| Literature DB >> 28596788 |
Hae Yeon Kang1, Eun Kyung Choe2, Kyu Joo Park3, Young Lee4.
Abstract
Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a well-known tumor marker for colorectal adenocarcinoma. However, CEA levels can be influenced by various nonmalignant conditions. A retrospective, cross-sectional study was performed including 18,131 healthy nonsmokers who underwent health check-ups with evaluation of the serum CEA level. In the training set, multivariate analysis revealed that the log-transformed CEA level had positive relationships with age (regression coefficient (r) = 0.005, P < 0.001), white blood cell (WBC) count (r = 0.007, P = 0.016), hemoglobin (HB, r = 0.016, P < 0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (AST, r = 0.002, P = 0.005), creatinine (r = 0.076, P = 0.038), and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c, r = 0.052, P < 0.001); body mass index (BMI, r = -0.007, P < 0.001) showed a negative correlation. The results for age, BMI, WBC count, HB, AST, and HbA1c were validated in the test set. We were able to construct the following model to predict the log-transformed CEA level: log (CEA + 0.51) = -0.204 - 0.051 (gender) + 0.005 (age) - 0.006 (BMI) + 0.008 (WBC count) + 0.016 (HB) + 0.002 (AST) + 0.062 (creatinine) + 0.054 (HbA1c). For colorectal cancer prediction, the model with the observed CEA and adjusted CEA levels had significantly high predictive power (AUC 0.756, P < 0.001) than the model only including the observed CEA level (AUC 0.693, P < 0.001). Factors influencing serum CEA levels should be adjusted before clinical interpretation to increase the predictive value of CEA.Entities:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28596788 PMCID: PMC5449725 DOI: 10.1155/2017/9858931
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Gastroenterol Res Pract ISSN: 1687-6121 Impact factor: 2.260
Characteristics of the study population.
| Total population ( | CEA Q1 ( | CEA Q4 ( |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | <0.001 | |||
| Female | 8596 | 2414 (56.0%) | 1555 (35.9%) | |
| Male | 9535 | 1894 (44.0%) | 2778 (64.1%) | |
| Age (years) | 50.8 ± 11.3 | 48.3 ± 10.9 | 53.8 ± 11.2 | <0.001 |
| 51 (17–94) | ||||
| Hypertension | <0.001 | |||
| No | 3948 (91.6%) | 3735 (86.2%) | ||
| Yes | 1947 | 360 (8.4%) | 598 (13.8%) | |
| Diabetes | <0.001 | |||
| No | 4215 (97.8%) | 4096 (94.5%) | ||
| Yes | 606 | 93 (2.2%) | 237 (5.5%) | |
| Body mass index (m2/kg) | 22.9 ± 3.0 | 22.7 ± 3.0 | 23.3 ± 2.9 | <0.001 |
| White blood cell count (cells/mL) | 5.1 ± 1.4 | 5.1 ± 1.4 | 5.9 ± 1.8 | 0.007 |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 14.2 ± 1.4 | 14.0 ± 1.4 | 14.5 ± 1.4 | <0.001 |
| Fasting glucose (mg/dL) | 96 ± 16.5 | 93.6 ± 13.3 | 99.3 ± 20.1 | <0.001 |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 193.1 ± 33.5 | 192.7 ± 33.5 | 193.4 ± 34.5 | 0.373 |
| AST (IU/L) | 22.8 ± 7.4 | 21.9 ± 7.2 | 23.9 ± 7.8 | <0.001 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 0.8 ± 0.2 | 0.8 ± 0.2 | 0.9 ± 0.2 | <0.001 |
| Triglycerides (mg/dL) | 104.4 ± 67.7 | 98.0 ± 60.4 | 111.5 ± 72.0 | <0.001 |
| LDL cholesterol (mg/dL) | 118.7 ± 29.7 | 119.1 ± 30.0 | 118.5 ± 30.1 | 0.336 |
| Hs-CRP | 0.1 ± 0.4 | 0.1 ± 0.4 | 0.1 ± 0.3 | 0.349 |
| HbA1c | 5.6 ± 0.6 | 5.5 ± 0.4 | 5.7 ± 0.7 | <0.001 |
Univariate and multivariate analyses of log-transformed serum CEA.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total population | Training set | Test set | |||
|
|
| Regression coefficient |
|
|
|
| Gender (ref.: male) | <0.001 | −0.051 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Age | <0.001 | 0.005 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| BMI | <0.001 | −0.006 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| WBC | <0.001 | 0.008 | <0.001 | 0.016 | <0.001 |
| HB | <0.001 | 0.016 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| AST | <0.001 | 0.002 | <0.001 | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Creatinine | <0.001 | 0.062 | 0.014 | 0.038 | 0.167 |
| HbA1c | <0.001 | 0.054 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Multivariate analysis of quartile CEA.
| Total population | Training set | Test set | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds ratio (95% confidence interval) |
|
|
| |
| Gender (reference: male) | 0.668 (0.569–0.784) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Age | 1.037 (1.033–1.042) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| BMI | 0.957 (0.940–0.974) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.005 |
| WBC | 1.058 (1.024–1.093) | 0.001 | 0.074 | 0.003 |
| HB | 1.141 (1.089–1.195) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AST | 1.011 (1.005–1.018) | 0.000 | 0.025 | 0.007 |
| Creatinine | 1.54 (1.017–2.335) | 0.042 | 0.134 | 0.162 |
| HbA1c | 1.461 (1.329–1.611) | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Figure 1Areas under the curve between control and colorectal cancer individuals with borderline serum CEA levels (2–4 ng/mL). The prediction model is for discriminating between control and colorectal cancer individuals. Model I was designed only with the observed CEA level, whereas model II was designed with the observed CEA level and the adjusted CEA level.