Supporting prescribing in older people with multimorbidity and significant polypharmacy in primary care (SPPiRE): a cluster randomised controlled trial protocol and pilot.

BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity, defined as the presence of at least two chronic conditions, becomes increasingly common in older people and is associated with poorer health outcomes and significant polypharmacy. The National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) recently published a multimorbidity guideline that advises providing an individualised medication review for all people prescribed 15 or more repeat medicines. This study incorporates this guideline and aims to assess the effectiveness of a complex intervention designed to support general practitioners (GPs) to reduce potentially inappropriate prescribing and consider deprescribing in older people with multimorbidity and significant polypharmacy in Irish primary care.
METHODS: This study is a cluster randomised controlled trial, involving 30 general practices and 450 patients throughout Ireland. Practices will be eligible to participate if they have at least 300 patients aged 65 years and over on their patient panel and if they use either one of the two predominant practice management software systems in use in Ireland. Using a software patient finder tool, practices will identify and recruit patients aged 65 years and over, who are prescribed at least 15 repeat medicines. Once baseline data collection is complete, practices will be randomised using minimisation by an independent third party to either intervention or control. Given the nature of the intervention, it is not possible to blind participants or study personnel. GPs in intervention practices will receive login details to a website where they will access training videos and a template for conducting an individualised structured medication review, which they will undertake with each of their included patients. Control practices will deliver usual care over the 6-month study period. Primary outcome measures pertain to the individual patient level and are the proportion of patients with any PIP and the number of repeat medicines. DISCUSSION: Disease-specific approaches in multimorbidity may be inappropriate and result in fragmented and poorly co-ordinated care. This pragmatic study is evaluating a complex intervention that is relevant across multiple conditions and addresses potential concerns around medicines safety in this vulnerable group of patients. The potential for system-wide implementation will be explored with a parallel mixed methods process evaluation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN: 12752680 , Registered 20 October 2016.

RCT Entities:   Population Interventions Outcomes

Background

Advances in public health and health care have led to increases in life expectancy and a resultant rising population of older people living with multiple long-term conditions or multimorbidity, now estimated to be at least 60% for those over 65 years [1]. There is a growing consensus that the current single disease model of healthcare, which arose out of specialisation, may not be appropriate when managing these patients and may result in fragmented care and significant treatment burden for patients [2, 3]. Providing optimal care for these patients is challenging, considering their heterogeneity and the lack of evidence for the effectiveness of many treatments, due to exclusion of these patients from randomised controlled trials [4]. A systematic review looking at interventions to improve outcomes in patients with multimorbidity concluded that targeting risk factors or specific functional difficulties may be most effective [5]. The recently published National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guideline, “Multimorbidity: assessment, prioritisation and management of care for people with commonly occurring multimorbidity” identifies the link between complex multimorbidity and polypharmacy and advises targeting patients who are prescribed ≥15 repeat medicines and providing a tailored or individualised structured medication review [6].

In line with rising levels of multimorbidity, the prevalence of significant polypharmacy is steadily rising. Recent longitudinal analysis indicates that approximately 5% of Irish people aged over 65 years are prescribed 15 or more repeat medicines [7]. Polypharmacy is associated with a multitude of adverse outcomes including adverse drug reactions (ADRs), medication errors, reduced adherence, increased cost and increased morbidity and mortality [4, 8, 9]. ADRs are a significant burden to the health system and it is estimated that over 10% of emergency hospital admissions in older patients may be ADR-related [10]. ADRs have also been described as the “great mimic of systemic disease” [11] and often result in a prescribing cascade, where more medication is used to treat the side effects of another [12]. In patients with multimorbidity, polypharmacy may often be appropriate, however, it is the strongest risk factor for potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP), a term used to describe suboptimal prescribing practices where the risks of treatment usually outweigh the benefits [13].

Various tools have been developed to both tackle and measure PIP, including explicit measures of appropriateness such as the United States (US) Beers criteria [14] and the European Screening Tool for Older People’s potentially inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP) criteria [15]. Explicit measures of medication appropriateness have been demonstrated to be effective at improving prescribing and have the advantage of being relatively reproducible, reliable and easy to apply to large numbers of people [16]; however, they do not account for individual patient characteristics and preferences. Implicit measures such the Medication Appropriateness Index [17] involve clinician judgement and do account for patient characteristics, however, they are time-consuming and complex to apply, and generally involve a detailed assessment of the effectiveness and appropriateness of each prescribed medication [4]. Several systematic reviews have assessed various approaches, including the use of explicit and implicit measures of appropriateness, to tackling inappropriate polypharmacy [18-21] with the over-riding conclusion that inappropriate polypharmacy is amenable to change but that a multifaceted approach is likely to be more effective.

