MB | NMB | NME | R | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base | New | Final | Base | New | Final | Base | New | Final | Base | New | Final | Base | New | Final | |||
| OC (µg m−3) | CONUS | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | −0.4 | −0.3 | 0.3 | −37.9 | −25.3 | 31.4 | 49.6 | 41.6 | 44.1 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| Europe | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | −1.7 | −2.0 | −1.4 | −60.5 | −68.6 | −49.3 | 64.8 | 70.9 | 55.8 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.38 | |
| TC (µg m−3) | CONUS | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | −1.1 | −1.0 | 0 | −46.0 | −38.7 | −0.7 | 51.1 | 46.7 | 37.5 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| HOA (µg m−3) | NH | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | −1.3 | −1.2 | 5.7 | −62.1 | −59.2 | 41.8 | 67.2 | 66.0 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 0.91 |
| OOA (µg m−3) | NH | 4.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.5 | −4.4 | −2.6 | −1.3 | −90.0 | −52.8 | −27.3 | 90.0 | 53.2 | 33.6 | 0.48 | 0.92 | 0.89 |
| TOA (µg m−3) | NH | 7.9 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 4.3 | −5.4 | −4.9 | −3.6 | −68.3 | −61.9 | −45.5 | 69.2 | 62.5 | 50.8 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.82 |
| SOA (µg m−3) | CONUS | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4.5 | −1.9 | −0.8 | 1.6 | −66.0 | −26.3 | 53.2 | 66.0 | 46.3 | 53.2 | 0.72 | 0.12 | 0.72 |
| PM2.5 (µg m−3) | CONUS | 8.3 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 11.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 22.2 | 13.3 | 37.4 | 40.6 | 33.8 | 48.7 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Europe | 14.1 | 11.1 | 9.9 | 10.5 | −3.0 | −4.2 | −3.6 | −21.4 | −30.0 | −25.6 | 35.5 | 37.2 | 38.9 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.13 | |
| PM10 (µg m−3) | CONUS | 22.2 | 20.7 | 17.9 | 20.6 | −1.6 | −4.3 | −1.6 | −7.0 | −19.3 | −7.3 | 49.7 | 44.0 | 43.5 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Europe | 24.4 | 23.0 | 21.6 | 23.6 | −1.4 | −2.8 | −0.8 | −5.6 | −11.6 | −3.3 | 34.7 | 36.0 | 36.6 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.21 | |
| East Asia | 94.6 | 58.0 | 69.8 | 69.5 | −36.6 | −24.7 | −25.0 | −38.6 | −26.2 | −26.5 | 40.6 | 34.6 | 33.4 | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.63 | |
| ISOP (ppt) | CONUS | 322.6 | 198.2 | 212.6 | 197.8 | −124.4 | −110.0 | −124.8 | −38.6 | −34.1 | −38.7 | 66.2 | 67.0 | 64.8 | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| Europe | 162.1 | 109.4 | 98.2 | 97.8 | −52.8 | −64.0 | −64.5 | −32.6 | −39.4 | −39.8 | 78.8 | 73.6 | 76.1 | −0.03 | 0.0 | −0.06 | |
| TOL (ppt) | CONUS | 734.2 | 355.1 | 342.2 | 349.3 | −379.0 | −392.0 | −384.9 | −51.6 | −53.4 | −52.4 | 69.2 | 69.7 | 69.3 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.15 |
| Europe | 250.5 | 265.2 | 252.0 | 259.8 | 14.7 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 63.4 | 59.3 | 62.1 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.10 | |
| XYL (ppt) | CONUS | 419.9 | 202.7 | 208.2 | 212.5 | −217.2 | −211.7 | −207.4 | −51.7 | −50.4 | −49.4 | 89.2 | 89.5 | 89.2 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.13 |
| AOD | Global | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.02 | −0.05 | −0.03 | 15.8 | −31.7 | −19.9 | 35.4 | 46.0 | 41.4 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| COT | Global | 17.0 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 10.3 | −7.4 | −7.1 | −6.7 | −43.4 | −41.5 | −39.2 | 57.9 | 57.0 | 56.2 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.10 |
| CCN (cm−2) | Ocean | 6.4 × 108 | 5.8 × 107 | 5.4 × 107 | 7.2 × 107 | −1.8 × 108 | −1.9 × 108 | −1.7 × 108 | −73.6 | −77.6 | −70.4 | 73.6 | 77.6 | 70.4 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| CDNC (cm−3) | Global | 108.5 | 166.0 | 177.4 | 180.4 | 57.4 | 68.8 | 71.9 | 52.9 | 63.4 | 66.2 | 70.3 | 79.2 | 81.4 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| LWP (g m−2) | Ocean | 85.7 | 53.5 | 54.4 | 56.9 | −32.2 | −31.3 | −28.8 | −37.5 | −36.5 | −33.6 | 40.6 | 40.3 | 39.0 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| SWCF (W m−2) | Global | −40.7 | −39.4 | −40.9 | −42.4 | −1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | −3.3 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 21.4 | 21.0 | 22.2 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| FSDS (W m−2) | Global | 163.5 | 162.3 | 165.5 | 162.9 | −1.1 | 2.0 | −0.6 | −0.7 | 1.2 | −0.3 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.97 |
Mean bias (MB).
