Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease on patients with aortic aneurysms: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Taiwan.

OBJECTIVES: Aortic aneurysm (AA) is a leading cause of death worldwide. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a risk factor for AA, and the prognoses of COPD patients with AA who underwent/did not undergo an operation warrant investigation.
DESIGN: A nationwide retrospective cohort study.
SETTING: We included patients with AA older than 18 years who received their first AA diagnosis between 2005 and 2011 in Taiwan. PARTICIPANTS: This study enrolled 3263 COPD patients with AA before propensity score matching and 2127 COPD patients with AA after propensity score matching. OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcomes were all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation for AA or operation. The outcomes of COPD patients with AA and COPD patients without AA during an 8-year follow-up period were examined using Cox proportional hazards models.
RESULTS: In the AA population, patients with COPD showed higher rates of mortality and rehospitalisation than patients without COPD with adjusted HRs of 1.12 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.22) and 1.11 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.23), respectively, after propensity score matching. Analysis of the patients who underwent an operation revealed that the rates of mortality of COPD and non-COPD patients were not significantly different. In contrast, among the patients who did not receive an operation, patients with COPD showed a higher mortality rate than patients without COPD with an adjusted HR of 1.11 (95% CI 1.0 to 1.22).
CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes of COPD patients with AA undergoing an operation were improved, but the mortality rate of non-COPD patients with AA remained high. An effective treatment to reduce mortality in this group warrants further investigation. © Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

This study is a nationwide cohort study that enrolled most aortic aneurysm (AA) patients with long-term follow-up over a period of 8 years.

We used propensity score matching to reduce selection bias in patients with AA by balancing covariates between patients with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

This is a comprehensive national study with a large population that intended to be representative of AA patients with and without COPD in a clinical setting.

The study relies on diagnosed COPD; however, according to a previous study, a large proportion of cases might be missed.

Some details regarding COPD and AA, such as lung function, aneurysm size and the presence of a dissection/rupture, might impact mortality; however, these were not assessed in our analyses.

Introduction

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an obstructive airway disease that is not fully reversible by medication. In fact, COPD is a systemic disease that shares smoking as a common risk factor for inducing aortic aneurysms (AAs); additionally, COPD has been shown to be an independent risk factor for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).1 AAs include those of the abdominal aorta (AAA), thoracic aorta (TAA) and thoracoabdominal aorta (TAAA) and are associated with high mortality, particularly following rupture.2–4

Previous studies have focused on the prognosis of patients with COPD undergoing operation for AAA5 or have compared the outcomes of COPD patients with AAA undergoing open or endovascular repair.6 However, these studies only considered the effect of COPD in AAA patients who underwent an operation, and some studies were performed more than 10 years ago. In addition, patients with AA may receive either surgical or medical treatment, but few studies have addressed the effect of COPD on patients with AA who receive medication. A previous study among AAA patients found that the risk of death was significantly greater in the presence of COPD.7 Another study showed that severe COPD, for which patients were dependent on home oxygen, was not a contraindication to AAA repair and that the mortality of these patients did not increase.8 Unfortunately, generalisation of these observational studies was limited by their small sample sizes, short follow-up periods, lack of medical records and conflicting results. Moreover, improvements in intraoperative and postoperative care for vascular operation have resulted in significant reductions in morbidity and mortality that might affect the outcomes of AA in patients with COPD. These factors justify further investigation.

To investigate the outcomes (all-cause mortality, rehospitalisation for AA and operation) of AA patients (including AAA, TAAA and AAA) with COPD, we used data from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) for patients receiving either surgical or medical treatment. The aim of our study was to analyse the association between aortic aneurysm and COPD regardless of the risk factors of aortic aneurysm. The main outcomes were all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation for AA or operation. The hypothesis was that COPD has a large influence on the outcome of AAs.

Materials and methods

Study design

This was a population-based, observational study using information from the NHIRD in Taiwan. Data regarding hospital visits, emergency care and prescriptions were provided by the National Health Insurance Research Institutes. The diagnosis of AA in the NHIRD has previously been described.9 This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital (KMUH-IRB-EXEMPT-20130199).

Participants

We included patients from the NHIRD aged ≥18 years who presented with a first-time diagnosis of AA (International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) 441.1–441.9) between 2005 and 2011. The date of the first ambulatory visit or inpatient hospitalisation at which AA was diagnosed was designated the index date. We excluded patients who died at first presentation and those who had fewer than 30 days of follow-up after discharge.

Participants included as cases were required to have a diagnosis of COPD (ICD-9: 490–492, 496) before the index date and treated using COPD medications including the following: long-acting inhaled anticholinergics, long-acting inhaled β2-adrenergic receptor agonists, inhaled corticosteroids, short-acting anticholinergics, short-acting β2-agonists or xanthines. Patients were excluded if COPD was diagnosed or medications for COPD were prescribed after the index date.

The control group was selected from the group of patients with AA who had no comorbid diagnosis of COPD. To decrease selection bias due to baseline differences, we also conducted propensity score matching (PSM) at a 1:1 ratio by age group, demographic characteristics, comorbidities and comedications. The patients in this study were followed until readmission or operation for AA, death, withdrawal from the national health insurance or 31 December 2012, whichever was soonest.