Improvements in computerised clinical decision support systems, where individual patient data are inputted into a computer program, sorted and matched using algorithms generated from a prior knowledge base resulting in patient-specific recommendations [22], may ultimately prove effective in optimising medication for this complex group of patients. An on-going European Union (EU) funded project is developing a highly powered and efficient software engine that will be able to individually screen the medication of older patients with multimorbidity and provide recommendations on optimal drug therapy and ADR risk [23]. Similarly Young et al. in New Zealand are validating and piloting a set of prescribing decision tools that will be embedded in practice management software (PMS) [24]. However, before such technology is demonstrated to be safe, effective and feasible in daily practice, it is important to continue to develop effective and pragmatic interventions that can assist GPs in caring and prescribing for these complex patients. We also argue that software-driven recommendations need to be accompanied by an assessment of patients’ treatment priorities.

Despite recommendations advising tailoring care to patient priorities, there is very little in the literature on how to best assess and record patient priorities. A systematic review identified only one such tool that has been used and validated in patients with multimorbidity [25, 26]. A research group in Spain have recently published a protocol for a RCT which will examine the effect of an individualised medication review using a tool designed to aid the physician in prioritising the patient’s problems on medication appropriateness [27]. However, the effectiveness, feasibility and potential for negative effects of using these tools in practice have not been established.

Rationale for SPPiRE trial

Our research group previously demonstrated that an intervention comprising academic detailing and a web-based prescribing support was effective in reducing potentially inappropriate prescribing in older patients in Irish primary care, primarily through the reduction of prescribing of proton pump inhibitors at maximal dose (OPTI-SCRIPT trial) [34]. Supporting prescribing in older patients with multimorbidity and significant polypharmacy (SPPiRE) is a cluster RCT that will assess the effectiveness of an intervention designed to reduce both PIP and polypharmacy. The SPPiRE intervention evolved based on the OPTI-SCRIPT trial results and process evaluation [28, 29], emerging evidence in relation to multimorbidity and polypharmacy [5, 6, 19, 20, 30] and the NICE multimorbidity guideline described previously [6]. In line with the Medical Research Council’s Framework on developing and evaluating complex interventions, the OPTI-SCRIPT intervention and trial were adapted to develop the SPPiRE study (Fig. 1). The MRC Framework describes an iterative process where piloting work, process and outcome evaluations and other bodies of emerging evidence feed back into the original intervention design [31]. The target population and individual components of the intervention have been amended (Table 1). Our proposed SPPiRE intervention will also assess the effect on patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) of treatment burden and quality of life and undertake a parallel qualitative evaluation, which will provide important evidence on the patient experience.

Fig. 1

Development and evaluation of SPPiRE, adapted from MRC framework [31]. Legend: Adaptation of the MRC framework showing the evolution of the SPPiRE intervention based on previous outcome and process evaluations, piloting and feasibility work and emerging evidence

Table 1

Evolution of SPPiRE from OPTI-SCRIPT

	OPTI-SCRIPT [28]	SPPiRE
Population	Research pharmacist determined if identified older patients had a PIP	Identified by patient finder tool as being prescribed ≥15 repeat medicines
Intervention	Academic detailing by research pharmacist	Training video by research GP
	Web-guided medication review • Provided with alternative pharmaceutical treatment algorithms for PIP	Web-guided medication review • Guided to check for specific PIP • Guided to tailor care to patient’s priorities
Primary outcomes	Proportion of patients with PIP	Proportion of patients with PIP
	Mean number of PIPs per patient	Number of repeat medications
Secondary outcomes	Drug specific outcomes	Medication changes
	Patient-reported outcomes • Quality of life • Patient’s medication beliefs • Patient well being	Patient-reported outcomes • Quality of life • Patient’s attitudes to deprescribing • Treatment burden

