Lindsey M Duca1,2, Bing Wang1, Marian Rewers1, Arleta Rewers3. 1. Barbara Davis Center for Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO. 2. Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO. 3. Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO arleta.rewers@childrenscolorado.org.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: This study tested the hypothesis that diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children predicts poor long-term glycemic control independently of established risk factors. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of 3,364 Colorado residents diagnosed with type 1 diabetes before 18 years of age, in 1998-2012, and monitored for up to 15 years. Of those, 1,297 (39%) had DKA at diagnosis (blood glucose >250 mg/dL, and venous pH <7.3 or bicarbonate <15 mEq/L). Severity of DKA was further classified as mild/moderate (pH 7.10-7.29 or bicarbonate 5-14 mEq/L) or severe (pH <7.10 or bicarbonate <5 mEq/L). HbA1c levels were measured an average of 2.8 times/year (median 20 HbA1c values/patient). A linear mixed model was used to examine the effect of DKA on long-term HbA1c levels, adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, family history of diabetes, health insurance, and insulin pump use. RESULTS: DKA at diagnosis predicted persistently elevated HbA1c levels. Compared with children without DKA, HbA1c tracked 1.4% (15.3 mmol/mol) higher in those with severe DKA (P < 0.0001) and 0.9% (9.8 mmol/mol) higher in those with mild/moderate DKA at diagnosis (P < 0.0001). These effects were independent of ethnic minority status or lack of health insurance at diagnosis that predicted higher HbA1c by 0.5% (5.5 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001) and 0.2% (2.2 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001), respectively. Insulin pump use or having a parent or sibling with type 1 diabetes predicted lower long-term HbA1c by, respectively, 0.4% (4.4 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001) and 0.2% (2.2 mmol/mol; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: DKA at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children predicts poor long-term glycemic control, independent of demographic and socioeconomic factors.
OBJECTIVE: This study tested the hypothesis that diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children predicts poor long-term glycemic control independently of established risk factors. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of 3,364 Colorado residents diagnosed with type 1 diabetes before 18 years of age, in 1998-2012, and monitored for up to 15 years. Of those, 1,297 (39%) had DKA at diagnosis (blood glucose >250 mg/dL, and venous pH <7.3 or bicarbonate <15 mEq/L). Severity of DKA was further classified as mild/moderate (pH 7.10-7.29 or bicarbonate 5-14 mEq/L) or severe (pH <7.10 or bicarbonate <5 mEq/L). HbA1c levels were measured an average of 2.8 times/year (median 20 HbA1c values/patient). A linear mixed model was used to examine the effect of DKA on long-term HbA1c levels, adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, family history of diabetes, health insurance, and insulin pump use. RESULTS: DKA at diagnosis predicted persistently elevated HbA1c levels. Compared with children without DKA, HbA1c tracked 1.4% (15.3 mmol/mol) higher in those with severe DKA (P < 0.0001) and 0.9% (9.8 mmol/mol) higher in those with mild/moderate DKA at diagnosis (P < 0.0001). These effects were independent of ethnic minority status or lack of health insurance at diagnosis that predicted higher HbA1c by 0.5% (5.5 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001) and 0.2% (2.2 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001), respectively. Insulin pump use or having a parent or sibling with type 1 diabetes predicted lower long-term HbA1c by, respectively, 0.4% (4.4 mmol/mol; P < 0.0001) and 0.2% (2.2 mmol/mol; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: DKA at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children predicts poor long-term glycemic control, independent of demographic and socioeconomic factors.
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