| Literature DB >> 28710542 |
Abstract
Smoking seems modestly associated with breast cancer, but the potential dual effect of smoking (with opposing properties: carcinogenic vs anti-estrogenic) is understudied. The relationship between smoking before and after menopause and risk of postmenopausal breast cancer was investigated in the Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS). In the NLCS, 62,573 women aged 55-69 years provided information on smoking, dietary and other lifestyle habits in 1986. Follow-up for cancer incidence until 2007 (20.3 years) consisted of record linkages with the Netherlands Cancer Registry and the Dutch Pathology Registry PALGA. Multivariate case-cohort analyses were based on 2526 incident breast cancer cases and 1816 subcohort members with complete data on smoking. When smoking during pre- and postmenopausal periods was mutually adjusted for, breast cancer risk was significantly positively associated with premenopausal smoking pack-years, but inversely associated with postmenopausal smoking pack-years, both in a dose-dependent manner. In continuous analyses, the hazard ratios (95% CI) were 1.35 (1.10-1.65), and 0.47 (0.28-0.80) per increment of 20 premenopausal, and postmenopausal pack-years, respectively. The interaction between pre- and postmenopausal pack-years in relation to breast cancer risk was significant (P < 0.001). This study highlights the importance of distinguishing and adjusting for smoking in different life periods, and suggests dual effects of smoking on postmenopausal breast cancer risk.Entities:
Keywords: Breast cancer; Cohort study; Menopause; Smoking
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28710542 PMCID: PMC5591344 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-017-0282-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Epidemiol ISSN: 0393-2990 Impact factor: 8.082
Hazard Ratio of breast cancer, according to cigarette smoking characteristics in multivariable-adjusteda analyses, Netherlands Cohort Study 1986–2006
| Smoking characteristics | Person-years in subcohort | No. of cases | Age-adjusted | Multivariable-adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | (95% CI) | HR | (95% CI) | |||
| Smoking status | ||||||
| Never | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| Ex-smoker | 6547 | 563 | 1.16 | (1.00–1.36) | 1.14 | (0.96–1.36) |
| Current smoker | 6080 | 544 | 1.22 | (1.04–1.43) | 1.13 | (0.95–1.36) |
| | 0.006 | 0.121 | ||||
| Ever | 12,627 | 1107 | 1.19 | (1.05–1.35) | 1.14 | (0.98–1.32) |
| No. of cigarettes/day, ever smokers | ||||||
| Never | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| <5 cigarettes/day | 3019 | 235 | 1.05 | (0.85–1.30) | 1.06 | (0.82–1.36) |
| 5–<10 | 2851 | 243 | 1.15 | (0.92–1.43) | 1.11 | (0.86–1.43) |
| 10–<15 | 2214 | 197 | 1.22 | (0.96–1.55) | 1.20 | (0.90–1.59) |
| 15–<20 | 1623 | 145 | 1.22 | (0.92–1.61) | 1.16 | (0.84–1.61) |
| 20+ | 2919 | 287 | 1.35 | (1.10–1.65) | 1.24 | (0.95–1.61) |
| | 0.084 | 0.373 | ||||
| Continuous, per 10 cigarettes increment | 31,441 | 2526 | 1.14 | (1.05–1.23) | 1.08 | (0.98–1.20) |
| Duration of smoking, ever smokers | ||||||