Normalized mean bias (NMB).
Normalized mean error (NME).
Correlation coefficient (R).
Assumes an OM:OC ratio of 1.8.
Assumes an OM:OC ratio of 1.4.
Comparison of Performance Statistics of OA Over CONUSa
| Obs. Network | Statistic | A12 | F10 | J11 | J13 | L08 | MP09 | S08 | S15 | W15 | This Work |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMPROVE OC (CONUS) | MB (μg m−3) | −0.43 to 1.30 | −0.65 to −0.36 | −1.1 to 0.5 | N/A | 0.33–6.44 | 0.29 | −0.41 to 0.45 | −0.12 to 1.66 | N/A | −0.26 to 0.32 |
| MAE (µg m−3) | N/A | 0.92–0.95 | N/A | N/A | 1.11–6.45 | 0.72 | 0.79–1.00 | N/A | N/A | 0.42–0.45 | |
| FB | N/A | −0.41 to −0.26 | −0.98 to 0.03 | −30.0 to 2.0 | 0.21–1.06 | 0.17 | −0.02 to 0.27 | N/A | 60.5 | −0.38 to 0.19 | |
| FE | N/A | 0.49–0.55 | 0.52–1.04 | 41.0–47.0 | 0.45–1.06 | 0.39 | 0.38–0.44 | N/A | 83.0 | 0.33–0.50 | |
| R | 0.55–0.65 | 0.66 | N/A | 0.46–0.50 | N/A | 0.62 | N/A | N/A | 0.57 | 0.56–0.65 | |
| CSN OC | MB (µg m−3) | −1.77 to 0.57 | N/A | N/A | N/A | −1.23 to 3.60 | −0.88 | −2.24 to −0.95 | N/A | N/A | −0.96 to −0.02 |
| MAE (µg m−3) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.80–3.94 | 1.33 | 1.76–2.59 | N/A | N/A | 0.93–1.16 | |
| FB | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | −0.21 to 0.43 | −0.29 | −0.50 to −0.08 | N/A | 53.1 | −0.39 to 0.08 | |
| FE | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.37–0.50 | 0.52 | 0.58–0.64 | N/A | 76.8 | 0.39–0.50 | |
| R | 0.68–0.76 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.52 | N/A | N/A | 0.54 | 0.57–0.59 |
MB: mean bias, MAE: mean absolute error, FB: fractional bias, FE: fractional error, NMB: normalized mean bias, NME: normalized mean error, R: Pearson's correlation coefficient, A12: Ahmadov et al. [2012], F10: Farina et al. [2010], J11: Jathar et al. [2011], J13: Jo et al. [2013], L08: Lane et al. [2008], MP09: Murphy and Pandis [2009], S08: Shrivastava et al. [2008], S15: Shrivastava et al. [2015], and W15: Wang et al. [2015].
CSN statistics based on organic carbon.
CSN statistics based on total carbon.
FB.
NMB.
FE.
NME.
Statistics based on median bias rather than mean bias.
Comparison of Performance Statistics Against European EMEP OC Observationsa
| Statistics | B12 | F10 | J13 | This Work |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MB (µg m−3) | −1.88 to −1.39 | 1.6–1.9 | N/A | −1.98 to −1.42 |
| MAE (µg m−3) | 1.99–2.21 | 6.2 | N/A | 2.03–1.61 |
| FB | N/A | 0.13–0.18 | −42.0 to −58.0 | −0.90 to −0.48 |
| FE | N/A | 0.73–0.74 | 53.0–63.0 | 0.63–0.97 |
| R | 0.38–0.46 | 0.2 | 0.26–0.28 | 0.37–0.38 |
MB: mean bias, MAE: mean absolute error, FB: fractional bias, FE: fractional error, NMB: normalized mean bias, NME: normalized mean error, R: Pearson's correlation coefficient, B12: Bergstrom et al. [2012], F10: Farina et al. [2010], and J11: Jathar et al. [2011].
FB.
NMB.
FE.
NME.
Comparison of Performance Statistics Against Z07 and J09 Observationsa
| OA Type | Statistic | J13 | This Work |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOA | RMSE (µg m−3) | 3.11 | 2.54–2.60 |
| NMB | 85.0 | −59.2 to −62.1 | |
| NME | 107.0 | 66.0–67.2 | |
| R | 0.43 | 0.91 | |
| OOA | RMSE (µg m−3) | 3.47–3.92 | 2.27–3.30 |
| NMB | −71.0 to −43.0 | −52.0 to −27.3 | |
| NME | 61.0–76.0 | 33.6–53.2 | |
| R | 0.22–0.26 | 0.89–0.92 | |
| TOA | RMSE (µg m−3) | 4.26–4.44 | 4.01–7.11 |
| NMB | −8.0 to −29.0 | −61.9 to −45.5 | |
| NME | 58.0–62.0 | 50.8–62.5 | |
| R | 0.45–0.47 | 0.82–0.89 |
RMSE: root‐mean‐square error, NMB: normalized mean bias, NME: normalized mean error, R: Pearson's correlation coefficient, and J13: Jo et al. [2013].
Figure 11The relative contributions of ASOA and BSOA from selected sites of the Lewandowski et al. [2013] data set and similar relative contributions at these sites from the CESM‐NCSU New_OAC and Final_OAC simulations.