Variables

All patients were divided into the TAA (ICD-9 codes 441.1–441.2), AAA (ICD-9 codes 441.3–441.4) and TAAA (ICD-9 codes 441.6–441.7) groups according to the diagnosis site at the index date. We also identified whether patients underwent operation and, if so, whether the operation involved open or endovascular repair.

Patient comorbidities were identified by the diagnostic code as inpatient or outpatient diagnoses within 180 days of the index date. The following comorbidities were included in the assessment: hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidaemia, congestive heart failure (CHF), atrial fibrillation, valvular heart disease (VHD), peripheral artery disease (PAD), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke (ischaemic and haemorrhagic), malignancy, chronic kidney disease (CKD), thyroid disease, liver disease, gout, peptic ulcer disease and sleep apnoea. The drugs prescribed within 180 days of the index date were also identified. The following medications were also included as variables: ACE inhibitors (ACEIs), angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), beta-blockers (BBs), calcium channel blockers (CCBs), diuretics, alpha-blockers, statins, fibrates, antiplatelet drugs and oral antidiabetic agents (OADs).

We also described the demographic characteristics of patients with AA by the presence or absence of a COPD diagnosis. Potential confounders included gender, age group (<50, 50–59, 60–69, 70–79 and over 80 years), urbanisation (urban or rural), income group and smoking status. The income groups were defined as low (NT$42 000) according to the individual monthly gross income during a 1-month period before the index date.

Because no information was available regarding smoking status, we used the mean percentage of city/county smoking rates available from the National Health Interview Survey (2005–2011). All subjects in this survey were randomly sampled and selected from different cities and counties to be interviewed by trained interviewers.10 Although this smoking rate is not a direct measure of the rate for patients in this database, it can be considered to reflect the likely rates of smoking and passive smoking (stratified by age, gender and living area) if we assume a normally distributed cohort that reflects the broader population.

Outcome

The main outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation for AA or operation. Moreover, all-cause mortality was confirmed by withdrawal from National Health Insurance (NHI) within 1 month of a major medical event.11 We considered rehospitalisation to be the time when patients were admitted with AA-related events (ICD-9 codes 441.1–441.9) as the principal or secondary diagnosis after discharge from the index event. Operation was stratified by whether patients underwent an operation at the time of the index event. Then, the patients who underwent an operation for AA at the index event and were rehospitalised for operation more than 30 days after discharge were classified as undergoing a repeat operation. Patients who did not undergo operation at the index event and who were rehospitalised more than 30 days after discharge were classified into the operation group. Furthermore, patients who received an operation less than 30 days after discharge at the index event were classified into the operation group at the index event.

Statistics

All data are expressed as frequencies (percentages). Categorical and continuous variables were compared between the patients with and without COPD using χ2 tests and Student’s t-tests, as appropriate. The outcomes of the patients with and without COPD during an 8-year follow-up period were examined by Cox proportional hazards models.

Simple and multiple analyses (including age group, comorbidities, comedications and demographic characteristics) were used to assess the risk of outcome by the presence or absence of COPD during follow-up. We used PSM for patients in the COPD and non-COPD groups. Because the outcomes might have been influenced by the presence of disease (diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia and hypertension) or medication (OAD, statins, fibrates and antihypertensives), we examined these in a multiple model. The difference in the cumulative probability of mortality between the patients with and without COPD was calculated using Kaplan-Meier estimates with the log-rank test; we also divided patients by operation type and site of diagnosis for these analyses.

To assess the robustness of the outcomes, a subgroup analysis was performed, and the subgroups were defined by age (≥70 and<70 years), AA site (TAA, AAA and TAAA), high risk (hypertension, dyslipidaemia, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, stroke and CKD), concomitant drug use (ACEIs, BBs, CCBs, statins and antiplatelet agents) and type of operation. The analyses and calculations were performed using SAS V.9.4. Statistical significance was inferred at a two-sided p value <0.05.

Results

Descriptive data

We identified 6 117 patients with AA, and 3263 of these patients also had COPD. After PSM, 2127 patients with COPD were eligible for enrolment in the study. Figure 1 shows the study flow diagram for AA patients with and without COPD.

Figure 1

Study flow diagram. COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Table 1 summarises the characteristics of patients with AA. Before matching, one-third of the patients with AA were aged 70–80 years. A notable male preponderance was detected in the patients with and without COPD.

