| Literature DB >> 28720460 |
Mathieu Uhart1, Marjorie Adam2, André Dahlab2, Xavier Bresse2.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Since 2007, HPV vaccination programs have been implemented in Europe. Significant real-life impact has already been reported in countries where the programs have been successfully implemented. In France, HPV vaccination coverage rate (VCR) is currently one of the lowest in Europe. This represents a missed opportunity for individuals who will not be protected. The study aimed to estimate the consequences of the sub-optimal VCR.Entities:
Keywords: France; HPV vaccine; Human papillomavirus; Public health; Vaccine coverage rate
Year: 2017 PMID: 28720460 PMCID: PMC5883194 DOI: 10.1016/j.pvr.2017.02.004
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Papillomavirus Res ISSN: 2405-8521
Summary of quadrivalent HPV vaccine efficacy assumptions.
| Vaccine efficacy assumptions | HPV 16 | HPV 18 | HPV 6 | HPV 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cervical cancer | ||||
| Prevention of cervical HPV infections: | ||||
| - Male | 0.411 | 0.621 | ||
| - Female | 0.760 | 0.963 | ||
| Prevention of HPV persistent infections | 0.988 | 0.984 | ||
| Protection against HPV-related CIN | 0.979 | 1 | ||
| Vaginal and vulvar cancers | ||||
| Prevention of VaIN/VIN infections: | ||||
| - Male | 0.411 | 0.621 | ||
| - Female | 0.760 | 0.963 | ||
| Prevention of persistent VaIN/VIN | 0.988 | 0.984 | ||
| Protection against HPV-related VaIN/VIN | 1 | 1 | ||
| Anal cancers | ||||
| Prevention of anal infections | ||||
| - Male | 0.411 | 0.621 | ||
| - Female | 0.760 | 0.963 | ||
| Protection against persistent anal infections | ||||
| - Male | 0.787 | 0.960 | ||
| - Female | 0.988 | 0.984 | ||
| Protection against HPV-related AIN neoplasia | 0 | 0 | ||
| Genital warts | ||||
| Vaccine efficacy against HPV 6/11 infection | ||||
| - Female | 0.761 | 0.761 | ||
| - Males | 0.490 | 0.570 | ||
| Protection of the vaccine against HPV 6/11-related genital warts | ||||
| - Female | 0.989 | 1 | ||
| - Male | 0.843 | 0.909 | ||
| Protection against HPV 6/11-related CIN 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
AIN: Anal Intraepithelial Neoplasia; CIN: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia; VaIN: Vaginal Intraepithelial Neoplasia; VIN: Vulvar Intraepithelial Neoplasia.
Preventing male genital infections through male vaccination is assumed to prevent transmission of genital infections to females.
Preventing female genital infections through vaccination is assumed to prevent transmission of genital infections to males.
Comparison of overall incidence between target and calibration.
| Cervical cancer | 6.78 | 6.75 | 2.51 | 2.48 |
| CIN 2/3 | 102.90 | 22.49 | – | – |
| Vaginal | 0.28 | 0.07 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| Vulvar | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.64 | 0.03 |
| Anal | 1.27 | 1.29 | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| Genital warts | 194.57 | 195.36 | – | – |
| Anal cancer | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Genital warts | 237.75 | 235.57 | – | – |
CIN: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia.
Fig. 1Vaccination coverage rates of HPV immunization program in EU countries in girls [14].
Incremental number of additional disease events and deaths with a 17% vs 70% VCR.
| Cervical cancer | 70,036 | 23,260 |
| CIN2+ | 316,243 | – |
| CIN1 | 181,638 | – |
| Vaginal cancer | 635 | 168 |
| Vulvar cancer | 910 | 269 |
| Anal cancer females | 10,421 | 2955 |
| Anal cancer males | 3053 | 1220 |
| Genital Warts females | 2,731,811 | – |
| Genital Warts males | 2,044,164 | – |
| Total | 5,358,911 | 27,872 |
CIN: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia.
Fig. 2Incidence of cervical cancer over 100 years.
Percentage decrease in HPV-related diseases incidence after 100 years.
| Cervical cancer | 67 | 23 |
| CIN2+ | 60 | 21 |
| CIN1 | 22 | 8 |
| Vaginal cancer | 66 | 24 |
| Vulvar cancer | 68 | 25 |
| Anal cancer females | 72 | 23 |
| Anal cancer males | 50 | 13 |
| Genital warts females | 61 | 17 |
| Genital warts males | 37 | 9 |
CIN: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia.
Incremental number of events annually averted at equilibrium with a 70% VCR scenario vs a 17% VCR scenario.
| Cervical cancer | 1344 | 492 |
| CIN2+ | 4528 | – |
| CIN1 | 2532 | – |
| Vaginal cancer | 14 | 4 |
| Vulvar cancer | 20 | 6 |
| Anal cancer females | 242 | 75 |
| Anal cancer males | 79 | 34 |
| Genital warts females | 33,091 | – |
| Genital warts males | 24,258 | – |
CIN: Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia.
Incremental number of events averted according to the parameter tested in sensitivity analysis.
| Base case | 5,358,911 | 27,872 |
| 60% VCR | 4,400,046 | 23,649 |
| Time horizon=70 years | 3,478,221 | 17,844 |
| Duration of vaccine protection=20 years | 2,683,981 | 17,293 |
VCR: Vaccination coverage rate.