Medication appropriateness will be examined using explicit criteria and a tailored approach, where individual patient priorities are addressed. Tailoring care in this way minimises the harms of overtreatment by prioritising treatments that are most important to the patient [25, 32]. Explicit criteria have been selected using the updated STOPP 2 criteria [15] and monitoring criteria developed and validated by the Data-driven Quality Improvement in Primary care (DQIP) research group [33], with a focus on drug classes that are frequently implicated in preventable drug-related morbidity (PDRM) [34] and criteria that were more relevant for older people in Irish primary care (listed in Tables 2, 3, and 4) during the development of our previous OPTI-SCRIPT intervention [35]. The tool will support GPs to identify PIPs for individual patients and then suggest potential treatment alternatives in the context of patient priorities identified during the process. As described previously, several tools have recently been developed to assess patient priorities, however, given uncertainty of the effectiveness of these tools, we have opted to prompt the GP to ask about and record individual priorities during the medication review rather than trying to operationalise this process. The implementation and effect of this novel aspect of the intervention will be further explored in the parallel mixed methods process evaluation. Reviewing medicines in the context of both explicit measures of appropriateness and individual patient priorities will ensure that medicines that are potentially inappropriate, either because of ineffectiveness in relation to symptom control, adverse effects or unfavourable risk/benefit ratios are discontinued or changed [4, 36, 37].

Table 2

SPPiRE PIP; drug groups frequently implicated in preventable drug related morbidity [34]

Drug group	PIP	Reason
NSAIDS	With diuretic and ACEi/ARB [33]	Risk of renal impairment
	With chronic kidney disease (eGFR <50 ml/min/ 1.73m2) [15, 33]
	For ≥12 weeks with no gastroprotection [33]	Risk of GI bleed
	With a history of PUD with no gastroprotection [15]
	and antiplatelet with no gastroprotection [15]
	With an anticoagulant [15, 35]
	With severe hypertension or heart failure [15]	Risk of hypertension/heart failure exacerbation
	COX-2 selective with concurrent cardiovascular disease [15]	Increased risk of MI/CVA
Antiplatelets	And history of PUD with no gastroprotection [33, 35]	Risk of GI bleed
	And anticoagulant with no gastroprotection [33, 35]
	Aspirin and clopidogrel with no gastroprotection [33]
	Consider intended duration of treatment if taking dual anti-platelet therapy for over 1 year post PCI [15]	Not usually indicated
Anticoagulants	For first uncomplicated DVT for >6 months duration [15]	Not indicated
	For first uncomplicated PE for >12 months duration [15]
	Dabigatran if eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73m2 or if renal function is unknown [15]	Risk of bleeding
	Rivaroxaban or apixaban if eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73m2 or if renal function is unknown [15]
Diuretics	And no renal profile in the last 48 weeks [33]	Risk of renal impairment and electrolyte abnormality
	Loop diuretic and thiazide diuretic and no renal profile in the last 24 weeks [33]
	Loop diuretic for dependent oedema and no heart failure, liver failure or nephrotic syndrome [15]	Risks usually out weigh benefits
	Thiazide diuretic with a history of gout [15]	Risk of precipitating gout

Abbreviations: NSAID non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, ACEi angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, ARB aldosterone receptor blocker, eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate, PUD peptic ulcer disease, GI gastro-intestinal, MI myocardial infarction, CVA cerebrovascular accident, COX-2 cyclooxygenase-2, DVT deep vein thrombosis, PCI percutaneous coronary intervention, PE pulmonary embolism

Table 3

SPPiRE PIP; drug groups associated with morbidity in the elderly [33]

Drug group	PIP	Reason
Anticholinergic drugs	With comorbidities [35] • Dementia • Narrow angle glaucoma • Cardiac conduction abnormalities • Chronic prostatism	Exacerbation of comorbidity
	Concomitant use of two or more drugs with anticholinergic properties [15]	Risk of anticholinergic toxicity
	Tricyclic antidepressant as first line antidepressant [15]	Increased risk of adverse effects in older patients and alternatives available
	Antimuscarinic antihistamine [15]
Benzodiazipines OR Z drugs	For longer than 4 weeks [15] [33]	Risk of sedation, confusion, impaired balance, falls.NNT 13 and NNH 6 when used for insomnia [57]
Antipsychotics	With dementia and no psychosis [15, 33]	Increased risk of stroke, only use when all other means have failed and shortest possible dose for shortest duration [58]