Table 1

Characteristics of patients with aortic aneurysms in Taiwan

Variable	Non-COPD (n=2854)	COPD (n=3263)		PS matching Non-COPD (n=2127)	PS matching COPD (n=2127)
	No (%)	No (%)	p	No (%)		p
Age group (year)			<0.001			0.436
<50	273 (9.6)	61 (1.9)		64 (3.0)	61 (2.9)
50–60	356 (12.5)	113 (3.5)		134 (6.4)	112 (5.3)
60–70	508 (17.8)	388 (11.9)		327 (15.4)	354 (16.6)
70–80	932 (32.6)	1183 (36.2)		837 (39.4)	853 (40.1)
>80	785 (27.5)	1515 (46.5)		763 (35.9)	747 (35.1)
Gender			<0.001			0.971
Female	745 (26.1)	631 (19.3)		509 (23.9)	508 (23.9)
Male	2109 (73.9)	2632 (80.7)		1618 (76.1)	1648 (76.1)
Urbanicity			<0.001			0.733
Urban	724 (25.4)	1011 (31.0)		592 (27.8)	602 (28.3)
Rural	2130 (74.6)	2252 (69.0)		1535 (72.2)	1525 (71.7)
Income (NT)			<0.001			0.831
Low (<24 000)	2564 (89.8)	3136 (96.1)		2002 (94.1)	2011 (94.6)
Middle (24 000–42 000)	149 (5.2)	74 (2.3)		71 (3.3)	65 (3.1)
High (>42 000)	141 (5.0)	53 (1.6)		54 (2.5)	51 (2.4)
Aortic aneurysm site			<0.001			0.918
TAA	965 (33.8)	1018 (31.2)		664 (31.2)	662 (31.1)
AAA	1689 (59.2)	2089 (64.0)		1355 (63.7)	1351 (63.5)
TAAA	200 (7.0)	156 (4.8)		108 (5.1)	114 (5.4)
Operation	1181 (41.4)	1018 (31.2)	<0.001	823 (38.7)	753 (35.4)	0.026
Open repair	689 (58.3)	455 (44.7)		425 (51.6)	340 (45.2)
Endovascular repair	492 (41.7)	563 (55.3)		399 (48.4)	413 (54.7)
Smoking rate	26.3 (±13.4)	28.6 (±12.3)	<0.001	27.0 (±13.1)	27.0 (±13.1)	0.921
Comorbidities
Diabetes	414 (14.5)	450 (13.8)	0.423	310 (14.6)	307 (14.4)	0.896
Hypertension	2766 (96.9)	3138 (96.2)	0.112	2055 (96.6)	2051 (96.4)	0.738
Dyslipidaemia	944 (33.1)	1032 (31.6)	0.227	727 (34.2)	725 (34.1)	0.948
CHF	561 (19.7)	1019 (31.2)	<0.001	488 (22.9)	482 (22.7)	0.826
Atrial fibrillation	230 (8.1)	384 (11.8)	<0.001	196 (9.2)	189 (8.9)	0.708
VHD	594 (20.8)	556 (17.0)	<0.001	377 (17.7)	368 (17.3)	0.717
PAD	152 (5.3)	222 (6.8)	0.016	128 (6.0)	139 (6.5)	0.487
CAD	1135 (39.8)	1685 (51.6)	<0.001	965 (45.4)	974 (45.8)	0.782
Stroke	736 (25.8)	1127 (34.5)	<0.001	642 (30.2)	646 (30.4)	0.894
Malignance	479 (16.8)	645 (19.8)	0.003	402 (18.9)	407 (19.6)	0.560
CKD	453 (15.9)	597 (18.7)	0.012	374 (17.6)	378 (17.8)	0.872
Thyroid disease	87 (3.1)	97 (3.0)	0.863	59 (2.8)	64 (3.0)	0.647
Liver disease	343 (12.0)	441 (13.5)	0.081	267 (12.6)	254 (11.9)	0.543
Sleep apnoea	317 (11.1)	533 (16.3)	<0.001	271 (12.7)	268 (12.6)	0.890
Peptic ulcer disease	257 (9.0)	361 (11.1)	0.007	215 (10.1)	218 (10.3)	0.879
Gout	520 (18.2)	628 (19.5)	0.305	414 (19.5)	411 (19.3)	0.974
Prescribed drugs
ACEI	691 (24.2)	857 (26.3)	0.066	521 (24.5)	507 (23.8)	0.616
ARB	948 (33.2)	1058 (32.4)	0.510	695 (32.7)	679 (31.9)	0.600
BB	1737 (60.9)	1583 (48.5)	<0.001	1174 (55.2)	1178 (55.4)	0.902
CCB	2187 (76.6)	2419 (74.13)	0.024	1607 (75.4)	1616 (76.7)	0.747
Diuretics	1874 (65.7)	2158 (66.1)	0.697	1371 (64.5)	1388 (65.3)	0.585
Alpha-blocker	457 (16.0)	541 (16.6)	0.549	344 (16.2)	346 (16.2)	0.934
Statin	480 (16.8)	535 (16.4)	0.658	373 (17.5)	378 (17.8)	0.841
Fibrate drugs	68 (2.4)	61 (1.9)	0.163	41 (1.9)	42 (1.9)	0.912
Antiplatelet drugs	1349 (47.3)	1742 (53.4)	<0.001	1083 (50.9)	1084 (50.9)	0.976
OAD	236 (8.3)	293 (8.9)	0.324	192 (9.0)	186 (8.7)	0.747

AAA, abdominal aortic aneurysm; ACEI, ACE inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; BB, beta-blocker; CAD, coronary artery disease; CCB, calcium channel blocker; CHF, congestive heart failure; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; OAD, oral antidiabetic agent; PAD, peripheral artery disease; PS, propensity score; TAA, thoracic aortic aneurysm; TAAA, thoracoabdominal aneurysm; VHD, valvular heart disease.

In both groups, AAA was the most common type of AA, followed by TAA and TAAA. Most patients without COPD (58%) received open repair, whereas most patients with COPD (55%) underwent endovascular repair. The most common comorbidity was hypertension, which was present in more than 96% of patients. The two most common medications administered to the patients with and without COPD were CCBs and diuretics, respectively.

