Theoretical method for evaluation of therapeutic effects and adverse effects of epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors in clinical treatment.

Epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) are used for non-small cell lung cancer patients with an EGFR gene mutation. However, skin disorders are known as adverse events. In the present study, we investigated whether EGFR-TK occupancy is useful as an index for assessing clinical efficacy and adverse events for the proper use and development of EGFR-TKIs. Average binding occupancies (Φ ss) of EGFR-TKIs, gefitinib and erlotinib, for the EGFR-TK of cancer or skin cells were calculated. The relationships of Φ ss with response rate (RR) or frequency of rash were analyzed using the ternary complex model. Then, the relationships between the dose of EGFR-TKIs and RR or frequency of rash were examined. Gefitinib showed a greater difference for Φ ss value for both wild-type and mutant EGFR as compared to erlotinib at usual dose. The RR increased in a nonlinear manner rapidly rising when Φ ss exceeded 95%. It was thought that a very high Φ ss value might be needed to obtain the therapeutic effect of EGFR-TKIs. Meanwhile, the frequency of rash increased in a linear manner along with elevation of Φ ss. It was shown that the K d ratio (K d for mutant/K d for wild type) was less than 0.001, when the high RR and low frequency of rash were obtained simultaneously. The results showed that the therapeutic effects and skin disorder can be assessed by using Φ ss. Furthermore, it is likely that a proper choice of drug and dose can be made by using Φ ss in EGFR-TKI therapy.