Abbreviations: NNT number needed to treat, NNH number needed to harm

Table 4

SPPiRE PIP, miscellaneous

Drug group	PIP	Reason
Methotrexate	Not prescribed as weekly [33]	Increased risk of potentially fatal medication errors
	Prescribed >1 strength tablet [33]
Opioids	Used regularly with no laxative [15]	Risk of severe constipation
Corticosteroids	Used ≥12 weeks with no bone protection [15]	Risk of fracture
PPI	For uncomplicated PUD/erosive peptic oesophagitis at full therapeutic dose ≥8 weeks [15]	Not indicated
Metformin	With eGFR <30 ml/min/ 1.73m2 [15]	Risk of lactic acidosis

Abbreviations: eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate, PUD peptic ulcer disease

This paper aims to describe the results of a small-scale uncontrolled pilot study of the SPPiRE intervention and the final refinement of the intervention, as well as present the protocol for the definitive randomised controlled trial.

Trial objectives

The overall aim of this research is to evaluate the effectiveness of a complex intervention (SPPiRE), to support GPs to improve the safety of their prescribing and to reduce polypharmacy in patients aged 65 years or over with multimorbidity and significant polypharmacy (15 or more repeat medicines) in Irish primary care. The effect of the intervention will be measured at the individual patient level.

Specific objectives are:

Undertake a definitive cluster randomised controlled trial to evaluate the effectiveness of the multifaceted SPPiRE intervention, comprising professional education and a web-guided structured medication review where patient priorities are assessed, in reducing PIP and polypharmacy.

To determine the cost effectiveness of this intervention.

To explore the potential for system-wide implementation of the SPPiRE intervention in Irish primary care through a mixed methods process evaluation.

Pilot study methods and results

Study design

A small-scale uncontrolled pilot study was undertaken to assess the feasibility and acceptability of the adapted SPPiRE intervention and to assess whether the intervention needed further adaptation [38].

Study population

Six general practitioners, including four academic GPs, one full-time clinical GP and one GP registrar piloted the SPPiRE web-guided medication review with 10 different patients.

Procedure

A SPPiRE software patient finder tool was developed to allow GPs to easily identify all their patients aged ≥65 years and prescribed ≥15 repeat medicines. This tool was piloted by three GPs in three practices, as at the time of the pilot it was only available in one of the two predominant PMS systems used in Ireland. A repeat medicine was defined as any item that has an Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code, is currently being prescribed to the patient and is classified in the PMS as a “repeat” as opposed to “acute” item. GPs also have to manually screen the generated list to ensure “acute” prescriptions have not been inadvertently left on the “repeat” list.

All six GPs piloted the SPPiRE intervention and provided feedback to the trial manager (CMcC) on outcome measures and the feasibility and acceptability of the intervention. Each GP watched the SPPiRE training videos and invited either one or two identified patients for a medication review. The GPs logged onto the SPPiRE website at the start of the medication review and were guided through the medication review process. The steps involved were:

Counting the current number of repeat medicines

Screening the current prescription for potentially inappropriate prescriptions using supports provided within the tool

Assessing patient treatment priorities

Reviewing each medicine with the patient to assess effectiveness, side-effects and actual drug utilisation

Agreeing changes with the patient, based on both web-guided suggested alternatives and the patient’s treatment priorities

Results

The feasibility of the finder tool and intervention were assessed through GP feedback and analysis of use of the online material. Overall, the intervention was well received by the GPs and their patients many of whom reported feeling reassured that their medicines were being reviewed and rationalised. There was a large variation between practices in the proportion of those aged ≥65 years detected by the finder tool (1.9–17%) which may be partially explained by differences between practices in how prescription lists are kept up to date and socio-demographic differences, both of which will be identified by the practice profile questionnaire at baseline for the main trial. Due to lack of universal registration of private patients in Irish general practice, practices use varying approaches to count their private patient panel. The differences in the finder tool detection rate may also reflect an inaccurate denominator, where private patients aged ≥65 years are over counted for example visitors and those who have moved.