Outcomes based on the operation and non-operation groups

As shown in table 2, among the patients with AA who received an operation, there were no significant differences in all-cause mortality between the patients with and without COPD. Among the non-operation group, the all-cause mortality was higher in patients with COPD compared with patients without COPD both before and after PSM, with respective adjusted HRs of 1.233 (95% CI 1.130 to 1.344) and 1.105 (95% CI 1.004 to 1.216). The reoperation rate for AA was higher in the patients without COPD than in the patients with COPD with an adjusted HR of 3.134 (95% CI 1.394 to 7.043) after PSM.

Table 2

Outcome of aortic aneurysms stratified by the presence or absence of COPD

Outcome	No. of person-year	Events after discharge		Cox regression unadjusted HR	p	Cox regression adjusted HR*	p
		COPD (n=3263)	Non-COPD (n=2854)					PS matching Cox regression Adjusted HR*	p
Total population
All-cause mortality	15 403	1795/3263 (55.0)	1198/2854 (41.9)	1.503 (1.397–1.617)	<0.001	1.104 (1.022–1.192)	0.012	1.118 (1.028–1.217)	0.009
AA rehospitalisation	11 958	1159/3263 (35.5)	941/2854 (33.0)	1.241 (1.138–1.353)	<0.001	1.100 (1.004–1.206)	0.042	1.114 (1.007–1.232)	0.036
Operation (operation and reoperation)	8262	384/3263 (11.8)	367/2854 (12.9)	0.897 (0.777–1.036)	0.897	0.909 (0.779–1.061)	0.227	0.972 (0.822–1.149)	0.738
Operation
All-cause mortality	6104	324/1018 (31.8)	308/1181 (26.1)	1.373 (1.174–1.605)	<0.001	1.092 (0.925–1.288)	0.299	0.985 (0.819–1.185)	0.873
AA rehospitalisation	5286	252/1018 (24.8)	238/1181 (20.2)	1.376 (1.152–1.643)	<0.001	1.242 (1.031–1.496)	0.022	1.172 (0.950–1.446)	0.138
Reoperation	188	38/1018 (3.7)	68/1181 (5.8)	1.182 (0.789–1.772)	0.417	1.214 (0.665–2.218)	0.527	3.134 (1.394–7.043)	0.006
Non-operation
All-cause mortality	9299	1471/2245 (65.5)	890/1673 (53.2)	1.401 (1.289–1.523)	<0.001	1.233 (1.130–1.344)	<0.001	1.105 (1.004–1.216)	0.042
AA rehospitalisation	6672	907/2245 (40.4)	703/1673 (42.0)	1.085 (0.983–1.198)	0.106	1.070 (0.966–1.186)	0.963	1.022 (0.910–1.148)	0.713
Operation	8074	346/2245 (15.4)	299/1673 (17.8)	0.971 (0.831–1.134)	0.971	0.980 (0.829–1.158)	0.808	1.045 (0.872–1.252)	0.633

*Adjusted for age, gender, geographical region, comorbidity and prescribed drugs.

AA, aortic aneurysm; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PS, propensity score.

Outcome of AAs by the presence or absence of COPD

As shown in table 2, an analysis of the total population revealed that patients with COPD presented a higher all-cause mortality than patients without COPD. The AA rehospitalisation rate of the patients with COPD was also higher than that of the patients without COPD, with respective adjusted HRs before and after PSM of 1.100 (95% CI 1.004 to 1.206) and 1.114 (95% CI 1.007 to 1.2327). Among the total population, no significance difference in the number of patients who underwent an operation was found between the patients with and without COPD.

Other factors affecting outcomes

Table 3 shows the HRs and 95% CI for all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation before and after PSM.

Table 3

HRs for all-cause mortality and rehospitalisation in patients with aortic aneurysms

