| Literature DB >> 28575014 |
Daniel Fu-Chang Tsai1, Shi-Wei Huang2, Soren Holm3, Yi-Ping Lin4, Yu-Kang Chang5,6, Chih-Cheng Hsu5,7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Transplant tourism has increased rapidly in the past two decades, accounting for about 10% of world organ transplants. However it is ethically controversial and discouraged by professional guidelines. We conducted this study to investigate the outcomes and trends of overseas kidney and liver transplantation in Taiwan to provide a sound basis for ethical reflection. METHODS ANDEntities:
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 28575014 PMCID: PMC5456093 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0178569
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Number of domestic vs overseas transplants, 1998–2014.
(A) Kidney transplants, 1998–2014 (Cochran-Armitage trend test P < 0.0001). (B) Liver transplants, 1999–2014 (Cochran-Armitage trend test P < 0.0001). KT = kidney transplant. LT = liver transplant. The numbers from 1998–2009 and 2010–2014 were obtained from NHIRD and TORSC, respectively. The numbers in 2009 would be incomplete since some recipient data were not available until in 2010 NHIRD.
Characteristics of kidney transplant recipients from January 1, 1998 to June 30, 2009, domestic vs overseas.
| Domestic KT recipients | Overseas KT recipients | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | n | % | ||
| Sex (male) | 1103 | 49.0 | 1318 | 54.8 | <0.001 |
| Age at KT (years, mean ± SD) | 41.2 (12.2) | 47.9 (11.5) | <0.001 | ||
| ≤35 | 666 | 29.6 | 336 | 14.0 | <0.001 |
| 35–45 | 648 | 28.8 | 551 | 22.9 | |
| 45–55 | 673 | 29.9 | 834 | 34.7 | |
| 55–65 | 230 | 10.2 | 545 | 22.7 | |
| >65 | 33 | 1.5 | 138 | 5.7 | |
| Duration of dialysis before transplantation | |||||
| 0 | 193 | 8.6 | 316 | 13.2 | <0.001 |
| <1 year | 647 | 28.8 | 974 | 40.5 | |
| ≥1 year | 1410 | 62.7 | 1114 | 46.3 | |
| CCI score | 0.73 (1.19) | 1.01 (1.38) | <0.001 | ||
| 0 | 1374 | 61.1 | 1212 | 50.4 | <0.001 |
| 1–2 | 682 | 30.3 | 863 | 35.9 | |
| ≥3 | 194 | 8.6 | 329 | 13.7 | |
| Diabetes | 180 | 8.0 | 341 | 14.2 | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 597 | 26.5 | 928 | 38.6 | <0.001 |
| Death | 207 | 45.5 | 378 | 66.8 | <0.001 |
| Alive with graft failure | 248 | 54.5 | 188 | 33.2 | |
| Crude patient survival rate (%) | |||||
| 3rd month | 99.0 | 98.5 | <0.001 | ||
| 1st year | 96.9 | 95.8 | |||
| 3rd year | 94.0 | 92.1 | |||
| 5th year | 91.7 | 87.8 | |||
| 7th year | 88.4 | 82.2 | |||
| 9th year | 84.9 | 76.8 | |||
| 10th year | 83.0 | 73.1 | |||
| Crude graft survival rate (%) | |||||
| 3rd month | 97.4 | 96.9 | 0.649 | ||
| 1st year | 93.4 | 93.8 | |||
| 3rd year | 87.0 | 87.7 | |||
| 5th year | 80.1 | 81.3 | |||
| 7th year | 74.3 | 73.0 | |||
| 9th year | 67.6 | 65.7 | |||
| 10th year | 64.3 | 59.8 | |||
Note: Results are n (%) or means (SD).
CCI = Charlson comorbidity index.
* The chance to reject null hypotheses, assuming no difference in demographic characteristics between patients receiving a kidney transplant in Taiwan and patients receiving a kidney transplant overseas, by using chi-square tests (for categorical data), Student’s t-tests (for continuous data), and log-rank tests (for patient and graft survival rate).
† The diagnoses recorded in the National Health Insurance dataset within 1 year (excluding the index hospitalization for the kidney transplant) before receiving a kidney transplant was used to calculate CCI score. Because patients undertaking dialysis defined our study cohort, we excluded the diagnosis of renal failure (defined as at least three outpatient service claims or one single hospitalization) from index calculations.
# the patient resumed dialysis but was still alive.
$ January 1, 1998 to June 30, 2009, excluding domestic graft failure and those who died within one month.