Of the 10 patients who underwent the medication review, they were prescribed an average of 17.5 medicines (SD +/−3.41) and this reduced to 16.8 (SD +/−3.94) immediately post-intervention. All of the included patients had at least 1 PIP, with a mean of 1.8 per patient. The most common PIP identified were the use of a “proton pump inhibitor for uncomplicated PUD/erosive peptic oesophagitis at full therapeutic dose for ≥8 weeks” (39%) and the use of a “benzodiazepine or Z drug for longer than 4 weeks” (39%). When the higher prevalence, lower risk proton pump inhibitor PIP was excluded, 90% of patients had at least 1 PIP and the mean number of PIP per patient was 1.1. Identified instances of PIP were acted on in 44% of cases and 45% when the proton pump inhibitor PIP was excluded. The most commonly reported patient treatment priorities were treating pain, followed by fatigue and reducing the number of repeat medicines.

Intervention modification

Based on the results described above, minor modifications were made to the training videos and the medication review template to make instruction more explicit and reduce repetition (summarised in Table 5). The finder tool was modified to only include items with a unique ATC code to prevent different doses of the same drug being counted twice. The need for the GP to manually screen the generated list was evident, and guidance on how to best do this was developed. The review also took longer to implement than anticipated, on average about 40 min and a recommendation to allow for this amount time was added to the demonstration video and support materials.

Table 5

SPPiRE Pilot Results

Pilot Component	Problem	Change
Finder tool	Over identification of patients	• Include only items with unique ATC code• Include only items listed as “current”
Educational videos	Not fully watched by all GPs due to time constraint	• Content condensed• Focus on demonstrating review process
Web-guided medication review	Not fully completed by all GPs	• Website layout modified• Instructions more explicit• Recommendation to allow for more time

Methods: Protocol for the SPPiRE trial

A pragmatic two-arm cluster randomised controlled trial will be conducted. The study design was developed in line with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT) statement extension to cluster RCTs [39]. A cluster design was chosen to avoid the possibility of contamination across arms. If a GP was treating both intervention and control patients, they may find it difficult to behave differently towards each group [40]. The trial will be conducted in primary care with GP practices as the unit of randomisation. The intervention will be delivered at the GP level while the unit of analysis will be the individual patient, adjusting for clustering. A mixed methods process evaluation and economic analysis will also be conducted.

Practices will be eligible to participate if:

They have at least 300 patients aged ≥65 years on their patient panel. This is based on the need to identify at least 15 patients per practice who are receiving ≥15 repeat medicines (which is 5% of people aged ≥65 years in the national Primary Care Reimbursement Service (PCRS) pharmacy-dispensing database [7]).

They use Socrates or Health One as a PMS system (to enable use of the software patient finder tool).

Patients will be considered eligible if:

They are aged ≥65 years.

They are being prescribed 15 or more repeat medicines, which is a measure of both significant polypharmacy and complex multimorbidity [41]. A repeat medicine is defined as any item with an ATC code for which the patient is currently in receipt of a prescription of and is classified by the PMS as a “repeat” item.

Practices will be excluded if:

They are currently involved in a medication management or prescribing trial.

Patients will be excluded if:

They are unable to give informed consent, as judged by their GP.

They are unable to attend the practice for a face-to-face medication review.

They have previously taken part in the OPTI-SCRIPT intervention.

Recruitment and allocation

Eligible practices (see eligibility criteria above) will be identified through the Health Research Board Primary Care Clinical Trials Network, Ireland (http://primarycaretrials.ie/) and invited to participate by formal letter, including letter of agreement to participate and study information leaflets detailing the steps of the intervention. Practices will identify patients aged 65 years and over who are currently prescribed 15 or more repeat medicines using the patient finder tool, which will be integrated into practice management software in participating practices. The research team will assist practices in recruiting eligible patients, who will be sent invitation letters (on practice headed paper) with consent forms, information leaflets and questionnaires. Based on recent analysis of prescribing trends in Ireland, we anticipate that most included practices will have at least 15 eligible patients [7]. In larger practices with more than 40 eligible patients, we will randomly select 40 patients to invite, based on the OPTI-SCRIPT response rate [28]. Control practices will receive €30 per recruited patient and intervention practices €60 per recruited patient to reflect some of the costs involved in taking part in the study.

Baseline data collection will occur prior to practice allocation by review of patient prescriptions and questionnaires (see outcomes and methods for data collection below). Recruited practices will be randomly allocated, using minimisation and randomisation software, by an independent third party (Fig. 2). Minimisation will ensure balance between the groups [39, 40] in terms of practice size (number of whole-time-equivalent GPs) and location (urban versus rural). An “urban” practice is defined as being located in an area with a population of at least 5000 people, has most of its patients within a relatively small geographical area and have ready access some hospital facilities [42]. Considering the nature of the intervention, it is not possible to blind GPs or participants to the intervention.