Variable	All-cause mortality				AA rehospitalisation
	No matching		PS matching		No matching		PS matching
	HR	p	HR	p	HR	p	HR	p
COPD	1.104 (1.022–1.192)	0.012	1.118 (1.028–1.217)	0.009	1.100 (1.004–1.206)	0.042	1.114 (1.007–1.232)	0.036
Age group (year)
<50	1		1		1
50–60	0.981 (0.582–1.652)	0.943	0.825 (0.340–2.002)	0.671	1.160 (0.772–1.743)	0.475	1.033 (0.907–1.177)	0.623
60–70	0.873 (0.564–1.350)	0.542	0.798 (0.389–1.637)	0.538	0.866 (0.605–1.239)	0.430	0.920 (0.465–1.820)	0.811
70–80	1.435 (0.963–2.139)	0.076	1.256 (0.642–2.460)	0.506	1.057 (0.752–1.485)	0.751	0.586 (0.326–1.052)	0.074
>80	3.392 (2.306–4.989)	<0.001	2.970 (1.533–5.755)	0.001	1.374 (0.988–1.912)	0.059	0.760 (0.438–1.319)	0.330
Gender
Female	1		1		1
Male	0.798 (0.579–1.099)	0.167	0.73 (0.502–1.062)	0.099	0.806 (0.553–1.175)	0.263	0.992 (0.638–1.542)	0.970
Urbanicity
Urban	1		1		1
Rural	0.969 (0.896–1.049)	0.441	1.006 (0.914–1.107)	0.902	0.984 (0.894–1.083)	0.741	0.995 (0.887–1.116)	0.931
Income (NT)
Low (<24 000)	1		1		1
Middle   (24 000–42 000)	0.671 (0.488–0.923)	0.014	0.603 (0.389–0.936)	0.024	0.893 (0.686–1.163)	0.402	0.711 (0.496–0.019)	0.063
High (>42 000)	0.558 (0.389–0.801)	0.002	0.525 (0.336–0.821)	0.005	0.792 (0.591–1.063)	0.121	0.787 (0.55–1.127)	0.191
Aortic aneurysm site
TAA	1		1		1		1
AAA	0.876 (0.805–0.954)	0.002	0.870 (0.785–0.964)	0.008	1.235 (1.110–1.373)	<0.001	1.418 (1.248–1.611)	<0.001
TAAA	1.312 (1.122–1.535)	<0.001	1.385 (1.157–1.657)	<0.001	1.294 (1.064–1.573)	0.010	1.66 (1.325–2.081)	<0.001
Smoking rate	1.005 (0.995–1.016)	0.322	1.008 (0.995–1.020)	0.222	1.009 (0.997–1.021)	0.141	0.999 (0.985–1.014)	0.910
Comorbidities
Diabetes	1.142 (0.992–1.314)	0.064	1.169 (0.993–1.377)	0.061	0.960 (0.801–1.151)	0.662	0.976 (0.794–1.201)	0.821
Hypertension	0.937 (0.764–1.148)	0.529	0.894 (0.702–1.138)	0.362	0.866 (0.678–1.107)	0.250	0.863 (0.644–1.157)	0.325
Dyslipidaemia	0.686 (0.612–0.768)	<0.001	0.675 (0.591–0.770)	<0.001	0.938 (0.827–1.064)	0.320	0.913 (0.79–1.055)	0.218
CHF	1.434 (1.316–1.563)	<0.001	1.406 (1.268–1.558)	<0.001	0.976 (0.874–1.090)	0.666	0.955 (0.555–1.644)	0.868
Atrial fibrillation	1.304 (1.166–1.457)	<0.001	1.320 (1.149–1.517)	<0.001	1.053 (0.906–1.225)	0.500	1.017 (0.843–1.226)	0.863
VHD	0.801 (0.720–0.891)	<0.001	0.801 (0.707–0.908)	<0.001	0.967 (0.854–1.095)	0.601	0.935 (0.808–1.081)	0.363
PAD	1.092 (0.944–1.264)	0.237	1.030 (0.863–1.229)	0.745	1.061 (0.893–1.261)	0.501	1.065 (0.869–1.306)	0.543
CAD	0.920 (0.851–0.994)	0.035	0.954 (0.870–1.045)	0.310	1.124 (1.022–1.235)	0.016	1.201 (1.077–1.34)	0.001
Stroke	1.344 (1.245–1.451)	<0.001	1.347 (1.229–1.475)	<0.001	1.016 (0.922–1.119)	0.746	1.004 (0.895–1.126)	0.948
Malignance	1.538 (1.411–1.675)	<0.001	1.557 (1.408–1.721)	<0.001	0.978 (0.869–1.100)	0.709	0.961 (0.836–1.103)	0.570
CKD	1.732 (1.585–1.894)	<0.001	1.788 (1.610–1.986)	<0.001	1.309 (1.168–1.468)	<0.001	1.327 (1.161–1.516)	<0.001
Thyroid disease	0.861 (0.696–1.064)	0.166	0.807 (0.625–1.042)	0.100	1.060 (0.828–1.357)	0.642	1.134 (0.85–1.513)	0.392
Liver disease	1.037 (0.932–1.154)	0.503	1.054 (0.928–1.196)	0.422	1.010 (0.888–1.148)	0.884	1.016 (0.874–1.181)	0.839
Sleep apnoea	0.927 (0.836–1.027	0.145	0.921 (0.810–1.047)	0.210	1.079 (0.956–1.217)	0.217	1.073 (0.927–1.242)	0.348
Peptic ulcer	1.233 (1.106–1.375)	<0.001	1.149 (1.009–1.310)	0.037	1.132 (0.985–1.302)	0.081	1.118 (0.95–1.317)	0.180
Gout	1.011 (0.921–1.111	0.816	1.002 (0.898–1.119)	0.965	0.992 (0.887–1.109)	0.883	0.973 (0.854–1.109)	0.685
Prescribed drugs
ACEI	1.171 (1.077–1.273)	<0.001	1.170 (1.058–1.293)	0.002	1.109 (1.002–1.227)	0.045	1.082 (0.958–1.222)	0.204
ARB	0.893 (0.822–0.971)	0.007	0.846 (0.766–0.934)	<0.001	1.055 (0.958–1.162)	0.275	1.016 (0.906–1.139)	0.786
BB	0.875 (0.808–0.948)	0.011	0.852 (0.776–0.937)	<0.001	1.103 (1.003–1.214)	0.044	1.100 (0.982–1.231)	0.099
CCB	0.812 (0.742–0.889)	<0.001	0.832 (0.748–0.926)	<0.001	0.999 (0.892–1.118)	0.980	0.975 (0.854–1.112)	0.704
Diuretics	1.372 (1.259–1.495)	<0.001	1.358 (1.229–1.501)	<0.001	0.916 (0.830–1.011)	0.082	0.856 (0.764–0.96)	0.008
Alpha-blocker	0.924 (0.836–1.022)	0.125	0.928 (0.824–1.045)	0.220	1.112 (0.990–1.249)	0.074	1.173 (1.023–1.345)	0.022
Statin	1.098 (0.952–1.267)	0.200	1.112 (0.941–1.315)	0.212	1.099 (0.942–1.282)	0.230	1.039 (0.868–1.242)	0.679
Fibrate drugs	1.095 (0.822–1.459)	0.536	1.018 (0.714–1.451)	0.923	0.919 (0.669–1.261)	0.599	0.840 (0.568–1.242)	0.382
Antiplatelet drugs	1.224 (1.085–1.381)	0.001	1.058 (0.961–1.165)	0.249	1.114 (1.010–1.228)	0.031	1.092 (0.973–1.225)	0.135
OAD	1.106 (1.020–1.200)	0.015	1.135 (0.986–1.307)	0.077	1.001 (0.862–1.162)	0.993	0.996 (0.839–1.183)	0.966