| Never | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| <10 years | 1187 | 89 | 1.03 | (0.74–1.43) | 1.02 | (0.71–1.47) |
| 10–<20 | 2242 | 195 | 1.19 | (0.93–1.51) | 1.22 | (0.93–1.60) |
| 20–<30 | 2848 | 251 | 1.21 | (0.97–1.50) | 1.19 | (0.93–1.52) |
| 30–<40 | 3664 | 328 | 1.22 | (1.00–1.48) | 1.11 | (0.86–1.44) |
| 40+ years | 2686 | 244 | 1.22 | (0.98–1.51) | 1.04 | (0.77–1.42) |
| | 0.409 | 0.672 | ||||
| Continuous, per 10 years increment | 31,441 | 2526 | 1.05 | (1.01–1.10) | 1.02 | (0.96–1.09) |
| Pack-years of smoking (total), ever smokers | ||||||
| 0 pack years | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–9 | 6168 | 504 | 1.11 | (0.94–1.30) | 1.11 | (0.92–1.35) |
| 10–19 | 2576 | 233 | 1.24 | (0.99–1.55) | 1.18 | (0.90–1.56) |
| 20–29 | 1924 | 175 | 1.24 | (0.96–1.59) | 1.19 | (0.88–1.62) |
| 30–39 | 972 | 120 | 1.69 | (1.22–2.34) | 1.47 | (0.99–2.18) |
| ≥40 | 987 | 75 | 1.02 | (0.72–1.46) | 0.85 | (0.56–1.30) |
| | 0.235 | 0.894 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 31,441 | 2526 | 1.15 | (1.04–1.27) | 1.05 | (0.92–1.21) |
| Age at initiation of smoking, ever smokers | ||||||
| Never | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| ≥26 year | 3401 | 275 | 1.07 | (0.88–1.31) | 1.08 | (0.84–1.39) |
| 21–25 year | 2089 | 217 | 1.39 | (1.10–1.77) | 1.28 | (0.96–1.70) |
| 16–20 year | 6206 | 529 | 1.18 | (1.00–1.38) | 1.14 | (0.93–1.39) |
| ≤15 year | 778 | 78 | 1.41 | (0.96–2.07) | 1.16 | (0.75–1.81) |
| | 0.422 | 0.969 | ||||
| Initiation relative to first birth in parous, ever smokers | ||||||
| Never smoker | 15,712 | 1170 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| Before menarche | 33 | 14 | 5.95 | (1.35–26.18) | 16.96 | (4.11–69.89) |
| After menarche, 11+ years before first birth | 2049 | 192 | 1.30 | (1.01–1.67) | 1.28 | (0.95–1.72) |
| After menarche, 6–10 years before first birth | 3468 | 274 | 1.10 | (0.89–1.35) | 1.02 | (0.79–1.31) |
| After menarche, ≤5 years before first birth | 1766 | 163 | 1.29 | (0.98–1.68) | 1.41 | (1.02–1.97) |
| After first birth | 3059 | 196 | 0.86 | (0.69–1.08) | 0.91 | (0.69–1.20) |
| | 0.009 | 0.116 | ||||
| Time since quitting smoking | ||||||
| Current | 6080 | 544 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| Quit 0.1–<5 year | 1379 | 122 | 0.98 | (0.71–1.35) | 0.94 | (0.65–1.36) |
| 5–<10 year | 1185 | 111 | 1.04 | (0.74–1.46) | 1.05 | (0.72–1.54) |
| 10–<15 year | 1539 | 97 | 0.70 | (0.51–0.96) | 0.66 | (0.46–0.96) |
| 15–<20 year | 713 | 73 | 1.15 | (0.76–1.73) | 1.13 | (0.69–1.85) |
| Quit 20+ year | 1668 | 156 | 1.04 | (0.78–1.39) | 1.15 | (0.82–1.61) |
| | 0.671 | 0.209 | ||||
| Age at smoking cessation | ||||||
| Never smoke | 18,814 | 1419 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| ≤30 year | 684 | 60 | 1.21 | (0.79–1.84) | 1.30 | (0.82–2.07) |
| 31–40 year | 1067 | 100 | 1.29 | (0.92–1.79) | 1.45 | (1.01–2.07) |
| 41–50 year | 2209 | 181 | 1.15 | (0.90–1.47) | 1.09 | (0.82–1.43) |
| 51–60 year | 1996 | 174 | 1.16 | (0.90–1.50) | 1.19 | (0.90–1.57) |
| >60 year | 528 | 44 | 1.04 | (0.64–1.67) | 0.87 | (0.51–1.48) |
| | 0.705 | 0.170 | ||||