Fig. 2

Flow of practices and patients through RCT

The intervention

The content of the SPPiRE intervention was developed based on the OPTI-SCRIPT trial, emerging evidence and results from the SPPiRE pilot and contains the following elements:

Training videos which demonstrate how to perform a SPPiRE medication review and describe the underlying evidence on polypharmacy, common potentially inappropriate prescriptions in older people, multimorbidity and treatment burden. The videos also provide guidance on establishing treatment burden and supporting patients to express their priorities, based on recommendations in the NICE multimorbidity guideline [6].

An online medication review template (see Fig. 3) which provides a structured process and links to alternative strategies for each identified PIP. The GP will be guided to:

Fig. 3

SPPiRE medication review process. Abbreviations: PIP potentially inappropriate prescription, ADR adverse drug reaction

Screen the prescription for PIP, including the requirement for monitoring and if duplicate drug classes are present.

Assess the patient’s treatment priorities and consider whether on-going symptoms may represent adverse drug reactions.

Review each medicine with the patient assessing the effectiveness of symptomatic treatment, the relative harms and benefits of preventative treatment, the presence of adverse drug reactions and whether each medicine is being taken as prescribed.

Agree all changes with the patient, taking into account their treatment priorities and considering suggested treatment alternatives for identified PIP.

Print out a summary document which will be generated upon completion of the review. This will outline all changes and any action that needs to be taken, including the need for blood monitoring if indicated.

Any medication changes will be at the discretion of the prescribing GP, weighing up the risks and benefits and incorporating patient preference.

The control arm will continue to deliver usual care for the 6-month study duration. Usual care will vary from practice to practice, and differences in repeat prescribing policies between clusters will be identified and described using a baseline practice profile questionnaire. Following 6-month data collection and completion of the RCT, control arm GPs will be invited to participate in the intervention as outlined above. No further RCT data will be collected from participants on trial completion at 6 months. However, we will ask intervention practices to submit prescription data at 12 months to examine whether changes in prescriptions have been maintained.

Contemporaneous national control–PCRS dataset

We will also analyse national prescription patterns via the Health Service Executive (HSE) primary care reimbursement service (PCRS) prescription database. This is a national prescribing database based on GP and pharmacy claims in a number of community schemes, including the General Medical Services (GMS) scheme. In 2014, 70% of people aged over 65 years in Ireland were covered by the GMS scheme and so their prescription data are captured in the PCRS database [43]. Anonymised data from the PCRS GMS database can be used to provide a contemporary national control. Comparisons to previous national prescribing patterns for those aged 65 years and over being prescribed 15 or more medicines will determine if there has been a change over time at the population level [7].

Outcomes measures

Outcome measures pertain to the individual patient level and have been specifically chosen to reflect the potential effects of the intervention and to incorporate the patient perspective. Baseline data will be collected prior to allocation using the PMS, patient questionnaires and a practice profile questionnaire. Follow-up data will be collected 6 months following completion of each medication review in intervention patients through review of the PMS and patient questionnaires and 6 months following the median date of all the medication review dates in control practices.

Primary outcomes:

Proportion of patients with any PIP (see Tables 2, 3, and 4)

Mean number of repeat medications, defined as any medicine with an ATC code for which the patient is currently in receipt of a repeat prescription.

Secondary outcomes:

Reduction in proportion of patients with 15 or more medicines (100% at baseline)

Medication changes

○ Number of medications stopped (per patient and absolute number in intervention versus control)

○ Numbers of medications started (per patient and absolute number in intervention versus control)

○ Reduction in the number of PIP (per patient and absolute number in intervention versus control)

○ Proportion of patients with any reduction in PIP

Multimorbidity Treatment Burden Questionnaire (MTBQ) [44]

Health related quality of life (EQ5D-5L) [45]

Revised Patients’ Attitudes Towards Deprescribing (rPATD) [46]

Health service utilisation per patient (based on chart data and collected on both time periods (baseline and 6 months post-intervention completion), at study completion by the research team