AAA, abdominal aortic aneurysm; ACEI, ACE inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; BB, beta-blocker; CAD, coronary artery disease; CCB, calcium channel blocker; CHF, congestive heart failure; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; OAD, oral antidiabetic agent; PAD, peripheral artery disease; PS. propensity score; TAA, thoracic aortic aneurysm; TAAA, thoracoabdominal aneurysm; VHD, valvular heart disease.

As shown in table 3, COPD and age ≥80 years were associated with higher mortality rates after PSM with respective HRs of 1.118 (95% CI 1.028 to 1.217) and 2.970 (95% CI 1.533 to 5.755). In addition, AAA and TAAA were associated with a higher risk of rehospitalisation than TAA after PSM, and AAA was also associated with a lower risk of mortality than TAAA.

Other comorbidities associated with a higher risk of mortality after PSM included diabetes, dyslipidaemia, CHF, atrial fibrillation, VHD, stroke, malignancy, CKD and peptic ulcer disease. Among the patients with multiple comorbidities, only CAD and CKD were associated with a significantly higher risk of rehospitalisation.

Medications that showed an apparent protective effect on mortality after PSM were ARBs, BBs and CCBs. Patients prescribed CCBs had a lower risk of rehospitalisation, and those prescribed α blockers presented a higher risk of rehospitalisation. After PSM, AA patients had a lower risk of mortality if they were receiving ARBs than if they were receiving ACEIs, with HRs of 0.846 (95% CI 0.766 to 0.934) and 1.170 (95% CI 1.058 to 1.293). However, there was no significant difference in the rehospitalisation rates between patients receiving ACEIs and those receiving ARBs after PSM.

Mortality analysis in patients with AA and COPD

Table 4 shows the results of a subgroup analysis for mortality in patients with AA defined by the presence or absence of COPD. AA patients with COPD had higher mortality rates than those without COPD. Patients ≥70 years of age (HR 1.117, 95% CI 1.021 to 1.223) or with TAA (HR 1.262 95% CI 1.075 to 1.482) also showed higher risks of mortality. The HR for mortality in the patients with AA, COPD and hypertension was also significant (HR 1.111, 95% CI 1.019 to 1.211). Other comorbidities, including diabetes, dyslipidaemia, atrial fibrillation, stroke and CKD, were not associated with increased risks of mortality in AA patients with COPD. There was also no significant difference in the mortality rates between the operation procedures for patients with COPD and AA.

Table 4

Subgroup analysis for all-cause mortality in patients with aortic aneurysms and COPD

Variable	COPD
	No matching		PS matching
	HR	p	HR	p
COPD	1.104 (1.022–1.192)	0.012	1.118 (1.028–1.217)	0.009
Age group (year)
<70	1.161 (0.933–1.444)	0.181	1.184 (0.926–1.514)	0.179
≥70	1.103 (1.016–1.198)	0.020	1.117 (1.021–1.223)	0.016
Aortic aneurysm site
TAA	1.205 (1.042–1.392)	0.012	1.262 (1.075–1.482)	0.004
AAA	1.048 (0.952–1.154)	0.340	1.055 (0.949–1.173)	0.318
TAAA	1.074 (0.775–1.488)	0.670	0.986 (0.687–1.414)	0.939
Comorbidities
Diabetes (yes)	0.911 (0.711–1.166)	0.458	0.826 (0.624–1.093)	0.181
Diabetes (no)	1.137 (1.048–1.234)	0.002	1.164 (1.064–1.272)	<0.001
Hypertension (yes)	1.103 (1.020–1.193)	0.014	1.111 (1.019–1.211)	0.017
Hypertension (no)	1.467 (0.923–2.331)	0.105	1.173 (0.710–1.939)	0.532
Dyslipidaemia (yes)	1.100 (0.949–1.275)	0.206	1.141 (0.969–1.344)	0.113
Dyslipidaemia (no)	1.105 (1.009–1.210)	0.031	1.116 (1.011–1.233)	0.030
Atrial fibrillation (yes)	1.141 (0.900–1.446)	0.276	1.182 (0.902–1.548)	0.226
Atrial fibrillation (no)	1.099 (1.012–1.193)	0.024	1.111 (1.016–1.216)	0.022
Stroke (yes)	1.085 (0.954–1.234)	0.212	1.089 (0.942–1.259)	0.248
Stroke (no)	1.118 (1.014–1.231)	0.025	1.140 (1.026–1.267)	0.015
CKD (yes)	1.021 (0.869–1.199)	0.805	0.998 (0.834–1.194)	0.982
CKD (no)	1.131 (1.036–1.235)	0.006	1.153 (1.046–1.270)	0.004
Prescribed drugs
ACEI (yes)	1.199 (1.032–1.393)	0.018	1.198 (1.017–1.412)	0.030
ACEI (no)	1.068 (0.976–1.169)	0.151	1.087 (0.984–1.200)	0.099
BB (yes)	1.130 (1.015–1.259)	0.025	1.167 (1.030–1.323)	0.015
BB (no)	1.080 (0.965–1.207)	0.179	1.080 (0.961–1.214)	0.194
CCB (yes)	1.133 (1.034–1.241)	0.007	1.141 (1.032–1.261)	0.009
CCB (no)	1.005 (0.868–1.165)	0.945	1.034 (0.879–1.217)	0.684
Statin (yes)	1.114 (0.904–1.373)	0.313	1.140 (0.904–1.438)	0.2681
Statin (no)	1.103 (1.015–1.199)	0.021	1.117 (1.019–1.223)	0.018
Antiplatelet drugs (yes)	1.080 (0.971–1.202)	0.156	1.082 (0.960–1.219)	0.196
Antiplatelet drugs (no)	1.132 (1.012–1.267)	0.029	1.163 (1.030–1.312)	0.015
Operation type
Open repair (yes)	1.069 (0.855–1.338)	0.558	1.009 (0.830–1.226)	0.930
Endovascular repair (yes)	0.911 (0.705–1.179)	0.479	1.029 (0.793–1.334)	0.832