Characteristics of liver transplant recipients in 1999–2009, domestic vs overseas.
| Domestic LT recipients | Overseas LT recipients | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | n | % | ||
| Sex (male) | 1144 | 69.0 | 443 | 82.0 | <0.001 |
| Age at transplantation (years, mean ± SD) | 43.0 (19.4) | 50.3 (13.2) | <0.001 | ||
| ≤18 | 273 | 16.5 | 14 | 2.6 | <0.001 |
| 18–45 | 567 | 34.2 | 218 | 40.4 | |
| 45–60 | 629 | 37.9 | 183 | 33.9 | |
| >60 | 189 | 11.4 | 125 | 21.1 | |
| CCI | 0.99 (1.36) | 1.22 (1.78) | 0.006 | ||
| 0 | 832 | 50.2 | 260 | 48.2 | 0.164 |
| 1–2 | 598 | 36.1 | 189 | 35.0 | |
| ≥3 | 228 | 13.7 | 91 | 16.9 | |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma | 661 | 39.9 | 346 | 64.1 | <0.001 |
| Viral hepatitis | 1147 | 69.2 | 378 | 70.2 | 0.720 |
| Indication for liver transplant | |||||
| Fulminant failure | 102 | 6.2 | 9 | 1.7 | <0.001 |
| Biliary atresia | 214 | 12.9 | 12 | 2.2 | |
| Biliary cirrhosis, metabolic | 69 | 4.2 | 6 | 1.1 | |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma with cirrhosis | 647 | 39.0 | 307 | 56.9 | |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma without cirrhosis | 14 | 0.8 | 39 | 7.2 | |
| Alcoholic liver cirrhosis | 187 | 11.3 | 41 | 7.6 | |
| Viral hepatitis with cirrhosis | 399 | 22.9 | 102 | 18.9 | |
| Other | 26 | 1.6 | 24 | 4.4 | |
| Crude patient survival rate (%) | |||||
| 3rd month | 95.6 | 97.0 | <0.001 | ||
| 1st year | 89.2 | 79.8 | |||
| 3rd year | 83.9 | 62.3 | |||
| 5th year | 79.5 | 54.7 | |||
| 7th year | 77.8 | 49.9 | |||
| 9th year | 77.3 | 49.9 | |||
| 10th year | 75.2 | 49.9 | |||
*TThe chance to reject null hypotheses, assuming no difference in demographic characteristics between patients receiving a kidney transplant in Taiwan and patients receiving a kidney transplant overseas, by using chi-square tests (for categorical data), Student’s t-tests (for continuous data), and log-rank tests (for patient and graft survival rate).
† The diagnoses recorded in the National Health Insurance dataset within 1 year (excluding the index hospitalization for the liver transplant) before receiving a liver transplant was used to calculate CCI score and indication of liver transplant. When calculating CCI score, we excluded diagnoses of mild hepatitis, moderate hepatitis, and hepatocellular carcinoma from index calculations. The diagnosis was defined as at least three outpatient service claims or one single hospitalization.
$ Excluding domestic patients who died within one month.
Fig 2Kaplan–Meier estimates of survival for overseas vs domestic transplant recipients.
(A) Patient survival for kidney transplant recipients, log-rank test P < 0.001; (B) graft survival for kidney transplant recipients, log-rank test P = 0.649; (C) patient survival for liver transplant recipients, log-rank test P < 0.001; (D) patient survival for liver transplant recipients, categorized by location and whether the patient had hepatocellular carcinoma, log-rank test P < 0.001.
Risks of mortality and graft failure for kidney transplant recipients, January 1, 1998 to June 30, 2009.
| Graft failure | Overall survival | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Location | ||||
| Domestic | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| Overseas | 0.88 (0.77–1.01) | 0.068 | 1.10 (0.92–1.33) | 0.295 |
| Age at transplantation (years) | ||||
| <35 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| 35–45 | 0.97 (0.80–1.18) | 0.774 | 1.20 (0.88–1.63) | 0.254 |
| 45–55 | 1.17 (0.97–1.41) | 0.094 | 2.05 (1.54–2.72) | <0.001 |
| 55–65 | 1.60 (1.30–1.97) | <0.001 | 3.43 (2.55–4.62) | <0.001 |
| ≥65 | 2.15 (1.57–2.94) | <0.001 | 5.00 (3.39–7.36) | <0.001 |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| Male | 1.15 (1.02–1.31) | 0.029 | 1.35 (1.14–1.61) | <0.001 |
| CCI | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| 1–2 | 1.11 (0.96–1.28) | 0.147 | 1.14 (0.95–1.38) | 0.161 |
| ≥3 | 1.41 (1.16–1.70) | 0.001 | 1.53 (1.20–1.94) | 0.001 |
| HD before KT | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| <1 year | 1.27 (1.01–1.61) | 0.044 | 1.09 (0.80–1.49) | 0.576 |
| ≥1 year | 1.46 (1.16–1.82) | 0.001 | 1.36 (1.01–1.81) | 0.040 |
*Hazard ratio (HR) was used to estimate excess risks of mortality and graft failure for those receiving transplants overseas vs domestically, by using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusted for age, sex, hemodialysis duration prior to transplantation, CCI score, and location of transplantation site.
