| Literature DB >> 28623331 |
Mei-Hsuan Lee1, Chung-Feng Huang2,3, Hsueh-Chou Lai4, Chun-Yen Lin5,6, Chia-Yen Dai2,3,7, Chun-Jen Liu8,9,10, Jing-Houng Wang11, Jee-Fu Huang2,3,7, Wen-Pang Su4, Hung-Chih Yang8,9,12, Kwong-Ming Kee11, Ming-Lun Yeh2, Po-Heng Chuang4, Shih-Jer Hsu13, Ching-I Huang2, Jung-Ta Kao4, Chieh-Chang Chen8,10,13, Sheng-Hung Chen4, Wen-Juei Jeng14,5,6,15, Hwai-I Yang16, Yong Yuan17, Sheng-Nan Lu11, I-Shyan Sheen5,6, Chen-Hua Liu8,9,10,13, Cheng-Yuan Peng4,18, Jia-Horng Kao8,9,10, Ming-Lung Yu2,3,19,20, Wan-Long Chuang2,3, Chien-Jen Chen21.
Abstract
This follow-up study enrolled chronic hepatitis C patients to evaluate the treatment efficacy and to identify post-treatment seromarkers associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with a sustained virological response (SVR) or nonsustained virological response (NSVR). A total of 4639 patients who received pegylated interferon and ribavirin during 2004-2013 were followed until December 2014. HCC was confirmed through health examinations and data linkage with a national database. A total of 233 HCC cases were reported after 26,163 person-years of follow-up, indicating an incidence of 8.9 per 1000 person-years: 6.9 for SVR and 21.6 for NSVR per 1000 person-years. The associated risk of HCC in patients with SVR was 0.37 (0.22-0.63) for those without cirrhosis and 0.54 (0.31-0.92) for those with cirrhosis compared with their respective counterparts with NSVR. Among patients with SVR, advanced age, male gender, cirrhosis, decreased platelet count, and increased aspartate aminotransferase and α-fetoprotein levels were associated with HCC (p < 0.001). The treatment of chronic hepatitis C patients before they developed cirrhosis showed a higher efficacy than did the treatment of those who had already developed cirrhosis. Patients with SVR may still have a risk of HCC and need to be regularly monitored.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 28623331 PMCID: PMC5473811 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-02313-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Baseline characteristics of study participants.
| Determinants | Total (N = 4639) N (%) | NSVR (N = 700) N (%) | SVR (N = 3939) N (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | ||||
| mean ± SD | 53.8 ± 10.0 | 56.1 ± 9.4 | 53.4 ± 10.0 | <0.0001 |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 2304 (49.7) | 393 (56.1) | 1911 (48.5) | 0.0002 |
| Male | 2335 (50.3) | 307 (43.9) | 2028 (51.5) | |
| HCV genotype* | ||||
| Non-1 | 2108 (45.4) | 132 (18.9) | 1976 (50.2) | <0.0001 |
| 1 | 2531 (54.6) | 568 (81.1) | 1963 (49.8) | |
| Log HCV RNA (IU/mL) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 5.7 ± 1.1 | 6.2 ± 0.8 | 5.7 ± 1.1 | <0.0001 |
| ALT (U/L) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 131 ± 106.5 | 112.1 ± 74.4 | 134.3 ± 110.9 | <0.0001 |
| AST (U/L) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 89.6 ± 64.1 | 87.1 ± 56.0 | 90 ± 65.4 | 0.2302 |
| Hemoglobulin (g/dl) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 14.2 ± 1.5 | 14.1 ± 1.5 | 14.3 ± 1.5 | 0.0105 |
| Platelet count (103/uL) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 173.3 ± 61.9 | 164.4 ± 81.8 | 174.8 ± 57.8 | 0.0031 |
| AFP (ng/mL) | ||||
| mean ± SD | 15 ± 45.3 | 21.8 ± 43.9 | 13.9 ± 45.4 | 0.0002 |
| FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 | 1279 (31.1) | 233 (40.0) | 1046 (29.7) | <0.0001 |
| Cirrhosis | 796 (17.3) | 201 (28.9) | 595 (15.3) | <0.0001 |
HCV: hepatitis C virus; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; FIB-4: fibrosis-4 score; AFP: α-fetoprotein; SVR: sustained virological response; NSVR: non-sustained virological response.
Incidence of HCC, stratified by treatment response and presence of liver cirrhosis at study entry.
| Total number | Number of HCC cases | Observed period (person-year) | Rate per 1000 person-year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 4639 | 233 | 26162.84 | 8.91 |
| SVR | 3939 | 155 | 22548.39 | 6.87 |
| -LC | 595 | 77 | 3460.95 | 22.25 |
| -non-LC | 3304 | 78 | 18822.74 | 4.14 |
| NSVR | 700 | 78 | 3614.44 | 21.58 |
| -LC | 201 | 51 | 1030.69 | 49.48 |
| -non-LC | 494 | 27 | 2557.23 | 10.56 |
HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; SVR: sustained virological response; NSVR: non-sustained virological response; LC: liver cirrhosis; non-LC: non-liver cirrhosis
*40 SVR patients and 5 NSVR patients lack of cirrhosis information
Figure 1Cumulative risk of HCC after long-term follow-up. (a)Total participants. (b)Patients with liver cirrhosis at study entry. (c)Patients without liver cirrhosis at study entry.
Adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of pretreatment predictors for HCC, stratified by presence of liver cirrhosis at study entry.
| Determinants | Total patients Adjusted HR (95% CI) | Patients with liver cirrhosis Adjusted HR (95% CI) | Patients without liver cirrhosis Adjusted HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 1.05 (1.03–1.08) | 1.04 (1.01–1.07) | 1.07 (1.04–1.10) |
| Gender | |||
| Female | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Male | 2.51 (1.72–3.68) | 2.78 (1.62–4.77) | 1.86 (1.17–2.98) |
| Serum levels of AST (U/L) | |||
| <45 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 45–89 | 0.81 (0.43–1.51) | 0.88 (0.25–3.13) | 0.85 (0.42–1.74) |
| ≥90 | 1.13 (0.61–2.12) | 1.48 (0.43–5.06) | 0.99 (0.47–2.10) |
| p for trend | 0.2324 | 0.1112 | 0.8453 |
| Cirrhosis | |||
| No | 1.00 | — | — |
| Yes | 2.77 (1.93–3.99) | ||
| Platelet count (103/uL) | |||
| ≥200 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 100–200 | 1.54 (0.89–2.66) | 1.20 (0.49–2.94) | 1.81 (0.91–3.62) |
| <100 | 2.32 (1.25–4.32) | 1.73 (0.71–4.27) | 3.41 (1.40–8.30) |
| p for trend | 0.0055 | 0.1189 | 0.0073 |
| Alpha fetoprotein (ng/mL) | |||
| <5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| 5–10 | 2.27 (1.35–3.82) | 1.68 (0.65–4.32) | 2.37 (1.27–4.43) |
| ≥10 | 2.32 (1.35–3.99) | 1.97 (0.80–4.90) | 2.21 (1.11–4.41) |
| p for trend | 0.0057 | 0.1523 | 0.0301 |
| Hemoglobulin (g/dl) | |||
| <13.6 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 13.6–14.9 | 0.68 (0.46–1.01) | 0.50 (0.28–0.89) | |
| ≥14.9 | 0.41 (0.25–0.68) | 0.22 (0.09–0.50) | |
| p for trend | 0.0004 | <0.0001 | |
| Treatment | |||
| NSVR | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| SVR | 0.44 (0.30–0.64) | 0.54 (0.31–0.92) | 0.37 (0.22–0.63) |
AST: aspartate aminotransferase; SVR: sustained virological response; NSVR: non-sustained virological response.
Adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of post-treatment predictors for HCC, stratified by treatment response.
| Predictors | Patients with SVR | Patients with NSVR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (95% CI) | Non-cirrhosis (95% CI) | Total (95% CI) | Non-cirrhosis (95% CI) | |
| Age | 1.08 (1.05–1.11) | 1.1 (1.06–1.14) | 1.07 (1.02–1.13) | 1.06 (1.00–1.13) |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Male | 1.63 (1.03–2.58) | 1.91 (1.04–3.51) | 1.36 (0.61–3.03) | 0.91 (0.29–2.83) |
| Serum levels of ALT (U/L) | ||||
| <45 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
| ≥45 | 0.97 (0.45–2.1) | 1.52 (0.52–4.47) | ||
| Serum levels of AST (U/L) | ||||
| <45 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ≥45 | 2.47 (1.23–4.98) | 1.79 (0.57–5.6) | 6.20 (1.78–21.53) | 4.11 (1.11–15.17) |
| Cirrhosis | ||||
| No | 1.00 | — | 1.00 | |
| Yes | 2.14 (1.30–3.53) | — | 1.01 (0.42–2.44) | |
| Platelet count (103/uL) | ||||
| ≥200 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 100–200 | 1.30 (0.68–2.49) | 1.54 (0.70–3.39) | 1.00 | |
| <100 | 2.19 (1.00–4.82) | 1.92 (0.62–5.99) | 5.52 (2.24–13.59) | |
| P for trend | 0.0479 | 0.2225 | ||
| Alpha fetoprotein (ng/mL) | ||||
| <5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
| 5–10 | 1.25 (0.72–2.15) | 1.35 (0.67–2.72) | ||
| 10–20 | 2.42 (1.16–5.08) | 4.16 (1.45–11.97) | ||
| ≥20 | 9.58 (3.15–29.14) | 8.54 (1.13–64.49) | ||
| P for trend | 0.0011 | 0.0053 | ||
ALT: alanine aminotransferase; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; SVR: sustained virological response; NSVR: non-sustained virological response.