○ Number of GP/practice nurse visits

○ Number of out-of-hours visits

○ Number of Accident & Emergency (A&E) visits

○ Number of emergency hospital admissions and reason for admission

○ Number of in-patient days

○ Number of out-patient visits

Patient-reported adverse drug withdrawal events (ADWEs) from follow-up patient questionnaire (defined as either recurrence of the condition for which the drug was prescribed or a physiologic reaction to drug withdrawal.) [47, 48]

Plan of analysis

Descriptive statistics (proportions, means) will be used to evaluate differences in baseline characteristics between participating GP practices and patients in the two arms of the trial. The primary analysis will be carried out using multilevel modelling. The primary outcome measure, proportion of patients with or without a PIP, will be a binary outcome measure and will be compared between treatment arms using random effects logistic regression with individuals as the unit of analysis and the practice included as the random effect.

The second primary outcome measure, number of repeat medications, will be assessed using a random effect Poisson regression with the individual as the unit of analysis and the practice included as the random effect to control for the effects of clustering. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) will be presented. All analysis will be conducted under the intention-to-treat principle as this is a pragmatic trial [39].

Sample size

Sample size for the primary outcome (proportion with PIP) is based on a prevalence of approximately 40% for PIP in this population [7]. To reduce this to 20% requires a sample size of 240 patients. The sample size also needs to be adjusted to reflect the assumption that individual outcomes are not independent of each other, as participants in the same cluster may respond in the same way. Hence, an intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.025 will be used. This was also used in the OPTI-SCRIPT study and was based on an observational study of an elderly cohort in the HRB Centre for Primary Care Research [49]. This gives a design effect size of 1.35, thus inflating the sample to 324 patients from 22 practices. An equal cluster size of 15 patients per practice has been assumed.

All the patients in this study will be selected on the basis of receiving 15 or more repeat medicines on their prescription. Existing data from the Irish national prescribing database (HSE-PCRS) highlights that in those aged 65 years and over on 15 or more repeat medicines, the mean number of medicines is 17.4 (SD 2.69) [7]. A meta-analysis of deprescribing trials reported a difference between treatment groups of 0.4 medicines where the mean number of medicines was 7.4 [50]. We are targeting patients on at least 15 repeat medicines and for primary outcome, number of repeat medications, will test for a mean difference of one medicine between the intervention and control group and this would require a sample size of 306 patients. This is inflated by the design effect size outlined above (1.35) to give a sample of 413 patients from 28 practices.

Factoring in a loss to follow-up of approximately 10% (for primary outcomes, based on chart data) and using the higher numbers required to demonstrate a significant reduction in mean number of repeat medicines, a total of 30 GP practices and 450 patients will be required.

Process evaluation

SPPiRE is a complex intervention as there are several different interacting components and a degree of flexibility or tailoring to the local environment [31]. The aim of the process evaluation will be to explore the effect of the intervention and how it was implemented. It will combine both quantitative and qualitative data and follow a framework specific for cluster RCTs [51].

All participating practices and a purposive sample of patients will be invited to participate by letter and follow-up telephone call.

Process evaluation data collection

Quantitative data will be compiled from a number of sources including completed questionnaires, researcher logs and evaluation forms and website usage data. Qualitative data will be collected from patients and GPs and other practice staff using semi-structured interviews. The number of interviews needed to reach data saturation (where no new themes emerge) will be considered alongside feasibility issues (resources and timing), but a sample of 15–20 is proposed [45].

These interviews will be conducted either in person or via telephone. Telephone interviewing is generally used where time or costs are issues, and evidence suggests there is little difference in the answers obtained this way [52]. All interviews will be audio recorded (on loud speaker for telephone interviews).

Process evaluation measures:

Use of the intervention software

Clinical/ prescribing decision made, e.g. stop or start medicine, refer for monitoring blood test

Reported primary reason for decision made, e.g. risks outweigh benefits, patient preference, hospital/consultant initiated

Whether assessment of patient priorities resulted in medication change and which priorities were associated with most change

Immediate pre- and post-intervention prescription

Process evaluation data analysis

Quantitative data will be summarised using descriptive statistics. All interviews will be transcribed verbatim and broad themes and sub-themes identified using thematic analysis. NVivo 10 (QSR International) will be used to assist with organising the data for analysis.