AAA, abdominal aortic aneurysm; ACEI, ACE inhibitor; BB, beta-blocker; CCB, calcium channel blocker; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PS, propensity score; TAA, thoracic aortic aneurysm; TAAA, thoracoabdominal aneurysm.

Figure 2 shows the cumulative risk of AA mortality in patients with and without COPD and is stratified by patients who underwent an operation and by the AA site. Analysis of the patients with TAAA who underwent an operation showed no significant difference in mortality between the patients with and without COPD (p=0.6516). However, for all other subgroups of patients with AA, there were significant differences in mortality based on the presence or absence of COPD.

Figure 2

Cumulative risk of all-cause mortality between the patients with and without COPD. (A) Operation and TAA, (B) operation and AAA, (C) operation and TAAA, (D) non-operation and TAA, (E) non-operation and AAA and (F) non-operation and TAAA. AAA, abdominal aortic aneurysm; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; TAA, thoracic aortic aneurysm; TAAA, thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm.

Discussion

This nationwide population-based study showed that AA patients with COPD had a higher risk of all-cause death and rehospitalisation than those without COPD. Analysis of the patients with AA who underwent an operation showed that those with COPD had the greatest risk of reoperation for AAs. However, no differences in mortality in AA patients with COPD were found among the different procedures for AA.

Prognosis of AA patients with COPD

A previous study showed that the increased prevalence of COPD in patients with AAA was independent of smoking.1 Other studies have found that COPD is associated with a high prevalence of AAA with rates ranging from 7.7% to 9.9% and that the prevalence is increased in severe emphysema and in cases with a decreased forced expiratory volume/vital capacity ratio.12 13 The aneurysm rupture rates have also been shown to correlate with COPD risk factors, initial aneurysm size and diastolic hypertension,14 but surgeons are hesitant to repair AAAs electively because of the associated high morbidity and mortality.15 Through a database review of 1053 patients undergoing surgery for intact or ruptured AAAs in a hospital between 1997 and 1998, Axelrod et al 5 showed that mortality was not higher in patients with COPD compared with patients without COPD. Notably, these researchers also showed that patients with COPD required longer hospital stays, longer intensive care unit stays and more days of ventilation. However, their study was performed more than 15 years ago and only focused on patients with AAA who underwent operations. Axelrod et al 5 did not find an increased risk in patients undergoing surgery, which might be due to adequate patient selection in an era of open repair.

Our study included patients with a first-time AA diagnosis between 2005 and 2011 and who were followed to 31 December 2012. The final cohort of patients with AA comprised 2854 controls without COPD and 3263 cases with COPD, and these were further divided into those who did and did not undergo operation. Our study indicated that AA patients with COPD had a higher rate of rehospitalisation and higher mortality compared with patients without COPD. In patients undergoing operation for AAs, we found that the mortality and rehospitalisation rates were not significantly different between those with and without COPD, although the reoperation rate was higher in those with COPD. Among those not undergoing operation for AA, the all-cause mortality rate was also higher among patients with COPD than those without COPD.

Surgical procedure and mortality in patients with COPD and AA

Compton et al 16 retrospectively reviewed 44 patients with oxygen-dependent COPD undergoing AAA repair; of these, 24 underwent endovascular aneurysm repair and 20 underwent open procedures. These researchers showed that the type of repair, comorbidities and lung function test results did not significantly affect survival. Many other studies have also shown that endovascular AAA repair offers long-term survival similar to open AAA repair in patients with COPD.17–19 Qureshi et al 20 performed a prospective study of high-risk patients undergoing endovascular repair of AAAs or TAAAs between 1998 and 2009 and showed that mortality was no different between patients with and without COPD when endovascular techniques were used. In our study comparing all types of AA in patients with and without COPD, we found no significant difference in mortality rates for either procedure between the two groups.