aMultivariable analyses were adjusted for: age at baseline (55–59, 60–64, 65–69 years), current smoking status at baseline (no, yes), body height (continuous, cm), BMI (<18.5, 18.5–<25, 25–<30, ≥30 kg/m2), non-occupational physical activity (≤30, >30–60, >60–90, >90 min/day), highest level of education (primary school or lower vocational, secondary or medium vocational, and higher vocational or university), family history of breast cancer in mother or sisters (no, yes), history of benign breast disease (no, yes), age at menarche (≤12, 13–14, 15–16, ≥17 years), parity (nulliparous, 1–2, ≥3 children), age at first birth (<25, ≥25 years), oral contraceptive use (never, ever), postmenopausal HRT (never, ever), passive smoking status at work, at home and parental, nutritional supplement use (no, yes), and alcohol intake (0, 0.1–<5, 5–<15, 15–<30, ≥30 g/day)
Hazard Ratio of breast cancer in relation to pack-years of smoking relevant to menopause in multivariable-adjusteda analyses, Netherlands Cohort Study 1986–2006
| Smoking characteristics | Person-years in subcohort | No. of cases | Age-adjusted | Multivariable-adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | (95% CI) | HR | (95% CI) | |||
| Smoking before menopause, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 19,188 | 1445 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 4281 | 337 | 1.07 | (0.89–1.29) | 1.07 | (0.84–1.37) |
| 5–<10 | 2667 | 225 | 1.15 | (0.92–1.43) | 1.16 | (0.87–1.54) |
| 10–<15 | 1410 | 135 | 1.30 | (0.98–1.73) | 1.29 | (0.89–1.88) |
| 15–<20 | 1434 | 122 | 1.17 | (0.87–1.56) | 1.29 | (0.89–1.85) |
| 20+ | 2298 | 250 | 1.51 | (1.20–1.89) | 1.71 | (1.20–2.42) |
|
| < 0.001 | 0.003 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 31,278 | 2514 | 1.26 | (1.10–1.44) | 1.35 | (1.10–1.65) |
| Smoking after menopause, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 22,486 | 1734 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 4904 | 447 | 1.20 | (1.02–1.42) | 0.98 | (0.74–1.29) |
| 5–<10 | 2150 | 186 | 1.14 | (0.90–1.45) | 0.77 | (0.53–1.14) |
| 10–<15 | 1019 | 95 | 1.22 | (0.87–1.69) | 0.75 | (0.47–1.19) |
| 15+ | 719 | 52 | 0.92 | (0.61–1.38) | 0.48 | (0.27–0.84) |
| | 0.378 | 0.007 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 31,278 | 2514 | 1.13 | (0.84–1.51) | 0.47 | (0.28–0.80) |
| Smoking after menopause without HRT, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 19,795 | 1507 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 4022 | 383 | 1.27 | (1.06–1.53) | 1.06 | (0.77–1.46) |
| 5–<10 | 1793 | 158 | 1.18 | (0.91–1.52) | 0.80 | (0.52–1.23) |
| 10–<15 | 853 | 81 | 1.25 | (0.87–1.79) | 0.79 | (0.48–1.31) |
| 15+ | 601 | 42 | 0.89 | (0.56–1.40) | 0.47 | (0.25–0.89) |
| | 0.346 | 0.008 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 27,064 | 2171 | 1.12 | (0.82–1.55) | 0.44 | (0.25–0.79) |
| Smoking after menopause with HRT, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 2691 | 227 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 882 | 64 | 0.88 | (0.57–1.36) | 0.76 | (0.34–1.73) |
| 5–<10 | 358 | 28 | 0.94 | (0.51–1.73) | 0.96 | (0.32–2.86) |
| 10+ | 283 | 24 | 1.02 | (0.53–1.98) | 0.68 | (0.16–2.85) |