Economic evaluation

The health economic analysis will consist of a trial-based economic evaluation of the proposed intervention and will incorporate both cost effectiveness analysis and cost utility analysis. The evaluation will be undertaken in a manner consistent with guidelines issued by the Health Information and Quality Authority (HIQA) in Ireland [53]. Evidence collected on resource use, costs and health outcome measures will provide the basis for the evaluation over the trial follow-up period. With respect to costing, a publicly funded health service perspective will be adopted. That is, resource use associated with delivery of the proposed intervention will be measured and costed, as will other health service resource use by patients over the course of the trial. As detailed above, significant attention will be paid to collecting relevant data on health outcomes alongside the trial for the purposes of the clinical effectiveness analysis. For the cost effectiveness analysis, effectiveness will be evaluated on the basis of the number of PIPs averted. For the cost utility analysis, effectiveness will be evaluated in terms of quality adjusted life years (QALYs), which will be estimated based on responses to the EuroQol EQ-5D-5L instrument [45]. An incremental analysis will be undertaken to provide information on the marginal costs and effects of the intervention relative to the control through the calculation of incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs). The statistical analysis will be conducted in accordance with current guidelines for economic evaluation alongside cluster RCTs [53]. That is, we will adopt multilevel statistical techniques which recognise both the clustering and correlation in the cost and effect data. Uncertainty in the economic analysis will be addressed by estimating cost effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs), which link the probability of treatment being cost effective to a range of potential threshold values (λ) that a health system may be willing to pay.

Data management and protection

All patients will provide informed consent and will be known to the research team by study ID only. The patient’s GP remains responsible for all treatment decisions made. Informed consent will be sought from all GPs participating in the study. All data collected, including interview transcripts for the process evaluation, will be stored on a secure, password protected network drive.

Monitoring and participant safety

A Trial Steering Committee (TSC) comprising an independent chair and two other independent members, one of whom is a lay member representing the patient and public perspective, has been established and will oversee the progress of the trial and adherence to the study protocol. It was agreed by the TSC that given the low risk nature of the trial, lack of interim data and relatively short term follow-up, that there is no need for the establishment of a Data Monitoring Committee.

A formal process has been developed to capture any potential adverse events related to discontinuing medication. Recruited practices will be instructed in the practice recruitment leaflet on how to report any suspected adverse effects from deprescribing. Any adverse events will also be captured by a chart review at follow-up data collection. An assessment on likely causality will then be made using an adapted drug withdrawal probability scale [48]. Patient-reported ADWEs will also be collected as a secondary outcome measures in the follow-up patient questionnaire, 6 months after intervention completion. Any patient safety concerns arising during the course of the trial, including at baseline data collection, will be brought to the attention of the Trial Steering Committee.

Discussion

Polypharmacy is frequently cited as an area of major concern by patients with multimorbidity [54, 55]. The most appropriate course of action when deciding whether to continue to prescribe is often not readily apparent but should include some assessment of the relative harms and benefits of treatment, in the context of the patient’s priorities [56]. We propose that an individualised structured medication review, where deprescribing is considered alongside prescribing, and where there is active engagement with patients on their views on treatment is essential to tackling polypharmacy and inappropriate prescribing.

The SPPiRE intervention provides structure and assistance in performing medication reviews by aiding GPs in identifying PIP, suggesting alternatives and encouraging care to be tailored to individual patient priorities. Strengths of this study include the pragmatic study design, incorporation of clinical guidelines and the fact that the intervention can be delivered by the patient’s GP. Currently, there is no provision under the GP reimbursement scheme in Ireland for a medication review for older patients and the potential and costs of a system-wide implementation of the SPPiRE intervention in Irish primary care will be explored in the process and economic evaluations.

Limitations of the study include the possibility of contamination of the control group where GPs also identify patients on 15 or more medicines using the patient finder tool and may treat these patients differently or provide more consideration than usual when renewing prescriptions. This will be explored in the process evaluation. Patients will also be encouraged to think about their treatment burden and attitudes towards deprescribing when completing baseline questionnaires and may be influenced to discuss their medications with their GP. Secondly, given the nature of the intervention it is not possible to blind patients, GPs or study personnel to the intervention. This has been addressed somewhat by using robust, objective primary outcome measures where there is little room for subjective opinion (number of repeat medicines and number of patients with any pre-defined PIP).

In summary, this study will provide evidence on the effectiveness and acceptability of a complex intervention designed to support GPs improve prescribing and reduce polypharmacy for older patients with multimorbidity and significant polypharmacy in Irish primary care.