Patient characteristics

In our study, patients with COPD had higher rates of AA than those without COPD. Most patients with AA were males regardless of whether they had COPD. The most common comorbidities in AA patients with COPD were hypertension, CAD, stroke, dyslipidaemia and CHF. These results are similar to those reported by Flessenkaemper et al,21 who suggested that risk factors such as male gender and CAD could be used to increase the efficiency of screening for AAA. We suggest that other risk factors, such as hypertension, stroke, dyslipidaemia and CHF, might be useful in future screening for AA in patients with COPD.

A survey of 231 patients with COPD by Ando et al 22 reported that only 27 (11.7%) had AA and 20 (8.7%) had AAA. This finding contrasts with the results of our nationwide study, in which 2089 (64%) patients with AAA also had comorbid COPD. To the best of our knowledge, with the exception of two studies with conflicting results,23 24 there have been no major reports on the prevalence or incidence of AA in the Asian population. Poon et al 25 reported that the prevalence of AAA in Chinese patients was low and that their results did not support routine screening for AAA; however, another study showed that AAA was not uncommon and had a comparable incidence with that in the West.24 To clarify these issues, a study that includes more Asian countries and a larger population is needed.

Prescription patterns

Medical management is important in the control of AAs, with the main goal of therapy being to decrease shear stress by reducing blood pressure and contractility.26 In a small retrospective study, BBs were shown to effectively decrease AAA growth.27 In another study, prophylactic BBs were found to be associated with a slowing in the rate of aortic dilatation.28 Indeed, BBs can reduce left ventricular contractility and reduce shear stress in the aorta. However, a prospective randomised double-blind study showed that patients with AAA do not tolerate BBs and that these medications have no significant effect on the growth rates of small AAAs.29

In our study, before PSM, the most common medications for AA were CCBs, followed by diuretics and BBs. Although the prescribing rates of BBs were associated with significant differences between the patients with and without COPD, this difference did not persist after PSM. BBs are often prescribed for AA, but physicians may be concerned about contraindications and may fear inducing adverse reactions or bronchospasm, particularly in patients with obstructive airway disease. In our analysis, BBs were well tolerated in patients with AA and COPD and had a clear protective effect on reducing mortality. This is consistent with their use being recommended. Notably, the safety of BBs has long been proven in patients with COPD, and there is a growing body of evidence from clinical trials showing that BBs should not be withheld in this patient group.30

ACEI and ARB in AA

In our analysis, ARBs, BBs, CCBs and diuretics, but not ACEIs, were associated with reduced mortality in patients with AA and COPD. In an animal model, AAs were associated with increased transforming growth factor-β signalling, and the ARB losartan has been shown to block transforming growth factor-β.31 Losartan can therefore prevent elastic fibre fragmentation and blunt transforming growth factor-β signalling in the aorta, thereby reducing the growth rates of AAs.32 However, ACEIs were shown to prevent aortic dissection and the apoptosis of vascular smooth muscle cells in another animal model33; Hackam et al reported that ACEIs were protective against aortic expansion and rupture, whereas ARBs did not protect against AAA rupture.34 Other experimental evidence shows that ACEIs increase collagen synthesis, improve plaque stabilisation and diminish aortic stiffness.35 To further complicate matters, in a prospective cohort study of 1701 patients in the UK, Sweeting et al 36 showed that aneurysm growth was faster in patients receiving ACEIs. This finding conflicts with previous research and observational data from Canada showing that ACEIs have protective benefits.35

Considering all the data, the inconsistent results regarding the efficacies of ARBs and ACEIs in reducing AA growth limit any meaningful conclusion. Undoubtedly, these problems result from differences in the models used, selection bias, unaccounted confounding factors and the multiple possible pathways of AA development.

A recently systematic review of the current data on pharmaceutical therapies for AAA showed that pharmaceutical therapies cannot halt AAA growth.37 Small AAA growth rates were lower than anticipated, and ACEI had no significant impact in reducing the small AAA growth rate.38

Limitations

This study has some important limitations. Our study relies on diagnosed COPD; however, according to a previous study,1 a large proportion of the cases might be missed. We did not have access to data on vital signs (ie, blood pressure and heart rate) or to imaging results (ie, we could not estimate the size or progression of AAs). We also did not include data on pulmonary function tests or the severity of COPD, and we were unable to find a clear relationship between the size of AA and the severity of COPD. However, we focused on all-cause mortality, rehospitalisation rates and reoperation rates and performed a subgroup analysis (operation vs non-operation) to reduce bias. This was also a large nationwide study of all registered patients with AA in Taiwan, which should allow generalisation to other COPD populations. Finally, we also performed PSM, which reduced the bias in estimating the treatment effects and reduced the likelihood of confounding data. We excluded patients who died within 30 days and individuals with a COPD diagnosis after the index date. Additionally, chronic conditions such as COPD and aneurysms might have been present at the time of inclusion.

Conclusions

Improvements in the preoperative and postoperative management of patients with COPD undergoing major operation have resulted in reduced mortality and morbidity rates. However, although we showed improvement in the safety and outcomes of patients with COPD undergoing AAA repair, we also showed that the overall mortality remains higher than that in patients without COPD. In addition, we also observed high mortality rates among patients with COPD who did not undergo operation. Further research is clearly needed to identify the most appropriate therapy for reducing mortality in patients with AA and COPD.