| | 0.975 | 0.762 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 4214 | 343 | 1.13 | (0.52–2.43) | 1.16 | (0.23–5.90) |
| Smoking after menopause in normal weight, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 11,978 | 829 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 3061 | 243 | 1.16 | (0.93–1.45) | 1.04 | (0.71–1.53) |
| 5–<10 | 1284 | 109 | 1.26 | (0.92–1.73) | 0.95 | (0.56–1.61) |
| 10–<15 | 526 | 55 | 1.51 | (0.96–2.35) | 1.01 | (0.53–1.92) |
| 15+ | 341 | 27 | 1.08 | (0.60–1.94) | 0.58 | (0.26–1.31) |
| | 0.076 | 0.242 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 17,190 | 1263 | 1.38 | (0.92–2.06) | 0.58 | (0.28–1.17) |
| Smoking after menopause in overweight, pack-years | ||||||
| 0 | 10,348 | 891 | 1 | Ref | 1 | Ref |
| 1–<5 | 1776 | 201 | 1.34 | (1.03–1.75) | 0.87 | (0.56–1.35) |
| 5–<10 | 814 | 74 | 1.07 | (0.73–1.56) | 0.56 | (0.31–1.04) |
| 10–<15 | 446 | 39 | 1.05 | (0.63–1.75) | 0.50 | (0.24–1.04) |
| 15+ | 327 | 25 | 0.88 | (0.48–1.61) | 0.40 | (0.17–0.93) |
| | 0.919 | 0.012 | ||||
| Continuous, per 20 pack-years increment | 13,711 | 1230 | 1.06 | (0.68–1.65) | 0.36 | (0.15–0.83) |
aMultivariable analyses were adjusted for: age at baseline (55–59, 60–64, 65–69 years), current smoking status at baseline (no, yes), body height (continuous, cm), BMI (<18.5, 18.5–<25, 25–<30, ≥30 kg/m2), non-occupational physical activity (≤30, >30–60, >60–90, >90 min/day), highest level of education (primary school or lower vocational, secondary or medium vocational, and higher vocational or university), family history of breast cancer in mother or sisters (no, yes), history of benign breast disease (no, yes), age at menarche (≤12, 13–14, 15–16, ≥17 years), parity (nulliparous, 1–2, ≥3 children), age at first birth (<25, ≥25 years), oral contraceptive use (never, ever), postmenopausal HRT (never, ever), passive smoking status at work, at home and parental, nutritional supplement use (no, yes), and alcohol intake (0, 0.1–<5, 5–<15, 15–<30, ≥30 g/day). In the assessment of smoking during a specific period, smoking during the other life periods was adjusted for
Fig. 1Hazard ratio of breast cancer according to pack-years of premenopausal smoking and pack-years of postmenopausal smoking.
Note Multivariable analyses were adjusted for: age at baseline (55–59, 60–64, 65–69 years), current smoking status (no, yes), body height (continuous, cm), BMI (<18.5, 18.5–<25, 25–<30, ≥30 kg/m2), non-occupational physical activity (≤30, >30–60, >60–90, >90 min/day), highest level of education (primary school or lower vocational, secondary or medium vocational, and higher vocational or university), family history of breast cancer in mother or sisters (no, yes), history of benign breast disease (no, yes), age at menarche (≤12, 13-14, 15–16, ≥17 years), parity (nulliparous, 1–2, ≥3 children), age at first birth (< 25, ≥25 years), oral contraceptive use (never, ever), postmenopausal HRT (never, ever), current smoking status at baseline (no, yes), passive smoking status at work, at home and parental, nutritional supplement use (no, yes), and alcohol intake (0, 0.1–<5, 5–<15, 15–<30, ≥30 g/day)