Risk of mortality for liver transplant recipients, 1999–2009.
| Patient without hepatocellular carcinoma | Patient with hepatocellular carcinoma | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall survival HR (95% CI) | Overall survival HR (95% CI) | |||
| Location | ||||
| Domestic | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| Overseas | 1.31 (0.94–1.82) | 0.107 | 2.65 (2.08–3.38) | <0.001 |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| Male | 1.04 (0.78–1.39) | 0.778 | 1.00 (0.73–1.38) | 0.979 |
| CCI | ||||
| 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
| 1–2 | 0.99 (0.73–1.35) | 0.965 | 1.01 (0.77–1.31) | 0.962 |
| 3+ | 1.19 (0.80–1.76) | 0.394 | 1.18 (0.85–1.62) | 0.323 |
| Age at transplantation | ||||
| 0–18 | 1.0 | |||
| 18–45 | 1.43 (0.93–2.18) | 0.102 | 1.0 | |
| 45–60 | 1.94 (1.26–2.97) | 0.002 | 0.84 (0.65–1.10) | 0.207 |
| ≥60 | 2.32 (1.37–3.93) | 0.001 | 0.92 (0.67–1.27) | 0.621 |
* Hazard ratio (HR) was used to estimate excess risks of mortality for those receiving transplants overseas vs domestically, by using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusted for age, sex, CCI score.
0–45 as reference because sparse data in <18 y/o strata.
Cause of death in kidney and liver transplantation recipients.
| n | (Total 11017 person-year) | n | (Total 13184 person-year) | ||||||
| Malignancy& | 33 | 3.0 (2.1–4.2) | 105 | 8.0 (6.6–9.6) | <0.001 | 1.82 (1.21–2.73) | 0.004 | ||
| Infection | 50 | 4.6 (3.4–6.0) | 101 | 7.7 (6.3–9.3) | 0.003 | 1.07 (0.74–1.53) | 0.710 | ||
| Liver disease | 15 | 1.4 (0.8–2.3) | 43 | 3.2 (2.4–4.4) | 0.004 | 1.78 (0.97–3.27) | 0.063 | ||
| CKD | 53 | 4.8 (3.7–6.3) | 71 | 5.4 (4.3–6.9) | 0.534 | 0.74 (0.49–1.11) | 0.147 | ||
| Others | 56 | 5.1 (3.9–6.6) | 58 | 4.4 (3.4–5.8) | 0.441 | 0.67 (0.45–1.00) | 0.050 | ||
| n | (Total 6104 percent-year) | n | (Total 1854 percent-year) | ||||||
| Hepatocellular carcinoma | 50 | 8.2 (6.5–10.8) | 128 | 69.0 (52.0–82.1) | <0.001 | 6.58 (4.69–9.23) | <0.001 | ||
| Infection | 45 | 7.4 (5.5–9.9) | 22 | 11.9 (7.8–18.0) | 0.068 | 1.27 (0.74–2.21) | 0.387 | ||
| Liver disease | 99 | 16.2 (13.3–19.7) | 34 | 18.3 (13.1–25.7) | 0.538 | 0.94 (0.62–1.42) | 0.761 | ||
| Complication | 65 | 10.6 (8.4–13.6) | 27 | 14.6 (10.0–21.2) | 0.172 | 1.26 (0.77–2.06) | 0.349 | ||
| Others | 38 | 6.2 (4.5–8.6) | 18 | 9.7 (6.1–15.4) | 0.121 | 1.44 (0.80–2.58) | 0.226 | ||
The causes of mortality were primarily defined as the principal diagnosis when patient expired unless some vague diagnoses for nosology such as cardiovascular symptoms (ICD9 = 785) or other disease of lung (ICD9 = 518). In these cases, we chose the second diagnoses to define the causes of death.
The mortality rate was estimated by cases per 1000 person-years, which were calculated as the time elapsed from the transplantation to the death date, or the end of follow-up, whichever came first. The calculation of a 95% CI for the mortality rate was based on the Poisson distribution.
*Causes of death in kidney transplantation: Liver disease-included liver cirrhosis, acute hepatitis, hepatic failure; chronic kidney failure include -complication after kidney transplantation, chronic kidney failure and kidney transplantation. Others-include cardiovascular and cerebrovascular accident, GI disease (intestinal perforation, pancreatitis, peritonitis) and others.
& Malignancy in overseas vs. domestic: genitourinary malignancy: 39 vs 12, hepatocellular carcinoma: 29 vs 6, others: 37 vs 15.
†Cause of death in liver transplantation: liver disease include hepatic failure, and side effect of hepatic failure. Others include tumor except hepatocellular carcinoma, cardiovascular, cerebrovascular accident and GI disease.
#IRR (incident rate ratio) was used to assess association between cause of death and the transplant operation sites (overseas vs. domestic) by using Poisson regression model adjusted for age, sex, and CCI score.