| Literature DB >> 28927395 |
Archana Patel1, Amber Abhijeet Prakash2, Yamini V Pusdekar2, Hemant Kulkarni2,3, Patricia Hibberd4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Presently, preterm birth is globally the leading cause of neonatal mortality. Prompt community based identification of women at high risk for preterm births (HRPB) can either help to avert preterm births or avail effective interventions to reduce neonatal mortality due to preterm births. We evaluated the performance of a package to train community workers to detect the presence of signs or symptoms of HRPB.Entities:
Keywords: Community workers; Diagnostic accuracy; Preterm birth; Risk stratification
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28927395 PMCID: PMC5606131 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-017-1504-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ISSN: 1471-2393 Impact factor: 3.007
Fig. 1Flow diagram of study participants
Characteristics of the Study Population (N = 7050)
| Characteristic | Preterm | Term | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| 7050 (100) | |
| Mother’s Age | |||
| <20 | 17 (2.32) | 99 (1.57) | 116 (1.65) |
| 20–25 | 570 (77.87) | 4833 (76.5) | 5403 (76.64) |
| >25 | 145 (19.81) | 1386 (21.94) | 1531 (21.72) |
| Mother’s Educationa | |||
| None-Primary | 172 (23.5) | 1361 (21.54) | 1533 (21.74) |
| Secondary | 456 (62.3) | 3792 (60.02) | 4248 (60.26) |
| University | 104 (14.21) | 1152 (18.23) | 1256 (17.82) |
| Parity | |||
| Nulliparous | 366 (50) | 2828 (44.76) | 3194 (45.3) |
| 1–2 | 344 (46.99) | 3325 (52.63) | 3669 (52.04) |
| >2 | 22 (3.01) | 165 (2.61) | 187 (2.65) |
| Previous birth live (for parity ≥1) | |||
| Yes | 343 (93.7) | 3354 (96.1) | 3697 (95.9) |
| No | 23 (6.28) | 136 (3.9) | 159 (4.1) |
| Maternal Anemia (Hemoglobin g%)a | |||
| Not anemic (≥11) | 36 (4.92) | 506 (8.01) | 542 (7.69) |
| Mild (10–11) | 262 (35.79) | 2636 (41.72) | 2898 (41.11) |
| Moderate/ Severe (<10) | 434 (59.29) | 3143 (49.75) | 3577 (50.7) |
| Hypertension | |||
| Yes | 132(18.03) | 0(0.00) | 132(1.87) |
| No | 600(81.97) | 6318(100.00) | 6918(98.13) |
a missing information on maternal education (n = 13 (0.2%) and anemia (n = 33 (0.5%))
Frequency and proportion of HRPB symptoms, and the test characteristics of each symptom
| Symptom | N (% out of 7050) | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Signs of Preterm Labor | 540 (7.66) | 49.3% | 93.5% | 38.8% | 95.7% |
| Premature rupture of membrane | 251 (3.56) | 52.6% | 91.9% | 19.2% | 98.1% |
| Hemorrhage | 71 (1.01) | 64.8% | 90.8% | 6.7% | 99.6% |
| Hypertension | 132 (1.87) | 37.9% | 90.8% | 7.3% | 98.7% |
Performance of Risk-Stratification as a Predictor of Preterm Birth
| Number of HRPB Signs or symptoms | Outcome – Reference Standard (N) | Probability of Delivering Preterm | Likelihood Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) | Odds Ratio from GEE Model (95% Confidence Interval) a | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preterm | Term | ||||
| 0 | 353 | 5965 | 0.06 | 0.55 (0.50–0.60) | Reference |
| 1 | 173 | 273 | 0.39 | 5.89 (4.44–7.81) | 10.3 (8.14–13.0) |
| 2 | 139 | 116 | 0.55 | 11.05 (7.51–16.27) | 19.4 (14.6–25.8) |
| 3 or more | 21 | 10 | 0.68 | 19.51 (0.84–454.0) | 37.7 (17.4–81.9) |
| Total | 686 | 6364 | |||
a Results are based on multivariable logistic regression analyses that included the following covariates and was adjusted for inter-cluster differences using GEE: mother’s age, education, parity and anemia
Cochran - Armitage test for linear trend: Χ2 (1 df) = 1215.81, p = 2.2 × 10−266
Fig. 2Time to delivery in women at HRPB by number of signs or symptoms
Neonatal Outcomes by Number of Signs or Symptoms of HRPB
| Outcome | Number of symptoms | aPtrend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 or more | ||
| Stillbirths | 2.64 (1.45–4.80) | 3.96 (2.07–7.57) | 6.06 (1.42–25.8) | χ2 = 32.73, P < 0.001 |
| Postnatal deaths | 3.21 (2.17–4.75) | 2.25 (1.27–3.98) | 4.22 (1.28–14.1) | χ2 = 32.93, |
| Postnatal complications | 2.56 (1.80–3.63) | 2.95 (1.95–4.45) | 5.11 (2.16–12.1) | χ2 = 87.14, P < 0.001 |
a Cochrane-Armitage test for linear trend